• Title/Summary/Keyword: Peak flood

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Real Time Error Correction of Hydrologic Model Using Kalman Filter

  • Wang, Qiong;An, Shanfu;Chen, Guoxin;Jee, Hong-Kee
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.1592-1596
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    • 2007
  • Accuracy of flood forecasting is an important non-structural measure on the flood control and mitigation. Hence, combination of horologic model with real time error correction became an important issue. It is one of the efficient ways to improve the forecasting precision. In this work, an approach based on Kalman Filter (KF) is proposed to continuously revise state estimates to promote the accuracy of flood forecasting results. The case study refers to the Wi River in Korea, with the flood forecasting results of Xinanjiang model. Compared to the results, the corrected results based on the Kalman filter are more accurate. It proved that this method can take good effect on hydrologic forecasting of Wi River, Korea, although there are also flood peak discharge and flood reach time biases. The average determined coefficient and the peak discharge are quite improved, with the determined coefficient exceeding 0.95 for every year.

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Estimation of Design Flood Runoff in Ungaged Forest Watershed to Reduce Flood Damage within the National Park (국립공원내 홍수피해 저감을 위한 미계측 산림지역의 설계홍수량 추정)

  • Kim, Sang-Min;Im, Sang-Jun;Lee, Sang-Ho;Kim, Hyung-Ho;Ma, Ho-Seop;Jeong, Won-Ok
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.51 no.5
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    • pp.107-113
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate the design flood runoff for ungaged forest watershed to reduce the flood damage in national park. Daewonsa watershed in Jirisan National Park was selected as study watershed, of which characteristic factors were obtained from GIS data. Flood runoff was simulated using SCS unit hydrograph module in HEC-HMS model. SCS Curve Number (CN) was calculated from forest type area weighted average method. Huff's time distribution of second-quartile storm of the Sancheong weather station, which is nearest from study watershed, was used for design flood runoff estimation. Critical storm duration for the study watershed was 3 hrs. Based on the critical duration, the peak runoff for each sub-watershed were simulated. It is recommended to monitor the long-term flow data for major stream stations in National Park for a better reliable peak runoff simulation results.

Influence of the Peace-Dam Construction on the Flood Discharge and the Flood Stage of the Hwachun-Dam (화천댐의 홍수량 및 수위에 미치는 평화댐의 영향 분석)

  • 전병호;신현석;이재철;윤용남
    • Water for future
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.93-101
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    • 1993
  • Because of the Keumkangsan-Dam and the Peace-Dam constructed in recent years, it is expected that the peak flood discharge and the peak flood stage at the Hwachun-Dam site have been changed. In this study, two methods were used to simulate and compare the effects of the upstream dam construction on the change of the discharge and the stage. One is the storage function method widely used for the hydrological routing in this country. The other is the DWOPER (Dynamic Wave Operational Model) package developed by the U.S. NWS for the hydraulic routing. Flood routing simulations have been performed on four different scenarios:1) Before the construction of the Keumkangsan-Dam and the peace-Dam, 2) The exclusion of the Keumkangsan-Dam watershed (before the construction of the Peace-Dam), 3) The exclusion of the Keumkangsan-Dam watershed (after the construction of the Peace-Dam), 4) The exclusion of the Peace-Dam watershed. The results of the four test cases from the two methods show that the peak flood discharge and the peak flood stage at the Hwachun-Dam site are reduced due to the construction of the Peace-Dam. From these findings, it is suggested that the operational criteria for the optimal dam-operation of the hwachun-Dam need to be modified.

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Review on Application Tolerance of Unit Hydrograph for Calculating Flood Runoff Hydrograph (홍수 유출 수문곡선 산출에 단위유량도 적용 오차의 정도 검토)

  • Yoo, Ju-Hwan;Yoon, Yeo-Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.346-349
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    • 2010
  • In this study several unit hydrographs by rainfall storms are derived and moving averaged unit hydrograph is extracted from them based on the rainfall-runoff data in a small basin 8.5 $km^2$ wide. And peak discharges and peak times of the unit hydrographs are investigated and reviewed. And then a representative unit hydrograph of the moving averaged one is applied to the linear convolution integration for obtaining the flood discharge hydrograph and peak discharge and time of its result are researched and inspected. Variance in application of the representative unit hydrograph in a basin on assumption of linearity is appeared and this is given as a counterevidence about that the runoff response from rainfall on a basin has nonlinear characteristics. And As a result of application of derived representative unit hydrograph the errors in peak discharge and time are investigated.

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Estimation of the Parameters for the Clark Model through the Rainfall-Runoff Events (강우 유출사상을 통한 Clark 모형의 매개변수 평가)

  • Ahn, Tae-Jin;Baek, Chun-Woo;Kim, Min-Hyuk;Choi, Kwang-Hoon;Kang, In-Woong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.770-774
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    • 2006
  • The determination of feasible design flood is the most important to control flood damage in river management. Model parameters should be calibrated using observed discharge but due to deficiency of observed data the parameters have been adopted by engineer's empirical sense. Storage coefficient in the Clark unit hydrograph method mainly affects magnitude of peak flood. This study is to estimate the storage coefficients based on the observed rainfall-runoff events at the four stage stations in the Hantan river basin. Model calibration is the process of adjusting model parameter values until model results match historical data. An objective function which is the percent difference between the observed and computed peak flows is available for measuring the goodness-of-fit between computed and observed hydrographs. By sensitivity analysis for the storage coefficient, it has been shown that the storage coefficients affect the peak flows. The Clark parameters adopted in the River Rectification Basic Plan have been estimated through an iterative process designed to produce a hydrograph with the peak flow.

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The Flood Control of the Namgang and Andong Reservoir System by an Optimization Procedure (최적화(最適化) 기법(技法)에 의한 남강(南江)-안동(安東)댐의 홍수조절(洪水調節))

  • Kim, Sheung Kown;Yoon, Yong Nam;Lee, Sung Yoon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.49-60
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    • 1988
  • The use of an Incremental Dynamic Programming (IDP) for real-time flood control operation is investigated. The optimization model has been applied for the Namgang and Andong hypothetical flood control system in the Nakdong river basin. The objective of the operation is defined to minimize the maximum flow at the confluence of downstreams from the two reservoirs. The results are compared to the direct summation of the flood routing results from individual flood control simulation run. It shows that peak flow at the confluence is reduced markedly by reducing peak outflows from individual reservoirs and by balancing the time of the peak release between the two reservoirs.

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Estimation of Flood Discharge and Forecasting of Flood Stage in Small-Medium Urban Basin (중소도시유역의 홍수량산정 및 홍수위 예측)

  • Kim, min-jeong;Kim, byeong-chan;Lee, jong-seok
    • Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.432-436
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    • 2009
  • Recently, damage of flood is increased because of a short of time of concentration by development and a rise in runoff discharge by frequently heavy rain. The increase of runoff discharge is resulted in not only rise of water level but also damage of lives and property around river. Therefore, it is should be the first to estimate the exact runoff discharge. And based on the estimated flood discharge, flood damage is prevented by estimating inundated area of flood. In this study, flood stage is forecasted using HEC-HMS and HEC-RAS for Namdae-stream. The peak discharges were determinated by probability rainfall with the return period. The peak discharges obtained from HEC-HMS were inputted boundary conditions for the channel routing. Flood stages were evaluated using HEC-RAS.

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Real-time Flood Forecasting Model Based on the Condition of Soil Moisture in the Watershed (유역토양수분 추적에 의한 실시간 홍수예측모형)

  • 김태철;박승기;문종필
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.37 no.5
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    • pp.81-89
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    • 1995
  • One of the most difficult problem to estimate the flood inflow is how to understand the effective rainfall. The effective rainfall is absolutely influenced by the condition of soil moisture in the watershed just before the storm event. DAWAST model developed to simulate the daily streamflow considering the meteologic and geographic characteristics in the Korean watersheds was applied to understand the soil moisture and estimate the effective rainfall rather accurately through the daily water balance in the watershed. From this soil moisture and effective rainfall, concentration time, dimensionless hydrograph, and addition of baseflow, the rainfall-runoff model for flood flow was developed by converting the concept of long-term runoff into short-term runoff. And, real-time flood forecasting model was also developed to forecast the flood-inflow hydrograph to the river and reservoir, and called RETFLO model. According to the model verification, RETFLO model can be practically applied to the medium and small river and reservoir to forecast the flood hydrograph with peak discharge, peak time, and volume. Consequently, flood forecasting and warning system in the river and the reservoir can be greatly improved by using personal computer.

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Effect of Areal Mean Rainfall Estimation Technique and Rainfall-Runoff Models on Flood Simulation in Samcheok Osipcheon(Riv.) Basin (면적 강우량 산정 기법과 강우-유출 모형이 삼척오십천 유역의 홍수 모의에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Hyeonji;Shin, Youngsub;Kang, Dongho;Kim, Byungsik
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.43 no.6
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    • pp.775-784
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    • 2023
  • In terms of flood management, it is necessary to analyze quantitative rainfall and runoff from a spatial and temporal perspective and to analyze runoff for heavy rainfall events that are concentrated within a short period of time. The simulation and analysis results of rainfall-runoff models vary depending on the type and input data. In particular, rainfall data is an important factor, so calculating areal mean rainfall is very important. In this study, the areal mean rainfall of the Samcheok Osipcheon(Riv.) watersheds located in the mountainous terrain was calculated using the Arithmetic Mean Method, Thiessen's Weighting Method, and the Isohyetal Method, and the rainfall-runoff results were compared by applying the distributional model S-RAT and the lumped model HEC-HMS. The results of the temporal transferability study showed that the combination of the distributional model and the Isohyetal Method had the best statistical performance with MAE of 64.62 m3/s, RMSE of 82.47 m3/s, and R2 and NSE of 0.9383 and 0.8547, respectively. It is considered that this study was properly analyzed because the peak flood volume occurrence time of the observed and simulated flows is within 1 hour. Therefore, the results of this study can be used for frequency analysis in the future, which can be used to improve the accuracy of simulating peak flood volume and peak flood occurrence time in mountainous watersheds with steep slopes.

Evaluation of Flood Events Considering Correlation between Flood Event Attributes (홍수사상 요소의 상관성을 고려한 홍수사상의 평가)

  • Lee, Jeong Ho;Yoo, Ji Young;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.3B
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    • pp.257-267
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    • 2010
  • A flood event can be characterized by three attributes such as peak discharge, total flood volume, and flood duration, which are correlated each other. However, the amount of peak discharge is only used to evaluate the flood events for the hydrological plan and design. The univariate analysis has a limitation in describing the complex probability behavior of flood events. Thus, the univariate analysis cannot derive satisfying results in flood frequency analysis. This study proposed bivariate flood frequency analysis methods for evaluating flood events considering correlations among attributes of flood events. Parametric distributions such as Gumbel mixed model and bivariate gamma distribution, and a non-parametric model using a bivariate kernel function were introduced in this study. A time series of annual flood events were extracted from observations of inflow to the Soyang River Dam and the Daechung Dam, respectively. The joint probability distributions and return periods were derived from the relationship between the amount of peak discharge and the total volume of flood runoff. Applicabilities of bivariate flood frequency analysis were examined by comparing the return period acquired from the proposed bivariate analyses and the conventional univariate analysis.