• 한국군사과학기술학회지
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• 제12권5호
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• pp.557-562
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• 2009

Weapon system currently considers the research about effect analysis including cost effectiveness methodology for a budget management and an achievement of the military strategy goal. So that, this study considers the theoretical background, strength and weakness of several Multi-Criteria Decision Making, and an effect analysis of weapon system. And AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) is selected for the best effect analysis methodology of weapon system. Therefore, we applied AHP to the case study of the new generation Multiple Launcher Rocket System, performing the analysis of cost effectiveness methodology. Using AHP and cost effectiveness methodology, we propose the actual and proper decision making result.

• 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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• 제13권1호
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• pp.159-182
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• 2012

Strategic decision on the execution of national security improvement project is greatly important for the present and future national security. Though, the importance of strategic decision, decision making process has been executed under one-way thinking framework. This research provides a decision-making tool with make-or-buy approach for the national security improvement policy execution methods: foreign purchase and military R&D project, and, via simulation, confirms dynamic change of military capability index respect to change in ratio of foreign purchase and military R&D. A result shows that current ratio of foreign purchases and military R&D is insufficient for national security improvement policy goal. Applying the model from this research provides an appropriate ratio for short term and long term defense strategy and policy goal, and consequent result of increase in national security capability. Thus, this research model can be effectively utilized for national security improvement project.

• 한국국방경영분석학회지
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• 제3권1호
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• pp.51-82
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• 1977

Decision making is a function of many variables, but among these, human burden (soft-ware) and machine burden (hard-ware) are critical. Decision Maker is rather concerned with the soft-ware and just wants to have machine calculate the quantitative arithmetic involved in the decision-making study, because he is responsible for that decision whether or not he knows details about the techniques used by his staffs. From the point of these considerations, computer-assisted war game model has its significance in military decision making. The major outcome of this model is time-phased FEBA movement. FEBA is moved mainly by the ratio of the Index of Combat Effectiveness (ICE). To calculate ICE, Ground Forces are concerning the Index of Firepower (IFP) of individual weapons and in the case of Air Force, sorties are allocated into each sector, and added to the Ground Force IFP. With the ratio of total ICE, FEBA is moved according to the War Game Tables and process is repeated after consideration of casualties. This model is used by IBM-370/135 in MND computer room and also tested by IBM-3741/3717 established at ROKA HQ.

• 한국국방경영분석학회지
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• 제16권1호
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• pp.18-34
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• 1990

In light of the recent developments of transitory nature, it is likely that national defense decision-making will be more difficult to make for years to come. In other words, sudden changes in security environment would call into question the basic assumptions on which we have built our national defense planning and increase the number of the uncertain factors in the decision-making process; the subdivision and ramification of national defense management would increase the factors for decision-making and complicate even further the mutual interactions among these factors; the accelerated pace of sophistication and diversification of weapon systems and military technology would increase the risk of failure and system costs geometrically; and the reduced level of acceptance among the people on the sanctification of national defense in proportion to the rapid progress toward a more democratic and industrial society would engender an increased criticism or checking role by the National Assembly or by the mass media. As the changes in national defense environment and conditions create an innumerable number of new tasks, this paper intends to suggest a few core policy measures to improve the quality of national defense decision-making. More specifically, it proposes to 1) eradicate entirely the bureaucratic behavior and tendencies; 2) utilize actively the brain staff for quality assurance of decision-making; 3) and introduce and apply as a whole set, a total system, or an incorporated pack age the PPBEES(Planning-Programming-Budgeting-Executing-Evaluating-System)/LCMM (Life-Cycle Management Model for System Acquision), the OR/SA(Operations Research/Systems Analysis), and DMIS (Defense Management Information System).

• 한국국방경영분석학회지
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• 제7권2호
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• pp.12-16
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• 1981

• 한국국방경영분석학회지
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• 제27권2호
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• pp.37-55
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• 2001

The main purpose of this study is to review the current system and to develop a decision support system for evaluating the priorities among those possible alternatives in the army facility enterprise. This paper also provides an information system which can be effectively applied to various criteria and stages in decision making process such as Planning and Programming phases in PPBEES. The model base of decision support systems uses the concepts of the analytic hierarchy process along with the supplementary techniques such as TOPSIS and 0-1 integer programming. Both AHP and TOPSIS are used scoring approaches in the Planning phase and IP is induced at the Programming phase to give GO/NO-GO solution for each project. We use Expert Choice, Excel and LINDO s/w's to implement a prototyped model. The proposed methodology in this paper enables the decision makers to evaluate the priority based on quantitative and qualitative data in a systematic way.

• 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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• 제17권4호
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• pp.159-165
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• 2008

육군은 군단급 이하 제대에 육군전술지휘정보체계 ATCIS(Army Tactical Control Information System, 이하 ATCIS)를 구축하여 전장을 가시화하고 반응 시간의 단축을 이루고 있다. 이러한 ATCIS 및 정보 감시장비의 도입으로 전장(Battlefield)의 불확실성과 가변성이 점점 줄어들고 있음에도, 지상작전을 위한 의사결정의 방법은 지휘관 및 주무 참모의 전술적 관점이나 과거 자료 및 경험에 기초한 정성적인 방법이 널리 적용되고 있다. 또한, 방책(Course of Action)을 선정하고 분석하기 위한 워게임(War game)과정에서도 가용 시간 및 능력의 제한 등으로 피 아의 강약점 분석에 의존하고 있는 실정이다. 이에 새로운 장비도입에 따른 유 무형 전력의 균형적인 발전의 측면에서 보다 과학적이고 정량적인 의사결정방법의 필요성이 제기되고 있으며, 야전부대에서 보다 빠르고 쉽게 적용할 수 있는 방법이 요구되고 있다.본 연구에서는 지상작전을 위한 의사결정과정인 부대지휘절차간 전장정보분석(Intelligence Preparation of the Battlefield; IPB)을 위한 지휘관 및 참모들의 상황평가에서 전장의 불확실성으로 인해 발생하는 모호한 평가 및 분석을 정량적으로 반영하고 보다 실증적인 의사결정을 위해 Fuzzy AHP 기법을 적용한 지상작전 의사결정방법을 제안하고자 한다.

• 한국국방경영분석학회지
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• 제32권2호
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• pp.212-222
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• 2006

21세기 선진 정예 강군을 위해 군이 지향해야 할 국방개혁 2020의 과제들은 2020년 전후 국방환경과 국방개혁 4대 중점사항을 토대로 총 21개 대과제와 80개 소과제를 선정하여 국방개혁을 추진해 나간다는 내용을 주요 골자로 하고 있다. 국방기본정책서를 기초로 추진하게 될 '국방개혁 2020' 은 기획단계인 초기단계로서 과제들에 대한 의사결정이 필요로 하나, 군은 현재 2단계인 계획단계에 이르러서야 비로소 기획과 예산을 연결시켜 의사결정을 구체화하고 있다. 과제들의 우선순위에 대한 의사결정이 계획단계에 이르러서야 비로소 결정되기 때문에 최초 기획단계부터 의사결정이 이루어진다면 현재보다 효율적인 과제수행이 이루어질 것이다. 본 연구는 국방부에서 발표한 '국방개혁 2020' 추진과제들을 가지고 기획단계에서부터 계층분석적 의사결정방법을 적용하여 과제들의 대한 그룹의사결정을 실시하였다. 또한, 추진과제 들의 가중치가 동일할 경우 15개 과제들의 가중치가 어떻게 변화하는가에 대한 민감도 분석을 실시하였고, 내 외부 평가자들의 과제들에 대한 가중치를 그룹의사결정을 통해 분석함으로서 과제들의 우선순위를 제시하였다.

• 한국국방경영분석학회지
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• 제28권1호
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• pp.83-96
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• 2002

The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) is well suited to group decision making and offers numerous benefits as a synthesizing mechanism in group decisions. To date, the majority of AHP applications have been in group settings. One reason for this may be that groups often have an advantage over individual when there exists a significant difference between the importance of quality in the decision and the importance of time in which to obtain the decision. Another reason may be the best alternative is selected by comparing alternative solutions, testing against selected criteria, a task ideally suited for AHP. In general, aggregation methods employed in group AHP can be largely classified into two methods: geometric mean method and (weighted) arithmetic mean method. In a situation where there do not exist clear guidelines for selection between them, two methods do not always guarantee the same group decision result. We propose a simulation approach for building group consensus without efforts to make point estimates from individual diverse preference judgments, displaying possible disagreements as is natural in group members'different viewpoints.

• 한국군사과학기술학회지
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• 제12권4호
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• pp.460-468
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• 2009

The purpose of this study is propose an alternative for flight attendants to acquire equipment that could enhance the ability to adapt in flying conditions. Introducing and acquiring weapon system, such equipments should be deeply considered in multilateral aspects; reinforcements in the overall strategic status in the army, the ramifications that can contribute to military resources, and economic situations in the country. To do this, we first induced several criteria that can be used for evaluating alternatives. After that, we applied the analytic hierarchy process(AHP) approach to putting all factors into considerations in decision making for equipment acquirement. The results of this study are expected to have usefulness in formulating strategies and policies in selecting equipment acquisition alternatives for flight attendants.