• Title/Summary/Keyword: Estimation Models

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Study on the Parameter Estimation for Flight Dynamic Linear Model of Light Sport Aircraft (경량항공기 선형 비행운동모델 변수 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Eung-Tai;Seong, Kie-Jeong;Cremer, Matthias;Hischier, Damian
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.21-29
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    • 2010
  • The main purpose of this study is to obtain linear models for the design of automatic flight controller in order to operate the Light Sport Aircraft as unmanned air vehicle. Flight test equipments installed on the aircraft to acquire flight test data are described and maneuvers for practical speed calibration are introduced. Parameters for the linear models of lateral and longitudinal motion are estimated by the Output error method as well as trim data analysis using the flight test data. Simulated data using the estimated parameters is shown to agree well with the measurement data. Estimated parameters obtained for several flight conditions can be used to improve the aerodynamic database of the simulation program.

Multiprocess Dynamic Survival Models with Numbers of Deaths

  • Joo Yong Shim;Joong Kweon Sohn;Sang Gil Kang
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.567-576
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    • 1996
  • The multiprocess dynamic survival model is proposed for the application of the regression model on the analysis of survival data with time-varying effects of covariates : where the survival data consists of numbers of deaths at certain time-points. The algorithm for the recursive estimation of a time-varying parameter vector is suggested. Also the algorithm of forecasting of numbers of deaths of each group in the next time interval based on the information gathered until the end of current time interval is suggested.

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ON-LINE DYNAMIC SENSING OF SHIP'S ATTITUDE BY USE OF A SERVO-TYPE ACCELEROMETER AND INCLINOMETERS

  • Tanaka, Shogo;Nishifuji, Seiji
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1995.10a
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    • pp.162-165
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    • 1995
  • For an accurate on-line measurement of the ship's attitude the paper develops an intelligent sensing system which uses one servo-type accelerometer and two servo-type inclinometers appropriately located on the ship. By considering the dynamics of the servo-controlled rigid pendulums of the inclinometers, linear equations for the rolling and pitching of the ship are derived separately from each other. Moreover, one accelerometer is used for extracting the heaving signal. Through the introduction of linear dynamic models and the linear observation equations for the heaving, rolling and pitching, the on-line measurement of the three signals can be reduced to the state estimation of the linear dynamic systems. A bank of Kalman filters is adaptively used to achieve the on-line accurate state estimation and to overcome changes in parameters in the linear dynamic models.

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Robust and Efficient 3D Model of an Electromagnetic Induction (EMI) Sensor

  • Antoun, Chafic Abu;Perriard, Yves
    • Journal of international Conference on Electrical Machines and Systems
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.325-330
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    • 2014
  • Eddy current induction is used in a wide range of electronic devices, for example in detection sensors. Due to the advances in computer hardware and software, the need for 3D computation and system comprehension is a requirement to develop and optimize such devices nowadays. Pure theoretical models are mostly limited to special cases. On the other hand, the classical use of commercial Finite Element (FE) electromagnetic 3D models is not computationally efficient and lacks modeling flexibility or robustness. The proposed approach focuses on: (1) implementing theoretical formulations in 3D (FE) model of a detection device as well as (2) an automatic Volumetric Estimation Method (VEM) developed to selectively model the target finite elements. Due to these two approaches, this model is suitable for parametric studies and optimization of the number, location, shape, and size of PCB receivers in order to get the desired target discrimination information preserving high accuracy with tenfold reduction in computation time compared to commercial FE software.

An Optimal FIR Filter for Discrete Time-varying State Space Models (이산 시변 상태공간 모델을 위한 최적 유한 임펄스 응답 필터)

  • Kwon, Bo-Kyu
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.17 no.12
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    • pp.1183-1187
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, an optimal FIR (Finite-Impulse-Response) filter is proposed for discrete time-varying state-space models. The proposed filter estimates the current state using measured output samples on the recent time horizon so that the variance of the estimation error is minimized. It is designed to be linear, unbiased, with an FIR structure, and is independent of any state information. Due to its FIR structure, the proposed filter is believed to be robust for modeling uncertainty or numerical errors than other IIR filters, such as the Kalman filter. For a general system with system and measurement noise, the proposed filter is derived without any artificial assumptions such as the nonsingular assumption of the system matrix A and any infinite covariance of the initial state. A numerical example show that the proposed FIR filter has better performance than the Kalman filter based on the IIR (Infinite- Impulse-Response) structure when modeling uncertainties exist.

An Improvement on Estimation for Causal Models of Categorical Variables of Abilities and Task Performance

  • Kim, Sung-Ho
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.65-86
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    • 2000
  • The estimates from an EM when it is applied to a large causal model of 10 or more categorical variables are often subject to the initial values for the estimates. This phenomenon becomes more serious as the model structure becomes more serious as the model structure becomes more complicated involving more variables. In this regard Wu(1983) recommends among others that EMs are implemented several times with different sets of initial values to obtain more appropriate estimates. in this paper a new approach for initial values is proposed. The main idea is that we use initials that are calibrated to data. A simulation result strongly indicates that the calibrated initials give rise to the estimates that are far closer to the true values than the initials that are not calibrated.

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Nonnegative variance component estimation for mixed-effects models

  • Choi, Jaesung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.523-533
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    • 2020
  • This paper suggests three available methods for finding nonnegative estimates of variance components of the random effects in mixed models. The three proposed methods based on the concepts of projections are called projection method I, II, and III. Each method derives sums of squares uniquely based on its own method of projections. All the sums of squares in quadratic forms are calculated as the squared lengths of projections of an observation vector; therefore, there is discussion on the decomposition of the observation vector into the sum of orthogonal projections for establishing a projection model. The projection model in matrix form is constructed by ascertaining the orthogonal projections defined on vector subspaces. Nonnegative estimates are then obtained by the projection model where all the coefficient matrices of the effects in the model are orthogonal to each other. Each method provides its own system of linear equations in a different way for the estimation of variance components; however, the estimates are given as the same regardless of the methods, whichever is used. Hartley's synthesis is used as a method for finding the coefficients of variance components.

K-1 Tank Life Cycle Cost Estimate Using PRICE Model (PRICE 모델을 이용한 K1전차 수명주기 비용추정)

  • 강창호;강성진
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.44-61
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    • 1999
  • Cost estimation has posed a significant challenge to estimators, planners, and managers in both government and military. Considerable historical evidence shows that accurate cost estimation has been difficult to achieve across a wide range of projects, including weapon systems. This paper introduces new cost estimating concept, CAIV(Cost As an Independent Variable) and a cost estimating case study using PRICE model, computer aided parametric estimating models(CAPE) for K1 tank cost estimate. CAIV concept is to set realistic but aggressive cost objectives easily in each acquisition program and to achieve cost, schedule, and performance objectives considering various managing risks with a project manager and industry teams. The Price model is one of computer aided cost estimating models and widely used in U.S. defense system analysis as a tool for CAIV. We analyze theories, inputs, outputs of the PRICE model and present a case study for K1 tank to estimate costs in requirement and concept phase, program and budgeting phase, and life cycle phase. Finally we obtain results that the Price model can be used in various phases of PPBEES depending upon available data and time.

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Asymptotic Properties of Regression Quanties Estimators in Nonlinear Models (비선형최소분위추정량의 점근적 성질)

  • Choi, Seung-Hoe;Kim, Tae-Soo;Park, Kyung-Ok
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.235-245
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, we consider the Regression Quantiles Estimators in nonlinear regression models. This paper provides the sufficient conditions for strong consistency and asymptotic normality of proposed estimation and drives asymptotic relative efficiency of proposed estimatiors with least square estimation. We give some examples and results of Monte Carlo simulation to compare least square and regression quantile estimators.

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Bayesian Modeling of Random Effects Covariance Matrix for Generalized Linear Mixed Models

  • Lee, Keunbaik
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.235-240
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    • 2013
  • Generalized linear mixed models(GLMMs) are frequently used for the analysis of longitudinal categorical data when the subject-specific effects is of interest. In GLMMs, the structure of the random effects covariance matrix is important for the estimation of fixed effects and to explain subject and time variations. The estimation of the matrix is not simple because of the high dimension and the positive definiteness; subsequently, we practically use the simple structure of the covariance matrix such as AR(1). However, this strong assumption can result in biased estimates of the fixed effects. In this paper, we introduce Bayesian modeling approaches for the random effects covariance matrix using a modified Cholesky decomposition. The modified Cholesky decomposition approach has been used to explain a heterogenous random effects covariance matrix and the subsequent estimated covariance matrix will be positive definite. We analyze metabolic syndrome data from a Korean Genomic Epidemiology Study using these methods.