• Title/Summary/Keyword: Marine Traffic Environment

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A Prediction of Marine Traffic Volume using Artificial Neural Network and Time Series Analysis (인공신경망과 시계열 분석을 이용한 해상교통량 예측)

  • Yoo, Sang-Lok;Kim, Jong-Su;Jeong, Jung-Sik;Jeong, Jae-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.33-41
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    • 2014
  • Unlike the existing regression analysis, this study anticipated future marine traffic volume using time series analysis and artificial neural network model. Especially, it tried to anticipate future marine traffic volume by applying predictive value through time series analysis on artificial neural network model as an additional input variable. This study used monthly observed values of Incheon port from 1996 to 2013. In order for the verification of the forecasting of the model, value for 2013 is anticipated from the built model with observed values from 1996 to 2012 and a proper model is decided by comparing with the actual observed values. Marine traffic volume of Incheon port showed more traffic than average for May and November by 5.9 % and 4.5 % respectably, and January and August showed less traffic than average by 8.6 % and 4.7 % in 2015. Thus, it is found that Incheon port has difference in monthly traffic volume according to the season. This study can be utilized as a basis to reflect the characteristics of traffic according to the season when investigating marine traffic field observation.

A Study on the Cost Benefit Analysis Model of Vessel Traffic Services(II) (선박교통관리제도의 비용편익분석모델에 관한 연구(II))

  • 정재용;박진수
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.29-40
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    • 2001
  • The introduction of coastal vessel traffic services enables vessels in coastal waters to navigate in safety or to get her position with ease and prevents the vessel from becoming cause of casualties. But it needs relatively huge amount of cost to construct and operate and maintain. Thus we must be checked with economical adequacy of the the proposed coastal vessel traffic services by comparing the cost of the construction, operation and maintenance with the expected benefit made by the expected decrease in marine casualties. In previous paper, a proper cost-benefit analysis model for the Korean practice will be suggested. In this Paper, the proposed the cost-benefit analysis model of coastal vessel traffic services was applied to the Koje coastal waters 20mi1es from the top of Maemul-Do and Yokchi-Do. As the result, we confirmed the propriety of the cost-benefit analysis with the application of the proposed model to Koje waters. Also, it is verified that the introduction of coastal vessel traffic services, as proposed, is adequate and economical. The cost-benefit analysis model proposed in this study could be used to investigate the economic Propriety of new aids to navigation and traffic safety facilities in the future.

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Analysis of Correlation between Marine Traffic Congestion and Waterway Risk based on IWRAP Mk2 (해상교통혼잡도와 IWRAP Mk2 기반의 항로 위험도 연관성 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Euijong;Lee, Yun-sok
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.527-534
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    • 2019
  • Several types of mathematical analysis methods are used for port waterway risk assessment based on marine traffic volume. In Korea, a marine traffic congestion model that standardizes the size of the vessels passing through the port waterway is applied to evaluate the risk of the waterway. For example, when marine traffic congestion is high, risk situations such as collisions are likely to occur. However, a scientific review is required to determine if there is a correlation between high density of maritime traffic and a high risk of waterway incidents. In this study, IWRAP Mk2(IALA official recommendation evaluation model) and a marine traffic congestion model were used to analyze the correlation between port waterway risk and marine traffic congestion in the same area. As a result, the linear function of R2 was calculated as 0.943 and it was determined to be significant. The Pearson correlation coefficient was calculated as 0.971, indicating a strong positive correlation. It was confirmed that the port waterway risk and the marine traffic congestion have a strong correlation due to the influence of the common input variables of each model. It is expected that these results will be used in the development of advanced models for the prediction of port waterway risk assessment.

A Study on Seasonal Variation in Marine Traffic Congestion on Major Port and Coastal Routes (주요 항만 및 연안항로의 계절별 해상교통혼잡도 변화에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Won-Sik;Song, Tae-Han;Kim, Young-Du;Park, Young-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2017
  • In this study, a congestion assessment was conducted to verify seasonal differences in congestion for major coastal traffic routes and fairways in major ports with GICOMS Data for 7 days without issuing a special weather report. As a result, a maximum of 11 % and 82 % are shown, with an average of 3.5 % and a 30 % seasonal difference for hourly average congestion and peak time congestion. Therefore, seasonal differences for the target area should be taken into consideration to perform further congestion assessments, particularly for maritime traffic safety assessments, and keen attention should be given to setting up safety measures against congestion.

Validation of Statistical Analysis-based Aberrancy Probability Using Marine Simulations

  • Kim, Sung-Cheol
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.332-338
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    • 2018
  • To perform the Maritime Safety Audi Scheme, $10^{-4}$ was constantly applied without adjustment when evaluating the proximity of the fairway. The necessity of applying the different aberrancy probabilities from the different proximity of the fairway depending on the shape of the route and the size of the ship was validated using marine simulations. Marine simulation was performed to evaluate the validity of statistical analysis-based aberrancy probability according to the different shapes of routes and ship size presented in the previous study. As results, the validity of the criterion of the statistical analysis-based aberrancy probability was confirmed by comparing with the results of simulation-based aberrancy probabilities. The results support that the aberrancy probabilities by the types of a vessel could be different based on the type and size of vessels. The results motivate that further investigation is required to find the reasonable criteria of the aberrancy probabilities for the maritime traffic safety audit according to the fairway shape and the size of the vessel.

A Study on the Alternative Routes for Dangerous Cargo Carriers at Gwanjanghang Sudo and Maenggol Sudo

  • Moon, Serng-Bae
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.34 no.9
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    • pp.687-692
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    • 2010
  • This study is to improve the marine traffic environment along the west coast of the Korean peninsular so as to prevent the traffic accidents of the dangerous cargo carriers. The most used routes of the vessels were investigated from GICOMS database and the questionnaire survey. Gwanjanghang Sudo strait and Maenggol Sudo strait were considered to have some potential risks to the vessels. In this study, the alternative routes were developed to substitute the current routes near Gwanjanghang Sudo strait and the new boundary line of The Traffic Prohibited Area for Tanker was suggested to contain the Maenggol Sudo strait.

A Study on ship's routing system in the approach waters of Wan-do Port (완도항 인근수역 해상교통 시스템 개선 연구)

  • Im, Nam-Kyun;Jeong, J.Y.;Choi, M.S.
    • Proceedings of KOSOMES biannual meeting
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.175-180
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    • 2007
  • Until a recent date Wan-do Port have been made efforts to advance its marine policy toward the base of marine distribution industry. Therefore the administration of Wan-do port have been carried out many projects on improvements of harbour system very actively. The improvement of ship traffic system would be one of them. This research examined the general view of present situations of marine traffic system in Wan-do waters area and suggested improvements in ship route and anchorage.

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A Study on the Analysis of Dangerous Elements In Navigational Areas Adjacent to Mokpo port (목포인근해역 항행 위험요소에 관한 분석)

  • Park Jung-Ho;Keum Jong-Soo;Noh Chang-Keun;Yun Myung-Oh;Sin Chul-Ho;Jeong Jae-Yong;Park Gyei-Kark
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.10 no.1 s.20
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    • pp.15-22
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    • 2004
  • The navigation area approach to Mokpo port consists of narrow channels with 30mile section, and the route is crossed with many fairways. In particular, fairway routeing except Mokpogu is not assigned and there are many threatening factors against the safe operation of vessel because fishing and mining areas are designated. Therefore, this paper proposed elements for safe passage through a marine traffic environmental assessment with the analysis of surrounding environment, dangerous elements, traffic survey and marine casualty.

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A Study on the Assessment of Traffic Safety of Ship under Bridge (선박의 교량하 통항 안전성에 관한 연구)

  • 윤명오;김현종;금종수;성유창
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.31-37
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    • 2003
  • In these days, several bridges have been built or under construction over navigational channel in Korea. In these cases there must be careful consideration for the marine safety of vessels to be passed by below the bridge. This paper aims to analyze the factors influencing maritime traffic safety and to figure out ample width of main span of these kinds of bridges through the reference study and FMSS.

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Merging of Satellite Remote Sensing and Environmental Stress Model for Ensuring Marine Safety

  • Yang, Chan-Su;Park, Young-Soo
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.645-652
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    • 2003
  • A virtual vessel traffic control system is introduced to contribute to prevent a marine accident such as collision and stranding from happening. Existing VTS has its limit. The virtual vessel traffic control system consists of both data acquisition by satellite remote sensing and a simulation of traffic environment stress based on the satellite data, remotely sensed data And it could be used to provide timely and detailed information about the marine safety, including the location, speed and direction of ships, and help us operate vessels safely and efficiently. If environmental stress values are simulated for the ship information derived from satellite data, proper actions can be taken to prevent accidents. Since optical sensor has a high spatial resolution, JERS satellite data are used to track ships and extract their information. We present an algorithm of automatic identification of ship size and velocity. It lastly is shown that based on ship information extracted from JERS data, a qualitative evaluation method of environmental stress is introduced.