• 제목/요약/키워드: Method of Maximum Likelihood

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Bayesian Inference of the Stochastic Gompertz Growth Model for Tumor Growth

  • Paek, Jayeong;Choi, Ilsu
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제21권6호
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    • pp.521-528
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    • 2014
  • A stochastic Gompertz diffusion model for tumor growth is a topic of active interest as cancer is a leading cause of death in Korea. The direct maximum likelihood estimation of stochastic differential equations would be possible based on the continuous path likelihood on condition that a continuous sample path of the process is recorded over the interval. This likelihood is useful in providing a basis for the so-called continuous record or infill likelihood function and infill asymptotic. In practice, we do not have fully continuous data except a few special cases. As a result, the exact ML method is not applicable. In this paper we proposed a method of parameter estimation of stochastic Gompertz differential equation via Markov chain Monte Carlo methods that is applicable for several data structures. We compared a Markov transition data structure with a data structure that have an initial point.

A new model based on Lomax distribution

  • Alshingiti, Arwa M.;Kayid, M.;Aldossary, H.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.65-76
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    • 2014
  • In this article, a new model based on Lomax distribution is introduced. This new model is both useful and practical in areas such as economic, reliability and life testing. Some statistical properties of this model are presented including moments, hazard rate, reversed hazard rate, mean residual life and mean inactivity time functions, among others. It is also shown that the distributions of the new model are ordered with respect to the strongest likelihood ratio ordering. The method of moment and maximum likelihood estimation are used to estimates the unknown parameters. Simulation is utilized to calculate the unknown shape parameter and to study its properties. Finally, to illustrate the concepts, the appropriateness of the new model for real data sets are included.

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Estimation for Mean and Standard Deviation of Normal Distribution under Type II Censoring

  • Kim, Namhyun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제21권6호
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    • pp.529-538
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, we consider maximum likelihood estimators of normal distribution based on type II censoring. Gupta (1952) and Cohen (1959, 1961) required a table for an auxiliary function to compute since they did not have an explicit form; however, we derive an explicit form for the estimators using a method to approximate the likelihood function. The derived estimators are a special case of Balakrishnan et al. (2003). We compare the estimators with the Gupta's linear estimators through simulation. Gupta's linear estimators are unbiased and easily calculated; subsequently, the proposed estimators have better performance for mean squared errors and variances, although they show bigger biases especially when the ratio of the complete data is small.

앙상블 경험적 모드분해법을 활용한 비정상성 확률분포형의 매개변수 추세 분석에 관한 연구 (A study on a tendency of parameters for nonstationary distribution using ensemble empirical mode decomposition method)

  • 김한빈;김태림;신홍준;허준행
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제50권4호
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    • pp.253-261
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    • 2017
  • 최근 수문자료에서 비정상성 현상들이 관측됨에 따라 비정상성 빈도해석에 관한 연구들이 활발하게 진행되고 있다. 시간에 따라 변화하는 통계적 특성을 고려하기 위하여 다양한 형태의 비정상성 확률분포형이 제시되고 있으며, 비정상성 매개변수를 추정할 수 있는 다양한 방법들이 연구되고 있는 추세이다. 본 연구에서는 앙상블 경험적 모드분해법을 이용한 비정상성 Gumbel 분포형의 매개변수 추정방법을 제시하고 기존에 비정상성 매개변수 추정방법으로 주로 사용되어온 최우도법과 비교해보고자 하였다. 국내 자료의 적용을 위하여 기상청 지점의 다양한 지속기간에 대해 경향성이 나타나는 연 최대치 강우자료를 사용하였다. 적용 결과 선형적 경향성을 나타내는 자료에 대해서는 두 가지 방법 모두 적절한 모형을 선정하였으나, 2차 곡선 형태의 경향성이 존재하는 자료에 대해서는 앙상블 경험적 모드분해법의 경우에만 이러한 경향성을 반영하는 비정상성 Gumbel 모형을 선정하였다.

Markov Chain Monte Carlo를 이용한 반도체 결함 클러스터링 파라미터의 추정 (Estimation of Defect Clustering Parameter Using Markov Chain Monte Carlo)

  • 하정훈;장준현;김준현
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제32권3호
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    • pp.99-109
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    • 2009
  • Negative binomial yield model for semiconductor manufacturing consists of two parameters which are the average number of defects per die and the clustering parameter. Estimating the clustering parameter is quite complex because the parameter has not clear closed form. In this paper, a Bayesian approach using Markov Chain Monte Carlo is proposed to estimate the clustering parameter. To find an appropriate estimation method for the clustering parameter, two typical estimators, the method of moments estimator and the maximum likelihood estimator, and the proposed Bayesian estimator are compared with respect to the mean absolute deviation between the real yield and the estimated yield. Experimental results show that both the proposed Bayesian estimator and the maximum likelihood estimator have excellent performance and the choice of method depends on the purpose of use.

로버스트추정에 의한 지구물리자료의 역산 (Inversion of Geophysical Data with Robust Estimation)

  • 김희준
    • 자원환경지질
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    • 제28권4호
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    • pp.433-438
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    • 1995
  • The most popular minimization method is based on the least-squares criterion, which uses the $L_2$ norm to quantify the misfit between observed and synthetic data. The solution of the least-squares problem is the maximum likelihood point of a probability density containing data with Gaussian uncertainties. The distribution of errors in the geophysical data is, however, seldom Gaussian. Using the $L_2$ norm, large and sparsely distributed errors adversely affect the solution, and the estimated model parameters may even be completely unphysical. On the other hand, the least-absolute-deviation optimization, which is based on the $L_1$ norm, has much more robust statistical properties in the presence of noise. The solution of the $L_1$ problem is the maximum likelihood point of a probability density containing data with longer-tailed errors than the Gaussian distribution. Thus, the $L_1$ norm gives more reliable estimates when a small number of large errors contaminate the data. The effect of outliers is further reduced by M-fitting method with Cauchy error criterion, which can be performed by iteratively reweighted least-squares method.

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SNR을 이용한 프레임별 유사도 가중방법을 적용한 문맥종속 화자인식에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Context-dependent Speaker Recognition Adopting the Method of Weighting the Frame-based Likelihood Using SNR)

  • 최홍섭
    • 대한음성학회지:말소리
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    • 제61호
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    • pp.113-123
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    • 2007
  • The environmental differences between training and testing mode are generally considered to be the critical factor for the performance degradation in speaker recognition systems. Especially, general speaker recognition systems try to get as clean speech as possible to train the speaker model, but it's not true in real testing phase due to environmental and channel noise. So in this paper, the new method of weighting the frame-based likelihood according to frame SNR is proposed in order to cope with that problem. That is to make use of the deep correlation between speech SNR and speaker discrimination rate. To verify the usefulness of this proposed method, it is applied to the context dependent speaker identification system. And the experimental results with the cellular phone speech DB which is designed by ETRI for Koran speaker recognition show that the proposed method is effective and increase the identification accuracy by 11% at maximum.

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Comparison of different estimators of P(Y

  • Hassan, Marwa KH.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제18권2호
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    • pp.83-98
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    • 2017
  • Stress-strength reliability problems arise frequently in applied statistics and related fields. In the context of reliability, the stress-strength model describes the life of a component, which has a random strength X and is subjected to random stress Y. The component fails at the instant that the stress applied to it exceeds the strength and the component will function satisfactorily whenever X > Y. The problem of estimation the reliability parameter in a stress-strength model R = P[Y < X], when X and Y are two independent two-parameter Lindley random variables is considered in this paper. The maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) and Bayes estimator of R are obtained. Also, different confidence intervals of R are obtained. Simulation study is performed to compare the different proposed estimation methods. Example in real data is used as practical application of the proposed procedure.

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