• 제목/요약/키워드: Housing Demand Estimation

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신규 주택단지 전력수요 산정 기준 정립 (Criterion Thesis for Estimation of Power Demand in New Housing Development)

  • 최상봉;남기영;김대경;정성환;류희석
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2002년도 추계학술대회 논문집 전력기술부문
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    • pp.145-147
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    • 2002
  • Recently, according to business conditions ;in domestic are beginning to liven up, there is a lively discussion about new housing construction around the center of the Metropolitan area. It is considerable difficult for estimation of power demand exactly to expand power facilities in these area. However. criterion thesis for estimation of power demand which has been applied in present condition is already passed through the 10 years, the reliability to calculate power demand in these area go down far away. Accordingly, it is raised for methodology to evaluate new type of power demand in new housing development in domestic. This paper presents new criterion thesis for estimation of power demand in new housing development through survey and analysis in example area.

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Study on the Method of Analyzing Effective Demand for Housing Using RIR

  • Youngwoo KIM;SunJu KIM
    • 융합경영연구
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.23-33
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    • 2024
  • This study aims to enhance the accuracy of effective demand analysis for publicly supported private rental housing by integrating the RIR into the traditional Mankiw-Weil (MW) model. Traditional models like the M-W model, which account for household income, housing costs, and household size, often fall short in estimating demand driven by large-scale development projects. By integrating the RIR factor, this study introduces a more accurate and practical approach to analyzing effective housing demand. Findings show that the modified M-W model incorporating RIR predicts effective demand with greater precision than traditional methods. This advancement allows developers to plan projects more efficiently and aids governments and local authorities in implementing more effective housing policies. Furthermore, the study assesses the real housing cost burden on households, elucidating their capacity to pay housing costs based on household size and income quintile. This information enables policymakers to design targeted housing support policies for specific demographic groups. Additionally, the research provides comprehensive policy recommendations tailored to various regions and housing types. Overall, this study lays a vital groundwork for the long-term analysis of the effects of economic changes and housing market trends on effective demand.

A Study on Car Ownership Forecasting Model using Category Analysis at High Density Mixed Use District in Subway Area

  • Kim, Tae-Gyun;Byun, Wan-Hee;Lee, Young-Hoon
    • 토지주택연구
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    • 제2권3호
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    • pp.217-226
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    • 2011
  • The Seoul Metropolitan Government is striving to minimize the amount of traffic according to the supply of apartment houses along with the solution of housing shortage for the low income people through high density development near the subway area. Therefore, a stronger policy is necessary to control the traffic of the passenger cars in a subway area for the successful high density development focusing on public transportation, and especially, the estimation of the demand of cars with high reliability is necessary to control the demand of parking such as the limited supply of parking lot. Accordingly, this study developed car ownership forecasting model using Look-up Table among category analyses which are easy to be applied and have high reliability. The estimation method using Look-up-Table is possible to be applied to both measurable and immeasurable types, easy to accumulate data, and features the flexible responding depending on the changes of conditions. This study established Look-up-Table model through the survey of geographical location, the scale of housing, the accessible distance to a subway station and to a bus station, the number of bus routes, and the number of car owned with data regarding 242 blocks in Seoul City as subjects.

인구구조 상이점에 의해 본 지역별 주택수요예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Estimation of the Housing Demand in Different Local Areas in Relation with the Differents of Population Structure)

  • 배정인
    • 한국주거학회논문집
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.33-42
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    • 1995
  • At the moment the housing demand needs estimated at the level of provinces and big cities. But at the level of small cities and smaller administrative unit like Goon, it is not, for lack of appropriate estimating method. Therefore it is very much required to develope appropriate estimating method at such levels. This study is an attempt to apply to some local areas the estimating method developed by Professor Miyqke of Japan as is suggested in his article. "How to Estimate the Housing Demand in Relation with the Different of Poulation Structure." The result shows that the applied local areas showed repective characteristics distinguished from one another in the pattern of housing demand, to prove the approprateness of the method when applied to the areas at the level of small cities and Goons.

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택지개발지구의 주택 수요권역 실증 연구: 수도권을 중심으로 (A Study on the Demand Zone of Housing for New Town: Focused on Seoul Metropolitan Area)

  • 김종림;조한진;소순우
    • 토지주택연구
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    • 제6권3호
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    • pp.107-115
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구는 도시재생사업이 본격적으로 추진됨에 따라 도시재생전략계획 수립, 도시재생활성화지역 지정, 그리고 도시재생활성화계획 수립에 필요한 기초 DB 구축 및 도시재생사업의 평가 모니터링 방안 도출을 목적으로 한다. 연구과정은 13개 선도지역의 공모제안서 및 13개 선도지역 중 도시재생활성화계획을 수립하고 있는 4개 지역(서울, 창원, 부산, 영주)의 도시재생활성화계획(안)을 토대로 기초 DB 및 평가 모니터링 지표를 검토하였다. 연구결과 선도지역 도시재생사업의 평가모니터링을 위해서 다음과 같은 방안이 도출되었다. 첫째, 도시재생사업의 원활한 추진을 위한 재생전략 활성화계획 수립을 지원하고, 나아가 재생 활성화 사업과 각종 도시재생사업을 체계적으로 관리할 수 있는 종합정보체계가 필요하다. 둘째, 도시재생사업 진행에 대한 모니터링이 보다 제도화되어야 한다. 셋째, 전략계획 및 활성화계획의 수립과정에서 도시 또는 군기본계획 관리계획과 연계성 확보가 필요하다. 마지막으로 상향식(Bottom-up) 도시재생사업에 적합한 모듈화 계획의 도입과 평가가 필요하다.

충남 신혼부부의 공공임대주택 수요 추정과 정책적 함의 (The Estimation of the Demand of Newly Married Couples for Public Rental Housing in Chungnam)

  • 홍성효;임준홍
    • 토지주택연구
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.11-22
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    • 2022
  • 본 논문은 충남 신혼부부의 공공임대주택에 대한 수요를 추정한다. 이는 조사자료와 행정자료를 연계하여 분석함으로써 자료의 한계를 일정 부분 극복한다는 점에서 관련 선행연구와 차별화될 수 있다. 먼저, 충남사회조사 2019년 자료를 이용한 신혼부부의 공공임대주택 입주의향에 대한 이항로짓모형 추정결과는 거주지, 학력수준, 주택유형, 차가 주택점유 여부가 통계적으로 유의한 영향을 미침을 제시한다. 추정된 계수들을 행정을 위한 통계청의 신혼부부통계에 연결하여, 충남 신혼부부의 공공임대주택에 대한 수요량을 추정할 수 있다. 추정결과에 의하면, 충남 전체 신혼부부 43,705쌍의 공공임대주택에 대한 수요는 11,424호이며, 차가주택을 점유하고 있는 신혼부부 21,685쌍에 의한 수요는 9,436호로 추정된다. 향후, 충남도에서 신혼부부를 대상으로 공공임대주택을 공급하고자 하는 주된 이유가 이들의 출산율을 제고하기 위함임을 고려할 때, 공급에 따른 출산율 제고의 효과에 대한 추정을 고민할 필요가 있을 것이다. 다만, 공공임대주택에 대한 수요와 자녀 출산 간 나타날 수 있는 내생성 문제를 통제하기 위한 방법론에 대한 고민이 필요할 것이다.

ANALYZING THE EFFECT OF THE RESIDENCE AND REAL ESTATE POLICIES ON HOUSING PRICE

  • Jin-Ho Noh;Jae-jun Kim;Sun-Sik Kim;Eun-Jin Ahn;Hye-In Lee;Yoon-Sun Lee
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 2th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.490-497
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    • 2007
  • Since the foreign currency crisis, Korean economy has suffered recession and the government launches residence and real estate policy in order to increase the demand and trade of real estate and to help the economy revitalization. 1 As a result, the rate of economy growth is shown the high increase with the figure of 10.9% in 1999 and 8.8% in 2000. However, it brings overheating market as a negative effect. Although, the government established the policy for the control of speculation, the policy causes instability of economy. This study is to analyze the effect between the residence policy and the housing cost since the foreign currency crisis through housing sale price estimation and housing lease price estimation and is to apply the basis data of the next residence policy.

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거주자 구성유형 및 소득수준에 따른 주거용 건물 내 전력소비성향 (Characteristics of Electric-Power Use in Residential Building by Family Composition and Their Income Level)

  • 서현철;홍원화;남경목
    • 한국주거학회논문집
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    • 제23권6호
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    • pp.31-38
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, we draws tendency of the electricity consumption in residential buildings according to inhabitants Composition types and the level of incomes. it is necessary to reduce energy cost and keep energy security through the electricity demand forecasting and management technology. Progressive social change such as increases of single household, the aging of society, increases in the income level will replace the existing residential electricity demand pattern. However, Only with conventional methods that using only the energy consumption per-unit area are based on Energy final consumption data can not respond to those social and environmental change. To develop electricity demand estimation model that can cope flexibly to changes in the social and environmental, In this paper researches propensity of electricity consumption according to the type of residents configuration, the level of income. First, we typed form of inhabitants in residential that existed in Korea. after that we calculated hourly electricity consumption for each type through National Time-Use Survey performed at the National Statistical Office with considering overlapping behavior. Household appliances and retention standards according to income level is also considered.

상업용지 수요추정기법 비교분석 연구: 수도권 신도시 사례를 중심으로 (Comparative Analysis on the Demand Estimation Method of Commercial Site: Focused on the Case of New Towns in Korea)

  • 이상준;윤정중
    • 토지주택연구
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    • 제3권4호
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    • pp.343-355
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    • 2012
  • 본 연구의 목적은 합리적인 신도시 상업용지 수요추정을 위한 실무차원의 개선사항을 도출하는 것이다. 이를 위해 수도권 1 2기 신도시에 적용된 수요추정과정의 문제점을 분석하여 적용 오류를 최소화하고 추정결과의 객관성을 향상기키기 위한 방안을 제시하였다. 사례조사결과 첫째, 수요추정 기법은 유사사례를 비교하거나 계획적 경험치를 기준으로 상업용지를 총량적으로 추정하는 비례법과 계량적 분석에 의한 적산법으로 유형을 구분할 수 있었다. 둘째, 대부분 사례에서 복수의 수요추정기법을 활용하고 있으나, 실무에 적용이 용이한 상권구매력과 비교유추법을 주로 사용하였으며, 2기신도시에서는 원단위법 활용빈도가 증가하고 있는 것으로 나타났다. 수요추정과정에서 나타난 일반적인 오류로는 첫째, 상업용지의 입지 위계를 고려하지 못하거나, 복합개발 등 토지이용변화에 대한 고려가 미흡하였다. 둘째, 비례법의 경우 비교군 오류 또는 관련 지표의 일률적 적용, 적산법의 경우 상권 설정시 임의적 개입으로 인한 추정오류 가능성이 있었다. 셋째, 추정결과의 자의적 보정 사례가 빈번하여 신뢰도가 낮아질 우려가 있었다. 따라서 이를 개선하고 후속계획에서의 활용도 제고를 위해서는 자의적 상권설정 지양, 개발여건을 고려한 비교군 설정, 추정결과에 대한 객관적 보정 근거 제시 등이 요구된다.

공동주택 변압기용량 적정 산정을 위한 수용률 개선 및 사례 연구를 통한 경제성 평가 (The Study on Estimation of The Transformer Capacity of Housing and Economic Evaluation Using Case Studies)

  • 이윤상;서정열;신희상;조성민;김재철
    • 조명전기설비학회논문지
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    • 제24권9호
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    • pp.142-149
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    • 2010
  • Interest in energy efficiency and savings have been rising internationally. For this reason, the domestic housing construction in the area of power equipment is being actively studied. Currently approximately 400,000 per year of domestic housing is being built. Applies to housing construction during the current transformer capacity low utilization and load factor has been applied has been designed. In other words, excessively high reserve capacity has been applied. According to this problem, initial facility costs and power losses will cause because transformer low utilization be appropriated. Thus, the energy efficiency drops. In this paper, analysis of past utilization of the housing transformer, and applying an appropriate demand factor has been analyzing the energy loss reduction. this analysis of current domestic conditions for the proper housing transformer scheme is to calculate the capacity.