• Title/Summary/Keyword: Polynomial regression equation

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An Analysis on the First Flush Phenomenon by Stormwater Runoff in Eutrophic Lake Watershed (부영양상태 호수유역의 강우유출수에 의한 초기세척효과 분석)

  • Cho, Jae-Heon;Seo, Hyung-Jun
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.341-350
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    • 2007
  • Lake Youngrang is a lagoon whose effluent flows into the East Sea. Because two resort towns and two golf courses are situated at the lake basin, many tourists visit this area. Stormwater runoff surveys were carried out for the eight storm events from 2004 to 2005 in the eutrophic lake watershed to give a basic data for the diffuse pollution control of the lake. Dimensionless mass-volume curves indicating the distribution of pollutant mass vs. volume were used to analyze the first flush phenomenon. The mass-volume curves were fitted with a power function and polynomial equation curves. The regression analysis showed that the polynomial equation curves were better than the power function in representing the tendency of the first flush, and second degree polynomial equation curves indicated the strength of the first flush effectively.

Determination of optimal order for the full-logged I-D-F polynomial equation and significance test of regression coefficients (전대수 다항식형 확률강우강도식의 최적차수 결정 및 회귀계수에 대한 유의성 검정)

  • Park, Jin Hee;Lee, Jae Joon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.10
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    • pp.775-784
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    • 2022
  • In this study, to determine the optimal order of the full-logged I-D-F polynomial equation, which is mainly used to calculate the probable rainfall over a temporal rainfall duration, the probable rainfall was calculated and the regression coefficients of the full-logged I-D-F polynomial equation was estimated. The optimal variable of the polynomial equation for each station was selected using a stepwise selection method, and statistical significance tests were performed through ANOVA. Using these results, the statistically appropriately calculated rainfall intensity equation for each station was presented. As a result of analyzing the variable selection outputs of the full-logged I-D-F polynomial equation at 9 stations in Gyeongbuk, the 1st to 3rd order equations at 6 stations and the incomplete 3rd order at 1 station were determined as the optimal equations. Since the 1st order equation is similar to the Sherman type equation and the 2nd order one is similar to the general type equation, it was presented as a unified form of rainfall intensity equation for convenience of use by increasing the number of independent variables. Therefore, it is judged that there is no statistical problem in considering only the 3rd order polynomial regression equation for the full-logged I-D-F.

Statistical significance test of polynomial regression equation for Huff's quartile method of design rainfall (설계강우량의 Huff 4분위 방법 다항회귀식에 대한 유의성 검정)

  • Park, Jinhee;Lee, Jaejoon;Lee, Sungho
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.3
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    • pp.263-272
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    • 2018
  • For the design of hydraulic structures, the design flood discharge corresponding to a specific frequency is generally used by using the design storm calculated according to the rainfall-runoff relationship. In the past, empirical equations such as rational equations were used to calculate the peak flow rate. However, as the duration of rainfall is prolonged, the outflow patterns are different from the actual events, so the accuracy of the temporal distribution of the probability rainfall becomes important. In the present work, Huff's quartile method is used for the temporal distribution of rainfall, and the third quartile is generally used. The regression equation for Huff's quadratic curve applies a sixth order polynomial equation because of its high accuracy throughout the duration of rainfall. However, in statistical modeling, the regression equation needs to be concise in accordance with the principle of simplicity, and it is necessary to determine the regression coefficient based on the statistical significance level. Therefore, in this study, the statistical significance test for regression equation for temporal distribution of the Huff's quartile method, which is used as the temporal distribution method of design rainfall, is conducted for 69 rainfall observation stations under the jurisdiction of the Korea Meteorological Administration. It is statistically significant that the regression equation of the Huff's quartile method can be considered only up to the 4th order polynomial equation, as the regression coefficient is significant in most of the 69 rainfall observation stations.

Prediction of Newborn Birthweight by the Measurement of Fundal Height and Gestational Period (임신기간 및 자궁저높이를 이용한 신생아 체중 예측)

  • Cho, Moon-Suk;Park, Young-Sook
    • 모자간호학회지
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    • v.1
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    • pp.34-44
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    • 1991
  • The purposes of this study were to predict newborn birthweight by use of gestational period and fundal height and to identify growth curve of fundal height according to gestational period and growth curve of newborn birthweight according to fundal height. The subjects for the study were 802 women who delivered the normal newborn babies at Seoul National University Hospital from Sep. 1, 1981 to Aug.31, 1986. The data were collected bit chart review and analyzed nth SPSS program. The results of study were as follows : 1. The multiple regression equation ($R^2$=0.416) used for the prediction of newborn birthweight was y=(newborn birthweight, kg)=-4.421+0.075$x_1$(fundal height, cm)+0.053$x_2$(gestational period, weeks)+0.016$x_3$(abdominal girth, cm)+0.010$x_4$(maternal height, cm) 2. The growth curve of fundal height according to gestational period was obtained by polynomial regression. The regression equation was Y(fundal height, cm)=-36.78+18.58$log_ex$(gestational period, weeks) The growth curve of newborn birth weight according to fundal height was obtained by polynomial regression. The regression equation was Y(newborn birthweight, kg)=-8.09+3.27$log_ex$ (Fundal Height, cm) 3. In the following subgroups no significant difference was found in fundal height : engaged vs. nonengaged presentation, and nulliparous vs. multiparous women.

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Standard Curve Validation using Trendlines in Excel (Excel의 추세선을 이용한 표준곡선 검증)

  • Lee, Kyung-Hwa;Park, Hyung-Ki;Shin, Young-Man
    • The Korean Journal of Nuclear Medicine Technology
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.69-74
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    • 2016
  • Purpose Using a regression formula of the trendline near the coefficient of determination (R2) "1" by substituting the dependent variable of the standard curve to calculate the values of the independent variable. To determine the suitability of a regression equation by comparing the difference between the independent variables of the standard curve and the predicted independent variables. Materials and Methods Perkin Elmer Gamma-Counter machine was used for Standard curve of regression methods. TSH. TG-Ag (Thyroglobulin Antigen), Insulin that used materials and method test to compare the result from the Excel trendline of the regression formula. Results Each of the value of coefficient of determination ($R^2$) and Trendline $R^2=1$, Polynomial Trendline for TSH, $R^2=1$, Polynomial Trendline for TG-Ag, $R^2=0.9994$, Polynomial Trendline for Insulin. Conclusion We confirmed that IRMA immune method is found to the nearest trends elected a standard curve using polynomial trendline. The independent variables to predict the trend by using a polynomial trendline formula containing the error was a limitation.

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Fuzzy Polynomial Neural Networks based on GMDH algorithm and Polynomial Fuzzy Inference (GMDH 알고리즘과 다항식 퍼지추론에 기초한 퍼지 다항식 뉴럴 네트워크)

  • 박호성;윤기찬;오성권
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2000.05a
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    • pp.130-133
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, a new design methodology named FNNN(Fuzzy Polynomial Neural Network) algorithm is proposed to identify the structure and parameters of fuzzy model using PNN(Polynomial Neural Network) structure and a fuzzy inference method. The PNN is the extended structure of the GMDH(Group Method of Data Handling), and uses several types of polynomials such as linear, quadratic and modified quadratic besides the biquadratic polynomial used in the GMDH. The premise of fuzzy inference rules defines by triangular and gaussian type membership function. The fuzzy inference method uses simplified and regression polynomial inference method which is based on the consequence of fuzzy rule expressed with a polynomial such as linear, quadratic and modified quadratic equation are used. Each node of the FPNN is defined as fuzzy rules and its structure is a kind of neuro-fuzzy architecture Several numerical example are used to evaluate the performance of out proposed model. Also we used the training data and testing data set to obtain a balance between the approximation and generalization of proposed model.

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Identification of Fuzzy Systems by means of the Extended GMDH Algorithm

  • Park, Chun-Seong;Park, Jae-Ho;Oh, Sung-Kwun
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1998.10a
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    • pp.254-259
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    • 1998
  • A new design methology is proposed to identify the structure and parameters of fuzzy model using PNN and a fuzzy inference method. The PNN is the extended structure of the GMDH(Group Method of Data Handling), and uses several types of polynomials such as linear, quadratic and cubic besides the biquadratic polynomial used in the GMDH. The FPNN(Fuzzy Polynomial Neural Networks) algorithm uses PNN(Polynomial Neural networks) structure and a fuzzy inference method. In the fuzzy inference method, the simplified and regression polynomial inference methods are used. Here a regression polynomial inference is based on consequence of fuzzy rules with a polynomial equations such as linear, quadratic and cubic equation. Each node of the FPNN is defined as fuzzy rules and its structure is a kind of neuro-fuzzy architecture. In this paper, we will consider a model that combines the advantage of both FPNN and PNN. Also we use the training and testing data set to obtain a balance between the approximation and generalization of process model. Several numerical examples are used to evaluate the performance of the our proposed model.

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A Study on Multi-layer Fuzzy Inference System based on a Modified GMDH Algorithm (수정된 GMDH 알고리즘 기반 다층 퍼지 추론 시스템에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Byoung-Jun;Park, Chun-Seong;Oh, Sung-Kwun
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1998.11b
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    • pp.675-677
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, we propose the fuzzy inference algorithm with multi-layer structure. MFIS(Multi-layer Fuzzy Inference System) uses PNN(Polynomial Neural networks) structure and the fuzzy inference method. The PNN is the extended structure of the GMDH(Group Method of Data Hendling), and uses several types of polynomials such as linear, quadratic and cubic, as well as the biquadratic polynomial used in the GMDH. In the fuzzy inference method, the simplified and regression polynomial inference methods are used. Here, the regression polynomial inference is based on consequence of fuzzy rules with the polynomial equations such as linear, quadratic and cubic equation. Each node of the MFIS is defined as fuzzy rules and its structure is a kind of neuro-fuzzy structure. We use the training and testing data set to obtain a balance between the approximation and the generalization of process model. Several numerical examples are used to evaluate the performance of the our proposed model.

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Fuzzy Polynomial Neural Networks with Fuzzy Activation Node (퍼지 활성 노드를 가진 퍼지 다항식 뉴럴 네트워크)

  • Park, Ho-Sung;Kim, Dong-Won;Oh, Sung-Kwun
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2000.07d
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    • pp.2946-2948
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, we proposed the Fuzzy Polynomial Neural Networks(FPNN) model with fuzzy activation node. The proposed FPNN structure is generated from the mutual combination of PNN(Polynomial Neural Networks) structure and fuzzy inference system. The premise of fuzzy inference rules defines by triangular and gaussian type membership function. The fuzzy inference method uses simplified and regression polynomial inference method which is based on the consequence of fuzzy rule expressed with a polynomial such as linear, quadratic and modified quadratic equation are used. The structure of FPNN is not fixed like in conventional Neural Networks and can be generated. The design procedure to obtain an optimal model structure utilizing FPNN algorithm is shown in each stage. Gas furnace time series data used to evaluate the performance of our proposed model.

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