• Title/Summary/Keyword: Estimation Models

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Shaking Table Test of Full Scale Parapet Models for the Evaluation of Intensities of Historical Earthquakes (성첩 모델의 진동대 실험과 역사지진의 세기 평가)

  • 김재관
    • Proceedings of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea Conference
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    • 2001.04a
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    • pp.461-467
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    • 2001
  • Shaking table tests were performed with full scale models of stone parapet on the ancient rampart. The objectives of these tests are to study the seismic behavior of the parapet and to obtain quantitative estimation of the intensities of historical earthquakes. Two test models were made based on the structure of the parapet remnant of a mountain fortress in Bukhan-San located in Seoul. Two types of infilling material are considered. The responses to models were tested subjected to three kinds of input motion.

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Concepts on Deformation Dependent Strut-and-Tie Models (변형을 고려한 스트럿-타이 모델)

  • Hong, Sung-Gul;Jang, Sang-Ki
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.209-212
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    • 2005
  • This paper presents, basic concepts on deformation models for D-regions critical to shear. Strut-and-tie models are used to construct for deformation estimation at yielding and ultimate deformation. A generic: strut-and-tie model is proposed to investigate deformation patterns and failure mode identification. Superposition of the basic models enables us to explain deformation limits of arch action and truss action. Displacement at yielding is assessed by consideration of deformation of reinforcing steel only while the ultimate displacement is calculated by limits of ultimate strain of concrete in compression and failure mechanisms.

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The Least Absolute Deviations Estimation of the Contingent Valuation Model (조건부가치측정모형의 최소절대편차추정)

  • Kim, Dongil
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.515-545
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    • 2001
  • This paper introduces the least absolute deviations estimation of the contingent valuation model, which corresponds to the semi-parametric estimation of discrete choice models by Manski (1975, 1985) and Lee (1992). The least absolute deviations estimation is more robust to mis-specified distributional assumptions in the estimation of the contingent valuation model, compared to the maximum likelihood estimation. The full identification and strong consistency of the estimation are proved and its application to different formats of contingent valuation survey data is discussed. Simulation studies are designed to evaluate its operational characteristics including computational strategies, small sample properties and the efficiency gain of a follow-up question. The bias and efficiency of least absolute deviations and maximum likelihood estimation are compared in the presence of heteroskedasticity.

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Rapid Estimation of the Aerodynamic Coefficients of a Missile via Co-Kriging (코크리깅을 활용한 신속한 유도무기 공력계수 추정)

  • Kang, Shinseong;Lee, Kyunghoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.48 no.1
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    • pp.13-21
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    • 2020
  • Surrogate models have been used for the rapid estimation of six-DOF aerodynamic coefficients in the context of the design and control of a missile. For this end, we may generate highly accurate surrogate models with a multitude of aerodynamic data obtained from wind tunnel tests (WTTs); however, this approach is time-consuming and expensive. Thus, we aim to swiftly predict aerodynamic coefficients via co-Kriging using a few WTT data along with plenty of computational fluid dynamics (CFD) data. To demonstrate the excellence of co-Kriging models based on both WTT and CFD data, we first generated two surrogate models: co-Kriging models with CFD data and Kriging models without the CFD data. Afterwards, we carried out numerical validation and examined predictive trends to compare the two different surrogate models. As a result, we found that the co-Kriging models produced more accurate aerodynamic coefficients than the Kriging models thanks to the assistance of CFD data.

Effect of Location Error on the Estimation of Aboveground Biomass Carbon Stock (지상부 바이오매스 탄소저장량의 추정에 위치 오차가 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Sang-Pil;Heo, Joon;Jung, Jae-Hoon;Yoo, Su-Hong;Kim, Kyoung-Min
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.133-139
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    • 2011
  • Estimation of biomass carbon stock is an important research for estimation of public benefit of forest. Previous studies about biomass carbon stock estimation have limitations, which come from the used deterministic models. The most serious problem of deterministic models is that deterministic models do not provide any explanation about the relevant effects of errors. In this study, the effects of location errors were analyzed in order to estimation of biomass carbon stock of Danyang area using Monte Carlo simulation method. More specifically, the k-Nearest Neighbor(kNN) algorithm was used for basic estimation. In this procedure, random and systematic errors were added on the location of Sample plot, and effects on estimation error were analyzed by checking the changes of RMSE. As a result of random error simulation, mean RMSE of estimation was increased from 24.8 tonC/ha to 26 tonC/ha when 0.5~1 pixel location errors were added. However, mean RMSE was converged after the location errors were added 0.8 pixel, because of characteristic of study site. In case of the systematic error simulation, any significant trends of RMSE were not detected in the test data.

ComputationalAalgorithm for the MINQUE and its Dispersion Matrix

  • Huh, Moon Y.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.10
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    • pp.91-96
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    • 1981
  • The development of Minimum Norm Quadratic Unbiased Estimation (MINQUE) has introduced a unified approach for the estimation of variance components in general linear models. The computational problem has been studied by Liu and Senturia (1977) and Goodnight (1978, setting a-priori values to 0). This paper further simplifies the computation and gives efficient and compact computational algorithm for the MINQUE and dispersion matrix in general linear random model.

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Development of Predicting Models of the Operating Speed Considering on Traffic Operation Characteristics and Road Alignment Factors In Express Highways (고속도로 교통운영 특성 및 도로선형요소를 반영한 주행속도 예측모형 개발)

  • Lee, Jeom-Ho;Hong, Da-Hui;Lee, Su-Beom
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.24 no.5 s.91
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    • pp.109-121
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    • 2006
  • The road should be designed in the consistent alignment which the driver can drive safely. Also, proper highway environments in order to maintain optimal operational speeds on highway sections should be provided In design stage, for highway environments, it is essential for an operational speed estimation model to different highway environments. If a method which could evaluate the status of the road safety is developed through this operational speed estimation model, it is possible to provide safe and more comfortable highways to road users. In the study factors to effect on operational speeds are classified into three groups horizontal & vertical alignments and traffic operation characteristic factors. Factors are chosen to effect on operational speeds by using collation analysis as classifications of tangent sections, horizontal curve sections and vertical curve sections. In order to develop operational speed estimation models in express highways, multi-regression analysis has been used in this study using the selected factors. This study has meaning that the developed estimation models for operational speeds and evaluation of degree of safety to horizontal and vortical alignments simultaneous. In order to represent whole area of the country with the developed models, the models should be re-analyzed with vast data related with road alignment factors in the near future.

Convolutional Neural Networks for Rice Yield Estimation Using MODIS and Weather Data: A Case Study for South Korea (MODIS와 기상자료 기반 회선신경망 알고리즘을 이용한 남한 전역 쌀 생산량 추정)

  • Ma, Jong Won;Nguyen, Cong Hieu;Lee, Kyungdo;Heo, Joon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.525-534
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    • 2016
  • In South Korea, paddy rice has been consumed over the entire region and it is the main source of income for farmers, thus mathematical model for the estimation of rice yield is required for such decision-making processes in agriculture. The objectives of our study are to: (1) develop rice yield estimation model using Convolutional Neural Networks(CNN), (2) choose hyper-parameters for the model which show the best performance and (3) investigate whether CNN model can effectively predict the rice yield by the comparison with the model using Artificial Neural Networks(ANN). Weather and MODIS(The MOderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) products from April to September in year 2000~2013 were used for the rice yield estimation models and cross-validation was implemented for the accuracy assessment. The CNN and ANN models showed Root Mean Square Error(RMSE) of 36.10kg/10a, 48.61kg/10a based on rice points, respectively and 31.30kg/10a, 39.31kg/10a based on 'Si-Gun-Gu' districts, respectively. The CNN models outperformed ANN models and its possibility of application for the field of rice yield estimation in South Korea was proved.

A Specification of VES Production Function Model (VES 생산함수 추정을 위한 모형설정)

  • 박종구
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.3-7
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    • 1973
  • Zellner, Kmenta, Dreze (1966) and later Hedges (1969) showed that consistent estimates of the parameters of Cobb-Douglas or CES production functions can be obtained by the single equation estimation methods if the models incorporate the assumption that firms maximize the mathematical expectation of profits. This note demonstrates that the results of the above-cited works can be extended to a class of VES production function models.

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