• Title/Summary/Keyword: Housing Demand Estimation

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Criterion Thesis for Estimation of Power Demand in New Housing Development (신규 주택단지 전력수요 산정 기준 정립)

  • Choi, Sang-Bong;Nam, Ki-Young;Kim, Dae-Kyeong;Jeong, Seong-Hwan;Ryoo, Hee-Seok
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2002.11b
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    • pp.145-147
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    • 2002
  • Recently, according to business conditions ;in domestic are beginning to liven up, there is a lively discussion about new housing construction around the center of the Metropolitan area. It is considerable difficult for estimation of power demand exactly to expand power facilities in these area. However. criterion thesis for estimation of power demand which has been applied in present condition is already passed through the 10 years, the reliability to calculate power demand in these area go down far away. Accordingly, it is raised for methodology to evaluate new type of power demand in new housing development in domestic. This paper presents new criterion thesis for estimation of power demand in new housing development through survey and analysis in example area.

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Study on the Method of Analyzing Effective Demand for Housing Using RIR

  • Youngwoo KIM;SunJu KIM
    • The Journal of Economics, Marketing and Management
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.23-33
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    • 2024
  • This study aims to enhance the accuracy of effective demand analysis for publicly supported private rental housing by integrating the RIR into the traditional Mankiw-Weil (MW) model. Traditional models like the M-W model, which account for household income, housing costs, and household size, often fall short in estimating demand driven by large-scale development projects. By integrating the RIR factor, this study introduces a more accurate and practical approach to analyzing effective housing demand. Findings show that the modified M-W model incorporating RIR predicts effective demand with greater precision than traditional methods. This advancement allows developers to plan projects more efficiently and aids governments and local authorities in implementing more effective housing policies. Furthermore, the study assesses the real housing cost burden on households, elucidating their capacity to pay housing costs based on household size and income quintile. This information enables policymakers to design targeted housing support policies for specific demographic groups. Additionally, the research provides comprehensive policy recommendations tailored to various regions and housing types. Overall, this study lays a vital groundwork for the long-term analysis of the effects of economic changes and housing market trends on effective demand.

A Study on Car Ownership Forecasting Model using Category Analysis at High Density Mixed Use District in Subway Area

  • Kim, Tae-Gyun;Byun, Wan-Hee;Lee, Young-Hoon
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.2 no.3
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    • pp.217-226
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    • 2011
  • The Seoul Metropolitan Government is striving to minimize the amount of traffic according to the supply of apartment houses along with the solution of housing shortage for the low income people through high density development near the subway area. Therefore, a stronger policy is necessary to control the traffic of the passenger cars in a subway area for the successful high density development focusing on public transportation, and especially, the estimation of the demand of cars with high reliability is necessary to control the demand of parking such as the limited supply of parking lot. Accordingly, this study developed car ownership forecasting model using Look-up Table among category analyses which are easy to be applied and have high reliability. The estimation method using Look-up-Table is possible to be applied to both measurable and immeasurable types, easy to accumulate data, and features the flexible responding depending on the changes of conditions. This study established Look-up-Table model through the survey of geographical location, the scale of housing, the accessible distance to a subway station and to a bus station, the number of bus routes, and the number of car owned with data regarding 242 blocks in Seoul City as subjects.

A Study on the Estimation of the Housing Demand in Different Local Areas in Relation with the Differents of Population Structure (인구구조 상이점에 의해 본 지역별 주택수요예측에 관한 연구)

  • JeongInBae
    • Journal of the Korean housing association
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.33-42
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    • 1995
  • At the moment the housing demand needs estimated at the level of provinces and big cities. But at the level of small cities and smaller administrative unit like Goon, it is not, for lack of appropriate estimating method. Therefore it is very much required to develope appropriate estimating method at such levels. This study is an attempt to apply to some local areas the estimating method developed by Professor Miyqke of Japan as is suggested in his article. "How to Estimate the Housing Demand in Relation with the Different of Poulation Structure." The result shows that the applied local areas showed repective characteristics distinguished from one another in the pattern of housing demand, to prove the approprateness of the method when applied to the areas at the level of small cities and Goons.

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A Study on the Demand Zone of Housing for New Town: Focused on Seoul Metropolitan Area (택지개발지구의 주택 수요권역 실증 연구: 수도권을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Jong-Lim;Cho, Han-Jin;So, Soon-Woo
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.107-115
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    • 2015
  • Recently one of interest concern in domestic housing market is to reduce the difference of supply and demand. Exact demand estimation by accurate demand region is a essential cue to reduce the gap. This empirical study compared the data of housing subscriber's real address with estimated demand area on household movement, which are applied by advanced studies. This empirical case data is related to 3 housing development districts in metropolitan area. As a result, This study found that the real demand area has a more widened coverage compared with those of household movement one. For to establish exact demand area, we found, more complementary considerations should be taken. Especially some factors such as distance between a project site and downtown of Seoul Metropolitan City, locational competitiveness on main demand and behind demand, and development scale are more considerable variables. In additionally, we found the demand areas are influenced by housing rental types, sizes and the real estate business trends. And also, this study found those factors should be considered with housing price and locational competitiveness.

The Estimation of the Demand of Newly Married Couples for Public Rental Housing in Chungnam (충남 신혼부부의 공공임대주택 수요 추정과 정책적 함의)

  • Hong, Sung-Hyo;Im, Jun-Hong
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.11-22
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    • 2022
  • This paper estimates the demand of newly married couples for public rental housing in Chungnam. This research attempts to overcome data limitations by linking survey data with administrative data for analysis. First, the results of a binary logit model that analyzes newly married couples' intention to move into public rental housing, based on the Chungnam Social Survey 2019, reveal that residential location, educational level, housing type, and tenure type have a statistically significant effect. By combining the estimated coefficients with another dataset, the statistics of newly married couples for administration purposes acquired from Statistics Korea, this research estimates the demand for public rental housing among the newly married couples in Chungnam. The estimation results show that the total demand for public rental housing in Chungnam is 11,424 units among 43,705 newly married couples. The total demand of 21,685 newly married couples who occupy rental housing is estimated to be 9,436 units. The policy for providing public rental housing to newly married couples in Chungnam aims to increase their fertility rates. Hence, further research should be followed up to evaluate the effect of the supply of public rental housing on fertility rates. Also, a research method should be developed to control for possible endogeneity between the demand for public rental housing and childbirths.

ANALYZING THE EFFECT OF THE RESIDENCE AND REAL ESTATE POLICIES ON HOUSING PRICE

  • Jin-Ho Noh;Jae-jun Kim;Sun-Sik Kim;Eun-Jin Ahn;Hye-In Lee;Yoon-Sun Lee
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2007.03a
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    • pp.490-497
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    • 2007
  • Since the foreign currency crisis, Korean economy has suffered recession and the government launches residence and real estate policy in order to increase the demand and trade of real estate and to help the economy revitalization. 1 As a result, the rate of economy growth is shown the high increase with the figure of 10.9% in 1999 and 8.8% in 2000. However, it brings overheating market as a negative effect. Although, the government established the policy for the control of speculation, the policy causes instability of economy. This study is to analyze the effect between the residence policy and the housing cost since the foreign currency crisis through housing sale price estimation and housing lease price estimation and is to apply the basis data of the next residence policy.

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Characteristics of Electric-Power Use in Residential Building by Family Composition and Their Income Level (거주자 구성유형 및 소득수준에 따른 주거용 건물 내 전력소비성향)

  • Seo, Hyun-Cheol;Hong, Won-Hwa;Nam, Gyeong-Mok
    • Journal of the Korean housing association
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.31-38
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, we draws tendency of the electricity consumption in residential buildings according to inhabitants Composition types and the level of incomes. it is necessary to reduce energy cost and keep energy security through the electricity demand forecasting and management technology. Progressive social change such as increases of single household, the aging of society, increases in the income level will replace the existing residential electricity demand pattern. However, Only with conventional methods that using only the energy consumption per-unit area are based on Energy final consumption data can not respond to those social and environmental change. To develop electricity demand estimation model that can cope flexibly to changes in the social and environmental, In this paper researches propensity of electricity consumption according to the type of residents configuration, the level of income. First, we typed form of inhabitants in residential that existed in Korea. after that we calculated hourly electricity consumption for each type through National Time-Use Survey performed at the National Statistical Office with considering overlapping behavior. Household appliances and retention standards according to income level is also considered.

Comparative Analysis on the Demand Estimation Method of Commercial Site: Focused on the Case of New Towns in Korea (상업용지 수요추정기법 비교분석 연구: 수도권 신도시 사례를 중심으로)

  • Lee, Sang-Jun;Yoon, Jeong-Joong
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.343-355
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this paper is to propose reasonable improvements of demand estimation methods of commercial site through the case study. Thus, we investigated the problems and limitation of demand estimation methods and process applied to primary and secondary new towns in Korea. And we suggested the way to reduce error of demand estimation and to raise its objectivity. The result of case analysis is as follows; firstly, it was insufficient to consider location, hierarchy and change of land use like mixed-use development in commercial site. Secondly, improper comparable group or operated relevant index data in the same light were selected the aggregated unit requirement method such as comparative analogy method and planning guidelines. Thirdly, there were many cases that demand estimation value was amended arbitrarily, and it tends to occur a serious reliability problem. Therefore, to improve these problems and to make better use of demand estimation hereafter are required the sublation of arbitrary commercial sphere's settings, the making of comparative group considered development conditions, and putting forward objective revision basis.

The Study on Estimation of The Transformer Capacity of Housing and Economic Evaluation Using Case Studies (공동주택 변압기용량 적정 산정을 위한 수용률 개선 및 사례 연구를 통한 경제성 평가)

  • Lee, Yun-Sang;Seo, Jung-Youl;Shin, Hee-Sang;Cho, Sung-Min;Kim, Jae-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.24 no.9
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    • pp.142-149
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    • 2010
  • Interest in energy efficiency and savings have been rising internationally. For this reason, the domestic housing construction in the area of power equipment is being actively studied. Currently approximately 400,000 per year of domestic housing is being built. Applies to housing construction during the current transformer capacity low utilization and load factor has been applied has been designed. In other words, excessively high reserve capacity has been applied. According to this problem, initial facility costs and power losses will cause because transformer low utilization be appropriated. Thus, the energy efficiency drops. In this paper, analysis of past utilization of the housing transformer, and applying an appropriate demand factor has been analyzing the energy loss reduction. this analysis of current domestic conditions for the proper housing transformer scheme is to calculate the capacity.