• 제목/요약/키워드: Nature Environment

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시계열 분해 및 데이터 증강 기법 활용 건화물운임지수 예측 (Forecasting Baltic Dry Index by Implementing Time-Series Decomposition and Data Augmentation Techniques)

  • 한민수;유성진
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제50권4호
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    • pp.701-716
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: This study aims to predict the dry cargo transportation market economy. The subject of this study is the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) time-series, an index representing the dry cargo transport market. Methods: In order to increase the accuracy of the BDI time-series, we have pre-processed the original time-series via time-series decomposition and data augmentation techniques and have used them for ANN learning. The ANN algorithms used are Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP), Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) to compare and analyze the case of learning and predicting by applying time-series decomposition and data augmentation techniques. The forecast period aims to make short-term predictions at the time of t+1. The period to be studied is from '22. 01. 07 to '22. 08. 26. Results: Only for the case of the MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error) indicator, all ANN models used in the research has resulted in higher accuracy (1.422% on average) in multivariate prediction. Although it is not a remarkable improvement in prediction accuracy compared to uni-variate prediction results, it can be said that the improvement in ANN prediction performance has been achieved by utilizing time-series decomposition and data augmentation techniques that were significant and targeted throughout this study. Conclusion: Nevertheless, due to the nature of ANN, additional performance improvements can be expected according to the adjustment of the hyper-parameter. Therefore, it is necessary to try various applications of multiple learning algorithms and ANN optimization techniques. Such an approach would help solve problems with a small number of available data, such as the rapidly changing business environment or the current shipping market.

Comparison of aerodynamic loading of a high-rise building subjected to boundary layer and tornadic winds

  • Ashrafi, Arash;Chowdhury, Jubayer;Hangan, Horia
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제34권5호
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    • pp.395-405
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    • 2022
  • Tornado-induced damages to high-rise buildings and low-rise buildings are quite different in nature. Tornado losses to high-rise buildings are generally associated with building envelope failures while tornado-induced damages to low-rise buildings are usually associated with structural or large component failures such as complete collapses, or roofs being torn off. While studies of tornado-induced structural damages tend to focus mainly on low-rise residential buildings, transmission towers, or nuclear power plants, the current rapid expansion of city centers and development of large-scale building complexes increases the risk of tornadoes impacting tall buildings. It is, therefore, important to determine how tornado-induced load affects tall buildings compared with those based on synoptic boundary layer winds. The present study applies an experimentally simulated tornado wind field to the Commonwealth Advisory Aeronautical Research Council (CAARC) building and estimates and compares its pressure coefficient effects against the Atmospheric Boundary Layer (ABL) flow field. Simulations are performed at the Wind Engineering, Energy and Environment (WindEEE) Dome which is capable of generating both ABL and tornadic winds. A model of the CAARC building at a scale of 1:200 for both ABL and tornado flows was built and equipped with pressure taps. Mean and peak surface pressures for TLV flow are reported and compared with the ABL induced wind for different time-averaging. By following a compatible definition of the pressure coefficients for TLV and ABL fields, the resulting TLV pressure field presents a similar trend to the ABL case. Also, the results show that, for the high-rise building model, the mean and 3-sec peak pressures are larger for the ABL case compared to the TLV case. These results provide a way forward for the code implementation of tornado-induced pressures on high-rise buildings.

Three dimensional dynamic soil interaction analysis in time domain through the soft computing

  • Han, Bin;Sun, J.B.;Heidarzadeh, Milad;Jam, M.M. Nemati;Benjeddou, O.
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • 제41권5호
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    • pp.761-773
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    • 2021
  • This study presents a 3D non-linear finite element (FE) assessment of dynamic soil-structure interaction (SSI). The numerical investigation has been performed on the time domain through a Finite Element (FE) system, while considering the nonlinear behavior of soil and the multi-directional nature of genuine seismic events. Later, the FE outcomes are analyzed to the recorded in-situ free-field and structural movements, emphasizing the numerical model's great result in duplicating the observed response. In this work, the soil response is simulated using an isotropic hardening elastic-plastic hysteretic model utilizing HSsmall. It is feasible to define the non-linear cycle response from small to large strain amplitudes through this model as well as for the shift in beginning stiffness with depth that happens during cyclic loading. One of the most difficult and unexpected tasks in resolving soil-structure interaction concerns is picking an appropriate ground motion predicted across an earthquake or assessing the geometrical abnormalities in the soil waves. Furthermore, an artificial neural network (ANN) has been utilized to properly forecast the non-linear behavior of soil and its multi-directional character, which demonstrated the accuracy of the ANN based on the RMSE and R2 values. The total result of this research demonstrates that complicated dynamic soil-structure interaction processes may be addressed directly by passing the significant simplifications of well-established substructure techniques.

중국기업의 '일대일로'(一帶一路) 연선 국가 직접투자 전략과 구조 (The Strategy and Structure of Chinese Enterprises' Direct Investment in 'One Belt, One Road' Country)

  • 허흥호
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제22권9호
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    • pp.283-297
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    • 2022
  • 본 연구는 중국기업의 '일대일로' 연선 국가에 대한 직접투자 전략과 구조를 더닝(Dunning)의 OLI 패러다임 관점에서 분석하였다. 중국기업의 '일대일로' 연선 국가에 대한 투자는 크게 두 가지 전략적 목적에서 추진 되었다. 하나는 '일대일로' 연선 국가의 자원보유 특성상 에너지자원 확보를 위한 투자이고, 또 다른 하나는 중국 국내경제의 문제인 과잉설비 문제를 해결하기 위한 이전(移轉) 투자이다. 중국기업의 이러한 '일대일로' 연선 국가에 대한 투자는 더닝이 OLI 패러다임에서 제기하고 있는 투자 결정 조건, 즉 소유권 우위와 지역특유의 우위 그리고 내부화 우위를 갖춘 가운데 투자를 진행한 것으로 평가된다. 다만 차이가 있다면, 이 지역이 갖는 특수성으로 인해 자원보유 현황 및 제도적 환경의 영향 외에 국제관계의 이해관계 구도, 종교적 갈등 문제와 문화적 이질성 그리고 이 지역 국가들의 중국기업에 대한 인식의 문제 등의 영향으로 투자국가와 투자방식 그리고 투자업종을 달리하고 있다는 점이다.

Normative-Legal and Information Security of Socio-Political Processes in Ukraine: a Comparative Aspect

  • Goshovska, Valentyna;Danylenko, Lydiia;Chukhrai, Ihor;Chukhrai, Nataliia;Kononenko, Pavlo
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • 제22권10호
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    • pp.57-66
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    • 2022
  • The aim of the article is to investigate socio-political processes in Ukraine on the basis of institutional and behavioral approaches, in particular their regulatory and informational support. Methodology. To determine the nature and content of sociopolitical processes, the following approaches have been used: 1. Institutional approach in order to analyze the development of Ukraine's political institutions. 2. The behavioral approach has been used for the analysis of socio-political processes in Ukraine in the context of political behavior of citizens, their political activity which forms the political culture of the country. Results. The general features of the socio-political situation in Ukraine are as follows: the formed model of government, which can be conditionally described as "presidential"; public demand for new leaders remains at a high level; the society has no common vision of further development; significant tendency of reduction of real incomes of a significant part of the society and strengthening of fiscal pressure on businessmen will get a public response after some time. Increasing levels of voice, accountability, efficiency of governance and the quality of the regulatory environment indicate a slow change in the political system, which will have a positive impact on public sentiment in the future. At the same time, there has been little change in the quality of Ukraine's institutions to ensure political stability, the rule of law and control of corruption. There are no cardinal changes in the development of the institution of property rights, protection of intellectual rights, changes in the sphere of ethics and control of corruption. Thus, Ukraine's political institutions have not been able to bring about any change in the social-political processes. Accordingly, an average level of trust and confidence of citizens in political institutions and negative public sentiment regarding their perception and future change can be traced in Ukraine.

Ti3C2Tx MXene의 열처리에 따른 구조적, 전기적 특성 변화 (Changes in the Structural and Electrical Properties of Ti3C2Tx MXene Depending on Heat Treatment)

  • 김자현;노진서
    • 한국재료학회지
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    • 제32권5호
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    • pp.264-269
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    • 2022
  • Ti3C2Tx MXene, which is a representative of the two-dimensional MXene family, is attracting considerable attention due to its remarkable physicochemical and mechanical properties. Despite its strengths, however, it is known to be vulnerable to oxidation. Many researchers have investigated the oxidation behaviors of the material, but most researches were conducted at high temperatures above 500 ℃ in an oxidation-retarding environment. In this research, we studied changes in the structural and electrical properties of Ti3C2Tx MXene induced by low-temperature heat treatments in ambient conditions. It was found that a number of TiO2 particles were formed on the MXene surface when it was mildly heated to 200 ℃. Heating the material to higher temperatures, up to 400 ℃, the phase transformation of Ti3C2Tx MXene to TiO2 was accelerated, resulting in a TiO2/Ti3C2Tx hybrid. Consequently, the metallic nature of pure Ti3C2Tx MXene was transformed to semiconductive behavior upon heat-treating at ≥ 200 ℃. The results of this research clearly demonstrate that Ti3C2Tx MXene may be easily oxidized even at low temperatures once it is exposed to air.

지역사회 기반 초등학생용 기후변화교육 프로그램 분석틀 개발 (Development of an Analysis Framework for Climate Change Education Programs for Elementary School Students Based on Communities)

  • 손준호;김선영
    • 대한지구과학교육학회지
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.87-102
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    • 2023
  • 이 연구의 목적은 지역사회의 시민 강사 등이 지역사회 문제에 기반한 초등학생용 기후변화교육 프로그램을 개발할 때 반드시 포함해야 할 내용을 분석틀로 제안하는 것으로, 이 분석틀의 개발을 위해 현장 및 기후환경교육 전문가 24명에게 총 7번의 자문을 받았다. 최종 분석틀은 문항별 내용타당도는 I-CVI와 S-CVI 계수로, 전문가 패널 간 신뢰도는 Fleiss' Kappa 계수를 통계적으로 검증하였다. 최종 분석틀은 3개의 분석 영역(프로그램 목적 - 프로그램 내용 - 프로그램 평가)과 7개의 분석 항목, 7개의 분석 지표와 세부 설명으로 구분하여 개발했다. 특히 분석 지표에 대한 세부 설명란을 추가하여 내용타당도와 신뢰도를 높임으로써 객관적인 분석틀로서의 성격을 확고히 했다. 이 연구에서 제안한 지역사회 기반 초등학생용 기후변화교육 프로그램 분석틀이 체계적인 프로그램 개발에 도움이 되길 기대한다.

우리나라 외교정책과 해양‧수산분야 협력방안에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Maritime and Fisheries Sector for the Implementation of an Diplomacy Strategy)

  • 박성욱;이주아;차정미
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제45권1호
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    • pp.23-31
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    • 2023
  • The core of the foreign policy of the Yoon Suk-yeol government is the promotion of active economic and security diplomacy as indicated in Policy Tasks No. 98. To this end, economic consultative bodies such as Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement(RCEP), Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP), and Indo-Pacific Economic Framework (IPEF) are taking the initiative to respond to the formation of supply chain, human rights, environment, and digital-related norms, and actively support Korean companies' overseas expansion. Due to the nature of the Ministry of Oceans and Fisheries (MOF) as an organization established centered on the space of the ocean, the MOF faces difficulties in bringing the functions of other ministries into the space of the ocean. Considering the vision, objectives, and detailed plans of the MOF, the contribution of the MOF in the field of active economic security, one of the main foreign policies of the Yoon Suk-yeol government, is perhaps too obvious. However, since the re-launch of the MOF, the ODA budget for the oceans and fisheries sector is too small compared to other ministries, so even if new policy demands are discovered, there are many difficulties in implementing these policies in practice. Recognizing these problems, this paper examines the background and contents of foreign policies that have been promoted for the efficient promotion of RCEP, CPTPP and IPEF and introduces the areas of cooperation in the oceans and fisheries sector in these foreign policies.

친환경 호텔의 자연기반해법과 고객의 친환경 행동의도와의 관계에 대한 연구 (Study of the Effect of Nature Based Solutions of Green Hotel on Customers' Pro-environment Behavioral Intentions)

  • 김태욱;윤선미
    • 한국프랜차이즈경영연구
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.49-60
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: NBS (Natural-based Solutions) characteristics as eco-friendly hotels were divided into eco-friendly indoor and outdoor to structurally verify the relationship between customers' perceived eco-friendly value, psychological well-being, customer satisfaction, and pro-environmental behavioral intention. Research design, data and methodology: This survey conducted responses to customers who had experience using eco-friendly hotels for the past two years. SPSS 22.0 and AMOS 22.0 statistical programs were used for the collected questionnaire data. First, frequency analysis and confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) were verified, and structural correlation between variables was verified by covariance matrix structural equation (CB-SEM). Result: First, NBS was found to have a significant positive (+) effect on perceived eco-friendly value and psychological well-being. Second, psychological well-being was found to have a significant positive (+) effect on customer satisfaction and eco-friendly behavioral intention. Finally, Hypothesis 3 was accepted as perceived eco-value showed a significant positive (+) effect on eco-friendly behavioral intention, but Hypothesis 2 was rejected because it did not have a significant effect on customer satisfaction. Conclusions: theoretical and practical implications for the impact of NBS as an eco-friendly hotel on customers' eco-friendly behavior can be provided, as well as basic evidence for establishing efficient management strategies for hotel companies.

VSimulators: A New UK-based Immersive Experimental Facility for Studying Occupant Response to Wind-induced Motion of Tall Buildings

  • Antony Darby;James Brownjohn;Erfan Shahabpoor;Kaveh Heshmati
    • 국제초고층학회논문집
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.347-362
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    • 2022
  • Current vibration serviceability assessment criteria for wind-induced vibrations in tall buildings are based largely on human 'perception' thresholds which are shown not to be directly translatable to human 'acceptability' of vibrations. There is also a considerable debate about both the metrics and criteria for vibration acceptability, such as frequency of occurrence or peak vs mean vibration, and how these might vary with the nature of the vibration. Furthermore, the design criteria are necessarily simplified for ease of application so cannot account for a range of environmental, situational and human factors that may enhance or diminish the impact of vibrations on serviceability. The dual-site VSimulators facility was created specifically to provide an experimental platform to address gaps in understanding of human response to building vibration. This paper considers how VSimulators can be used to inform general design guidance and support design of specific buildings for habitability, in terms of vibration, which allow engineers and clients to make informed decisions with regard to sustainable design, in terms of energy and financial cost. This paper first provides a brief overview of current vibration serviceability assessment guidelines, and the current understanding and limitations of occupants' acceptability of wind-induced motion in tall buildings. It then describes how the dual-site VSimulators facility at the Universities of Bath and Exeter can be used to assess the effects of motion and environment on human comfort, wellbeing and productivity with examples of how the facility capabilities have been used to provide new, human experience based experimental research approaches.