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Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Water Resources: Waimea Plains, New Zealand Case Example

  • Zemansky, Gil;Hong, Yoon-Seeok Timothy;Rose, Jennifer;Song, Sung-Ho;Thomas, Joseph
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.18-18
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    • 2011
  • Climate change is impacting and will increasingly impact both the quantity and quality of the world's water resources in a variety of ways. In some areas warming climate results in increased rainfall, surface runoff, and groundwater recharge while in others there may be declines in all of these. Water quality is described by a number of variables. Some are directly impacted by climate change. Temperature is an obvious example. Notably, increased atmospheric concentrations of $CO_2$ triggering climate change increase the $CO_2$ dissolving into water. This has manifold consequences including decreased pH and increased alkalinity, with resultant increases in dissolved concentrations of the minerals in geologic materials contacted by such water. Climate change is also expected to increase the number and intensity of extreme climate events, with related hydrologic changes. A simple framework has been developed in New Zealand for assessing and predicting climate change impacts on water resources. Assessment is largely based on trend analysis of historic data using the non-parametric Mann-Kendall method. Trend analysis requires long-term, regular monitoring data for both climate and hydrologic variables. Data quality is of primary importance and data gaps must be avoided. Quantitative prediction of climate change impacts on the quantity of water resources can be accomplished by computer modelling. This requires the serial coupling of various models. For example, regional downscaling of results from a world-wide general circulation model (GCM) can be used to forecast temperatures and precipitation for various emissions scenarios in specific catchments. Mechanistic or artificial intelligence modelling can then be used with these inputs to simulate climate change impacts over time, such as changes in streamflow, groundwater-surface water interactions, and changes in groundwater levels. The Waimea Plains catchment in New Zealand was selected for a test application of these assessment and prediction methods. This catchment is predicted to undergo relatively minor impacts due to climate change. All available climate and hydrologic databases were obtained and analyzed. These included climate (temperature, precipitation, solar radiation and sunshine hours, evapotranspiration, humidity, and cloud cover) and hydrologic (streamflow and quality and groundwater levels and quality) records. Results varied but there were indications of atmospheric temperature increasing, rainfall decreasing, streamflow decreasing, and groundwater level decreasing trends. Artificial intelligence modelling was applied to predict water usage, rainfall recharge of groundwater, and upstream flow for two regionally downscaled climate change scenarios (A1B and A2). The AI methods used were multi-layer perceptron (MLP) with extended Kalman filtering (EKF), genetic programming (GP), and a dynamic neuro-fuzzy local modelling system (DNFLMS), respectively. These were then used as inputs to a mechanistic groundwater flow-surface water interaction model (MODFLOW). A DNFLMS was also used to simulate downstream flow and groundwater levels for comparison with MODFLOW outputs. MODFLOW and DNFLMS outputs were consistent. They indicated declines in streamflow on the order of 21 to 23% for MODFLOW and DNFLMS (A1B scenario), respectively, and 27% in both cases for the A2 scenario under severe drought conditions by 2058-2059, with little if any change in groundwater levels.

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A Solid-State NMR Study of Coordination Transformation in Amorphous Aluminum Oxide: Implication for Crystallization of Magma Ocean (고상 NMR을 이용한 비정질 알루미나의 상전이 연구: 마그마 바다 구성 용융체의 결정화 과정의 의의)

  • Ryu, Saebom;Lee, Sung Keun
    • Journal of the Mineralogical Society of Korea
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.283-293
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    • 2012
  • In order to have better insights into the chemical differentiation of Earth from its magma ocean phase to the current stratified structure, detailed information of crystallization kinetics of silicate melts consisting of the magma ocean is essential. The structural transitions in oxide glasses and melts upon crystallization provide improved prospects for a systematic and quantitative understanding of the crystallization processes. Here, we report the $^{27}Al$ 3QMAS NMR spectra for sol-gel synthesized $Al_2O_3$ glass with varying temperature and annealing time. The NMR spectra for the amorphous $Al_2O_3$ show well-resolved Al coordination environments, characterized with mostly $^{[4,5]}Al$ and a minor fraction of $^{[6]}Al$. The fraction of $^{[5]}Al$ in the alumina phase decreases with increasing annealing time at constant temperature. The NMR results of $Al_2O_3$ phases also imply that multiple processes (e.g., crystallization and/or changes in structural disorder within glasses) could involve upon its phase transition. The current results and method can be useful to understand crystallization kinetics of diverse natural and multi-component silicate glasses and melts. The potential result may yield atomic-level understanding of Earth's chemical evolution and differentiation from the magma ocean.

Characterization of Antimicrobial Resistance Patterns and Integrons of Nontyphoid Salmonella Isolates from Infants in Seoul (서울지역 소아에서 분리된 Nontyphoid Salmonella의 항생제 내성과 Integron의 특징)

  • Jin, Young-Hee;Kim, Jin-Ah;Jung, Ji-Hun;Jeon, Soo-Jin;Lee, Jae-Kyoo;Oh, Young-Hee;Han, Ki-Young;Lee, Young-Ki
    • Korean Journal of Microbiology
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    • v.46 no.4
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    • pp.326-333
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    • 2010
  • A total of 105 nontyphoid Salmonella isolated from infants in Seoul from 2003 to 2009 was investigated for their serotype, antimicrobial resistance, characterization of integron, and the patterns of Pulsed-field gel electrophoresis (PFGE). Eighteen serotypes were detected in 105 isolates, and the two most common serotypes were S. Enteritidis (47.6%) and Montevideo (15.2%). Among the Salmonella serovars, a high level of antimicrobial resistance was found to ampicilin (60%), tetracycline (46.7%), streptomycin (35.2%) and nalidixic acid (28.6%). In the multi-drug resistance patterns, the predominant patterns were only nalidixic acid (15.7%), ampicillin-ampicillin/sulbactam-tetracycline (14.5%), and ampicillin-streptomycin-chloramphenicol-tetracycline (10.8%). PCR and DNA sequencing analysis revealed the presence of class 1 integron in 20 isolates (19%). Of the class 1 integron positive isolates 20% harboured the integron-associated gene cassettes : aadA2, blaP1, dfr17-aadA5, dfrA12-aadA2, and aadA7. PFGE was carried out to examine the genetic relatedness among S. Enteritidis isolates. Except for three strains, fifty strains were divided by three pulsotypes.

Relationship between Delirium and Clinical Prognosis among Older Patients underwent Femur Fracture Surgery (대퇴부골절 후 수술환자의 섬망과 임상예후와의 관계)

  • Shim, Jae-Lan;Hwang, Seon-Young
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.649-656
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    • 2016
  • This study was a retrospective examination to identify the association of postoperative delirium of the prognosis on following femur fracture surgery in elderly patients. Data was collected from the medical records of elderly patients (aged 65 years or older), who underwent femur fracture surgery from July 2010 to January 2014, following on 3-years in one university hospital. A total of 68 patients were involved. There were 31 cases (45.6%) with delirium and 37 cases (54.4%) without delirium. The participant's average age was 80.8 (patients with delirium), and 81.8 (delirium without patients) years of age, respectively, and most of them were female. There was no significant difference between the two groups. Taking five or more medications, serum creatinine level, and the total medical costs were significantly different in the delirium group and non-delirium group. In addition, the proportional hazard model of Cox to determine the predictors for the major clinical outcome occurring after surgery revealed delirium, five or more multi-drug use, and an experience of transfusion to be significant predictors. In conclusion, postoperative delirium in the elderly undergoing femur fracture surgery can have a negative clinical outcome in patients and caregivers. Therefore, a preoperative evaluation and management of the risk factors will be necessary.

The Factors Influencing Employment Stress of the Department of Emergency Medical Service Students (응급구조학과 학생의 취업스트레스에 미치는 영향요인)

  • Kim, Duk-Won;Ju, Ho-Hyeon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.18 no.12
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    • pp.589-596
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate factors affecting employment stress among Emergency Department students and reduce stress of employment. A questionnaire survey was administered to 276 students who experienced clinical practice among 4 emergency college students in Jeollabuk-do and Jeollanam-do at 4-year and 3-year colleges from September 10 to 15, 2017. Statistical analysis was performed using the SPSS 18.0 program and analyzed by t-test, ANOVA, Pearson's correlation coefficient, and multiple regression analysis. In the results, there were significantly negative correlations between clinical training stress and major satisfaction (r=-0.192, p=0.001), significantly positive correlations between career stress and clinical training stress (r=0.222, p<0.001), and significantly negative correlations between career stress and major satisfaction (r=-0.245, p<0.001). In the multi-regression analysis, the following was discovered: higher clinical training stress (${\beta}=0.157$, p=0.005), lower major satisfaction (${\beta}=-0.211$, p<0.001), and higher career stress. Junior students (${\beta}=0.237$, p<0.001) and senior students (${\beta}=0.288$, p<0.001) had the highest career stress. Subjects with medium-level financial status had high career stress (${\beta}=0.173$, p=0.012). Therefore, this study suggests that colleges should reduce clinical training stress among emergency medical technology students, and more job support centers should be opened and job management programs developed.

CNVDAT: A Copy Number Variation Detection and Analysis Tool for Next-generation Sequencing Data (CNVDAT : 차세대 시퀀싱 데이터를 위한 유전체 단위 반복 변이 검출 및 분석 도구)

  • Kang, Inho;Kong, Jinhwa;Shin, JaeMoon;Lee, UnJoo;Yoon, Jeehee
    • Journal of KIISE:Databases
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.249-255
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    • 2014
  • Copy number variations(CNVs) are a recently recognized class of human structural variations and are associated with a variety of human diseases, including cancer. To find important cancer genes, researchers identify novel CNVs in patients with a particular cancer and analyze large amounts of genomic and clinical data. We present a tool called CNVDAT which is able to detect CNVs from NGS data and systematically analyze the genomic and clinical data associated with variations. CNVDAT consists of two modules, CNV Detection Engine and Sequence Analyser. CNV Detection Engine extracts CNVs by using the multi-resolution system of scale-space filtering, enabling the detection of the types and the exact locations of CNVs of all sizes even when the coverage level of read data is low. Sequence Analyser is a user-friendly program to view and compare variation regions between tumor and matched normal samples. It also provides a complete analysis function of refGene and OMIM data and makes it possible to discover CNV-gene-phenotype relationships. CNVDAT source code is freely available from http://dblab.hallym.ac.kr/CNVDAT/.

A Relationship Study of Adolescents' Various Stress, School-life Adjustment, and Happiness: mediating effects (남녀청소년의 다양한 스트레스(부모, 학업, 친구, 외모, 경제), 학교생활적응과 행복감의 관계성 연구: 매개관계를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Sunah
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.9
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    • pp.161-169
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    • 2020
  • This study investigated the effects and relationships of various stress, school life adjustment and happiness factors among middle school and high school adolescents. The structural model group effects between boy and girl groups were also investigated. Data was employed from the 'Korean Children and Youth Well-Being Index Survey, 2018' while subjects of the analysis included 5,144 students. Based on the education statistics data, the sample was collected by probability proportional to size. Results utilizing structural equation modeling and multigroup analysis showed that first, school stress, friend stress, and look stress had significant effects on adolescent happiness. School life adjustment had positive significant effects on adolescents' happiness. Parent stress, money stress and school stress had significant effects on school life adjustment. Second, the mediating effect of school life adjustment between stress and happiness was significant with parent, school stress, and financial stress. Third, results of the multi-group analysis by level and gender showed that the structure was similar between boys and girls, with the only differences among mediating effects. Boys had significant mediating effects by school stress, and financial stress, while girls had significant mediating effects by school stress, financial stress, and parent stress. Finally, based on the results of the study, practice and policy implications were suggested to support the promotion of adolescents' happiness.

A Exploratory Study on the Impact of Metropolitan and Provincial Offices of Education on Dynamic Change of Academic Achievement in General High School: Applying System Dynamics (시·도교육청에 의한 일반계고 학업성취도의 동태적 변화 예측에 관한 탐색적 연구: 시스템 다이내믹스의 적용)

  • Ha, Jung-Youn
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.9
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    • pp.387-396
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to identify the variables of metropolitan and provincial offices of education that affect the academic achievement of unit schools, and to predict how academic achievements dynamically change with the support of offices of education. The results of academic achievement of 606 general high schools in 16 metropolitan and provincial offices of education(rates of attaining more than normal education in Korean, English, and mathematics subjects) were analyzed using a multi-level model and system dynamics. As a result of the analysis, it was confirmed that the provincial and provincial offices of education's efforts to increase the efficiency of local education finance, the efforts to reduce teacher administration, and the facilitation of faculty training were the variables of the provincial and provincial offices of education. In addition, through policy experiments, efforts to revitalize teacher training were the most influential factors in academic achievement of unit schools, followed by efforts to streamline local education finances and to reduce the administrative work of teachers. In order to improve the academic achievement of unit schools, the functions of the metropolitan and provincial offices of education should be strengthened based on the education accountability, and policies need to be established in the mid- to long-term perspective.

Design and Implementation of Library Information System Using Collective Intelligence and Cloud Computing (집단지성과 클라우드 컴퓨팅을 활용한 도서관 정보시스템 설계 및 구현)

  • Min, Byoung-Won
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.11 no.11
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    • pp.49-61
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    • 2011
  • In recent, library is considered as an integrated knowledge convergence center that can respond to various requests about information service of users. Therefor it is necessary to establish a novel information system based on information communications technologies of the era. In other words, it is currently required to develop mobile information service available in portable devices such as smart phones or tablet PCs, and to establish information system reflecting cloud computing, SaaS, Annotation, and Library 2.0 etc. In this paper we design and implement a library information system using collective intelligence and cloud computing. This information system can be adapted for the varieties of mobile service paradigm and abruptly increasing amount of electronic materials. Advantages of this concept model are resource sharing, multi-tenant supporting, configuration, and meta-data supporting etc. In addition it can offer software on-demand type user services. In order to test the performance of our system, we perform an effectiveness analysis and TTA authentication test. The average response time corresponding to variance of data reveals 0.692 seconds which is very good performance in timing effectiveness point of view. And we detect maturity level-3 or 4 authentication in TTA tests such as SaaS maturity, performance, and application programs.

Urbanization and Urban Heat Island Analysis Using LANDSAT Imagery: Sejong City As a Case Study (LANDSAT 영상을 이용한 세종특별자치시의 도시화와 열섬현상 분석)

  • Kim, Mi-Kyeong;Kim, Sang-Pil;Kim, Nam-Hoon;Sohn, Hong-Gyoo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.1033-1041
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    • 2014
  • Rapid urbanization of Korea was an unprecedented example in the world and urban population increased significantly. As a result, unbalanced distribution of population is serious problem in Korea because approximately 50% of the population is concentrated in the capital area that is 10% of nation's territory, thereby occurring various urban problems including UHI. Hence, Sejong Special Autonomous City was inaugurated officially on 2 July 2012 in order to decentralize population of capital area and induce more balanced regional development. The Sejong City has been changed drastically over a period of years as developed practically since the late 2000's and is expected to have new problems of urbanization. The land cover change due to urbanization is the main cause of UHI that urban area is significantly warmer than its surrounding areas and UHI is not only affecting urban climate change but also natural environment. So the purpose of this research is to analyze level of urbanization and UHI effect and to provide the correlation analysis between Land Surface Temperature and spectral indices. To achieve this, satellite imagery from LANDSAT were used. NDVI, NDBI, and UI were calculated using red, near-infrared, mid-infrared ($0.63{\mu}m-1.75{\mu}m$) images and LST was retrieved utilizing thermal infrared ($10.4{\mu}m-12.5{\mu}m$) image. Based on each index and LST, Changes of NDVI, UI and UHI through TVI were analyzed in Sejong City. UHI effect increased around newly constructed multi-functional administrative city, the correlation between LST and NDVI was negative and UI was strong positive.