• Title/Summary/Keyword: Estimation of Energy

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Estimation of Employment Creation Center considering Spatial Autocorrelation: A Case of Changwon City (공간자기상관을 고려한 고용창출중심지 추정: 창원시 사례를 중심으로)

  • JEONG, Ha-Yeong;LEE, Tai-Hun;HWANG, In-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.77-100
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    • 2022
  • In the era of low growth, many provincial cities are experiencing population decline and aging. Population decline phenomena such as reduction of productive manpower, reduction of finances, deterioration of quality of life, and collapse of the community base are occurring in a chain and are being pushed to the brink of extinction of the cities. This study aims to propose a methodology to objectively estimate the employment creation centers and setting the basic unit of industrial-centered zoning by applying spatial statistical techniques and GIS for the application of the compact city plan as an efficient spatial management policy in a city with a declining population. In details, based on reviewing previous studies on compact city, 'employment complex index(ECI)' were defined considering the number of workers, the number of settlers, and the area of development land, the employment creation center was estimated by applying the 'Local Moran's I' and 'Getis-Ord's Hot-Spot Analysis'. As a case study, changes in the four years of 2013, 2015, 2017, and 2019 were compared and analyzed for Changwon City. As a result, it was confirmed that the employment creation center is becoming compacted and polycentric, which is a significant result that reflects the actual situation well. This results provide the basic data for functional and institutional territorial governance for the regional revitalization platform, and provide meaningful information necessary for spatial policy decision-making, such as population reduction, regional gross domestic product, and public facility arrangement that can respond to energy savings, transportation plans, and medical and health plans.

Seismic interval velocity analysis on prestack depth domain for detecting the bottom simulating reflector of gas-hydrate (가스 하이드레이트 부존층의 하부 경계면을 규명하기 위한 심도영역 탄성파 구간속도 분석)

  • Ko Seung-Won;Chung Bu-Heung
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2005.06a
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    • pp.638-642
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    • 2005
  • For gas hydrate exploration, long offset multichannel seismic data acquired using by the 4km streamer length in Ulleung basin of the East Sea. The dataset was processed to define the BSRs (Bottom Simulating Reflectors) and to estimate the amount of gas hydrates. Confirmation of the presence of Bottom Simulating reflectors (BSR) and investigation of its physical properties from seismic section are important for gas hydrate detection. Specially, faster interval velocity overlying slower interval velocity indicates the likely presences of gas hydrate above BSR and free gas underneath BSR. In consequence, estimation of correct interval velocities and analysis of their spatial variations are critical processes for gas hydrate detection using seismic reflection data. Using Dix's equation, Root Mean Square (RMS) velocities can be converted into interval velocities. However, it is not a proper way to investigate interval velocities above and below BSR considering the fact that RMS velocities have poor resolution and correctness and the assumption that interval velocities increase along the depth. Therefore, we incorporated Migration Velocity Analysis (MVA) software produced by Landmark CO. to estimate correct interval velocities in detail. MVA is a process to yield velocities of sediments between layers using Common Mid Point (CMP) gathered seismic data. The CMP gathered data for MVA should be produced after basic processing steps to enhance the signal to noise ratio of the first reflections. Prestack depth migrated section is produced using interval velocities and interval velocities are key parameters governing qualities of prestack depth migration section. Correctness of interval velocities can be examined by the presence of Residual Move Out (RMO) on CMP gathered data. If there is no RMO, peaks of primary reflection events are flat in horizontal direction for all offsets of Common Reflection Point (CRP) gathers and it proves that prestack depth migration is done with correct velocity field. Used method in this study, Tomographic inversion needs two initial input data. One is the dataset obtained from the results of preprocessing by removing multiples and noise and stacked partially. The other is the depth domain velocity model build by smoothing and editing the interval velocity converted from RMS velocity. After the three times iteration of tomography inversion, Optimum interval velocity field can be fixed. The conclusion of this study as follow, the final Interval velocity around the BSR decreased to 1400 m/s from 2500 m/s abruptly. BSR is showed about 200m depth under the seabottom

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Performance estimation of conical picks with slim design by the linear cutting test (II): depending on skew angle variation (선형절삭시험에 의한 슬림 코니컬커터의 절삭성능 평가(II): Skew Angle 변화에 의한 결과)

  • Choi, Soon-Wook;Chang, Soo-Ho;Lee, Gyu-Phil;Park, Young-Taek
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.585-597
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    • 2014
  • In this study, the cutter acting forces were measured by 3-directional load cell at two different skew angles and various S/d ratios during a series of linear cutting tests using a slim conical pick. The analysis for cutting performance were carried out after calculating average values of the measured results. The increase of penetration depth results in the decrease of specific energy. And the variations of the cutter acting forces depending on penetration depth in the case of 6 degree skew angle were smaller than in the case of 0 degree skew angle. From this results, 6 degree skew angle is more effective than 0 degree skew angle in designing optimal specifications of cutting head. In addition, $F_c/F_n$ under the setting of 6 degree skew angle was smaller than under the setting of 0 degree skew angle. However, it should be considered that the increase of cutter acting force in the cutting direction accompanied the increase of driving force in the case of the setting for 6 degree skew angle.

Evaluation Methodology of Greenhouse Gas On-Line Monitoring on Freeway (고속도로 구간의 온실가스 On-Line 모니터링 산정방법)

  • Lee, Soong-bong;Chang, Hyun-ho
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.92-104
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    • 2017
  • Previous management for speed in road traffic system was aimed only to the improvement of mobility and safety. However, consideration for the aspect of environment and energy consumption efficiency was valued less than the former ones. Nevertheless, economical damage scope caused by climate change has been increasing and it is estimated that environmental value will be increased because of the change of external circumstances. In addition, policy for reducing carbon emission in transportation system was assessed as insufficient in improving the condition of traffic road since it only focused on the transition of private vehicle into public transportation and development of eco-friendly car. Now it is the time to prepare for the adaptation strategy and precaution for the increased number of private vehicle in Korea. For this, paradigm shift in traffic operation which includes the policy not only about the mobility but also about caring environment would be needed. It is needed to be able to monitor the actual amount of greenhouse gas in real time to reduce the amount of emitted greenhouse gas in the aspect of traffic management. In this research, a methodology which can build on-line greenhouse gas emission monitoring system by using real time traffic data and predicting the circumstance in next 5 minutes was suggested.

Estimation Method of Creep Coefficient in Concrete Structures (콘크리트 구조물에서 크리프 계수 추정 방법)

  • Park, Jong-Bum;Park, Jung-Il;Chang, Sung-Pil;Cho, Jae-Yeol
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.619-628
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    • 2009
  • To predict the time-dependent behavior of concrete structures, the models which describe the time-dependent characteristics of concrete, i.e. creep and shrinkage are required. However, there must be significant differences between the displacements that are obtained using the given creep and shrinkage models and the measured displacements, because of the uncertainties of creep and shrinkage model itself and those of environmental condition. There are some efforts to reduce these error or uncertainties by using the model which are obtained from creep test for the concrete in construction site. Nevertheless, the predicted values from this model may be still different from the actual values due to the same reason. This study aimed to propose a method of estimating the creep coefficient from the measured displacements of concrete structure, where creep model uncertainty factor was considered as an error factor of creep model. Numerical validation for double composite steel box and concrete beam showed desirable feasibility of the presented method. Consideration of the time-dependent characteristics of creep as one of the error factors make it possible to predict long-term behaviors of concrete structures more realistically, especially long-span PSC girder bridges and concrete cable-stayed bridges of which major problem is the geometry control under construction and maintenance.

The Estimation of Annual Net Ecosystem Exchange of CO2 in an Apple Orchard Ecosystem of South Korea (국내 사과원 생태계에서 CO2의 연간 순생태 교환량 추정)

  • Shim, Kyo-Moon;Min, Sung-Hyun;Kim, Yong-Seok;Jung, Myung-Pyo;Choi, In-Tae;Kang, Kee-Kyung
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.348-356
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    • 2016
  • Carbon dioxide ($CO_2$) gases concentration in atmosphere has been growing since preindustrial times. By sequestering a large amount of atmospheric carbon (C), terrestrial ecosystems are thought to offer a mitigation strategy for reducing global warming. Woody agro-ecosystems such as fruit tree are among the least quantified and most uncertain elements in the terrestrial carbon cycle. $CO_2$ and energy fluxes were measured by the eddy covariance method on a 15-year old apple orchard of South Korea in 2006. Environmental parameters (net radiation, precipitation, etc.) were measured along with fluxes. The results showed that during late June, the ability to sequestrate C was significant at an apple orchard ecosystem and it reached on the peak of $-6.5g\;C\;m^{-2}\;d^{-1}$. We found that in the apple orchard, the daily average of net ecosystem exchange of $CO_2$ (NEE) and cumulative NEE on a yearly basis were $-1.1g\;C\;m^{-2}$ and $-396.9g\;C\;m^{-2}$, respectively. These results reveal that there is high carbon sequestration in the apple orchard of South Korea, which is the same magnitude with repect to that of a natural forested ecosystem of the same biome rank (temperate-humid deciduous forest).

Estimation and Analysis of Wave Spectrum Parameter using HeMOSU-2 Observation Data (HeMOSU-2 관측 자료를 이용한 파랑 스펙트럼 매개변수 추정 및 분석)

  • Lee, Uk-Jae;Ko, Dong-Hui;Kim, Ji-Young;Cho, Hong-Yeon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.217-225
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    • 2021
  • In this study, wave spectrum data were calculated using the water surface elevation data observed at 5Hz intervals from the HeMOSU-2 meteorological tower installed on the west coast of Korea, and wave parameters were estimated using wave spectrum data. For all significant wave height ranges, the peak enhancement parameter (γopt) of the JONSWAP spectrum and the scale parameter (α) and shape parameter (β) of the modify BM spectrum were estimated based on the observed spectrum, and the distribution of each parameter was confirmed. As a result of the analysis, the peak enhancement parameter (γopt) of the JONSWAP spectrum was calculated to be 1.27, which is very low compared to the previously proposed 3.3. And in the range of all significant wave heights, the distribution of the peak enhancement parameter (γopt) was shown as a combined distribution of probability mass function (PMF) and probability density function (PDF). In addition, the scale parameter (α) and shape parameter (β) of the modify BM spectrum were estimated to be [0.245, -1.278], which are lower than the existing [0.300, -1.098], and the result of the linear correlation analysis between the two parameters was β = -3.86α.

Performance estimation depending on the insert size of conical picks by linear cutting test (선형절삭시험에 의한 코니컬커터의 삽입재 크기에 따른 절삭성능 평가)

  • Choi, Soon-Wook;Kang, Tae-Ho;Chang, Soo-Ho;Lee, Cheol-Ho;Lee, Gyu-Phil;Kim, Chang-Yong
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.221-233
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    • 2016
  • In order to estimate the performance of a conical cutter depending on the insert size, this study measured forces acting on conical cutters with different cutter spacings, penetration depths and skew angles using slim and heavy conical cutters. When cutter spacings ranged from 12 to 27 mm, the deviations of mean cutter forces with cutter depths appeared smaller compared to other cutter spacings. When skew angle is $0^{\circ}$, the optimal S/d ratio was obtained in the range of 4 to 4.5 for which specific energy of cutting was minimized. It were usually found in the range of 1 to 5. However, when skew angle is $6^{\circ}$, the optimal S/d ratio was obtained in the range of 1 to 3. The simple comparison results shows that the performance of slim cutter was superior to that of heavy cutter, but the use of heavy cutter can be effective, considering the cutter consumption and cutter damage when the strength of the ground is high enough.

Estimation of Potential Supply of Offset from Household Electric Appliances (가정용 전자기기의 잠재 상쇄 공급량 추정)

  • Jin, Hyun Joung;Kim, Jeong In;You, Eun Young;Park, Seo Hwa
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.463-488
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    • 2015
  • A more detailed design of offset system is needed according to the emission trading system started in 2015. This study aims to estimate the supply of potential offset that can be secured by expanding high-efficiency household electric appliances. The target commodities for analysis are three different householding electric appliances: TV, washing machine, electric fan, refrigerator and air conditioner. By using the ARDL model, we estimated the coefficients of diffusion of these high-efficiency appliances from 2016 to 2022. Then, the potential supply of offset was drawn by calculating the amount of electricity saving by efficiency improvement and by applying the rates of carbon exchange. Supposing that the electricity savings rates of high-efficiency appliances are each 10% and 20%, the accumulated carbon decrement in 2022 was respectively $361,899CO_2t$ and $723,797CO_2t$. The appliance that showed the biggest carbon decrement was air conditioner, and the second biggest was refrigerator and the next was TV, followed by washing machine, electric fan.

Estimation of Economic Effects on Overseas Oil and Gas E&P by Macroeconomic Model of Korea (거시경제모형을 이용한 해외석유가스개발사업의 경제적 효과 추정 연구)

  • Kim, Ji-Whan;Chung, Woo Jin;Kim, Yoon Kyung
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.133-156
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    • 2014
  • In general, quantity results of empirical analysis using model shows how much big performance policy has. Therefore this is useful to evaluate a policy. This paper composed macro economic model based on Bank of Korea's quarterly model and annual model, that estimates performance of overseas oil and gas development project to Korean economy in aspect of quantity. In this model, we estimated each effect in real GDP, current account, unemployment rate, CPI and exchange rate carried by recovered amount from overseas oil and gas development project. The recovered amount was evaluated in currency coming from oil and gas acquired from overseas oil and gas development project. Macro economic model of this paper benchmarked macro model composed by Bank of Korea(1997, 2004, 2012). We reviewed model robustness using statistical suitability of each equation and historical simulation for from 1994 to 2011. The recovered amount of overseas oil and gas development project has positive effect in every macro economic index except CPI and exchange rate. Economic effect to macro economic index become bigger with time because the recovered amount of overseas oil and gas development project are increasing until now. Although empirical results of economic effects in every year from the recovered amount of overseas oil and gas development project are different, as of 2011, empirical results showed that the recovered amount of overseas oil and gas development project increase 2.226% and 0.401% in current account and real GDP respectively. And it also decrease 0.489%p in unemployment rate. Exchange rate to US dollars also decrease in amount of 0.379%.