• Title/Summary/Keyword: Markov 연쇄

Search Result 75, Processing Time 0.022 seconds

A Markov Chain Representation of Statistical Process Monitoring Procedure under an ARIMA(0,1,1) Model (ARIMA(0,1,1)모형에서 통계적 공정탐색절차의 MARKOV연쇄 표현)

  • 박창순
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.16 no.1
    • /
    • pp.71-85
    • /
    • 2003
  • In the economic design of the process control procedure, where quality is measured at certain time intervals, its properties are difficult to derive due to the discreteness of the measurement intervals. In this paper a Markov chain representation of the process monitoring procedure is developed and used to derive its properties when the process follows an ARIMA(0,1,1) model, which is designed to describe the effect of the noise and the special cause in the process cycle. The properties of the Markov chain depend on the transition matrix, which is determined by the control procedure and the process distribution. The derived representation of the Markov chain can be adapted to most different types of control procedures and different kinds of process distributions by obtaining the corresponding transition matrix.

Implementation of Markov Chain: Review and New Application (관리도에서 Markov연쇄의 적용: 복습 및 새로운 응용)

  • Park, Chang-Soon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.24 no.4
    • /
    • pp.657-676
    • /
    • 2011
  • Properties of statistical process control procedures may not be derived analytically in many cases; however, the application of a Markov chain can solve such problems. This article shows how to derive the properties of the process control procedures using the generated Markov chains when the control statistic satisfies the Markov property. Markov chain approaches that appear in the literature (such as the statistical design and economic design of the control chart as well as the variable sampling rate design) are reviewed along with the introduction of research results for application to a new control procedure and reset chart. The joint application of a Markov chain approach and analytical solutions (when available) can guarantee the correct derivation of the properties. A Markov chain approach is recommended over simulation studies due to its precise derivation of properties and short calculation times.

Implementation of Markov chain: Review and new application (관리도에서 Markov연쇄의 적용: 복습 및 새로운 응용)

  • Park, Changsoon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.34 no.4
    • /
    • pp.537-556
    • /
    • 2021
  • Properties of statistical process control procedures may not be derived analytically in many cases; however, the application of a Markov chain can solve such problems. This article shows how to derive the properties of the process control procedures using the generated Markov chains when the control statistic satisfies the Markov property. Markov chain approaches that appear in the literature (such as the statistical design and economic design of the control chart as well as the variable sampling rate design) are reviewed along with the introduction of research results for application to a new control procedure and reset chart. The joint application of a Markov chain approach and analytical solutions (when available) can guarantee the correct derivation of the properties. A Markov chain approach is recommended over simulation studies due to its precise derivation of properties and short calculation times.

Analysis of the Korean Baseball League using a Markov Chain Model (마르코프 연쇄를 이용한 한국 프로야구 경기 분석)

  • Moon, Hyung Woo;Woo, Yong Tae;Shin, Yang Woo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.26 no.4
    • /
    • pp.649-659
    • /
    • 2013
  • We use a Markov chain model to analyze the Korean Baseball League. We derive the distributions of the number of runs scored and the number of batters that complete their turn at bat in a baseball game using the time inhomogeneous Markov chain. The model is tested with real data produced from the 2011 Korean Baseball League.

Introduction to Subsurface Inversion Using Reversible Jump Markov-chain Monte Carlo (가역 도약 마르코프 연쇄 몬테 카를로 방법을 이용한 물성 역산 기술 소개)

  • Hyunggu, Jun;Yongchae, Cho
    • Geophysics and Geophysical Exploration
    • /
    • v.25 no.4
    • /
    • pp.252-265
    • /
    • 2022
  • Subsurface velocity is critical for the accurate resolution geological structures. The estimation of acoustic impedance is also critical, as it provides key information regarding the reservoir properties. Therefore, researchers have developed various inversion approaches for the estimation of reservoir properties. The Markov chain Monte Carlo method, which is a stochastic method, has advantages over the deterministic method, as the stochastic method enables us to attenuate the local minima problem and quantify the uncertainty of inversion results. Therefore, the Markov chain Monte Carlo inversion method has been applied to various kinds of geophysical inversion problems. However, studies on the Markov chain Monte Carlo inversion are still very few compared with deterministic approaches. In this study, we reviewed various types of reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo applications and explained the key concept of each application. Furthermore, we discussed future applications of the stochastic method.

Generation of Test Case in Interactive System using Markov Chain (마코프 연쇄를 이용한 대화형 시스템의 시험 사례 생성)

  • 이상준;김병기
    • Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
    • /
    • 1998.10c
    • /
    • pp.246-248
    • /
    • 1998
  • 본 논문에서는 대화형 시스템을 시험하기 위한 시험 사례를 마코프 연쇄의 통계적 확률 과정으로 생성하는 방안을 제시한다. 객체지향 방법론의 통합안인 UML에서는 클래스도(Class Diagram)가 표현할 수 없었던 시스템의 동적인 관점을 상태 전이도(State Transition Diagram)는 구체적으로 표현할 수 있다. 시스템의 사용법을 상태 전이도로 표현하고, 상태간의 전이 확률(Transition Probability)을 계산하여 사용법 연쇄(Usage Chain)를 구성한다. 사용법 연쇄는 다음 상태가 과거의 상태에 영향을 받지 않고 현시점의 상태에만 의존하는 이산 시간형 확률과정인 마코프 연쇄(Markov Chain)가 된다. 본 논문에서는 사용법 연쇄를 분석하여 상태 전이도의 상태와 원호가 어떤 범위에서 시험될 것인지 결정되었을 때, 사용법 연쇄의 전이 확률이 높은 순서별로 연결하여 시험 사례를 생성하는 방안을 제시하고, 예제를 설명한다.

  • PDF

Thermal Transfer Analysis of Micro Flow Sensor using by Markov Chain MCM (Markov 연쇄 MCM을 이용한 마이크로 흐름센서 열전달 해석)

  • Cha, Kyung-Hwan;Kim, Tae-Yong
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
    • /
    • v.12 no.12
    • /
    • pp.2253-2258
    • /
    • 2008
  • To design micro flow sensor varying depending on temperature of driving heater in the detector of Oxide semiconductor, Markov chain MCM(MCMCM), which is a kind of stochastic and microscopic method, was introduced. The formulation for the thermal transfer equation based on the FDM to obtain the MCMCM solution was performed and investigated, in steady state case. MCMCM simulation was successfully applied, so that its application can be expanded to a three-dimensional model with inhomogeneous material and complicated boundary.

Analysis of Daily Precipitation in South Korea Using a Higher Order Markov Chain-dependent Model (고차의 마코브 연쇄-의존 모델을 이용한 남한 강수량 자료의 분석)

  • 박정수;정영근;김래선
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.12 no.2
    • /
    • pp.347-362
    • /
    • 1999
  • 강수 형태 및 강수량을 동시에 고려하는 1차의 마코브 연쇄-의존 모델을 고차의 모델로 확장하였다. 남한의 53개 지역의 강수량 자료에 대해 계절별로 마코브 연쇄의 차수를 결정하였고, 고차의 마코브 연쇄-의존 모델을 적용하여 강수량의 분포특성을 살펴 보았다.

  • PDF

A Simulation Model for the Intermittent Hydrologic Process (II) - Markov Chain and Continuous Probability Distribution - (간헐(間歇) 수문과정(水文過程)의 모의발생(模擬發生) 모형(模型)(II) - Markov 연쇄와 연속확률분포(連續確率分布) -)

  • Lee, Jae Joon;Lee, Jung Sik
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.14 no.3
    • /
    • pp.523-534
    • /
    • 1994
  • The purpose of this study is to develop computer simulation model that produce precipitation patterns from stochastic model. In the paper(I) of this study, the alternate renewal process(ARP) is used for the daily precipitation series. In this paper(Il), stochastic simulation models for the daily precipitation series are developed by combining Markov chain for the precipitation occurrence process and continuous probability distribution for the precipitation amounts on the wet days. The precipitation occurrence is determined by first order Markov chain with two states(dry and wet). The amounts of precipitation, given that precipitation has occurred, are described by a Gamma, Pearson Type-III, Extremal Type-III, and 3 parameter Weibull distribution. Since the daily precipitation series shows seasonal variation, models are identified for each month of the year separately. To illustrate the application of the simulation models, daily precipitation data were taken from records at the seven locations of the Nakdong and Seomjin river basin. Simulated data were similar to actual data in terms of distribution for wet and dry spells, seasonal variability, and precipitation amounts.

  • PDF