• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.18 no.2
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• pp.515-524
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• 2007

This paper deals with local linear estimation of fuzzy regression models based on Diamond(1998) as a new class of non-linear fuzzy regression. The purpose of this paper is to introduce a use of smoothing in testing for lack of fit of parametric fuzzy regression models.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.24 no.6
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• pp.1477-1488
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• 2013

In this study, we analyze the dependence structure of KOSPI and NYSE indices based on a two-step estimation procedure. In the rst step, we adopt ARMA-GARCH models with Gaussian mixture innovations for marginal processes. In the second step, time-varying copula parameters are estimated. By using these, we measure the dependence between the two returns with Kendall's tau and Spearman's rho. The two dependence measures for various copulas are illustrated.

• 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2008.02a
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• pp.93-96
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• 2008

Considering the loss due to typhoon is increasing, estimation and analysis of a typhoon's influence has become more important. On this basis, the statistical models were presented in this paper by two principal elements. Comparisons between the estimated rainfall rate of these models and the observed value in the duration of Typhoon NARI(2007) were analyzed to confirm the availability of these models.

• Journal of Power Electronics
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• v.18 no.5
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• pp.1585-1594
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• 2018

The estimation of $LiFePO_4$/graphite battery states suffers from the prominent hysteresis phenomenon between the respective open-circuit voltage curves towards charging and discharging. A lot of hysteresis models have been documented to investigate the hysteresis mechanism. This paper reviews and deeply interprets four non-electrochemical hysteresis models and some improvements. These models can be conveniently incorporated into commonly used equivalent circuit models to reproduce battery behaviors. Through simulation and experimental comparisons of voltage predictions and state-of-charge estimations, the pros and cons of these models are presented.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Technology Engineers
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• v.24 no.4
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• pp.386-393
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• 2015

A study is carried out on investigation on pattern costs, identification of geometric parameters for the cost, and development of cost estimation models for casting patterns. Pattern costs for machine tool structures are collected and analyzed to identify the important geometric parameters that affect the costs. The parameters are used for the development of the costing models. It is found that the geometric parameters can be easily obtained from a CAD system and then the costing models estimate a pattern cost in a minimum time. The models are verified with the structures whose pattern cost was used for this study. It is expected that this costing models can evaluate the cost of casting structures of machine tools in search of a near-optimal design based on manufacturing cost and, for example, weight at the design stage.

• Asia pacific journal of information systems
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• v.8 no.3
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• pp.101-118
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• 1998

The purpose of this study is to construct a value-oriented sizing and cost estimation model for system integration projects. In particular, this study is to build a system architecture design and integration cost model, and a network design and implementation cost model. Unlike software development projects, system integration projects include knowledge-intensive professional services on system architecture and network design areas. Because of these work's high invisibility, the cost of these services is hard to estimate and measure. Therefore, we need to develop value-oriented cost models. This study presents 6 value-oriented cost models, and tests statistical significance of these models with real system integration project data. The results show that cost factors on these models are valid, and models are statistically significant. Future work is needed to integrate various cost models and apply the whole model to field projects to increase model's prediction accuracy.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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• v.41 no.8
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• pp.783-789
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• 2017

In terms of 3D orientation estimation based on nine-axis IMMU(inertial and magnetic measurement unit), there are two disturbance components decreasing estimation accuracy: one is external acceleration disturbing accelerometer's signals and the other is magnetic disturbance related to magnetometer's signals. In order to minimize effects by these two disturbances, two approaches including switching approach and model-based approach have been suggested and further research comparing these two has also been conducted. Nevertheless, effect of disturbance modeling differences on orientation estimation accuracy in model-based approach has not been studied before. This paper compares the recently reported two orientation estimation algorithms that have difference in disturbance models, in order to investigate the effect of disturbance models on accuracy of IMMU-based orientation estimation under various operating conditions. This research shows that the difference in disturbance models leads to difference in process noise covariance matrix. Consequently, this affected the orientation estimation, i.e., the estimation differences between the algorithms were root mean square errors of $1.35^{\circ}$ in average and $3.63^{\circ}$ in yaw estimation.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• v.34 no.1
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• pp.15-38
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• 2010

In order to predict the shear strengths of reinforced concrete beams, many deterministic models have been developed based on rules of mechanics and on experimental test results. While the constant and variable angle truss models are known to provide reliable bases and to give reasonable predictions for the shear strengths of members with shear reinforcement, in the case of members without shear reinforcement, even advanced models with complicated procedures may show lack of accuracy or lead to fairly different predictions from other similar models. For this reason, many research efforts have been made for more accurate predictions, which resulted in important recent publications. This paper develops probabilistic shear strength models for reinforced concrete beams without shear reinforcement based on deterministic shear strength models, understanding of shear transfer mechanisms and influential parameters, and experimental test results reported in the literature. Using a Bayesian parameter estimation method, the biases of base deterministic models are identified as algebraic functions of input parameters and the errors of the developed models remaining after the bias-correction are quantified in a stochastic manner. The proposed probabilistic models predict the shear strengths with improved accuracy and help incorporate the model uncertainties into vulnerability estimations and risk-quantified designs.

• The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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• v.60 no.1
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• pp.142-149
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• 2011

This paper presents a new state of charge(SOC) estimation of large capacity of Li-ion battery (LIB) based on the multiple model adaptive estimation(MMAE) method. We first introduce an equivalent circuit model of LIB. The relationship between the terminal voltage and the open circuit voltage(OCV) is nonlinear and may vary depending on the changes of temperature and C-rate. In this paper, such behaviors are described as a set of multiple linear time invariant impedance models. Each model is identified at a temperature and a C-rate. These model set must be obtained a priori for a given LIB. It is shown that most of impedances can be modeled by first-order and second-order transfer functions. For the real time estimation, we transform the continuous time models into difference equations. Subsequently, we construct the model banks in the manner that each bank consists of four adjacent models. When an operating point of cell temperature and current is given, the corresponding model bank is directly determined so that it is included in the interval generated by four operating points of the model bank. The MMAE of SOC at an arbitrary operating point (T $^{\circ}C$, $I_{bat}$[A]) is performed by calculating a linear combination of voltage drops, which are obtained by four models of the selected model bank. The demonstration of the proposed method is shown through simulations using DUALFOIL.

• Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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• v.41 no.6
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• pp.750-757
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• 2011

Purpose: Cost-benefit analysis is one of the most commonly used economic evaluation methods, which helps to inform the economic value of a program to decision makers. However, the selection of a correct benefit estimation method remains critical for accurate cost-benefit analysis. This paper compared benefit estimations among three different benefit estimation models. Methods: Data from community-based chronic hypertension management programs in a city in South Korea were used. Three different benefit estimation methods were compared. The first was a standard deterministic estimation model; second, a repeated-measures deterministic estimation model; and third, a transitional probability estimation model. Results: The estimated net benefit of the three different methods were $1,273.01, $-3,749.42, and $-5,122.55 respectively. Conclusion: The transitional probability estimation model showed the most correct and realistic benefit estimation, as it traced possible paths of changing status between time points and it accounted for both positive and negative benefits.