• 제목/요약/키워드: Plant risk

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플랜트 건설 리스크 분석 및 리스크 정량화 모델 개발에 관한 연구 (Risk Factors Analysis and Quantitative Risk Assessment Model for Plant Construction Project)

  • 안성진;김태희;남경용;김지명
    • 한국건축시공학회지
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.77-86
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    • 2019
  • 플랜트 건설 프로젝트에 대한 수요가 증가하고 복잡해짐에 따라 예기치 못한 위험 요소가 증가하고 있다. 이에 플랜트 건설 프로젝트에 대한 중점 리스크 요인을 바탕으로 정량적 리스크 분석 및 평가 모델 개발이 요구되고 있다. 본 연구는 보험 회사에서 수집 한 보험금 지급 데이터를 사용하여 플랜트 건설 프로젝트의 실제 재정적 손실을 위험 평가 모델의 종속 변수로 반영하였으며 문헌 검토 및 데이터 분석을 바탕으로, 지형, 시운전, 공정률, 총 공시비 및 총 공사기간을 독립변수로 채택하였다. 제안된 손실율 모델은 플랜트 프로젝트 리스크 분석과 시공/시운전 단계의 리스크 분석가이드라인으로 활용될 수 있다.

프로젝트 물류 리스크가 해외 플랜트 사업성과에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구 (A study on the Impact of Project Logistics Riskon Overseas Plant Business Performance)

  • 박은진;오진호;박근식
    • 무역학회지
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    • 제45권2호
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    • pp.191-209
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    • 2020
  • Project logistics is becoming increasingly important in overseas plant projects. Efficient logistics risk management is needed to reduce construction period and reduce costs. However, Korean construction firms bid unconditionally without sufficient experience and analysis on overseas plants contract, companies are gradually losing profitability on projects due to not considering profitability. Despite the significant effects on the profitability of Korean construction companies, and although these companies still continue to bid on overseas plant projects, policies to manage project logistics risks for safe transport and compliance with the contracted building schedule in the long term is still lacking. Hence, this study investigates the risk factors related to project logistics and to analyze the effect of project logistics risk on overseas plant business performance. We conducted a survey of project-related workers. The results of the analysis are as follows: First, among the logistics risk factors, overseas platform business people recognize operational risk and financial risk factors, which have a positive effect directly on overseas plant performance. Second, the ability to manage project logistics risks can have a significant impact on the success or failure of overseas plants. Finally, if logistics risk factors are managed on the basis of the research results confirmed through empirical analysis, it is possible to carry out more efficient and effective management of the project, which implies that this will have a positive effect on overseas plant business performance.

Study on Environmental Risk Assessment for Potential Effect of Genetically Modified Nicotiana benthamiana Expressing ZGMMV Coat Protein Gene

  • Kim, Tae-Sung;Yu, Min-Su;Koh, Kong-Suk;Oh, Kyoung-Hee;Ahn, Hong-Il;Ryu, Ki-Hyun
    • The Plant Pathology Journal
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.353-359
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    • 2006
  • Transgenic Nicotiana benthamiana plants harboring the coat protein(CP) gene of Zucchini green mottle mosaic virus(ZGMMV) were chosen as a model host for the environmental risk assessment of genetically modified plants with virus resistance. This study was focused on whether new virus type may arise during serial inoculation of one point CP mutant of ZGMMV on the transgenic plants. In vitro transcripts derived from the non-functional CP mutant were inoculated onto the virus-tolerant and -susceptible transgenic N. benthamiana plants. Any notable viral symptoms that could arise on the inoculated transgenic host plants were not detected, even though the inoculation experiment was repeated a total of ten times. This result suggests that potential risk associated with the CP-expressiing transgenic plants may not be significant. However, cautions must be taken as it does not guarantee environmental safety of these CP-mediated virus-resistant plants, considering the limited number of the transgenic plants tested in this study. Further study at a larger scale is needed to evaluate the environmental risk that might be associated with the CP-mediated virus resistant plant.

모듈러 플랜트의 업무특성을 고려한 위험 평가 및 예비비 예측 (Risk Assessment and Contingency Prediction considering Work Characteristics for Modular Plant Construction Projects)

  • 강현욱;김종욱;김용수
    • 한국건설관리학회논문집
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    • 제19권5호
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    • pp.81-89
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    • 2018
  • 본 연구의 목적은 플랜트 건설사업에서 모듈러 공법의 적용이 확대됨에 따라 모듈러 플랜트에 대한 업무특성을 고려하여 위험을 평가하고 위험에 대응하기 위한 예비비를 예측하는 것이다. 연구방법은 모듈러 플랜트의 업무특성을 고려하여 위험의 영향을 평가하기 위한 모델(방법)과 예비비를 예측하기 위한 모델(방법)을 제시한다. 그리고 제시된 모델을 기반으로 모듈러 플랜트 건설사업 1곳을 사례로 선정하여 위험요인의 영향을 평가하고 예비비를 예측한다. 상기와 같은 목적과 방법에 따라 도출된 결과는 다음과 같다. 위험요인의 발생확률과 영향점수를 평가하여 중요 위험요인 15개를 선정하였다. 그리고 모듈러 플랜트의 특성을 고려하기 위하여 설계(E), 구매(P), 제작(F), 운송(T), 시공(C)단계로 업무를 분류하여 예측된 예비비는 기초사업비(610,503,596 천원) 대비 약 6.739%이며, 설계(E) 2.850%, 구매(P) 6.225%, 제작(F) 6.211%, 운송(T) 4.165%, 시공(C) 8.168%로 도출되었다. 본 모델은 위험관리를 위한 의사결정 과정에서 정량적인 결과를 도출하는 방법으로 활용된다.

심해저 광물자원 양광시스템 실증 시험을 위한 위험도 기반 선상 설비 설계 (Risk-based Design of On-board Facility for Lifting System Field Test of Deep-sea Mining System)

  • 조수길;박상현;오재원;민천홍;김성순;김형우;여태경;정정열;배재일;홍섭
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제30권6호
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    • pp.526-534
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    • 2016
  • This study had the goal of designing onboard structures for a pre-pilot mining test (PPMT), which is required for the commercialization of the deep-sea mining industry. This PPMT is planned to validate the performance of a hydraulic lifting system and verify the concept of operating through a moon-pool in the east sea, Korea. All of the onboard equipment and facility were designed by KRISO. Because the test was performed at the first development, it is difficult to determine what risk will occur in the facility. Therefore, risk-based design is required in the facility for the PPMT, which includes the facility layout, failure mode and effect analysis (FMEA), and risk reduction plan. All of the expected performances of the lifting system itself and the onboard facilities were qualitatively validated using the risk-based design.

위험인식과 기회주의 행동이 프로젝트 성과에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Effects of Risk Perception and Opportunism on the Project Performance)

  • 윤창수;조동혁
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제50권1호
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    • pp.63-76
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to analyze the effects of risk perception and opportunistic behavior on project performance and the moderating effect of cooperation in this relationship through literature review to identify factors affecting the performance of large-scale nuclear power plant construction projects. Methods: This study conducted a survey on nuclear power plant construction project participants and verified the hypothesis using statistical methods. Results: The results of this study are as follows; First, risk perception appeared to have a positive effect on opportunistic behavior, and it was confirmed that opportunistic behavior among participating companies could occur even in nuclear power plant construction projects. Second, it has been proven that risk perception has a negative effect on project performance as suggested in previous studies. Third, in the relationship between opportunistic behavior and project performance, it was found that opportunistic behavior had a negative effect on project performance. Finally, cooperation was found to have a moderating effect on the relationship between performance risk and project performance. Conclusion: This study is a case of empirical analysis targeting nuclear power plant construction project workers, and provided a basis for reference in future related academic research and project implementation.

AN OVERVIEW OF RISK QUANTIFICATION ISSUES FOR DIGITALIZED NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS USING A STATIC FAULT TREE

  • Kang, Hyun-Gook;Kim, Man-Cheol;Lee, Seung-Jun;Lee, Ho-Jung;Eom, Heung-Seop;Choi, Jong-Gyun;Jang, Seung-Cheol
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제41권6호
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    • pp.849-858
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    • 2009
  • Risk caused by safety-critical instrumentation and control (I&C) systems considerably affects overall plant risk. As digitalization of safety-critical systems in nuclear power plants progresses, a risk model of a digitalized safety system is required and must be included in a plant safety model in order to assess this risk effect on the plant. Unique features of a digital system cause some challenges in risk modeling. This article aims at providing an overview of the issues related to the development of a static fault-tree-based risk model. We categorize the complicated issues of digital system probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) into four groups based on their characteristics: hardware module issues, software issues, system issues, and safety function issues. Quantification of the effect of these issues dominates the quality of a developed risk model. Recent research activities for addressing various issues, such as the modeling framework of a software-based system, the software failure probability and the fault coverage of a self monitoring mechanism, are discussed. Although these issues are interrelated and affect each other, the categorized and systematic approach suggested here will provide a proper insight for analyzing risk from a digital system.

플랜트, 건축, 토목 공종별 해외건설 리스크평가 비교분석 (A Comparative Analysis of Risk Assessment Depending on International Project Types)

  • 백승원;한승헌;정우용
    • 한국건설관리학회논문집
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    • 제20권5호
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    • pp.125-136
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    • 2019
  • 본 연구는 국내 대형 건설 기업이 수행한 124건의 해외사업에 대해 입찰 전 예측 리스크, 수주 후 실제 리스크, 예비비 반영률, 원가 상승률 등을 조사하였다. 이를 기반으로 플랜트, 건축, 토목 공종별 예측 리스크 수준, 실제 리스크 수준, 입찰 전 예측 리스크와 예비비 간 관계, 실제 리스크와 원가 상승률의 상관성을 분석하여 다음과 같은 결론을 얻었다. 첫째, 플랜트와 토목 사업은 건축 사업에 비해 예측 리스크와 실제 리스크 수준이 높았다. 특히, 플랜트와 토목 사업에서는 국가 리스크가 가장 높았으나 건축사업에서는 프로젝트 리스크가 가장 높았던 것으로 나타났다. 둘째, 플랜트와 토목 사업이 건축 사업보다 예비비를 많이 설정하였으나 입찰 전 예측 리스크 수준과는 상관성이 없었다. 이는 우리 기업의 예비비 산정에 문제가 있음을 내포하고 있다. 셋째, 세 개 공종 모두 실제 리스크 발생 수준과 원가 상승률 사이에 유의미한 상관성이 존재하는 것으로 나타났다. 이는 리스크 관리가 실행원가 관리에 중요한 요소임을 보여준다. 본 연구에서 도출된 결과는 국내 기업들의 공종별로 차별화된 보다 실전적인 리스크 관리를 지원할 것으로 기대된다.

해외 발전플랜트 리스크 분류체계 및 관계형 데이터베이스 구축 방안 (Risk Classification and Relational Database Schema in Overseas Power Plant Construction)

  • 김민;정영수
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2014년도 춘계 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.192-193
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    • 2014
  • Due to the decreasing domestic construction market since 2007, Korean construction companies are expanding overseas market. As a result, the international market share by Korea has been continuously increased and achieved 65.2 billion dollars in 2013. Despite of such visible results, profitability concerns are constantly arising. It is pointed out that the low-priced bid competition between Korean construction companies and various unpredictable risks are the most crucial factors which aggravate the profitability in the overseas projects. From this point of view, predicting the risks in advance and controling them could be the most important tasks to improve the profitability. This research proposed 202 risk factors with a hierarchy and relational database schema for power plant construction, which is based on the 24 risk classifications in previous research (Kim & Jung 2013). Proposed risk classification and relational database schema could be utilized as the basic data in risk management system.

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API RP 581 Code를 기반으로한 LNG 플랜트의 Risk-Based Inspection(RBI) 기술 개발 (Development of Risk-Based Inspection(RBI) Technology for LNG Plant Based on API RP581 Code)

  • 최송천;최재붕;황인주
    • Corrosion Science and Technology
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    • 제11권5호
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    • pp.179-183
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    • 2012
  • As one of promising solutions to overcome high oil price and energy crisis, the construction market of high value-added LNG plants is spotlighted world widely. The purpose of this study is to introduce LNG-RBI system to develop risk assessment technology with RAM(Reliability, Availability, Maintainability) modules against overseas monopolization. After analyzing relevant specific features and their technical levels, risk assessment program, non-destructive reliability evaluation strategy and safety criteria unification class are derived as core technologies. These IT-based convergence technologies can be used for enhancement of LNG plant efficiency, in which the modular parts are related to a system with artificial optimized algorithms as well as diverse databases of facility inspection and diagnosis fields.