• Title/Summary/Keyword: Poisson Distribution

Search Result 582, Processing Time 0.019 seconds

A Dynamic Discount Approach to the Poisson Process

  • Shim, Joo-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.8 no.2
    • /
    • pp.271-276
    • /
    • 1997
  • A dynamic discount approach is proposed for the estimation of the Poisson parameter and the forecasting of the Poisson random variable, where the parameter of the Poisson distribution varies over time intervals. The recursive estimation procedure of the Poisson parameter is provided. Also the forecasted distribution of the Poisson random variable in the next time interval based on the information gathered until the current time interval is provided.

  • PDF

Material Characterization of Weld-Zone Using Poisson's Ratio Distribution

  • Park, Jin-Ha;Kim, Young-H.;Lee, Seung-S.;Kim, Young-Gil
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Nondestructive Testing
    • /
    • v.29 no.6
    • /
    • pp.586-590
    • /
    • 2009
  • Poisson's ratio, one of elastic constants of elastic solids, has not attracted attention due to its narrow range and difficult measurement. Transverse wave velocity as well as longitudinal wave velocity should be measured for nondestructive measurement of Poisson's ratio. Rigid couplants for transverse wave is one of obstacle for scanning over specimen. In the present work, a novel measurement of Poisson's ratio distribution was applied. Immersion method was employed for the scanning over the specimen. Echo signals of normal beam longitudinal wave were collected, and transverse wave modes generated by mode conversion were identified. From transit time of longitudinal and transverse waves, Poisson's ratio was determined without the information of specimen thickness. Poisson's ratio distribution of the carbon steel weldment was mapped. Heat affected zone of the weldment was clearly distinguished from base and filler metals.

THE ASYMPTOTIC BEHAVIOUR OF THE AVERAGING VALUE OF SOME DIRICHLET SERIES USING POISSON DISTRIBUTION

  • Jo, Sihun
    • East Asian mathematical journal
    • /
    • v.35 no.1
    • /
    • pp.67-75
    • /
    • 2019
  • We investigate the averaging value of a random sampling of a Dirichlet series with some condition using Poisson distribution. Our result is the following: Let $L(s)={\sum}^{\infty}_{n=1}{\frac{a_n}{n^s}}$ be a Dirichlet series that converges absolutely for Re(s) > 1. If $X_t$ is an increasing random sampling with Poisson distribution and there exists a number $0<{\alpha}<{\frac{1}{2}}$ such that ${\sum}_{n{\leq}u}a_n{\ll}u^{\alpha}$, then we have $${\mathbb{E}}L(1/2+iX_t)=O(t^{\alpha}{\sqrt{{\log}t}})$$, for all sufficiently large t in ${\mathbb{R}}$. As a result, we get the behaviour of $L({\frac{1}{2}}+it)$ such that L is a Dirichlet L-function or a modular L-function, when t is sampled by the Poisson distribution.

Comparison of probability distributions to analyze the number of occurrence of torrential rainfall events (집중호우사상의 발생횟수 분석을 위한 확률분포의 비교)

  • Kim, Sang Ug;Kim, Hyeung Bae
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.49 no.6
    • /
    • pp.481-493
    • /
    • 2016
  • The statistical analysis to the torrential rainfall data that is defined as a rainfall amount more than 80 mm/day is performed with Daegu and Busan rainfall data which is collected during 384 months. The number of occurrence of the torrential rainfall events can be simulated usually using Poisson distribution. However, the Poisson distribution can be frequently failed to simulate the statistical characteristics of the observed value when the observed data is zero-inflated. Therefore, in this study, Generalized Poisson distribution (GPD), Zero-Inflated Poisson distribution (ZIP), Zero-Inflated Generalized Poisson distribution (ZIGP), and Bayesian ZIGP model were used to resolve the zero-inflated problem in the torrential rainfall data. Especially, in Bayesian ZIGP model, a informative prior distribution was used to increase the accuracy of that model. Finally, it was suggested that POI and GPD model should be discouraged to fit the frequency of the torrential rainfall data. Also, Bayesian ZIGP model using informative prior provided the most accurate results. Additionally, it was recommended that ZIP model could be alternative choice on the practical aspect since the Bayesian approach of this study was considerably complex.

Note on the Transformed Geometric Poisson Processes

  • Park, Jeong-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.8 no.2
    • /
    • pp.135-141
    • /
    • 1997
  • In this paper, it is investigated the properties of the transformed geometric Poisson process when the intensity function of the process is a distribution of the continuous random variable. If the intensity function of the transformed geometric Poisson process is a Pareto distribution then the transformed geometric Poisson process is a strongly P-process.

  • PDF

A GLR Chart for Monitoring a Zero-Inflated Poisson Process (ZIP 공정을 관리하는 GLR 관리도)

  • Choi, Mi Lim;Lee, Jaeheon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.27 no.2
    • /
    • pp.345-355
    • /
    • 2014
  • The number of nonconformities in a unit is commonly modeled by a Poisson distribution. As an extension of a Poisson distribution, a zero-inflated Poisson(ZIP) process can be used to fit count data with an excessive number of zeroes. In this paper, we propose a generalized likelihood ratio(GLR) chart to monitor shifts in the two parameters of the ZIP process. We also compare the proposed GLR chart with the combined cumulative sum(CUSUM) chart and the single CUSUM chart. It is shown that the overall performance of the GLR chart is comparable with CUSUM charts and is significantly better in some cases where the actual directions of the shifts are different from the pre-specified directions in CUSUM charts.

Generalized half-logistic Poisson distributions

  • Muhammad, Mustapha
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.24 no.4
    • /
    • pp.353-365
    • /
    • 2017
  • In this article, we proposed a new three-parameter distribution called generalized half-logistic Poisson distribution with a failure rate function that can be increasing, decreasing or upside-down bathtub-shaped depending on its parameters. The new model extends the half-logistic Poisson distribution and has exponentiated half-logistic as its limiting distribution. A comprehensive mathematical and statistical treatment of the new distribution is provided. We provide an explicit expression for the $r^{th}$ moment, moment generating function, Shannon entropy and $R{\acute{e}}nyi$ entropy. The model parameter estimation was conducted via a maximum likelihood method; in addition, the existence and uniqueness of maximum likelihood estimations are analyzed under potential conditions. Finally, an application of the new distribution to a real dataset shows the flexibility and potentiality of the proposed distribution.

Application of the Weibull-Poisson long-term survival model

  • Vigas, Valdemiro Piedade;Mazucheli, Josmar;Louzada, Francisco
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.24 no.4
    • /
    • pp.325-337
    • /
    • 2017
  • In this paper, we proposed a new long-term lifetime distribution with four parameters inserted in a risk competitive scenario with decreasing, increasing and unimodal hazard rate functions, namely the Weibull-Poisson long-term distribution. This new distribution arises from a scenario of competitive latent risk, in which the lifetime associated to the particular risk is not observable, and where only the minimum lifetime value among all risks is noticed in a long-term context. However, it can also be used in any other situation as long as it fits the data well. The Weibull-Poisson long-term distribution is presented as a particular case for the new exponential-Poisson long-term distribution and Weibull long-term distribution. The properties of the proposed distribution were discussed, including its probability density, survival and hazard functions and explicit algebraic formulas for its order statistics. Assuming censored data, we considered the maximum likelihood approach for parameter estimation. For different parameter settings, sample sizes, and censoring percentages various simulation studies were performed to study the mean square error of the maximum likelihood estimative, and compare the performance of the model proposed with the particular cases. The selection criteria Akaike information criterion, Bayesian information criterion, and likelihood ratio test were used for the model selection. The relevance of the approach was illustrated on two real datasets of where the new model was compared with its particular cases observing its potential and competitiveness.

Recurrence Formula for the Central Moments of Number of Successes with n Poisson Trials

  • Moon, Myung-Sang
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.14 no.2
    • /
    • pp.385-391
    • /
    • 2003
  • A sequence of n Bernoulli trials which violates the constant success probability assumption is termed as "Poisson trials". In this paper, the recurrence formula for the r-th central moment of number of successes with n Poisson trials is derived. Romanovsky's method, based on the differentiation of characteristic function, is used in the derivation of recurrence formula for the central moments of conventional binomial distribution. Romanovsky's method is applied to that of Poisson trials in this paper. Some central moment calculation results are given to compare the central moments of Poisson trials with those of conventional binomial distribution.

  • PDF

A Study on the Power Comparison between Logistic Regression and Offset Poisson Regression for Binary Data

  • Kim, Dae-Youb;Park, Heung-Sun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.19 no.4
    • /
    • pp.537-546
    • /
    • 2012
  • In this paper, for analyzing binary data, Poisson regression with offset and logistic regression are compared with respect to the power via simulations. Poisson distribution can be used as an approximation of binomial distribution when n is large and p is small; however, we investigate if the same conditions can be held for the power of significant tests between logistic regression and offset poisson regression. The result is that when offset size is large for rare events offset poisson regression has a similar power to logistic regression, but it has an acceptable power even with a moderate prevalence rate. However, with a small offset size (< 10), offset poisson regression should be used with caution for rare events or common events. These results would be good guidelines for users who want to use offset poisson regression models for binary data.