• 제목/요약/키워드: Diffusion models

검색결과 601건 처리시간 0.023초

몽골 이동통신 시장의 확산 패턴 연구 (A Study on the Diffusion Pattern of Mongolian Mobile Market)

  • 바드몬드 앵흐자야;홍정식;김태구
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제51권4호
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    • pp.691-700
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: This study aims to analyze the diffusion pattern of the Mongolian mobile phone market. In particular, we used a generalized diffusion model to explore the factors affecting market potenial. Methods: We used three diffusion models to estimate the number of mobile subscribers in Mongolia. Based on the Logistic model with the best fitness, we introduced time-varying market potential and explored the influence of various independent variables such as GDP and inflation. Results: Among the basic diffusion models, the Logistic model was the best in terms of estimation performance and statistical significance. The estimation results of the Generalized Logistic model confirm that investment in the telecommunication sector has a significant positive effect on market potential. The estimation of the Generalized Logistic model effectively describes the continuous growth of the Mongolian telecommunications market until recently. Conclusion: We have analyzed the diffusion pattern of the Mongolian telecommunications market and found that the amount of investment in the sector leads to the growth of the market size. This study is original in terms of its subject - Mongolian telecommunications market and methodology - time-varying market potential.

이동통신기술과의 연관성을 고려한 차세대 이동통신서비스의 수요예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on a Forecasting the Demand for the Future Mobile Communication Service by Integrating the Mobile Communication Technology)

  • 주영진;김선재
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.87-99
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, we have developed a technology-service relationship model which describes the diffusion process of a group of services and relevant technologies, and have applied the developed model to the prediction of the number of subscribers to the next generation mobile service. The technology-service relationship model developed in this paper incorporates the developing process of relevant technologies, a supply-side factor, into the diffusion process of specific services, while many diffusion models and multi-generation diffusion models in previous researches are mainly reflect the demand-side factors. So, the proposed model could effectively applied to the telecommunication services where the developing of the relevant technologies are very essential to the service Penetration. In our application, the Proposed model provides a competitive substitution between the next generation mobile service and the traditional mobile service.

확산모형에 대한 일반화적률추정법의 개선 (Improved Generalized Method of Moment Estimators to Estimate Diffusion Models)

  • 최영수;이윤동
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제26권5호
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    • pp.767-783
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    • 2013
  • 일반화적률추정법(GMM)은 금융자료에 대한 모형모수의 추정에 자주 이용되는 방법이다. 특히 GMM은 현대금융 공학 이론의 기본을 이루는 확산모형의 추정에도 매우 자주 사용된다. 그러나 최근의 연구에서 GMM은 확산모형의 모수, 특히 확산계수에 관계되는 모수의 추정에 있어서 그 성능이 좋지 못함이 지적되었다. 본 연구에서는 GMM의 이러한 단점을 개선하기 위한 대안적 방법들을 제시하고 그 통계적 성능을 시뮬레이션 연구를 통해서 비교하게 된다. 이런 과정을 통하여 제안되고 검토된 추정방법들 중, Shoji와 Ozaki (1998)가 제안한 국소선형근사법의 결과를 적용하여 GMM의 성능을 개선한 NGMM-Y 추정량이 매우 우수한 성질을 가지고 있음을 확인하게 된다. 특히 NGMM-Y 추정량은 확산계수에 관계된 모수의 추정에 있어서 비교대상이 된 다른 대안적 GMM 방법들에 비하여 우수한 성질을 가지고 있음을 확인하게 된다.

LOCAL APPROXIMATE SOLUTIONS OF A CLASS OF NONLINEAR DIFFUSION POPULATION MODELS

  • Yang, Guangchong;Chen, Xia;Xiao, Lan
    • Nonlinear Functional Analysis and Applications
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.83-92
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    • 2021
  • This paper studies approximate solutions for a class of nonlinear diffusion population models. Our methods are to use the fundamental solution of heat equations to construct integral forms of the models and the well-known Banach compression map theorem to prove the existence of positive solutions of integral equations. Non-steady-state local approximate solutions for suitable harvest functions are obtained by utilizing the approximation theorem of multivariate continuous functions.

Analysis of Stratified Lake using an Eddy Diffusion and a Mixed-layer Models

  • Kim, Kyung-sub
    • Korean Journal of Hydrosciences
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    • 제8권
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    • pp.111-123
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    • 1997
  • A one-dimensional eddy diffusion model and a mixed-layer model are developed and applied to simulate the vertical temperature profiles in lakes. Also the running result of each method are compared and analyzed. In an eddy diffusion model, molecular diffusivity is neglected and eddy diffusivity which does not need lake-specific fitting parameter and constant lake's level are applied. The heat exchanges at the water surface and the bottom are formulated by the energy balance and zero energy gradient, respectively. In a mixed-layer model, two layers approach which has a constant thickness is adopted. The application of these models which use explicit finite difference and Runge-Kutta methods respectively demonstrates that the models simulate water temperatures efficiently.

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난류분류확산화염에 대한 레이놀즈응력모델의 적용성 검토 (Validation of the Reynolds Stress Turbulence Models in Turbulent Jet Diffusion Flames)

  • 한지웅;이태우;이근오;이창언
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.66-74
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    • 1996
  • Numerical simulations were carried out using standard Reynolds stress turbulence model(LRR model) and modified RSM(Janicka model ) to validate these models in combustion flow fields. Two flames were selected for use as a benchmark data for model testing. One is a conventional jet diffusion flame that has the effect of suppression of turbulence by combustion. The other is a triple jet diffusion flame that designed to give high turbulence to the periphery of the flame and to remove the low Reynolds-number flow fields. As a result, it was found that the modification of standard RSM model is indispensable in the modelling of flames with low turbulence region. And it is also necessary to improve the existing modified models for the universal use.

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Corrosion initiation time models in RC coastal structures based on reliability approach

  • Djeddi, Lamine;Amirat, Abdelaziz
    • Advances in concrete construction
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.149-159
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    • 2020
  • The present work proposes new engineering models for determining corrosion initiation time in concrete reinforcing steels in marine environment. The models are based on Fick's second law that is commonly used for chloride diffusion. The latter is based on deterministic analyses involving the most influencing parameters such as distance of the concrete structure from the seaside, depth of steel concrete cover, ambient temperature, relative humidity and the water-cement ratio. However, a realistic corrosion initiation time cannot be estimated because of the uncertainties associated to the different parameters of the models. Therefore a reliability approach using FORM/SORM method has been applied to develop the proposed engineering models integrating a limit state function and a reliability index β. As a result, the corrosion initiation time is expressed by new exponential engineering models where the uncertainties are associated to the model parameters. The main emerging result is a realistic decision tool for corrosion planning inspection.

이동통신기술과의 연관성을 고려한 차세대 이동통신서비스의 수요예측에 관한 연구 (A study on a forecasting the demand for the future mobile communication service by integrating the mobile communication technology)

  • 주영진;김선재
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국경영과학회 2003년도 추계학술대회 및 정기총회
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    • pp.74-78
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, we have developed a technology-service relationship model which describes the diffusion process of a group of services and relevant technologies, and have applied the developed model to the prediction of the number of subscribers to the next generation mobile service. The technology-service relationship model developed in this paper incorporates the developing process of relevant technologies, a supply-side factor, into the diffusion process of specific services, while many diffusion models and multi-generation diffusion models in previous researches are mainly reflect the demand-side factors. So, the proposed model could effectively applied to the telecommunication services where the developing of the relevant technologies are very essential to the service penetration. In our application, the proposed model provides a competitive substitution between the next generation mobile service and the traditional mobile service.

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외생변수가 급변하는 상황에서의 확산과정 모형화 (Modeling Diffusion Process Under Abrupt Changes of External Factors)

  • 박상준;한민희;신창훈
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제31권2호
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    • pp.15-26
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    • 2006
  • In reality, we can observe anomalous diffusion patterns of cycle-recycle or rejuvenation. Abrupt changes in the market environment such as sudden currency devaluation or change in government policy or those in marketing strategies such as drastic repositioning can lead to such atypical diffusion patterns. The authors present extended Bass models that incorporate effects of such abrupt changes of external factors into the hazard rate and the market potential. Using a set of compact-car data affected by a drastic change in the government policy, they illustrate the strengths of the proposed models.

Tracer Concentration Contours in Grain Lattice and Grain Boundary Diffusion

  • Kim, Yong-Soo;Donald R. Olander
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.7-14
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    • 1997
  • Grain boundary diffusion plays a significant role in fission gas release, which is one of the crucial processes dominating nuclear fuel performance. Gaseous fission produce such as Xe and Kr generated during nuclear fission have to diffuse in the grain lattice and the boundary inside fuel pellets before they reach the open spaces in a fuel rod. These processes can be studied by 'tracer diffusion' techniques, by which grain boundary diffusivity can be estimated and directly used for low burn-up fission gas release analysis. However, only a few models accounting for the both processes are available and mostly handle them numerically due to mathematical complexity. Also the numerical solution has limitations in a practical use. In this paper, an approximate analytical solution in case of stationary grain boundary in a polycrystalline solid is developed for the tracer diffusion techniques. This closed-form solution is compared to available exact and numerical solutions and it turns out that it makes computation not only greatly easier but also more accurate than previous models. It can be applied to theoretical modelings for low bum-up fission gas release phenomena and experimental analyses as well, especially for PIE (post irradiation examination).

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