• Title/Summary/Keyword: Diffusion models

Search Result 597, Processing Time 0.025 seconds

A Study on a Forecasting the Demand for the Future Mobile Communication Service by Integrating the Mobile Communication Technology (이동통신기술과의 연관성을 고려한 차세대 이동통신서비스의 수요예측에 관한 연구)

  • 주영진;김선재
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
    • /
    • v.29 no.1
    • /
    • pp.87-99
    • /
    • 2004
  • In this paper, we have developed a technology-service relationship model which describes the diffusion process of a group of services and relevant technologies, and have applied the developed model to the prediction of the number of subscribers to the next generation mobile service. The technology-service relationship model developed in this paper incorporates the developing process of relevant technologies, a supply-side factor, into the diffusion process of specific services, while many diffusion models and multi-generation diffusion models in previous researches are mainly reflect the demand-side factors. So, the proposed model could effectively applied to the telecommunication services where the developing of the relevant technologies are very essential to the service Penetration. In our application, the Proposed model provides a competitive substitution between the next generation mobile service and the traditional mobile service.

Improved Generalized Method of Moment Estimators to Estimate Diffusion Models (확산모형에 대한 일반화적률추정법의 개선)

  • Choi, Youngsoo;Lee, Yoon-Dong
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.26 no.5
    • /
    • pp.767-783
    • /
    • 2013
  • Generalized Method of Moment(GMM) is a popular estimation method to estimate model parameters in empirical financial studies. GMM is frequently applied to estimate diffusion models that are basic techniques of modern financial engineering. However, recent research showed that GMM had poor properties to estimate the parameters that pertain to the diffusion coefficient in diffusion models. This research corrects the weakness of GMM and suggests alternatives to improve the statistical properties of GMM estimators. In this study, a simulation method is adopted to compare estimation methods. Out of compared alternatives, NGMM-Y, a version of improved GMM that adopts the NLL idea of Shoji and Ozaki (1998), showed the best properties. Especially NGMM-Y estimator is superior to other versions of GMM estimators for the estimation of diffusion coefficient parameters.

LOCAL APPROXIMATE SOLUTIONS OF A CLASS OF NONLINEAR DIFFUSION POPULATION MODELS

  • Yang, Guangchong;Chen, Xia;Xiao, Lan
    • Nonlinear Functional Analysis and Applications
    • /
    • v.26 no.1
    • /
    • pp.83-92
    • /
    • 2021
  • This paper studies approximate solutions for a class of nonlinear diffusion population models. Our methods are to use the fundamental solution of heat equations to construct integral forms of the models and the well-known Banach compression map theorem to prove the existence of positive solutions of integral equations. Non-steady-state local approximate solutions for suitable harvest functions are obtained by utilizing the approximation theorem of multivariate continuous functions.

Analysis of Stratified Lake using an Eddy Diffusion and a Mixed-layer Models

  • Kim, Kyung-sub
    • Korean Journal of Hydrosciences
    • /
    • v.8
    • /
    • pp.111-123
    • /
    • 1997
  • A one-dimensional eddy diffusion model and a mixed-layer model are developed and applied to simulate the vertical temperature profiles in lakes. Also the running result of each method are compared and analyzed. In an eddy diffusion model, molecular diffusivity is neglected and eddy diffusivity which does not need lake-specific fitting parameter and constant lake's level are applied. The heat exchanges at the water surface and the bottom are formulated by the energy balance and zero energy gradient, respectively. In a mixed-layer model, two layers approach which has a constant thickness is adopted. The application of these models which use explicit finite difference and Runge-Kutta methods respectively demonstrates that the models simulate water temperatures efficiently.

  • PDF

Validation of the Reynolds Stress Turbulence Models in Turbulent Jet Diffusion Flames (난류분류확산화염에 대한 레이놀즈응력모델의 적용성 검토)

  • 한지웅;이태우;이근오;이창언
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
    • /
    • v.11 no.3
    • /
    • pp.66-74
    • /
    • 1996
  • Numerical simulations were carried out using standard Reynolds stress turbulence model(LRR model) and modified RSM(Janicka model ) to validate these models in combustion flow fields. Two flames were selected for use as a benchmark data for model testing. One is a conventional jet diffusion flame that has the effect of suppression of turbulence by combustion. The other is a triple jet diffusion flame that designed to give high turbulence to the periphery of the flame and to remove the low Reynolds-number flow fields. As a result, it was found that the modification of standard RSM model is indispensable in the modelling of flames with low turbulence region. And it is also necessary to improve the existing modified models for the universal use.

  • PDF

Corrosion initiation time models in RC coastal structures based on reliability approach

  • Djeddi, Lamine;Amirat, Abdelaziz
    • Advances in concrete construction
    • /
    • v.9 no.2
    • /
    • pp.149-159
    • /
    • 2020
  • The present work proposes new engineering models for determining corrosion initiation time in concrete reinforcing steels in marine environment. The models are based on Fick's second law that is commonly used for chloride diffusion. The latter is based on deterministic analyses involving the most influencing parameters such as distance of the concrete structure from the seaside, depth of steel concrete cover, ambient temperature, relative humidity and the water-cement ratio. However, a realistic corrosion initiation time cannot be estimated because of the uncertainties associated to the different parameters of the models. Therefore a reliability approach using FORM/SORM method has been applied to develop the proposed engineering models integrating a limit state function and a reliability index β. As a result, the corrosion initiation time is expressed by new exponential engineering models where the uncertainties are associated to the model parameters. The main emerging result is a realistic decision tool for corrosion planning inspection.

A study on a forecasting the demand for the future mobile communication service by integrating the mobile communication technology (이동통신기술과의 연관성을 고려한 차세대 이동통신서비스의 수요예측에 관한 연구)

  • 주영진;김선재
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
    • /
    • 2003.11a
    • /
    • pp.74-78
    • /
    • 2003
  • In this paper, we have developed a technology-service relationship model which describes the diffusion process of a group of services and relevant technologies, and have applied the developed model to the prediction of the number of subscribers to the next generation mobile service. The technology-service relationship model developed in this paper incorporates the developing process of relevant technologies, a supply-side factor, into the diffusion process of specific services, while many diffusion models and multi-generation diffusion models in previous researches are mainly reflect the demand-side factors. So, the proposed model could effectively applied to the telecommunication services where the developing of the relevant technologies are very essential to the service penetration. In our application, the proposed model provides a competitive substitution between the next generation mobile service and the traditional mobile service.

  • PDF

Modeling Diffusion Process Under Abrupt Changes of External Factors (외생변수가 급변하는 상황에서의 확산과정 모형화)

  • Park Sang-June;Hahn Min-Hi;Shin Chang-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
    • /
    • v.31 no.2
    • /
    • pp.15-26
    • /
    • 2006
  • In reality, we can observe anomalous diffusion patterns of cycle-recycle or rejuvenation. Abrupt changes in the market environment such as sudden currency devaluation or change in government policy or those in marketing strategies such as drastic repositioning can lead to such atypical diffusion patterns. The authors present extended Bass models that incorporate effects of such abrupt changes of external factors into the hazard rate and the market potential. Using a set of compact-car data affected by a drastic change in the government policy, they illustrate the strengths of the proposed models.

Tracer Concentration Contours in Grain Lattice and Grain Boundary Diffusion

  • Kim, Yong-Soo;Donald R. Olander
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • v.29 no.1
    • /
    • pp.7-14
    • /
    • 1997
  • Grain boundary diffusion plays a significant role in fission gas release, which is one of the crucial processes dominating nuclear fuel performance. Gaseous fission produce such as Xe and Kr generated during nuclear fission have to diffuse in the grain lattice and the boundary inside fuel pellets before they reach the open spaces in a fuel rod. These processes can be studied by 'tracer diffusion' techniques, by which grain boundary diffusivity can be estimated and directly used for low burn-up fission gas release analysis. However, only a few models accounting for the both processes are available and mostly handle them numerically due to mathematical complexity. Also the numerical solution has limitations in a practical use. In this paper, an approximate analytical solution in case of stationary grain boundary in a polycrystalline solid is developed for the tracer diffusion techniques. This closed-form solution is compared to available exact and numerical solutions and it turns out that it makes computation not only greatly easier but also more accurate than previous models. It can be applied to theoretical modelings for low bum-up fission gas release phenomena and experimental analyses as well, especially for PIE (post irradiation examination).

  • PDF

A Study on Modeling and Forecasting of Mobile Phone Sales Trends (이동통신 단말기 판매 추이에 대한 모형 및 수요예측에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Min-Jeong
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.17 no.6
    • /
    • pp.157-165
    • /
    • 2016
  • Among high-tech products, the mobile phone has experienced a rapid rate of innovation and a shortening of its product life cycle. The shortened product life cycle poses major challenges to those involved in the creation of forecasting methods fundamental to strategic management and planning systems. This study examined whether the best model applies to the entire diffusion life span of a mobile phone. Mobile phone sales data from a specific mobile service provider in Korea from March of 2013 to August of 2014 were analyzed to compare the performance of two S-shaped diffusion models and two non-linear regression models, the Gompertz, logistic, Michaelis-Menten, and logarithmic models. The experimental results indicated that the logistic model outperforms the other three models over the fitted region of the diffusion. For forecasting, the logistic model outperformed the Gompertz model for the period prior to diffusion saturation, whereas the Gompertz model was superior after saturation approaches. This analysis may help those estimate the potential mobile phone market size and perform inventory and order management of mobile phones.