• Title/Summary/Keyword: Marginal Distribution

Search Result 265, Processing Time 0.03 seconds

Information and Communications Technology, Economic Growth, and Carbon Emission Levels: The Case of South Korea

  • Lee, Jung-wan;Unger, Barry
    • Journal of Distribution Science
    • /
    • v.10 no.6
    • /
    • pp.7-15
    • /
    • 2012
  • The paper deals with the impact of information and communications technology on carbon emissions and economic growth in South Korea. The quarterly time series data from the first quarter of 1970 to the third quarter of 2010 (163 observations) are collected and retrieved from the Bank of Korea database. The paper examines long-run equilibrium relationships using cointegration techniques and Granger causality with vector error correction models. In directional causality tests, information and communications technology shows highly significant positive effects on economic growth and marginal effect on carbon emissions. Carbon emissions and economic growth exhibit an inverse relationship with each other; that is, carbon emissions have an inverse relation to economic growth and economic growth does not significantly affect carbon emissions in South Korea. We also note possible implications regarding growth policies and the information communications technology and "green" technology sectors for economies in the range represented by Korea's 1970 - 2010 data.

  • PDF

Linear prediction and z-transform based CDF-mapping simulation algorithm of multivariate non-Gaussian fluctuating wind pressure

  • Jiang, Lei;Li, Chunxiang;Li, Jinhua
    • Wind and Structures
    • /
    • v.31 no.6
    • /
    • pp.549-560
    • /
    • 2020
  • Methods for stochastic simulation of non-Gaussian wind pressure have increasingly addressed the efficiency and accuracy contents to offer an accurate description of the extreme value estimation of the long-span and high-rise structures. This paper presents a linear prediction and z-transform (LPZ) based Cumulative distribution function (CDF) mapping algorithm for the simulation of multivariate non-Gaussian fluctuating wind pressure. The new algorithm generates realizations of non-Gaussian with prescribed marginal probability distribution function (PDF) and prescribed spectral density function (PSD). The inverse linear prediction and z-transform function (ILPZ) is deduced. LPZ is improved and applied to non-Gaussian wind pressure simulation for the first time. The new algorithm is demonstrated to be efficient, flexible, and more accurate in comparison with the FFT-based method and Hermite polynomial model method in two examples for transverse softening and longitudinal hardening non-Gaussian wind pressures.

Copula-based common cause failure models with Bayesian inferences

  • Jin, Kyungho;Son, Kibeom;Heo, Gyunyoung
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • v.53 no.2
    • /
    • pp.357-367
    • /
    • 2021
  • In general, common cause failures (CCFs) have been modeled with the assumption that components within the same group are symmetric. This assumption reduces the number of parameters required for the CCF probability estimation and allows us to use a parametric model, such as the alpha factor model. Although there are various asymmetric conditions in nuclear power plants (NPPs) to be addressed, the traditional CCF models are limited to symmetric conditions. Therefore, this paper proposes the copulabased CCF model to deal with asymmetric as well as symmetric CCFs. Once a joint distribution between the components is constructed using copulas, the proposed model is able to provide the probability of common cause basic events (CCBEs) by formulating a system of equations without symmetry assumptions. In addition, Bayesian inferences for the parameters of the marginal and copula distributions are introduced and Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are employed to sample from the posterior distribution. Three example cases using simulated data, including asymmetry conditions in total failure probabilities and/or dependencies, are illustrated. Consequently, the copula-based CCF model provides appropriate estimates of CCFs for asymmetric conditions. This paper also discusses the limitations and notes on the proposed method.

On the Population Dynamics and Interspecific Competition of Disporum smilacinum and D. viridescens (Liliaceae) in Mt. Nam Park (남산공원 내 애기나리와 큰애기나리 군락의 동태 및 종간 경쟁의 추정)

  • 민병미
    • The Korean Journal of Ecology
    • /
    • v.21 no.5_3
    • /
    • pp.649-663
    • /
    • 1998
  • The clarify the ecological properties, and to predict change of understory vegetation of mt. Nam Park, population dynamics and interspecific competition of D. smilacinum and D. viridescens, which grow in understory of deciduous broad-leaved forest and pseudo-annuals, were studied from May 20 to May 30 1998. The depth of litter layer, soil moisture content, soil organic matter and soil texture were surveyed in 18 populations (15 D. smilacinum populations and 3 D. viridescens populations). Mean litter layer of d. smilacimum population was thinner than that of D. viridescens populations). Mean litter layer of D. smilacnum population was thinner than that of D. viridescens population. The contents of soil moisture and organic matter of D. smilacinum population were lower than that of D. viridescens population. The D. smilacinum growed in broad range of soil texture but D. viridescens in loamy soil. Because D. smilacinum could tolerate more broad range of soil moisture and soil texture than D. viridescens, the former covered the herb layer in earlier stage and the latter introduced in later stage when rhizome could grow easily. The numbers of individual in two marginal parts were smaller than that in center in same D. smilacinum patch. And the total numbers of individuals grown in (10 ${\times}$ 10)cm were from 0 to 12. The rhizome (subterranean runner) weight, rhizome length, root weight, shoot weight, lea weight and leaf number per subquadrat (cell) increased along the number of individual, that is, increased from marginal part to center. But rhizome weight and rhizome length per individual were vice versa. Therefore, the individuals in marginal part reproduced longer and stronger asexual propagules than that in center. The distribution pattern of D. smilacinum was contageous and that of D. viridescens was random or regular. Therefore, population growth of former was independent on density and that of latter was dependent on density. The distributions of size-class showed normal curves in two population, but the curves based on data of total dry weight showed positive skewness and those of leaf number showed negative skewness The correlation coefficient (CC) values between the properties of each organ were high in two population and significant at 0.1% level. The CC values of D. viridescens were higher of the two. Therefore, the former allocated the energy to each organ stable. The rhizome depth of d. viridescens was 2 times deeper than that of D. smilacinum. And rhizome length and weight of D. viridescens were longer (2 times) or heavier (4 times) than those of D. smilacinum. The patch size of D. viridescens increased 60 cm per year and that of D. smilacinum 30 cm. On this results, the intrinsic increase velocity of d. viridescens patch was 2 times faster than that of d. smilacinum, therefore, on the competition, the former had an advantage over D. smilacinum. The reason why d. viridescens defeated D. smilacinum resulted from that the leaf area of former was 4 times broader than that of latter. in Mt. Nam Park, it was thought that two disporum Population would change with the 3 thpes of environmental change as followings. First, no human impact and increase of soil moisture content resulted in increase of D. viridescens population. Second, mild human impact and similar condition of soil moisture content resulted in slow increase or no changes of D. smilacinum and d. viridescens population. Third, severe human impact and dry condition resulted in decrease or vanishment of two disporum populations.

  • PDF

Comparison of environmental characteristics at Cicuta virosa habitats, an endangered species in South Korea

  • Shin, Cha Jeong;Nam, Jong Min;Kim, Jae Geun
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
    • /
    • v.36 no.1
    • /
    • pp.19-29
    • /
    • 2013
  • Cicuta virosa is an endangered species in Korea, which is a southern marginal area. To conserve and restore habitats of this plant, we investigated water and soil environmental characteristics and vegetation at four habitats during the growing season. The C. virosa habitats differed in community structure, water and substrate properties, and water regime. Although the total distribution ranges of the water and soil environments for C. virosa were wide and overlapped with the optimal environmental range of distribution of accompanying species, the optimal water level range for C. virosa was defined as $7{\pm}3.5$ cm. Water level was adjusted by substrate structure such as a mound of P. japonica and a floating mat comprised of accompanying species. A floating mat was an aid to maintain an optimal and stable water level in deep or fluctuating water and to prevent strong competition with prolific macrophytes. The GS sampling site, which had floating mats, could be a good model for C. virosa conservation in a warm temperate region, whereas the PC sampling sites, which experienced a water shortage in spring, provided a clue about the decline in C. virosa population size.

A Study on the Value of Shared Real-time Stock Information in Two-Echelon Distribution Supply Chains (2계층 분배형 공급사슬에서 실시간 공유 재고 정보의 가치에 관한 연구)

  • Seo, Yong-Won;Jung, Sung-Won;Hahm, Ju-Ho
    • IE interfaces
    • /
    • v.13 no.3
    • /
    • pp.444-454
    • /
    • 2000
  • Due to the improvement of modern information technologies, sharing stock information among the supply chain members is a common practice nowadays. Many companies are planning to adopt the information systems to possess the real-time shared stock information. Thus, it is needed to quantify the value of shared stock information. The purpose of this paper is to evaluate the value of the shared stock information for two-echelon distribution systems. Existing reorder policies can be classified into installation stock policies and echelon stock policies. Since installation stock policies do not utilize the shared stock information, and both classes of policies may show poor performances for distribution systems, we cannot evaluate the value of the shared stock information with the existing policies. Thus, we provide a new type of reorder policy, named order risk policy. We define the order risk using marginal analysis, and prove the optimality. Through computational experiment that compares the order risk policy with the existing policies, it is shown that a significant cost reduction is achieved with the effective utilization of the shared stock information. We also show the effect of the system characteristics on the value of the shared stock information.

  • PDF

Archimedean Copula for bivariate Frequency Analysis (이변량 빈도해석을 위한 Archimedean Copula)

  • Sung, Jang-Hyun;Baek, Hee-Jeong;Kwon, Won-Tae;Kim, Young-Oh
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2010.05a
    • /
    • pp.600-604
    • /
    • 2010
  • 수문설계 인자인 확률홍수량 산정시 짧은 홍수량 자료 길이로 인해 홍수량을 직접 이용하기 보다는 강우자료와 강우-유출모형에 의존하고 있는 현시점에서 무엇보다 중요한 것은 신뢰할 만한 확률강우량이 산정되어야 한다는 것이다. 하지만 지금까지의 강우빈도해석(rainfall frequency analysis)은 강도(intensity), 지속기간(duration), 깊이(depth) 사이의 연관성은 고려하지 않은 단편적인 방법론에 그치고 있다. 즉, 강우를 표현하는 인자들 간 독립(independency)이라는 가정을 거친 후, 간단한 단변량(univariate) 강우빈도분포(rainfall frequency distribution)로 확률강우량을 산정하고 있다는 것이다. 간단한 모형에 따른 이점은 있으나 최근의 강우 형태는 매우 복잡한 양상을 띠고 있어, 단변량 강우빈도분포로 이를 대표하기에는 무리가 따른다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 강우빈도해석의 인자가 독립적이며 정규분포(normal distribution)라 가정하지 않고, 세 개의 주변 분포(marginal distribution)의 형태가 같지 않다는 점, 또한 가정하지 않는 방법론 중, 그 가치를 널리 인정받고 있는 Archimedean Copula (AC)에 대한 연구를 수행하였다. AC를 이용하여 강도, 지속기간, 깊이 사이의 종속성 중, 두 가지 변량을 고려한 이변량(bivariate) 강우빈도해석을 수행하였고 그 효용성을 검토해 보았다.

  • PDF

Mitochondria-Specific Monoclonal Antibodies in Eggs and Embryos of the Ascidian Halocynthia roretzi

  • Baek, Yong Han;Lee, Wang Jong;Kim, Gil Jung
    • Development and Reproduction
    • /
    • v.21 no.4
    • /
    • pp.467-473
    • /
    • 2017
  • Ascidian embryos have become an important model for embryological studies, offering a simple example for mechanisms of cytoplasmic components segregation. It is a well-known example that the asymmetric segregation of mitochondria into muscle lineage cells occurs during ascidian embryogenesis. However, it is still unclear which signaling pathway is involved in this process. To obtain molecular markers for studying mechanisms involved in the asymmetric distribution of mitochondria, we have produced monoclonal antibodies, Mito-1, Mito-2 and Mito-3, that specifically recognize mitochondria-rich cytoplasm in cells of the ascidian Halocynthia roretzi embryos. These antibodies stained cytoplasm like reticular structure in epidermis cells, except for nuclei, at the early tailbud stage. Similar pattern was observed in vital staining of mitochondria with DiOC2, a fluorescent probe of mitochondria. Immunostaining with these antibodies showed that mitochondria are evenly distributed in the animal hemisphere blastomeres at cleavage stages, whereas not in the vegetal hemisphere blastomeres. Mitochondria were transferred to the presumptive muscle and nerve cord lineage cells of the marginal zone in the vegetal hemisphere more than to the presumptive mesenchyme, notochord and endoderm lineage of the central zone. Therefore, it is suggested that these antibodies will be useful markers for studying mechanisms involved in the polarized distribution of mitochondria during ascidian embryogenesis.

Analysis and probabilistic modeling of wind characteristics of an arch bridge using structural health monitoring data during typhoons

  • Ye, X.W.;Xi, P.S.;Su, Y.H.;Chen, B.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
    • /
    • v.63 no.6
    • /
    • pp.809-824
    • /
    • 2017
  • The accurate evaluation of wind characteristics and wind-induced structural responses during a typhoon is of significant importance for bridge design and safety assessment. This paper presents an expectation maximization (EM) algorithm-based angular-linear approach for probabilistic modeling of field-measured wind characteristics. The proposed method has been applied to model the wind speed and direction data during typhoons recorded by the structural health monitoring (SHM) system instrumented on the arch Jiubao Bridge located in Hangzhou, China. In the summer of 2015, three typhoons, i.e., Typhoon Chan-hom, Typhoon Soudelor and Typhoon Goni, made landfall in the east of China and then struck the Jiubao Bridge. By analyzing the wind monitoring data such as the wind speed and direction measured by three anemometers during typhoons, the wind characteristics during typhoons are derived, including the average wind speed and direction, turbulence intensity, gust factor, turbulence integral scale, and power spectral density (PSD). An EM algorithm-based angular-linear modeling approach is proposed for modeling the joint distribution of the wind speed and direction. For the marginal distribution of the wind speed, the finite mixture of two-parameter Weibull distribution is employed, and the finite mixture of von Mises distribution is used to represent the wind direction. The parameters of each distribution model are estimated by use of the EM algorithm, and the optimal model is determined by the values of $R^2$ statistic and the Akaike's information criterion (AIC). The results indicate that the stochastic properties of the wind field around the bridge site during typhoons are effectively characterized by the proposed EM algorithm-based angular-linear modeling approach. The formulated joint distribution of the wind speed and direction can serve as a solid foundation for the purpose of accurately evaluating the typhoon-induced fatigue damage of long-span bridges.

Joint Distribution of Wave Crest and its Associated Period in Nonlinear Random Waves (비선형 파동계에서의 파고와 주기 결합 확률분포)

  • Park, Su Ho;Cho, Yong Jun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
    • /
    • v.31 no.5
    • /
    • pp.278-293
    • /
    • 2019
  • The joint distribution of wave height and period has been maltreated despite of its great engineering value due to the absence of any analytical model for wave period, and as a result, no consensus has been reached about the effect of nonlinearity on these joint distribution. On the other hand, there was a great deal of efforts to study the effects of non-linearity on the wave height distribution over the last decades, and big strides has been made. However, these achievements has not been extended to the joint distribution of wave height and period. In this rationale, we first express the joint distribution of wave height and period as the product of the marginal distribution of wave heights with the conditional distribution of associated periods, and proceed to derive the joint distribution of wave heights and periods utilizing the models of Longuet-Higgins (1975, 1983), and Cavanie et al. (1976) for conditional distribution of wave periods, and height distribution derived in this study. The verification was carried out using numerically simulated data based on the Wallops spectrum, and the nonlinear wave data obtained via the numerical simulation of random waves approaching toward the uniform beach of 1:15 slope. It turns out that the joint distribution based on the height distribution for finite banded nonlinear waves, and Cavanie et al.'s model (1976) is most promising.