• Title/Summary/Keyword: Monte-Carlo 모의법

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Nonparametric method using placement in a randomized complete block design (랜덤화 블록 계획법에서 위치를 이용한 비모수 검정법)

  • Sim, Sujin;Kim, Dongjae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.1401-1408
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    • 2013
  • Kim and Kim (1992) proposed typical nonparametric method for umbrella alternative in randomized block design with replications. In this paper, We consider a test procedure for umbrella alternatives in a randomized block design using extension of the two sample placement tests described in Orban and Wolfe (1982) and treatment tests described in Kim (1999). We perform a Monte Carlo study to compare the empirical powers of the test statistics for underlying distributions.

Nonparametric procedures using placement in randomized block design with replications (반복이 있는 랜덤화 블록 계획법의 위치를 이용한 비모수 검정법)

  • Lee, Sang-Yi;Kim, Dong-Jae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.1105-1112
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    • 2011
  • Mack (1981), Skilling and Wolfe (1977, 1978) proposed typical nonparametric method in randomized block design with replications. In this paper, we proposed the procedures based on placement as extension of the two sample placement tests described in Orban and Wolfe (1982) and treatment versus control tests described in Kim (1999). Also Monte Carlo simulation study is adapted to compare power of the proposed procedure with those of previous procedures.

Development of Rating Curve for High Water Level in an Urban Stream using Monte Carlo Simulation (Monte Carlo Simulation을 이용한 도시하천의 고수위 Rating Curve 개발)

  • Kim, Jong-Suk;Yoon, Sun-Kwon;Moon, Young-Il
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.1433-1446
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    • 2013
  • In this study, we proposed a methodology to develop Rating Curves for high water level using rainfall generation by the Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) technique, optimized rainfall-runoff model, and flood routing model in an urban stream. The developed stage discharge Rating Curve based on observed data was contained flow measurement errors and uncertainties. The standard error ($S_e$) for observations was 0.056, and the random uncertainty ($2S_{mr}$) was analyzed by ${\pm}1.43%$ on average, and up to ${\pm}4.27%$. Moreover, it was found that the Rating Curve extensions by way of logarithmic and Stevens methods were overestimated to compare with the urban basin scale. Finally, we confirmed that the high water level extension by random generation of hydrological data using MCS can be reduced uncertainty of the high water level, and it will consider as a more reliable approach for high water level extension. In the near future, this results can be applied to real-time flood alert system for urban streams through construction of the high water level extension system using MCS procedures.

On variable bandwidth Kernel Regression Estimation (변수평활량을 이용한 커널회귀함수 추정)

  • Seog, Kyung-Ha;Chung, Sung-Suk;Kim, Dae-Hak
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.179-188
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    • 1998
  • Local polynomial regression estimation is the most popular one among kernel type regression estimator. In local polynomial regression function esimation bandwidth selection is crucial problem like the kernel estimation. When the regression curve has complicated structure variable bandwidth selection will be appropriate. In this paper, we propose a variable bandwidth selection method fully data driven. We will choose the bandwdith by selecting minimising estiamted MSE which is estimated by the pilot bandwidth study via croos-validation method. Monte carlo simulation was conducted in order to show the superiority of proposed bandwidth selection method.

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A Bayesian test for the first-order autocorrelations in regression analysis (회귀모형 오차항의 1차 자기상관에 대한 베이즈 검정법)

  • 김혜중;한성실
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.97-111
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    • 1998
  • This paper suggests a Bayesian method for testing first-order markov correlation among linear regression disturbances. As a Bayesian test criterion, Bayes factor is derived in the form of generalized Savage-Dickey density ratio that is easily estimated by means of posterior simulation via Gibbs sampling scheme. Performance of the Bayesian test is evaluated and examined based upon a Monte Carlo experiment and an empirical data analysis. Efficiency of the posterior simulation is also examined.

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A Comparison of Robust Parameter Estimations for Autoregressive Models (자기회귀모형에서의 로버스트한 모수 추정방법들에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Hee-Jeong;Kim, Soon-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, we study several parameter estimation methods used for autoregressive processes and compare them in view of forecasting. The least square estimation, least absolute deviation estimation, robust estimation are compared through Monte Carlo simulations.

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Nonparametric multiple comparison method in one-way layout based on joint placement (일원배치모형에서 결합위치를 이용한 비모수 다중비교법)

  • Seok, Dahee;Kim, Dongjae
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.6
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    • pp.1027-1036
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    • 2017
  • Multiple comparisons are required to confirm whether or not something is significant if the null hypothesis to test whether the difference between more than three treatments is rejected in a one-way layout. There are both parametric multiple comparison method Tukey (1953) and Nonparametric multiple comparison method based on Kruskal-Wallis (1952).This procedure is applied to a mixed sample of all data and then an average ranking is used for each of three or more treatments. In this paper, a new nonparametric multiple comparison procedure based on joint placements for a one-way layout as extension of the joint placements described in Chung and Kim (2007) was proposed. Monte Carlo simulation is also adapted to compare the family wise error rate (FWE) and the power of the proposed method with previous methods.

Outlier tests on potential outliers (잠재적 이상치군에 대한 검정)

  • Seo, Han Son
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.159-167
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    • 2017
  • Observations identified as potential outliers are usually tested for real outliers; however, some outlier detection methods skip a formal test or perform a test using simulated p-values. We introduce test procedures for outliers by testing subsets of potential outliers rather than by testing individual observations of potential outliers to avoid masking or swamping effects. Examples to illustrate methods and a Monte Carlo study to compare the power of the various methods are presented.

Maximum Tolerated Dose Estimation by Stopping Rule and SM3 Design in a Phase I Clinical Trial (제 1상 임상시험에서 멈춤 규칙과 SM3 디자인을 이용한 최대허용용량 추정법)

  • Kim, Byoungchan;Kim, Dongjae
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.13-20
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    • 2014
  • Phase I Clinical Trials estimate a Maximum Tolerated Dose(MTD). In this paper, an MTD estimation method applied stopping rule is proposed for Phase I Clinical Trials. The suggested MTD estimation method is compared to the Continual Reassessment Method(CRM) method using a Monte Carlo simulation study.

Likelihood Ratio Test for the Epidemic Alternatives on the Zero-Inflated Poisson Model (변화시점이 있는 영과잉-포아송모형에서 돌출대립가설에 대한 우도비검정)

  • Kim, Kyung-Moo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.247-253
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    • 1998
  • In ease of the epidemic Zero-Inflated Poisson model, likelihood ratio test was used for testing epidemic alternatives. Epidemic changepoints were estimated by the method of least squares. It were used for starting points to estimate the maximum likelihood estimators. And several parameters were compared through the Monte Carlo simulations. As a result, maximum likelihood estimators for the epidemic chaagepoints and several parameters are better than the least squares and moment estimators.

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