• 디지털융복합연구
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• 제13권10호
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• pp.219-224
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• 2015

본 연구는 우리나라 가계저축률의 정규분포혼합을 추정한다. 2014년 마이크로데이터인 MDSS를 이용하였고 추정방법으로는 깁스알고리즘을 이용하였다. 실증분석결과의 주요내용은 다음과 같다. 첫째, 정규분포혼합을 추정하기 위한 방법으로 깁스알고리즘은 잘 작동하였다. 즉 주요 모수추정치는 모두 정상적 분포를 갖는 것으로 나타났다. 둘째 저축률 자료는 적어도 2개의 성분, 즉 저축률이 평균 0%인 성분과 평균 29.4%인 성분으로 이루어져 있는 것으로 보인다. 즉 우리나라의 가계는 고저축률 집단과 저저축률 집단으로 나누어질 수 있다는 뜻이다. 셋째 정규분포혼합모형 자체는 어떤 가계가 첫째 성분 또는 둘째 성분에 속하는가를 설명할 수 없다. 이에 본 연구는 추가적인 분석을 수행하였지만 소득수준과 가구주 연령은 이에 대한 설명력을 지니지 못하는 것으로 판단된다.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 1989년도 하계종합학술대회 논문집
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• pp.207-210
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• 1989

In probabilistic production costing simulation, cumulant method is widely used. But this method have some limitations in some cases. To overcome these serious drawbacks, MONA(Mixture of Normals Approximation) method was proposed. The MONA method uses multiple normals to represent the Equivalent Load Duration Curve. In this paper we investigate the MONA's characteristics by comparing other methods and derive the efficient formulae for MONA. Also, we propose the fundamental algorithm for Mixture of Cumulants Approximation(MOCA) which is the general case of MONA.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제16권4호
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• pp.1159-1165
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• 2005

Basu et al. (1998) proposed a new density-based estimator, called the minimum density power divergence estimator (MDPDE), which avoid the use of nonparametric density estimation and associated complication such as bandwidth selection. Woodward et al. (1995) examined the minimum Hellinger distance estimator (MHDE), proposed by Beran (1977), in the case of estimation of the mixture proportion in the mixture of two normals. In this article, we introduce the MDPDE for a mixture proportion, and show that both the MDPDE and the MHDE have the same asymptotic distribution at a model. Simulation study identifies some cases where the MHDE is consistently better than the MDPDE in terms of bias.

• 통합자연과학논문집
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• 제6권4호
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• pp.251-255
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• 2013

For the mean vector of a p-variate normal distribution ($p{\geq}4$), the optimal estimation within the class of modified James-Stein type decision rules under the quadratic loss is given when the underlying distribution is that of a variance mixture of normals and when the norm ${\parallel}{\theta}-\bar{\theta}1{\parallel}$ it known.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 1990년도 하계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.154-157
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• 1990

This paper describes a new method of calculating expected energy generation and loss of load probability (L.O.L.P) for electric power system operation and expansion planning. The method represents an equivalent load duration curve (E.L.D.C) as a mixture of cumulants approximation (M.O.C.A), which is the general case of mixture of normals approximation (M.O.N.A). By regarding a load distribution as many normal distributions-rather than one normal distribution-and representing each of them in terms of Gram-Charller expansion, we could improve the accuracy of results. We developed an algorithm which automatically determines the number of distribution and demarcation points. In modelling of a supply system, we made subsets of generators according to the number of generator outage: since the calculation of each subset's moment needs to be processed rapidly, we futher developed specific recursive formulae. The method is applied to the test systems and the results are compared with those of cumulant, M.O.N.A and Booth-Baleriaux method. It is verified that the M.O.C.A method is faster and more accurate than any other methods.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제29권4호
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• pp.627-641
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• 2016

본 논문에서는 겉보기 무관 회귀모형을 고려하고 디리크레 프로세스 혼합모형을 오차항의 분포로 하는 비모수 베이지안 방법을 제안한다. 제안된 모형을 바탕으로 사후분포를 유도하고 디리크레 프로세스 혼합모형의 붕괴깁스표집 방법을 통해 마코프 체인 몬테 칼로 알고리듬을 구성하고 사후추론을 실시한다. 모형의 성능을 비교하기 위해 모의실험을 실시하고, 더 나아가 한국지역의 강수량 예측에 대한 실제 자료에 적용해 본다.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제16권4호
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• pp.1027-1039
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• 2005

Consider the problem of estimating a $p{\times}1$ mean vector $\theta(p\geq4)$ under the quadratic loss, based on a sample $X_1$, $X_2$, $\cdots$, $X_n$. We find a Lindley type decision rule which shrinks the usual one toward the mean of observations when the underlying distribution is that of a variance mixture of normals and when the norm $\parallel\;{\theta}-\bar{{\theta}}1\;{\parallel}$ is restricted to a known interval, where $bar{{\theta}}=\frac{1}{p}\;\sum\limits_{i=1}^{p}{\theta}_i$ and 1 is the column vector of ones. In this case, we characterize a minimal complete class within the class of Lindley type decision rules. We also characterize the subclass of Lindley type decision rules that dominate the sample mean.

• 호남수학학술지
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• 제25권1호
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• pp.95-115
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• 2003

Consider the problem of estimating a $p{\times}1$ mean vector ${\theta}(p{\geq}4)$ under the quadratic loss, based on a sample $X_1,\;{\cdots}X_n$. We find an optimal decision rule within the class of Lindley type decision rules which shrink the usual one toward the mean of observations when the underlying distribution is that of a variance mixture of normals and when the norm $||{\theta}-{\bar{\theta}}1||$ is known, where ${\bar{\theta}}=(1/p)\sum_{i=1}^p{\theta}_i$ and 1 is the column vector of ones. When the norm is restricted to a known interval, typically no optimal Lindley type rule exists but we characterize a minimal complete class within the class of Lindley type decision rules. We also characterize the subclass of Lindley type decision rules that dominate the sample mean.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제28권2호
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• pp.435-442
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• 2017

Consider the problem of estimating a $p{\times}1$ mean vector ${\theta}$ (p ${\geq}$ 3) under the quadratic loss from multi-variate normal population. We find a James-Stein type estimator which shrinks towards the projection vectors when the underlying distribution is that of a variance mixture of normals. In this case, the norm ${\parallel}{\theta}-K{\theta}{\parallel}$ is known where K is a projection vector with rank(K) = q. The class of this type estimator is quite general to include the class of the estimators proposed by Merchand and Giri (1993). We can derive the class and obtain the optimal type estimator. Also, this research can be applied to the simple and multiple regression model in the case of rank(K) ${\geq}2$.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제11권1호
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• pp.37-45
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• 2000

Consider the problem of estimating a $p{\times}1$ mean vector ${\underline{\theta}}(p{\geq}4)$ under the quadratic loss, based on a sample ${\underline{x}_{1}},\;{\cdots}{\underline{x}_{n}}$. We find an optimal decision rule within the class of Lindley type decision rules which shrink the usual one toward the mean of observations when the underlying distribution is that of a variance mixture of normals and when the norm ${\parallel}\;{\underline{\theta}}\;-\;{\bar{\theta}}{\underline{1}}\;{\parallel}$ is known, where ${\bar{\theta}}=(1/p){\sum_{i=1}^p}{\theta}_i$ and $\underline{1}$ is the column vector of ones.