• 제목/요약/키워드: Gompertz

검색결과 198건 처리시간 0.023초

SAS JMP를 이용한 S형 소프트웨어 신뢰도 성장모델에서의 모수 추정에 관한 연구 (A study on the parameter estimation of S-Shaped Software Reliability Growth Models Using SAS JMP)

  • 문숙경
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.130-140
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    • 1998
  • Studies present a guide to parameter estimation of software reliability models using SAS JMP. In this paper, we consider only software reliability growth model(SRGM), where mean value function has a S-shaped growth curve, such as Yamada et al. model, and ohba inflection model. Besides these stochastic SRGM, deterministic SRGM's, by fitting Logistic and Gompertz growth curve, have been widely used to estimate the error content of software systems. Introductions or guide lines of JMP are concerned. Estimation of parameters of Yamada et al. model and Logistic model is accomplished by using JMP. The differences between Yamada et al. model and Logistic model is accomplished by using JMP. The differences between Yamada et al. model and Logistic model is discussed, along with the variability in the estimates or error sum of squares. This paper have shown that JMP can be an effective tool I these research.

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Kinetic Study of pH Effects on Biological Hydrogen Production by a Mixed Culture

  • Jun, Yoon-Sun;Yu, Seung-Ho;Ryu, Keun-Garp;Lee, Tae-Jin
    • Journal of Microbiology and Biotechnology
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    • 제18권6호
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    • pp.1130-1135
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    • 2008
  • The effect of pH on anaerobic hydrogen production was investigated under various pH conditions ranging from pH 3 to 10. When the modified Gompertz equation was applied to the statistical analysis of the experimental data, the hydrogen production potential and specific hydrogen production rate at pH 5 were 1,182 ml and 112.5 ml/g biomass-h, respectively. In this experiment, the maximum theoretical hydrogen conversion ratio was 22.56%. The Haldane equation model was used to find the optimum pH for hydrogen production and the maximum specific hydrogen production rate. The optimum pH predicted by this model is 5.5 and the maximum specific hydrogen production rate is 119.6 ml/g VSS-h. These data fit well with the experimented data($r^2=0.98$).

A Comparison of Technological Growth Models

  • Oh, Hyun-Seung;Moon, Gee-Ju
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.51-68
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    • 1994
  • Various growth models were each fitted onto the data sets in an attempt to determine which growth models achieved the best forecasts for differing types of growth data. Of six such models studied, some models do significantly better than others in predicting future levels of growth. It is recommened that Weibull and the Gompertz growth curve be considered along with Pearl model by those industries presently considering the implementation of substitution analysis in their life analysis. In the early stage of growth, linear estimation should suffice to give reasonable forecasts. In the latter stage, however, as more data become availavle, nonlinear estimation should be used.

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u-Transportation UVS 단말기 시장수요예측 (Forecasting Market Demand of u-Transportation Vehicle Sensor OBU)

  • 정언수;김원규;김민현;김병종;김송주
    • 정보통신설비학회논문지
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    • 제8권4호
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    • pp.157-162
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    • 2009
  • This study's purpose is to forecast the market demand of UVS (u-Transportation Vehicle Sensor) OBU (On-board Unit) of the ubiquitous Transportation. Bass model, Logistic model, and Gompertz model were used for the forecasting market demand. Firstly, this research focused on the market size for the u-T OBU. All three models were used for the market size prediction and the average values were used. The Bass model were calibrated and the market demand for the UVS OBU of the u-Transportation system were estimated using this model.

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등가재령에 의한 플라이애시 치환 시멘트 모르타르의 강도증진해석 (Estimation of Compressive strength of the Fly Ash Substitution cement mortar by Equivalent Age)

  • 손호정;정은봉;정상현;안상구;한천구;한민철
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2012년도 춘계 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.105-107
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    • 2012
  • This study was conducted to investigate the strength development of fly ash concrete using the strength development estimation for the ready mixed concrete for construction of nuclear reactors. The findings are as follows. First, the higher the curing temperature becomes, the shorter the setting time becomes. In addition, the compressive strength also increased as the curing temperature gets higher. The apparent activation energy derived from ASTM C 1074 showed 34.75 KJ/mol. The results of concrete strength estimation confirmed that Gompertz model formula has good accuracy.

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수학적 정량평가 모델을 이용한 두부의 유통기한 예측 모델의 개발 (Development of Shelf-life Prediction Model of Tofu Using Mathematical Quantitative Assessment Model)

  • 신일식
    • 식품산업과 영양
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.11-16
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    • 2005
  • 식물성 단백질의 주요 공급원이며 우리나라 전통식품 중의 하나인 두부의 유통기한을 정량적으로 예측할 수 있는 수학적 모델을 개발하고자 온도와 초기균수에 따른 두부 부패세균의 성장 실험 결과를 데이터베이스화하여 이를 바탕으로 균의 성장을 정량적으로 평가할 수 있는 수학적 모델을 개발하였다. 근의 증식 지표인 최대증식속도상수(k), 유도기(LT), 세대시간(GT)은 온도에 지배적인 영향을 받았으며, 초기균수에 따른 유의 적 인 차이 는 없었다(p<0.05). 최대증식속도상수와 온도 및 초기균수의 상관관계를 나타내는 수학적 정량평가모델인 square root model을 이 용하여 두부 부패 세균의 성장을 정량적으로 예측할 수 있는 모델$({\surd}{\kappa}=0.016861(T+6.87095))$을 개발하였으며 실험치와 예측치의 상관계수는0.969이었다. 이 예측 정량평가모델로부터 예측한 최대증식속도상수와 두부의 관능적 부패시 점을 반영 한 Gompertz 변형 모델을 이용하여 두부의 유통기한을 예측할 수 있는 모델$(Spoilage-critrion(hr)=\frac{2{\times}Ln2+Ln[(Nmax/No)-1])}{k}$을 개발하였다

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고로슬래그 미분말의 치환율을 고려한 압축강도예측모델에 관한 실험적 연구 (An Experimental Study on the Prediction Model for the Compressive Strength of Concrete according to Replacement Ratio of Ground Granulated blast-furnace slag)

  • 양현민;박원준;이한승
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2013년도 춘계 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.89-90
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    • 2013
  • This study is to predict the compressive strength for the concrete of ground granulated blast-furnace slag, and use Plowman's, Gompertz's model. The results are as follows; The prediction compressive strength were simiar using Rastrup's equivalent age model. but The prediction compressive strength using Freiesleben's equivalent age model weren't simiar in bfs replacement Ratio of 50%, because it is analyzed as the activation energy.

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수소발효의 유기성 폐수 분해 특성 (Characteristics of Organic Wastewater Degradation on Hydrogen Fermentation)

  • 이영준
    • 한국환경보건학회지
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.1-5
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    • 2000
  • 연속형 혐기성처리 반응조에서 배양된 수소발생 슬러지를 이용하여 증온 조건에서 회분식 혐기성 처리방법으로 유기성 폐수로부터 전환되는 수소가스 및 대사산물들에 대한 연구를 수행하였다. 수소발생에 대한 기질로는 sucrose를 이용하였다. 처리과정에서 발생된 누적수소가스, 휘발성지방산(VFAs) 및 solvents는 Gompertz equation을 이용한 비선형회귀분석을 통하여 계산하였다. 처리과정 중 수소가스는 반응초기에 발생하였고, 발생된 가스내 수소가스가 차지하는 비율은 약 20%이었다. 반응 전과정에서 메탄가스는 발생하지 않았다. 비수소가스발생율은 sucrose 농도가 40 g/l일 때 0.956 ml/g VSs/h이었으며, sucrose 농도가 300g/l의 경우는 0.011 ml/g VSS/h이었다. 수소가 발생하는 기간 동안 VFAs의 생성은 acetate, butyrate의 순으로 높게 생성되었으나, propionate로의 전환은 발견되지 않았다. solvents의 경우 butanol이 가장 높게 발생하였다.

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비선형 최소자승법을 이용한 성장곡선 모형의 매개변수 추정시 초기값 설정 방법에 관한 연구 (Determination of starting values in estimating growth curves by using non-linear least squares)

  • 염세경;홍승표;강회일;김지수;전치혁
    • 산업공학
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.190-197
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    • 2001
  • Growth curves including Logistic and Gompertz functions are widely used in forecasting the market demand. To estimated the parameters of those functions, we use the non-linear least square method. However, it is difficult to set up the starting points for each parameter. If a wrong starting point is selected, the result reveals the local optimum or does not converge to a certain value. The purpose of this paper is to resolve the problem of selecting a starting point. Especially, rescaling the market data using the national economic index make it possible to figure out the range of parameters and to utilize the grid search method. Applications to some real data are also included.

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Assessing the Impact of Network Effects on Brand Choice in the Growth Market: A Multi-Brand Diffusion Model

  • Seungyoo Jeon
    • International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • 제15권4호
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    • pp.279-293
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    • 2023
  • This study investigates network effects to measure how strongly the early adopters affect the brand choice of the potential consumer. By using the Gumbel-Hougaard (GH) copula, this study checks the magnitude of network effects varied from country to country. To consider consumer heterogeneity and network effects in the growth market, this study proposes the multi-brand Gamma/Shifted-Gompertz (m-G/SG) model based on the GH copula. Out of eighteen Western European cellular phone market data and South Korea smartphone data sets, the m-G/SG model provides an improvement in the estimation accuracy over the Libai, Muller, and Peres model. The results show that network effects enhance (i) the polarization of brand choice probabilities as time elapses; (ii) the dominance of the more preferred and the earlier entered brand; and (iii) the deceleration of category-level diffusion. Potential followers can analyze their relationship with earlier entrants through the m-G/SG model and also establish an optimal market entry strategy.