• Title/Summary/Keyword: Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE)

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A Robust Estimation for the Composite Lognormal-Pareto Model

  • Pak, Ro Jin
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.311-319
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    • 2013
  • Cooray and Ananda (2005) proposed a composite lognormal-Pareto model to analyze loss payment data in the actuarial and insurance industries. Their model is based on a lognormal density up to an unknown threshold value and a two-parameter Pareto density. In this paper, we implement the minimum density power divergence estimation for the composite lognormal-Pareto density. We compare the performances of the minimum density power divergence estimator (MDPDE) and the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) by simulations and an example. The minimum density power divergence estimator performs reasonably well against various violations in the distribution. The minimum density power divergence estimator better fits small observations and better resists against extraordinary large observations than the maximum likelihood estimator.

The Reliability Estimation of Parallel System in Bivariate Exponential Model : Using Bivariate Type 1 Censored Data (이변량 지수모형에서 병렬시스템의 신뢰도 추정 : 이변량 1종 중단 자료이용)

  • 조장식;김희재
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.79-87
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    • 1997
  • In this paper, we obtain maximum likelihood estimator(MLE) of a parallel system reliability for the Marshall and Olkin's bivariate exponential model with birariate type 1 consored data. The asymptotic normal distribution of the estimator is obtained. Also we construct an a, pp.oximate confidence interval for the reliability based on MLE. We present a numerical study for obtaining MLE and a, pp.oximate confidence interval of the reliability.

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Better Estimators of Multiple Poisson Parameters under Weighted Loss Function

  • Kim, Jai-Young
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.69-82
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    • 1985
  • In this study, we consider the simultaneous estimation of the parameters of the distribution of p independent Poisson random variables using the weighted loss function. The relation between the estimation under the weighted loss function and the case when more than one observation is taken from some population is studied. We derive an estimator which dominates Tsui and Press's estimator when certain conditions hold. We also derive an estimator which dominates the maximum likelihood estimator(MLE) under the various loss function. The risk performances of proposed estimators are compared to that of MLE by computer simulation.

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Comparison of Parameter Estimation Methods in A Kappa Distribution

  • Jeong, Bo-Yoon;Park, Jeong-Soo
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2006.04a
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    • pp.163-169
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    • 2006
  • This paper deals with the comparison of parameter estimation methods in a 3-parameter Kappa distribution which is sometimes used in flood frequency analysis. The method of moment estimation(MME), L-moment estimation(L-ME), and maximum likelihood estimation(MLE) are applied to estimate three parameters. The performance of these methods are compared by Monte-carlo simulations. Especially for computing MME and L-ME, ike dimensional nonlinear equations are simplied to one dimensional equation which is calculated by the Newton-Raphson iteration under constraint. Based on the criterion of the mean squared error, the L-ME is recommended to use for small sample size $(n\leq100)$ while MLE is good for large sample size.

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Estimation of the Exponential Distributions based on Multiply Progressive Type II Censored Sample

  • Lee, Kyeong-Jun;Park, Chan-Keun;Cho, Young-Seuk
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.697-704
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    • 2012
  • The maximum likelihood(ML) estimation of the scale parameters of an exponential distribution based on progressive Type II censored samples is given. The sample is multiply censored (some middle observations being censored); however, the ML method does not admit explicit solutions. In this paper, we propose multiply progressive Type II censoring. This paper presents the statistical inference on the scale parameter for the exponential distribution when samples are multiply progressive Type II censoring. The scale parameter is estimated by approximate ML methods that use two different Taylor series expansion types ($AMLE_I$, $AMLE_{II}$). We also obtain the maximum likelihood estimator(MLE) of the scale parameter under the proposed multiply progressive Type II censored samples. We compare the estimators in the sense of the mean square error(MSE). The simulation procedure is repeated 10,000 times for the sample size n = 20 and 40 and various censored schemes. The $AMLE_{II}$ is better than MLE and $AMLE_I$ in the sense of the MSE.

A Parameter Estimation Method using Nonlinear Least Squares (비선형 최소제곱법을 이용한 모수추정 방법론)

  • Oh, Suna;Song, Jongwoo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.431-440
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    • 2013
  • We consider the problem of estimating the parameters of heavy tailed distributions. In general, maximum likelihood estimation(MLE) is the most preferred method of parameter estimation because it has good properties such as asymptotic consistency, normality and efficiency. However, MLE is not always the best solution because MLE is unstable or does not exist in some cases. This paper proposes another parameter estimation method, non-linear least squares(NLS) and compares its performance to MLE. The NLS estimator is achieved by minimizing sum of squared difference between empirical cumulative distribution function(CDF) and a theoretical distribution function. In this article, we compare the NLS method to MLE using simulated data from heavy tailed distributions. The NLS method is shown to perform better than MLE in Burr distribution when the sample size is small; in addition, it performs well in a Frechet distribution.

Dense Spray Patternation using Optical Tomography

  • Cho, Seongho;Park, Gujeong;Yoon, Youngbin
    • International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.398-407
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    • 2013
  • Optical tomography was used to measure the pattern of spray cross-section. The maximum-likelihood estimation (MLE) algorithm was used to reconstruct the spray cross-section from the measured transmission rate of the spray. A swirl-type injector was used to form an optically dense spray, and the test was carried out in a high-pressure chamber, to control the pressure condition of the test site. Before the experiment, the reliability of the MLE-based reconstruction algorithm was verified, by comparing it with a conventional filtered back projection reconstruction (FBP) method. The MLE algorithm showed superior reconstruction of the image. In the spray patternation experiment, the results of the optical tomography and optical line patternator, which uses Mie scattering signal information, were compared. While measuring the cross-section of optically dense spray, the intensity of the scattering signal had attenuated to an uncorrectable level, which led to incorrect spray pattern measurement by the optical line patternator. However, reliable results were obtained by optical tomography, under the same condition. Finally, the pattern of the optically dense spray was measured at various chamber pressures, of up to 3 MPa. As the chamber pressure increased, the hollow cone-shaped swirl spray shrank, and the attenuation coefficient value of the inner region increased.

Hazard Rate Estimation from Bayesian Approach (베이지안 확률 모형을 이용한 위험률 함수의 추론)

  • Kim, Hyun-Mook;Ahn, Seon-Eung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.26-35
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    • 2005
  • This paper is intended to compare the hazard rate estimations from Bayesian approach and maximum likelihood estimate(MLE) method. Hazard rate frequently involves unknown parameters and it is common that those parameters are estimated from observed data by using MLE method. Such estimated parameters are appropriate as long as there are sufficient data. Due to various reasons, however, we frequently cannot obtain sufficient data so that the result of MLE method may be unreliable. In order to resolve such a problem we need to rely on the judgement about the unknown parameters. We do this by adopting the Bayesian approach. The first one is to use a predictive distribution and the second one is a method called Bayesian estimate. In addition, in the Bayesian approach, the prior distribution has a critical effect on the result of analysis, so we introduce the method using computerized-simulation to elicit an effective prior distribution. For the simplicity, we use exponential and gamma distributions as a likelihood distribution and its natural conjugate prior distribution, respectively. Finally, numerical examples are given to illustrate the potential benefits of the Bayesian approach.

Predictions of MLE and LSE in NHPP Software Reliability Model

  • Song, Kwang-Yoon;Chang, In-Hong;Lee, Seung-Woo
    • Journal of Integrative Natural Science
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.111-117
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    • 2013
  • We propose a mean value function for software failures in NHPP software reliability model. And we deal with the maximum likelihood estimation and the least squares estimation in the proposed mean value function. The explicit mean value function solution for the proposed model is presented by MLE and LSE in two data sets. The values of SSE and MSE is presented in two data sets by MLE and LSE. We compare the predicted number of faults with the actual two data sets using the proposed mean value function.

Estimation of the exponential distribution based on multiply Type I hybrid censored sample

  • Lee, Kyeongjun;Sun, Hokeun;Cho, Youngseuk
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.633-641
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    • 2014
  • The exponential distibution is one of the most popular distributions in analyzing the lifetime data. In this paper, we propose multiply Type I hybrid censoring. And this paper presents the statistical inference on the scale parameter for the exponential distribution when samples are multiply Type I hybrid censoring. The scale parameter is estimated by approximate maximum likelihood estimation methods using two different Taylor series expansion types ($AMLE_I$, $AMLE_{II}$). We also obtain the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the scale parameter ${\sigma}$ under the proposed multiply Type I hybrid censored samples. We compare the estimators in the sense of the root mean square error (RMSE). The simulation procedure is repeated 10,000 times for the sample size n=20 and 40 and various censored schemes. The $AMLE_{II}$ is better than $AMLE_I$ in the sense of the RMSE.