• Title/Summary/Keyword: Distribution performance

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Evaluation of extreme rainfall estimation obtained from NSRP model based on the objective function with statistical third moment (통계적 3차 모멘트 기반의 목적함수를 이용한 NSRP 모형의 극치강우 재현능력 평가)

  • Cho, Hemie;Kim, Yong-Tak;Yu, Jae-Ung;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.7
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    • pp.545-556
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    • 2022
  • It is recommended to use long-term hydrometeorological data for more than the service life of the hydraulic structures and water resource planning. For the purpose of expanding rainfall data, stochastic simulation models, such as Modified Bartlett-Lewis Rectangular Pulse (BLRP) and Neyman-Scott Rectangular Pulse (NSRP) models, have been widely used. The optimal parameters of the model can be estimated by repeatedly comparing the statistical moments defined through a combination of parameters of the probability distribution in the optimization context. However, parameter estimation using relatively small observed rainfall statistics corresponds to an ill-posed problem, leading to an increase in uncertainty in the parameter estimation process. In addition, as shown in previous studies, extreme values are underestimated because objective functions are typically defined by the first and second statistical moments (i.e., mean and variance). In this regard, this study estimated the parameters of the NSRP model using the objective function with the third moment and compared it with the existing approach based on the first and second moments in terms of estimation of extreme rainfall. It was found that the first and second moments did not show a significant difference depending on whether or not the skewness was considered in the objective function. However, the proposed model showed significantly improved performance in terms of estimation of design rainfalls.

A Comparison of Analysis Methods for Work Environment Measurement Databases Including Left-censored Data (불검출 자료를 포함한 작업환경측정 자료의 분석 방법 비교)

  • Park, Ju-Hyun;Choi, Sangjun;Koh, Dong-Hee;Park, Donguk;Sung, Yeji
    • Journal of Korean Society of Occupational and Environmental Hygiene
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.21-30
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    • 2022
  • Objectives: The purpose of this study is to suggest an optimal method by comparing the analysis methods of work environment measurement datasets including left-censored data where one or more measurements are below the limit of detection (LOD). Methods: A computer program was used to generate left-censored datasets for various combinations of censoring rate (1% to 90%) and sample size (30 to 300). For the analysis of the censored data, the simple substitution method (LOD/2), β-substitution method, maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) method, Bayesian method, and regression on order statistics (ROS)were all compared. Each method was used to estimate four parameters of the log-normal distribution: (1) geometric mean (GM), (2) geometric standard deviation (GSD), (3) 95th percentile (X95), and (4) arithmetic mean (AM) for the censored dataset. The performance of each method was evaluated using relative bias and relative root mean squared error (rMSE). Results: In the case of the largest sample size (n=300), when the censoring rate was less than 40%, the relative bias and rMSE were small for all five methods. When the censoring rate was large (70%, 90%), the simple substitution method was inappropriate because the relative bias was the largest, regardless of the sample size. When the sample size was small and the censoring rate was large, the Bayesian method, the β-substitution method, and the MLE method showed the smallest relative bias. Conclusions: The accuracy and precision of all methods tended to increase as the sample size was larger and the censoring rate was smaller. The simple substitution method was inappropriate when the censoring rate was high, and the β-substitution method, MLE method, and Bayesian method can be widely applied.

Bike Insurance Fraud Detection Model Using Balanced Randomforest Algorithm (균형 랜덤 포레스트를 이용한 이륜차 보험사기 적발 모형 개발)

  • Kim, Seunghoon;Lee, Soo Il;Kim, Tae ho
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.241-250
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    • 2022
  • Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, with increased 'untact' services and with unstable household economy, the bike insurance fraud is expected to surge. Moreover, the fraud methodology gets complicated. However, the fraud detection model for bike insurance is absent. we deal with the issue of skewed class distribution and reflect the criterion of fraud detection expert. We utilize a balanced random-forest algorithm to develop an efficient bike insurance fraud detection model. As a result, while the predictive performance of balanced random-forest model is superior than it of non-balanced model. There is no significant difference between the variables used by the experts and the confirmatory models. The important variables to detect frauds are turned out to be age and gender of driver, correspondence between insured and driver, the amount of self-repairing claim, and the amount of bodily injury liability.

Site-Investigation of Underground Complex Plant Construction by Seismic Survey and Electrical Resistivity (탄성파 및 전기비저항을 활용한 지하복합 플랜트 건설 후보지 탐사)

  • Kim, Namsun;Lee, Jong-Sub;Kim, Ki-Seog;Kim, Sang Yeob;Park, Junghee
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.38 no.10
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    • pp.49-60
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    • 2022
  • Underground urbanization appears to be a promising solution in response to the shortage of construction sites in the above-ground space. In this context, an accurate evaluation of a construction site ensures the long-term performance of geosystems. This study characterizes potential sites for complex plants built in underground space using geophysical methods (i.e., seismic refraction exploration and electrical resistivity survey) and in situ tests (i.e., standard penetration tests (SPTs) and downhole tests). SPTs are conducted in nine boreholes BH-1-BH-9 to estimate the groundwater level and vertical distribution of geological structures. The seismic refraction method enables us to obtain the elastic wave velocity and thickness of each soil layer for each cross-sectional area. An electrical resistivity survey conducted using the dipole array method provides the electrical resistivity profiles of the cross-sectional area. Data obtained using geophysical techniques are used to assess the classification of the soil layer and bedrock, particularly the fracture zone. This study suggests that geotechnical information using in situ tests and geophysical methods are useful references to design an underground complex plant construction.

A Study on the System for AI Service Production (인공지능 서비스 운영을 위한 시스템 측면에서의 연구)

  • Hong, Yong-Geun
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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    • v.11 no.10
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    • pp.323-332
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    • 2022
  • As various services using AI technology are being developed, much attention is being paid to AI service production. Recently, AI technology is acknowledged as one of ICT services, a lot of research is being conducted for general-purpose AI service production. In this paper, I describe the research results in terms of systems for AI service production, focusing on the distribution and production of machine learning models, which are the final steps of general machine learning development procedures. Three different Ubuntu systems were built, and experiments were conducted on the system, using data from 2017 validation COCO dataset in combination of different AI models (RFCN, SSD-Mobilenet) and different communication methods (gRPC, REST) to request and perform AI services through Tensorflow serving. Through various experiments, it was found that the type of AI model has a greater influence on AI service inference time than AI machine communication method, and in the case of object detection AI service, the number and complexity of objects in the image are more affected than the file size of the image to be detected. In addition, it was confirmed that if the AI service is performed remotely rather than locally, even if it is a machine with good performance, it takes more time to infer the AI service than if it is performed locally. Through the results of this study, it is expected that system design suitable for service goals, AI model development, and efficient AI service production will be possible.

A Study on the need of the Conversion of Fire Services to State Affairs (소방사무의 국가사무로의 전환 필요성에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jae-Hak;Jang, Seong-Ho
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.21 no.7
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    • pp.281-290
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    • 2021
  • The scope of fire services has been expanded from local fire prevention to rescue and first aid services, and the fire services system has been converted from an autonomous fire services system to a wide-area fire services system, and the status of fire officers has been unified as a national public servant. However, the underlying problem remains unsolved. One is a problem related to the conversion of fire services to state affairs, and the other is that Fire officers converted to national public servants are in charge of fire services which are evaluated as local autonomous affairs. The controversy over the nature of fire service stems from uncertainty and redundancy in the coordination of office function and distribution between the State and Local governments, and incomplete legislation that fundamentally fails to achieve systematic unity of office work and status. The fire service has a national responsibility as an affair that includes the existence of the state and the welfare and order of the people along with the police affairs. That is, affairs related to the safety of the people that protect the lives, bodies and properties of the people should be understood as State affairs. 「The LOCAL AUTONOMY ACT」 stipulates that local governments cannot perform State affairs such as affairs necessary for the existence of the nation, affairs requiring performance in a uniform manner throughout the nation, and affairs of nationwide or similar scale unless otherwise provided by the law. Fire Service should be regarded as such affairs. Considering that the rights to the safety and life of the people and the duty to protect the people are the duty of the nation, it is necessary to keep in mind that the reason for the change fire officers to the national public servants was not basically just a matter of treatment and finance.

A Road Environment Analysis for the Introduction of Connected and Automated Driving-based Mobility Services from an Operational Design Domain Perspective (자율주행기반 모빌리티 서비스 도입을 위한 운행설계영역 관점의 도로환경 분석)

  • Bo-Ram, WOO;Ah-Reum, KIM;Yong-Jun, AHN;Se-Hyun, TAK
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.107-118
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    • 2022
  • As connected and automated driving(CAD) technology is entering its commercialization stage, service platforms providing CAD-based mobility services have increased these days. However, CAD-baded mobility services with these platforms need more consideration for the demand for mobility services when determining target areas for CAD-based mobility services because current CAB-based mobility design focus on driving performance and driving stability. For a more efficient design of CAD-based mobility services, we analyzed the applicability for the introduction of CAD-based mobility services in terms of driving difficulty of CAD and demand patterns of current non-CAD based-mobility services, e.g., taxi, demand-responsive transit(DRT), and special transportation systems(STS). In addition, for the spatial analysis of the applicability of the CAD-based mobility service, we propose the Index for Autonomous Driving Applicability (IADA) and analyze the characteristics of the spatial distribution of IADA from the network perspective. The analysis results show that the applicability of CAD-based mobility services depends more on the demand patterns than the driving difficulty of CAV. In particular, the results show that the concentration pattern of demand in a specific road link is more important than the size of demand. As a result, STS service shows higher applicability compared to other mobility services, even though the size of demand for this mobility service is relatively small.

Analysis of Photovoltaic Performance Improvement of Cu2Zn1-xCdxSn(SxSe1-x)4 Thin Film Solar Cells by Controlling Cd2+ Element Alloying Time Using CBD Method (CBD 공법을 이용하여 Cd2+ 원소 Alloying 시간을 조절한 Cu2Zn1-xCdxSn(SxSe1-x)4 박막 태양전지의 광전지 성능 향상 분석)

  • Sang Woo, Park;Suyoung, Jang;Jun Sung, Jang;Jin Hyeok, Kim
    • Korean Journal of Materials Research
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    • v.32 no.11
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    • pp.481-488
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    • 2022
  • The Cu2ZnSn(SxSe1-x)4 (CZTSSe) absorbers are promising thin film solar cells (TFSCs) materials, to replace existing Cu(In,Ga)Se2 (CIGS) and CdTe photovoltaic technology. However, the best reported efficiency for a CZTSSe device, of 13.6 %, is still too low for commercial use. Recently, partially replacing the Zn2+ element with a Cd2+element has attracting attention as one of the promising strategies for improving the photovoltaic characteristics of the CZTSSe TFSCs. Cd2+ elements are known to improve the grain size of the CZTSSe absorber thin films and improve optoelectronic properties by suppressing potential defects, causing short-circuit current (Jsc) loss. In this study, the structural, compositional, and morphological characteristics of CZTSSe and CZCTSSe thin films were investigated using X-ray diffraction (XRD), X-ray fluorescence spectrometer (XRF), and Field-emission scanning electron microscopy (FE-SEM), respectively. The FE-SEM images revealed that the grain size improved with increasing Cd2+ alloying in the CZTSSe thin films. Moreover, there was a slight decrease in small grain distribution as well as voids near the CZTSSe/Mo interface after Cd2+ alloying. The solar cells prepared using the most promising CZTSSe absorber thin films with Cd2+ alloying (8 min. 30 sec.) exhibited a power conversion efficiency (PCE) of 9.33 %, Jsc of 34.0 mA/cm2, and fill factor (FF) of 62.7 %, respectively.

Research on Optimal Deployment of Sonobuoy for Autonomous Aerial Vehicles Using Virtual Environment and DDPG Algorithm (가상환경과 DDPG 알고리즘을 이용한 자율 비행체의 소노부이 최적 배치 연구)

  • Kim, Jong-In;Han, Min-Seok
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.152-163
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, we present a method to enable an unmanned aerial vehicle to drop the sonobuoy, an essential element of anti-submarine warfare, in an optimal deployment. To this end, an environment simulating the distribution of sound detection performance was configured through the Unity game engine, and the environment directly configured using Unity ML-Agents and the reinforcement learning algorithm written in Python from the outside communicated with each other and learned. In particular, reinforcement learning is introduced to prevent the accumulation of wrong actions and affect learning, and to secure the maximum detection area for the sonobuoy while the vehicle flies to the target point in the shortest time. The optimal placement of the sonobuoy was achieved by applying the Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient (DDPG) algorithm. As a result of the learning, the agent flew through the sea area and passed only the points to achieve the optimal placement among the 70 target candidates. This means that an autonomous aerial vehicle that deploys a sonobuoy in the shortest time and maximum detection area, which is the requirement for optimal placement, has been implemented.

Development and Feasibility Evaluation of CsPbBr3 Dosimeter for Brachytherapy (근접방사선치료용 CsPbBr3 선량계 제작 및 적용가능성 평가)

  • Yang, Seung-Woo;Park, Sung-Kwang
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.405-410
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    • 2022
  • In brachytherapy, a radiation source is inserted into the body to kill tumor tissue. Therefore, it is important to accurately measure the location of the source and the dose distribution. In this study, a dosimeter that can be used for brachytherapy was developed using CsPbBr3 which is cheaper than the existing detector materials and has a simpler manufacturing process. The CsPbBr3 dosimeter performance was evaluated by analyzing reproducibility, linearity, and distance dependence in 192Ir source. As a result of reproducibility evaluation, the RSD was 1.36%, which satisfies the standard value of 1.5%. As a result of the linearity evaluation, the R2 value was 0.9993, which satisfies the standard R2 of 0.9990. The distance dependence evaluation showed a signal value that decreased exponentially as the distance increased. The evaluation results show that the CsPbBr3 dosimeter satisfies the evaluation criteria and can be used as a brachytherapy quality assurance dosimeter.