• Title/Summary/Keyword: Predictor model

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Analysis of Body Circumference Measures in Predicting Percentage of Body Fat (인체둘레치수를 활용한 체지방율 예측 다중회귀모델 개발)

  • Park, Sung Ha
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2015
  • As a measure of health, the percentage of body fat has been utilized for many ergonomist, physician, athletic trainers, and work physiologists. Underwater weighing procedure for measuring the percentage of body fat is popular and accurate. However, it is relatively expensive, difficult to perform and requires large space. Anthropometric techniques can be utilized to predict the percentage of body fat in the field setting because they are easy to implement and require little space. In this concern, the purpose of this study was to find a regression model to easily predict the percentage of body fat using the anthropometric circumference measurements as predictor variables. In this study, the data for 10 anthropometric circumference measurements for 252 men were analyzed. A full model with ten predictor variables was constructed based on subjective knowledge and literature. The linear regression modeling consists of variable selection and various assumptions regarding the anticipated model. All possible regression models and the assumptions are evaluated using various statistical methods. Based on the evaluation, a reduced model was selected with five predictor variables to predict the percentage of body fat. The model is : % Body Fat = 2.704-0.601 (Neck Circumference) + 0.974 (Abdominal Circumference) -0.332 (Hip Circumference) + 0.409 (Arm Circumference) - 1.618 (Wrist Circumference) + $\epsilon$. This model can be used to estimate the percentage of body fat using only a tape measure.

CERES Plot in Generalized Linear Models

  • Kahng, Myung-Wook;Lee, Eun Jeong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.575-582
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    • 2004
  • We explore the structure and usefulness of CERES plot as a basic tool for dealing with curvature as a function of the new predictor in generalized linear models. If a predictor has a nonlinear effect and there are nonlinear relationships among the predictors, the partial residual plot and augmented partial residual plot are not able to display the correct functional form of the predictor. Unlike these plots, the CERES plot can show the correct form. This is illustrated by simulated data.

Robustness Analysis of Predictor Feedback Controller for Discrete-Time Linear Systems with Input Delays (입력지연을 갖는 이산시간 선형시스템을 위한 예측기 피드백 제어기의 강인성 해석)

  • Choi, Joon-Young
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.1265-1272
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    • 2019
  • We analyze the robustness of the existing predictor feedback controller for discrete-time linear systems with constant input delays against the structured model uncertainty. By modeling the constant input delay with a first-order PdE (Partial difference Equation), we replace the input delay with the PdE states. By applying a backstepping transformation, we build a target system that enables to construct an explicit Lyapunov function. Constructing the explicit Lyapunov function that covers the entire state variables, we prove the existence of an allowable maximum size of the structured model uncertainty to maintain stability and establish the robustness of the predictor feedback controller. The numerical example demonstrates that the stability of closed-loop system is maintained in the presence of the structured model uncertainty, and verifies the robustness of the predictor feedback controller.

Intelligent System Predictor using Virtual Neural Predictive Model

  • 박상민
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Simulation Conference
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    • 1998.03a
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    • pp.101-105
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    • 1998
  • A large system predictor, which can perform prediction of sales trend in a huge number of distribution centers, is presented using neural predictive model. There are 20,000 number of distribution centers, and each distribution center need to forecast future demand in order to establish a reasonable inventory policy. Therefore, the number of forecasting models corresponds to the number of distribution centers, which is not possible to estimate that kind of huge number of accurate models in ERP (Enterprise Resource Planning)module. Multilayer neural net as universal approximation is employed for fitting the prediction model. In order to improve prediction accuracy, a sequential simulation procedure is performed to get appropriate network structure and also to improve forecasting accuracy. The proposed simulation procedure includes neural structure identification and virtual predictive model generation. The predictive model generation consists of generating virtual signals and estimating predictive model. The virtual predictive model plays a key role in tuning the real model by absorbing the real model errors. The complement approach, based on real and virtual model, could forecast the future demands of various distribution centers.

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On Fitting Polynomial Measurement Error Models with Vector Predictor -When Interactions Exist among Predictors-

  • Myung-Sang Moon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 1995
  • An estimator of coefficients of polynomial measurement error model with vector predictor and first-order interaction terms is derived using Hermite polynomial. Asymptotic normality of estimator is provided and some simulation study is performed to compare the small sample properties of derived estimator with those of OLS estimator.

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Grip Strength as a Predictor of Cerebrovascular Disease (뇌혈관질환의 예측인자로서의 악력)

  • Jung, Seok-Hwan;Kim, Jae-Hyun
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.303-311
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    • 2019
  • Background: Cerebrovascular disease is included in four major diseases and is a disease that has high rates of prevalence and mortality around the world. Moreover, it is a disease that requires a high cost for long-term hospitalization and treatment. This study aims to figure out the correlation between grip strength, which was presented as a simple, cost-effective, and relevant predictor of cerebrovascular disease, and cerebrovascular disease based on the results of a prior study. And furthermore, our study compared model suitability of the model to measuring grip strength and relative grip strength as a predictor of cerebrovascular disease to improve the quality of cerebrovascular disease's predictor. Methods: This study conducted an analysis based on the generalized linear mixed model using the data from the Korea Longitudinal Study of Ageing from 2006 to 2016. The research subjects consisted of 9,132 middle old age people aged 45 years or older at baseline with no missing information of education level, gender, marital status, residential region, type of national health insurance, self-related health, smoking status, alcohol use, and economic activity. The grip strength was calculated the average which measured 4 times (both hands twice), and the relative grip force was divided by the body mass index as a variable considering the anthropometric figure that affects the cerebrovascular disease and the grip strength. Cerebrovascular diseases, a dependent variable, were investigated based on experiences diagnosed by doctors. Results: An analysis of the association between grip strength and found that about 0.972 (odds ratio [OR], 0.972; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.963-0.981) was the incidence of cerebral vascular disease as grip strength increased by one unit increase and the association between relative grip strength and cerebrovascular disease found that about 0.418 (OR, 0.418; 95% CI, 0.342-0.511) was the incidence of cerebral vascular disease as relative grip strength increased by unit. In addition, the model suitability of the model for each grip strength and relative grip strength was 11,193 and 11,156, which means relative grip strength is the better application to the predictor of cerebrovascular diseases, irrespective of other variables. Conclusion: The results of this study need to be carefully examined and validated in applying relative grip strength to improve the quality of predictors of cerebrovascular diseases affecting high mortality and prevalence.

A Study on Short-Term Load Forecasting System Using Data Mining (데이터 마이닝을 이용한 단기부하예측 시스템 연구)

  • Kim, Do-Wan;Park, Jin-Bae;Kim, Juhg-Chan;Joo, Young-Hoon
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2003.11c
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    • pp.588-591
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    • 2003
  • This paper presents a new short-term load forecasting system using data mining. Since the electric load has very different pattern according to the day, it definitely gives rise to the forecasting error if only one forecasting model is used. Thus, to resolve this problem, the fuzzy model-based classifier and predictor are proposed for the forecasting of the hourly electric load. The proposed classifier is the multi-input and multi-output fuzzy system of which the consequent part is composed of the Bayesian classifier. The proposed classifier attempts to categorize the input electric load into Monday, Tuesday$\sim$Friday, Saturday, and Sunday electric load, Then, we construct the Takagi-Sugeno (T-S) fuzzy model-based predictor for each class. The parameter identification problem is converted into the generalized eigenvalue problem (GEVP) by formulating the linear matrix inequalities (LMIs). Finally, to show the feasibility of the proposed method, this paper provides the short-term load forecasting example.

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Development of Finite Element Method for the Extended Boussinesq Equations (확장형 Boussinesq 방정식의 유한요소모형 개발)

  • Woo, Seung-Buhm;Choi, Young-Kwang;Yoon, Byung-Il
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.133-141
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    • 2007
  • A finite element model is developed for the extended Boussinesq equations that is capable of simulating the dynamics of long and short waves. Galerkin weighted residual method and the introduction of auxiliary variables for 3rd spatial derivative terms in the governing equations are used for the model development. The Adams-Bashforth-Moulton Predictor Corrector scheme is used as a time integration scheme for the extended Boussinesq finite element model so that the truncation error would not produce any non-physical dispersion or dissipation. This developed model is applied to the problems of solitary wave propagation. Predicted results is compared to available analytical solutions and laboratory measurements. A good agreement is observed.

New model reduction method and optimized the Smith predictor disign using reduced model

  • Jeoung nae choi;joon ho Cho;Hwang, Hyung-Soo;Park, Moon-Soo
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2002.10a
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    • pp.62.3-62
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, we proposed a control technique that can be applied to various processes. The most of the process can bereduced to second order plus time delay (SOPTD) model. And we proposed improved model reduction algorithm using geneticalgorithm. This method considered four points to reduce the error between original model and reduced model in the Nyquistcurve. And, to compensate time delay, the Smith predictor plus PID controller is adopted. And a new PID tuning algorithm wasproposed, which got from numerical analysis and can be obtained the optimal performance. The PID parameters are obtainedfrom the coefficients and time delay of reduced model. The simulation results show the validity.

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Strategy to Maintain the Smith Predictor Controller in the District Heating System for Apartment Buildings (지역난방 공동주택 시스템에서 Smith Predictor 제어기 적용성 연구)

  • Jung, Sang-Hoon;Moon, Youn-Jin;Ha, Jae-Sun;Cho, Sung-Hwan
    • Proceedings of the SAREK Conference
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    • 2009.06a
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    • pp.1025-1030
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    • 2009
  • It is known that the classical tuning formula for typical PID controllers in general provides unsatisfactory results for industrial plants where the time delay exceeds the dominant lag time. For this reason, alternative strategies have been studied in order to cope with this problem and the most popular scheme is the Smith Predictor(SP). In this paper, the dynamic model of a unit apartment in the district heating system, which is the control process effected by the dead-time, is developed, and the on/off room temperature control method with the SP simulate using Matlab-Simulink. The simulation results show that the SP works effectively in outdoor temperature variation.

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