• Title/Summary/Keyword: GNP

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Fractional Integration in the Context of Deterministic Trends

  • Gil-Alana, L.A.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.313-321
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    • 2004
  • In this article we show that the tests of Robinson (1994) may have serious problems in distinguishing between fractionally integrated processes in the context of deterministic trends. The results are obtained via Monte Carlo experiments. A simple procedure, based on the t-values of the coefficients from the differenced regression, is presented to correctly specify the time series of interest and, an empirical application, using data of the US GNP is also carried out at the end of the article.

전국 장래 승용차 보유대수 추정에 관한 연구

  • 원제무;홍성표;유정복
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.5-18
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    • 1989
  • Understanding the future level of car ownership is essential in order to formulate various transportation policies. Despite its importance, however, a revies of literature indicates that previous studies treated car ownership as a linear function of income, GNP, degree of urbanization and etc. more detaild and accurate models of car ownership should be possible if information on major variables determining car ownership can be gathered. In this paper, three approaches have been chosen to develop mathematical models to predict future increase in car ownership in Korea. The three methords developed are : income distribution methords ; multiple regression models ; forecasting curves.

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A Study on the Application of Survival Analysis to Terminated Life Insurance Polices

  • Kang, Jung-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.237-253
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    • 2005
  • In Korea, the volume of insurance industry has been increased rapidly with helping the economic growth, the increment of GNP and derive of public welfare policy. But the other side of the volume increment, the life insurers have some problems, such as the high rate of turnover, lapses and surrenders, in processing of acquiring more insurance contracts. The object of this paper is the analysis of the causes and properties of the high rate of turnover, lapses and surrenders using statistical survival model. Also we hope that the insurers will use the results of analysis to reduce the rates.

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Demand Forecast of Industrial Research and Development Manpower (연구개발 인력의 산업별 수요 예측)

  • Seo, In-Seok;Kim, Ji-Soo;Kim, Dong-Mook
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.47-60
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    • 1992
  • Korean government plans to expand R & D expenditures to 39.8 billion dollars (5 percent of GNP) and to secure 150,000 R & D manpower (30 per 10,000 population) until 2001. This paper deals with industrial research and development manpower and is to forecast the demand of science and technology manpower to keep pace with the economic development goals which includes advancement of science and technology. This is composed of two parts. The first part is the review of the basic concepts of this research while the second one projects and overall future demand of science and technology manpower.

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러시아 HVAC설계체험 -Hotel & Business centre Phase 1을 중심으로-

  • 허종구
    • The Magazine of the Society of Air-Conditioning and Refrigerating Engineers of Korea
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    • v.33 no.8
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    • pp.48-55
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    • 2004
  • 노동자 농민이 주체가 되는 세상 공산주의가 몰락하고 자본주의로 급진전향하면서 한때 혼란과 IMF를 겪는 등 어려움은 있었으나 스라브 민족적 저력과 엄청난 부존자원(석유, 가스)의 뒷받침으로 러시아 경제는 2003년도 GNP 7% 성장, 2004년도 상반기 200억불의 무역흑자와, 서방선진국 회원이 되는 등, 신속히 안정과 성장의 자리 매김을 하고 있다. 현재 러시아에는 서방선진 투자가들이 러시아의 상대적 저임금과 미래성장가능성에 대비 마지막 기회의 땅으로 보고 시장 선점차원에서 많은 투자가 이루어지고 있다. (중략)

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Comparative Study of the Health Status of Two Koreas (남북한 주민의 건강수준 비교연구)

  • 김영치
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.155-182
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    • 1997
  • Objectives : This study was designed to compare North Korea and South Korea in measures of the quality of life (physical quality of life index and human development index) and to investigate the impact of selected medical and socioeconomic factors on PQL variables. Data and Methods : The World Bank, the United Nations Development Programme, and Population Reference Bureau were the principal sources of statistical data of 121 countries. Variables included infant mortality, life expectancy at birth, literacy rate, secondary school enrollment (male and female), GNP per capita, population per doctor, daily calorie supply per capita, and a composite PQL index. The Ordinary Least Square model was employed for cross-countries analysis. Findings : Both countries under quite different political and economic systems saw big improvememts in the quality of life, reducing mortality and prolonging life expectancy during the past three decades. In recent decad, however, North Korea has experienced abrupt exacerbation in the quality of life. Significant improvements in infant mortality of the population wer attributable mainly to GNP per capita and the secondary school enrollemt of female. The principal predictors of life expectancy at birth were population per doctor, infant mortality, and literacy rate. The secondary school enrollment of female and population per doctor were significantly associated with improvements in the physical quality of life index (PQLI). Conclusion : The results of this study confirmed a point illustrated by other studies : The association between quality of life as a measure of health status and socioeconomic factors was strong and positive. The important contribution of educational attainment in general, female education level in particular to improvements in the quality of life deserves good news for building an integrated health care system in the reunified Korea, taking into account the high level of education two koreas are enjoying. Meanwhile, when a sharp drop in the quality of life has been observed in North Korea under serious economic difficulties and food shortage in recent decade, the significant contribution of economic development to improvements in the quality of life poses bad nows for reunifying Korean health care in economic terms.

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Analysis of Paper Demand-Supply in Korea (한국(韓国)의 지류(紙類) 수급분석(需給分析))

  • Park, Myong Kyu;Park, Suck Hee
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.50 no.1
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    • pp.16-24
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    • 1980
  • The purpose of this study is to analyse the demand-supply structure and its trend of the paper production in Korea. The ratio of paper was calculated to analyse the demand-supply structure. The cross-section and the time series analysis were adopted to analyse the demand-supply trend. The results obtained are summarized as follows: 1. In consumption ratio of paper the board paper was the highest, in export ratio the print paper was the highest. 2. In 1979, the consumption of paper was 45kg/capita, which were very high value comparing with the level of gross national products in Korea. 3. The elasticity of income and price in paper consumption per capita was 1.67 and -0.73, respectively. The more the GNP increases, the more the industrial paper demand rises rapidly.

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Causes of Waste Problem and Strategics for Recycling in Economic Aspect (폐기물의 처리 및 재활용의 문제점과 대책)

  • 박대문
    • Journal of environmental and Sanitary engineering
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.49-64
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    • 1993
  • The present waste problems require a change of thinking with regard to conventional economics. It has been generally believed that competitive markets maximize social welfare. But, the other hand, a few economists argue that "the competitive markets cannot always be relied on to provide all goods in the efficient amount." One of the best examples of the latter contention is the environmental problem. What is the basic thinking of the conventional economics that causes this problems \ulcorner What is the present problem that requires the change of conventional economic thinking \ulcorner The environmental problem result from the conventional economic thinking such as pursuing the limitless of the Gross National Product(GNP), believing the increasing returns in economics of scale and the efficiency of competitive market. This economic principles, howe- ver, does not apply currently to public goods, especially environmental amenity and natural resource because the price of markets does not reflect the natural goods of services. We call this eternality. Externalizes are no considered by either buyers or sellers of goods of which production or use results in an eternality. This leads to market failure are causes an waste problem in the economic activities. Today, it is almost impossible to say in a word what the solution for waste problems is because they are by-products complicated and entangled human activities. In this paper, I have introduced the causes of environmental problems only from the economic point of view. I have also described the needs of conversion of conventional economic thinking. Firstly, sustainable development, maintaining the natural resources, should be the basis of the economic growth rather that pursuing the limitless growth of GNP. Secondly, an appropriate scale of human's production activity should be taken into account to reduce the impact to the natural environment. Thirdly, internalization of eternality is asked to correct the market failure. This requires the public policy such as imposing a talsubsidy, assigning a property right or implement a more detailed environmental quality standard through, because use of the natural resources can be. allocated optimally by the intervention of government or social associations.

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A Study on Synthesis of $La_{x}Sr_{1-x}GaO_{3}$ Electrode Material for High Temperature Steam Electrolysis (고온 수증기 전해용 $La_{x}Sr_{1-x}GaO_{3}$ 전극 재료의 합성 연구)

  • Park, Mi-Sun;Ryu, Si-Ok;Woo, Sang-Kook;Park, Young-Tae;Choi, Ho-Sang
    • Transactions of the Korean hydrogen and new energy society
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.432-438
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, we synthesized LSG powder by Modified-GNP method. Lanthanum, strontium and gallium (LSG) were selected in the preparation of an oxygen-electrode (anode) for High Temperature Steam Electrolysis system (HTSE). The used amount and concentration of nitric acid were varied to find out an appropriate composition for oxygen-electrode (anode). In order to optimize the molar ratio of La and Sr, ratio of La to Sr was varied that 2:8, 5:5 and 8:2. The combined LSGs were calcined for 2 hours at $700^{\circ}C$ and were sintered in a furnace for 4 hours at $1200^{\circ}C$. The phase and crystallinity of LSG powder were determined by XRD. The surface morphology was observed through SEM photograph, and the specific surface area was investigated with BET. The thermochemical property was determined by TG/DTA. The synthesized preparation was obtained of $La_{0.8}Sr_{0.2}GaO_{3}$ formula for 3M nitric acid, which was the best perovskite phase.

CGE 모형을 이용한 다목적댐 운영의 경제파급효과분석: 용수공급기능을 중심으로

  • Jeong, Gi-Ho;Kim, Jae-Hyeon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.129-156
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    • 2012
  • This study analyzes the contribution to the national economy of the stable water supply through managing multi-purpose dam. For the analysis, we consider 17 major multi-purpose dams and build a CGE model with summer water and winter water being the production factors as the base year of 2007. We analyze the economic impact of meeting water demand due to the dam management and estimate the risk premium of reducing the uncertainty of water supply. The analysis results show a significant production decrease in the industries of agriculture, forestry and fisheries and tap water as well as the food and beverage industry using the former industries' output as intermediates in the production and show an production increase largely in steel industry and electronic and electrical industries. Being compared to the benchmark solution, GNP is analyzed as being reduced by 0.22~0.68%. Meanwhile, the risk premium is estimated to be about 4 billion to 24 billion won for the value 01 the measure of relative risk aversion in the range 01 0.5 to 3.0.

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