• 제목/요약/키워드: Fuzzy regression analysis

검색결과 94건 처리시간 0.026초

A comparative study on applicability and efficiency of machine learning algorithms for modeling gamma-ray shielding behaviors

  • Bilmez, Bayram;Toker, Ozan;Alp, Selcuk;Oz, Ersoy;Icelli, Orhan
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제54권1호
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    • pp.310-317
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    • 2022
  • The mass attenuation coefficient is the primary physical parameter to model narrow beam gamma-ray attenuation. A new machine learning based approach is proposed to model gamma-ray shielding behavior of composites alternative to theoretical calculations. Two fuzzy logic algorithms and a neural network algorithm were trained and tested with different mixture ratios of vanadium slag/epoxy resin/antimony in the 0.05 MeV-2 MeV energy range. Two of the algorithms showed excellent agreement with testing data after optimizing adjustable parameters, with root mean squared error (RMSE) values down to 0.0001. Those results are remarkable because mass attenuation coefficients are often presented with four significant figures. Different training data sizes were tried to determine the least number of data points required to train sufficient models. Data set size more than 1000 is seen to be required to model in above 0.05 MeV energy. Below this energy, more data points with finer energy resolution might be required. Neuro-fuzzy models were three times faster to train than neural network models, while neural network models depicted low RMSE. Fuzzy logic algorithms are overlooked in complex function approximation, yet grid partitioned fuzzy algorithms showed excellent calculation efficiency and good convergence in predicting mass attenuation coefficient.

CEO 핵심역량 구조분석 (Structure Analysis for Core Competency of CEO)

  • 박영만;황승국
    • 한국지능시스템학회논문지
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.85-90
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    • 2015
  • 본 논문은 중소기업의 CEO의 핵심역량 24개를 FSM을 이용하여 구조분석을 하고 5개의 그룹으로 분류하였다. 또한 CEO의 업무별로 CEO의 업무능력과 핵심역량과의 관련성을 파악하기 위해 회귀분석을 실시하였다. 본 논문의 특징은 중소기업 CEO의 역량에 대한 분류와 구조화를 통한 층별 상호간의 관계를 알 수 있고, CEO의 업무능력에 무슨 역량그룹이 영향을 주는지를 알 수 있게 해준다.

A framework of Multi Linear Regression based on Fuzzy Theory and Situation Awareness and its application to Beach Risk Assessment

  • Shin, Gun-Yoon;Hong, Sung-Sam;Kim, Dong-Wook;Hwang, Cheol-Hun;Han, Myung-Mook;Kim, Hwayoung;Kim, Young jae
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제14권7호
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    • pp.3039-3056
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    • 2020
  • Beaches have many risk factors that cause various accidents, such as drifting and drowning, these accidents have many risk factors. To analyze them, in this paper, we identify beach risk factors, and define the criteria and correlation for each risk factor. Then, we generate new risk factors based on Fuzzy theory, and define Situation Awareness for each time. Finally, we propose a beach risk assessment and prediction model based on linear regression using the calculated risk result and pre-defined risk factors. We use national public data of the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), and the Korea Hydrographic and Oceanographic Agency (KHOA). The results of the experiment showed the prediction accuracy of beach risk to be 0.90%, and the prediction accuracy of drifting and drowning accidents to be 0.89% and 0.86%, respectively. Also, through factor correlation analysis and risk factor assessment, the influence of each of the factors on beach risk can be confirmed. In conclusion, we confirmed that our proposed model can assess and predict beach risks.

퍼지 및 신경망 이론을 이용한 교통사고예측모형 개발에 관한 연구 (Development of Traffic Accidents Prediction Model With Fuzzy and Neural Network Theory)

  • 김장욱;남궁문;김정현;이수범
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제24권7호
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    • pp.81-90
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    • 2006
  • 교통사고를 줄이기 위한 방안으로써 교통사고와 다양한 요인과의 관계를 규명하는 것이 시급한 현실의 과제일 것이다. 본 연구에서는 전북권의 교통사고가 가장 많고, 치사율이 가장 높은 국도 17호선(전주-남원)를 대상으로 교통사고의 원인이 되는 다양한 요인들이 교통사고에 어느 정도 영향을 미치고 있는지에 대하여 교통안전분야에서 자주 사용되어오던 다중회귀이론, 수량화이론을 적용하여 교통사고예측모델을 구축하였다. 또한 데이터의 불확실성 상태를 합리적으로 처리할 수 있는 퍼지 추론이론 및 인간의 신경계를 수학적으로 모형화하여 학습에 의한 예측에 있어 뛰어난 것으로 알려져 있는 신경망이론을 적용한 교통사고예측모델을 구축하였다 이를 통해, 퍼지추론이론 및 신경망 이론의 유효성을 입증하고 교통사고분석 분야의 적용 타당성을 확인하는데 초점을 맞추고 있다.

Assessment of slope stability using multiple regression analysis

  • Marrapu, Balendra M.;Jakka, Ravi S.
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.237-254
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    • 2017
  • Estimation of slope stability is a very important task in geotechnical engineering. However, its estimation using conventional and soft computing methods has several drawbacks. Use of conventional limit equilibrium methods for the evaluation of slope stability is very tedious and time consuming, while the use of soft computing approaches like Artificial Neural Networks and Fuzzy Logic are black box approaches. Multiple Regression (MR) analysis provides an alternative to conventional and soft computing methods, for the evaluation of slope stability. MR models provide a simplified equation, which can be used to calculate critical factor of safety of slopes without adopting any iterative procedure, thereby reducing the time and complexity involved in the evaluation of slope stability. In the present study, a multiple regression model has been developed and tested its accuracy in the estimation of slope stability using real field data. Here, two separate multiple regression models have been developed for dry and wet slopes. Further, the accuracy of these developed models have been compared and validated with respect to conventional limit equilibrium methods in terms of Mean Square Error (MSE) & Coefficient of determination ($R^2$). As the developed MR models here are not based on any region specific data and covers wide range of parametric variations, they can be directly applied to any real slopes.

Integrated approach using well data and seismic attributes for reservoir characterization

  • Kim Ji- Yeong;Lim Jong-Se;Shin Sung-Ryul
    • 한국지구물리탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지구물리탐사학회 2003년도 Proceedings of the international symposium on the fusion technology
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    • pp.723-730
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    • 2003
  • In general, well log and core data have been utilized for reservoir characterization. These well data can provide valuable information on reservoir properties with high vertical resolution at well locations. While the seismic surveys cover large areas of field but give only indirect features about reservoir properties. Therefore it is possible to estimate the reservoir properties guided by seismic data on entire area if a relationship of seismic data and well data can be defined. Seismic attributes calculated from seismic surveys contain the particular reservoir features, so that they should be extracted and used properly according to the purpose of study. The method to select the suitable seismic attributes among enormous ones is needed. The stepwise regression and fuzzy curve analysis based on fuzzy logics are used for selecting the best attributes. The relationship can be utilized to estimate reservoir properties derived from seismic attributes. This methodology is applied to a synthetic seismogram and a sonic log acquired from velocity model. Seismic attributes calculated from the seismic data are reflection strength, instantaneous phase, instantaneous frequency and pseudo sonic logging data as well as seismic trace. The fuzzy curve analysis is used for choosing the best seismic attributes compared to sonic log as well data, so that seismic trace, reflection strength, instantaneous frequency, and pseudo sonic logging data are selected. The relationship between the seismic attribute and well data is found out by the statistical regression method and estimates the reliable well data at a specific field location derived from only seismic attributes. For a future work in this study, the methodology should be checked an applicability of the real fields with more complex and various reservoir features.

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가변 윈도우 기법을 적용한 통계적 공정 제어와 퍼지추론 기법을 이용한 소프트웨어 성능 변화의 빅 데이터 분석 (Big Data Analysis of Software Performance Trend using SPC with Flexible Moving Window and Fuzzy Theory)

  • 이동헌;박종진
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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    • 제18권11호
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    • pp.997-1004
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    • 2012
  • In enterprise software projects, performance issues have become more critical during recent decades. While developing software products, many performance tests are executed in the earlier development phase against the newly added code pieces to detect possible performance regressions. In our previous research, we introduced the framework to enable automated performance anomaly detection and reduce the analysis overhead for identifying the root causes, and showed Statistical Process Control (SPC) can be successfully applied to anomaly detection. In this paper, we explain the special performance trend in which the existing anomaly detection system can hardly detect the noticeable performance change especially when a performance regression is introduced and recovered again a while later. Within the fixed number of sampling period, the fluctuation gets aggravated and the lower and upper control limit get relaxed so that sometimes the existing system hardly detect the noticeable performance change. To resolve the issue, we apply dynamically tuned sampling window size based on the performance trend, and Fuzzy theory to find an appropriate size of the moving window.

Neuro-fuzzy and artificial neural networks modeling of uniform temperature effects of symmetric parabolic haunched beams

  • Yuksel, S. Bahadir;Yarar, Alpaslan
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제56권5호
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    • pp.787-796
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    • 2015
  • When the temperature of a structure varies, there is a tendency to produce changes in the shape of the structure. The resulting actions may be of considerable importance in the analysis of the structures having non-prismatic members. The computation of design forces for the non-prismatic beams having symmetrical parabolic haunches (NBSPH) is fairly difficult because of the parabolic change of the cross section. Due to their non-prismatic geometrical configuration, their assessment, particularly the computation of fixed-end horizontal forces and fixed-end moments becomes a complex problem. In this study, the efficiency of the Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference Systems (ANFIS) in predicting the design forces and the design moments of the NBSPH due to temperature changes was investigated. Previously obtained finite element analyses results in the literature were used to train and test the ANN and ANFIS models. The performances of the different models were evaluated by comparing the corresponding values of mean squared errors (MSE) and decisive coefficients ($R^2$). In addition to this, the comparison of ANN and ANFIS with traditional methods was made by setting up Linear-regression (LR) model.

Trend Monitoring of A Turbofan Engine for Long Endurance UAV Using Fuzzy Logic

  • Kong, Chang-Duk;Ki, Ja-Young;Oh, Seong-Hwan;Kim, Ji-Hyun
    • International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.64-70
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    • 2008
  • The UAV propulsion system that will be operated for long time at more than 40,000ft altitude should have not only fuel flow minimization but also high reliability and durability. If this UAV propulsion system may have faults, it is not easy to recover the system from the abnormal, and hence an accurate diagnostic technology must be needed to keep the operational reliability. For this purpose, the development of the health monitoring system which can monitor remotely the engine condition should be required. In this study, a fuzzy trend monitoring method for detecting the engine faults including mechanical faults was proposed through analyzing performance trends of measurement data. The trend monitoring is an engine conditioning method which can find engine faults by monitoring important measuring parameters such as fuel flow, exhaust gas temperatures, rotational speeds, vibration and etc. Using engine condition database as an input to be generated by linear regression analysis of real engine instrument data, an application of the fuzzy logic in diagnostics estimated the cause of fault in each component. According to study results. it was confirmed that the proposed trend monitoring method can improve reliability and durability of the propulsion system for a long endurance UAV to be operated at medium altitude.

자료 지향형 수위예측 모형의 비교 분석 (Comparison and analysis of data-derived stage prediction models)

  • 최승용;한건연;최현구
    • 한국습지학회지
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.547-565
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    • 2011
  • 수위예측을 위해 개념적, 물리적 모형들을 포함한 다양한 유형의 기법들이 사용되고 있다. 그럼에도 불구하고 이러한 기법들 중 수위예측을 위해 단일의 우수한 모형을 선정하는 것은 매우 어려운 일이다. 최근에는 수문학적 과정의 복잡성으로 인해 기존 물리적 기반의 강우-유출 모형이 가지고 있는 단점들을 극복하고자 자료 지향형 수위예측 모형이 널리 도입되고 있다. 본 연구의 목적은 이러한 자료 지향형 모형 중 뉴로-퍼지와 회귀분석 모형의 수위예측에 대한 성능을 비교하는 것이다. 제안된 두 모형을 한강수계의 왕숙천에 대해 적용하였다. 제안된 두 모형의 성능을 평가하기 위해 평균제곱근오차, Nash-Suttcliffe 효율계수, 평균절대오차, 수정 결정계수와 같이 4개의 통계지표들을 사용하였다. 모의결과 뉴로-퍼지 수위예측 모형이 다중선형회귀 수위예측 모형보다 좀 더 나은 예측 결과를 나타내는 것을 확인할 수 있었다. 본 연구결과는 향후 중소하천에서 충분한 선행시간을 확보한 정확도 높은 홍수정보시스템의 구축에 활용할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.