• 제목/요약/키워드: Price-Estimation

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Minimizing Project Quality Costs by Activity-Based Prevention (활동기준예방에 의한 프로젝트 품질코스트 최소화)

  • Kim, Jong-Yul;Kang, Chang-Wook;Hwang, In-Keuk
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.89-97
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    • 2011
  • Traditional quality control for manufacturing or service sector is not suitable for the quality control of a project as the project is one-time task constrained by time, cost, and quality. To meet the internal and external customers' requirements, quality costs approach to the project will be effective. Hence, we propose PONC (price of nonconformance) estimation procedure and a mathematical model, which are focused on activity-based prevention in the execution step and warranty step of EPLC (extended project life cycle). This procedure and model will help project manager develop preventive action plan for project quality costs minimization from nonconformance risk activities and PONC estimates information.

An Analysis of the Effects of Human Resource Accounting Information on the Prediction of the Price of Common Stock (인적자원회계정보가 주가예측에 미치는 영향분석)

  • 오화중
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.18 no.33
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    • pp.173-183
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    • 1995
  • The Objective of the study was to determine the usefulness of human resource accounting(HRA) information in assisting financial analysis in their investment decisions. The objective achieved by an investigation through which the reporting of HRA, combined with demographic factors that are independent or interactive, affects the decisions of financial analysts regarding the estimation of the market price of a hypothetical company's common stocks. Two kinds of research were conducted to increase the reliability of the study at the same time. Two or three sets of financial statement were prepared. Each consists of balance sheet and income statement. The actual financial statement was modified to exclude personal bias and opinion.

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A Empirical Analysis on the Effect of Seasoned Equity Offering on the Stock's Price (SEO공시 전후의 주가변화에 대한 실증분석)

  • Shin, Yeon-Soo
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.127-142
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    • 2003
  • This Study examines the implications for event studies using the daily stock data. The output present the event study results. The event period is defined from 30 days before through 30 days after the event date, and is broken into four "windows" for abnormal return cumulation: the pre-event period, days -30 through -2; dajys -1 and 0, a period commonly investigated for the immediate impact of the event; and the post-event period, days +1 through +30. It shows how firm's information offerings affect the price process and consequent issues. The Patell Z test is an examples of a standardized abnormal return approach, which estimate a separate standard error for each security-event and assumes cross-sectional independence. The generalized sign test adjusts for the fraction of positive abnormal returns in the estimation period instead of assuming 0.5.

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Developing Web Site for Setting a Price of Accommodation (숙소의 적정 가격 결정을 위한 Web Site 개발)

  • Cho, Kyu Cheol;Roh, Hyun Jin;Song, Woo Hyeon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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    • 2020.07a
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    • pp.247-248
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    • 2020
  • 호스트가 숙소 가격을 정할 때, 기존 숙박 플랫폼들이 제공하는 최적화된 가격을 참고하기 위해선 숙소의 유형, 편의 시설 제공 여부 등 많은 단계를 거쳐야하므로 불편하다. 본 논문은 호스트가 보다 편리하게 자신의 숙소에 최적화된 가격을 알 수 있도록 하는 '숙소의 적정 가격 결정을 위한 웹 사이트'를 개발하였다. 이 웹을 통해 호스트는 더 간편하게 자신의 숙소에 대한 적정 가격을 알고 가격 산정 시 참고할 수 있다.

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Public Building Value Evaluation Using Contingent Valuation Method Based on Market Value Estimation

  • PARK, Jieun;YU, Jungho
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2015.10a
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    • pp.367-370
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    • 2015
  • Building deterioration reflects the degradation of basic building performance including structural performance, energy performance, durability, and safety, and it also includes perceived deterioration, which considers a user-based perspective. More than 50% of the existing buildings in Korea are over 15 years old and public buildings compose 2.5% of all buildings domestically. Therefore, there are several different problems, such as poor energy efficiency, structural performance, and safety. To address the challenges of increasing stock in deteriorated buildings, it is necessary to make decisions about reconstruction or renovation. In this study, we propose a new method to evaluate public building value with a contingent valuation method (CVM). By estimating willing-to-pay (WTP) from users of private buildings in similar situation with the public building, it is possible to compare market prices and calculate a correction factor to adjust the WTP data. Finally, we apply the correction factor to the WTP of a public building and estimate market price, willingness to pay (WTP). Finally, we apply the correction factor to willing to pay (WTP) of public building and estimate market price.

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Estimation of city gas demand function using time series data (시계열 자료를 이용한 도시가스의 수요함수 추정)

  • Lee, Seung-Jae;Euh, Seung-Seob;Yoo, Seung-Hoon
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.370-375
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    • 2013
  • This paper attempts to estimate the city gas demand function in Korea over the period 1981-2012. As the city gas demand function provides us information on the pattern of consumer's city gas consumption, it can be usefully utilized in predicting the impact of policy variables such as city gas price and forecasting the demand for city gas. We apply lagged dependent variable model and ordinary least square method as a robust approach to estimating the parameters of the city gas demand function. The results show that short-run price and income elasticities of the city gas demand are estimated to be -0.522 and 0.874, respectively. They are statistically significant at the 1% level. The short-run price and income elasticities portray that demand for city gas is price- and income-inelastic. This implies that the city gas is indispensable goods to human-being's life, thus the city gas demand would not be promptly adjusted to responding to price and/or income change. However, long-run price and income elasticities reveal that the demand for city gas is price- and income-elastic in the long-run.

Level Shifts and Long-term Memory in Stock Distribution Markets (주식유통시장의 층위이동과 장기기억과정)

  • Chung, Jin-Taek
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.93-102
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    • 2016
  • Purpose - The purpose of paper is studying the static and dynamic side for long-term memory storage properties, and increase the explanatory power regarding the long-term memory process by looking at the long-term storage attributes, Korea Composite Stock Price Index. The reason for the use of GPH statistic is to derive the modified statistic Korea's stock market, and to research a process of long-term memory. Research design, data, and methodology - Level shifts were subjected to be an empirical analysis by applying the GPH method. It has been modified by taking into account the daily log return of the Korea Composite Stock Price Index a. The Data, used for the stock market to analyze whether deciding the action by the long-term memory process, yield daily stock price index of the Korea Composite Stock Price Index and the rate of return a log. The studies were proceeded with long-term memory and long-term semiparametric method in deriving the long-term memory estimators. Chapter 2 examines the leading research, and Chapter 3 describes the long-term memory processes and estimation methods. GPH statistics induced modifications of statistics and discussed Whittle statistic. Chapter 4 used Korea Composite Stock Price Index to estimate the long-term memory process parameters. Chapter 6 presents the conclusions and implications. Results - If the price of the time series is generated by the abnormal process, it may be located in long-term memory by a time series. However, test results by price fixed GPH method is not followed by long-term memory process or fractional differential process. In the case of the time-series level shift, the present test method for a long-term memory processes has a considerable amount of bias, and there exists a structural change in the stock distribution market. This structural change has implications in level shift. Stratum level shift assays are not considered as shifted strata. They exist distinctly in the stock secondary market as bias, and are presented in the test statistic of non-long-term memory process. It also generates an error as a long-term memory that could lead to false results. Conclusions - Changes in long-term memory characteristics associated with level shift present the following two suggestions. One, if any impact outside is flowed for a long period of time, we can know that the long-term memory processes have characteristic of the average return gradually. When the investor makes an investment, the same reasoning applies to him in the light of the characteristics of the long-term memory. It is suggested that when investors make decisions on investment, it is necessary to consider the characters of the long-term storage in reference with causing investors to increase the uncertainty and potential. The other one is the thing which must be considered variously according to time-series. The research for price-earnings ratio and investment risk should be composed of the long-term memory characters, and it would have more predictability.

Estimation Method of the Competitive Bid-price in Bid-rigging of Public Construction (기댓값 분석에 따른 공공공사 입찰담합의 가상경쟁가격 산정방법)

  • Jeong, Kichang;Kim, Wooram;Kim, Namjoon;Lee, Jaeseob
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.52-60
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    • 2018
  • Korea's public construction projects are under construction through bidding, however, due to the nature of the bidding, collusion between participants can occur. The collusion of bids accordingly damages the client. So, it is necessary to calculate the appropriate fictitious competition price to compensate for this. In this regard, econometrics methods are generally used, but there are limitations and issues arising from the nature of construction, especially design-build bid. Therefore, this study proposes a method to estimate reasonable competitive bid-price in design-build bid. It derives the lowest bid-price from the design submitted by the proponent and estimates the competitive bid-price by examining the factors according to the penetration rate according to the technical level of the tester, the skill level of the competitor, and the type of tester. Based on the method proposed in this study, a reasonable price can be derived that reflects the characteristics of the design and construction bidding bidder selection method and also it can be used as a reference material in the actual bidding process as well as calculating the damage due to the answer.

Estimation of the electricity demand function using a lagged dependent variable model (내생시차변수모형을 이용한 전력수요함수 추정)

  • Ahn, So-Yeon;Jin, Se-Jun;Yoo, Seung-Hoon
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.37-44
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    • 2016
  • The demand for electricity has a considerable impact on various energy sectors since electricity is generated from various energy sources. This paper attempts to estimate the electricity demand function and obtain some quantitative information on price and income elasticities of the demand. To this end, we apply a lagged dependent variable model to derive long-run as well as short-run elasticities using the time-series data over the period 1991-2014. Our dependent variable is annual electricity demand. The independent variables include constant term, real price of electricity, and real gross domestic product. The results show that the short-run price and income elasticities of the electricity demand are estimated to be -0.142 and 0.866, respectively. They are statistically significant at the 5% level. That is, the electricity demand is in-elastic with respect to price and income changes in the short-run. The long-run price and income elasticities of the electricity demand are calculated to be -0.210 and 1.287, respectively, which are also statistically meaningful at the 5% level. The electricity demand is still in-elastic with regard to price change in the long-run. However, the electricity demand is elastic regarding income change in the long-run. Therefore, this indicates that the effect of demand-side management policy through price-control is restrictive in both the short- and long-run. The growth in electricity demand following income growth is expected to be more remarkable in the long-run than in the short-run.

An Estimation of Price Elasticities of Import Demand and Export Supply Functions Derived from an Integrated Production Model (생산모형(生産模型)을 이용(利用)한 수출(輸出)·수입함수(輸入函數)의 가격탄성치(價格彈性値) 추정(推定))

  • Lee, Hong-gue
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.47-69
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    • 1990
  • Using an aggregator model, we look into the possibilities for substitution between Korea's exports, imports, domestic sales and domestic inputs (particularly labor), and substitution between disaggregated export and import components. Our approach heavily draws on an economy-wide GNP function that is similar to Samuelson's, modeling trade functions as derived from an integrated production system. Under the condition of homotheticity and weak separability, the GNP function would facilitate consistent aggregation that retains certain properties of the production structure. It would also be useful for a two-stage optimization process that enables us to obtain not only the net output price elasticities of the first-level aggregator functions, but also those of the second-level individual components of exports and imports. For the implementation of the model, we apply the Symmetric Generalized McFadden (SGM) function developed by Diewert and Wales to both stages of estimation. The first stage of the estimation procedure is to estimate the unit quantity equations of the second-level exports and imports that comprise four components each. The parameter estimates obtained in the first stage are utilized in the derivation of instrumental variables for the aggregate export and import prices being employed in the upper model. In the second stage, the net output supply equations derived from the GNP function are used in the estimation of the price elasticities of the first-level variables: exports, imports, domestic sales and labor. With these estimates in hand, we can come up with various elasticities of both the net output supply functions and the individual components of exports and imports. At the aggregate level (first-level), exports appear to be substitutable with domestic sales, while labor is complementary with imports. An increase in the price of exports would reduce the amount of the domestic sales supply, and a decrease in the wage rate would boost the demand for imports. On the other hand, labor and imports are complementary with exports and domestic sales in the input-output structure. At the disaggregate level (second-level), the price elasticities of the export and import components obtained indicate that both substitution and complement possibilities exist between them. Although these elasticities are interesting in their own right, they would be more usefully applied as inputs to the computational general equilibrium model.

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