• Title/Summary/Keyword: Density estimation method

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A QUALITATIVE METHOD TO ESTIMATE HSI DISPLAY COMPLEXITY

  • Hugo, Jacques;Gertman, David
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.45 no.2
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    • pp.141-150
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    • 2013
  • There is mounting evidence that complex computer system displays in control rooms contribute to cognitive complexity and, thus, to the probability of human error. Research shows that reaction time increases and response accuracy decreases as the number of elements in the display screen increase. However, in terms of supporting the control room operator, approaches focusing on addressing display complexity solely in terms of information density and its location and patterning, will fall short of delivering a properly designed interface. This paper argues that information complexity and semantic complexity are mandatory components when considering display complexity and that the addition of these concepts assists in understanding and resolving differences between designers and the preferences and performance of operators. This paper concludes that a number of simplified methods, when combined, can be used to estimate the impact that a particular display may have on the operator's ability to perform a function accurately and effectively. We present a mixed qualitative and quantitative approach and a method for complexity estimation.

Bayesian estimation for finite population proportions in multinomial data

  • Kwak, Sang-Gyu;Kim, Dal-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.587-593
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    • 2012
  • We study Bayesian estimates for finite population proportions in multinomial problems. To do this, we consider a three-stage hierarchical Bayesian model. For prior, we use Dirichlet density to model each cell probability in each cluster. Our method does not require complicated computation such as Metropolis-Hastings algorithm to draw samples from each density of parameters. We draw samples using Gibbs sampler with grid method. We apply this algorithm to a couple of simulation data under three scenarios and we estimate the finite population proportions using two kinds of approaches We compare results with the point estimates of finite population proportions and their standard deviations. Finally, we check the consistency of computation using differen samples drawn from distinct iterates.

Improved Direction of Arrival Estimation Based on Coprime Array and Propagator Method by Noise Power Spectral Density Estimation (잡음 파워 스펙트럼 밀도 추정을 이용한 서로소 배열과 프로퍼게이터 기법 기반의 향상된 도래각 추정 기법)

  • Byun, Bu-Guen;Yoo, Do-Sik
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.367-373
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    • 2016
  • We propose an improved direction of arrival (DoA) estimation algorithm based on co-prime array and propagator method. The propagator method with co-prime array does not require singular value decomposition (SVD) requiring much less computational complexity but exhibiting somewhat worse performance in comparison with MUSIC based on co-prime array. We notice that one cause of the performance degradation was in the avoidance of the usage of the diagonal elements of the signal autocorrelation matrix that contains the noise power spectral density. So we propose an algorithm with the diagonal elements of the signal autocorrelation matrix based on the fact that the noise power spectral density can be estimated using noise observation over a long period of time. We observe, through simulations, that the proposed scheme in this paper improves the performance, with 4 times more computational requirement, by signal-to-noise ratio of 1.5dB and by DoA resolution of $0.7^{\circ}$ at the detection probability of 95% compared with the previously introduced co-prime array propagator scheme, resulting in performance much closer to that of co-prime array-based MUSIC scheme.

Spatiotemporal Traffic Density Estimation Based on Low Frequency ADAS Probe Data on Freeway (표본 ADAS 차두거리 기반 연속류 시공간적 교통밀도 추정)

  • Lim, Donghyun;Ko, Eunjeong;Seo, Younghoon;Kim, Hyungjoo
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.208-221
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    • 2020
  • The objective of this study is to estimate and analyze the traffic density of continuous flow using the trajectory of individual vehicles and the headway of sample probe vehicles-front vehicles obtained from ADAS (Advanced Driver Assitance System) installed in sample probe vehicles. In the past, traffic density of continuous traffic flow was mainly estimated by processing data such as traffic volume, speed, and share collected from Vehicle Detection System, or by counting the number of vehicles directly using video information such as CCTV. This method showed the limitation of spatial limitations in estimating traffic density, and low reliability of estimation in the event of traffic congestion. To overcome the limitations of prior research, In this study, individual vehicle trajectory data and vehicle headway information collected from ADAS are used to detect the space on the road and to estimate the spatiotemporal traffic density using the Generalized Density formula. As a result, an analysis of the accuracy of the traffic density estimates according to the sampling rate of ADAS vehicles showed that the expected sampling rate of 30% was approximately 90% consistent with the actual traffic density. This study contribute to efficient traffic operation management by estimating reliable traffic density in road situations where ADAS and autonomous vehicles are mixed.

Optimal Estimation (OE) Technique to Retrieve the Ozone Column and Tropospheric Ozone Profile Based on Ground-based MAX-DOAS Measurement (오존전량 및 대류권 오존 프로파일 산출을 위한 지상관측 MAX-DOAS 원시자료 기반의 최적추정(Optimal Estimation) 기술)

  • Park, Junsung;Hong, Hyunkee;Choi, Wonei;Kim, Daewon;Yang, Jiwon;Kang, Hyungwoo;Lee, Hanlim
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.34 no.2_1
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    • pp.191-201
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    • 2018
  • In this present study, we, for the first time, retrieved total column of ozone ($O_3$) and tropospheric ozone vertical profile using the Optimal Estimation (OE) method based on the MAX-DOAS measurement at the Yonsei University in Seoul, Korea. The optical density fitting is carried out using the OE method to calculate ozone columns. The optical density between the MAX-DOAS data obtained by dividing the measured intensities for each viewing elevated angle by those at the zenith angle. The retrieved total columns of the ozone are 375.4 and 412.6 DU in the morning (08:13) and afternoon (17:55) on 23 May, 2017, respectively. In addition, under 10 km altitude, the $O_3$ vertical profile was retrieved with about 5% of retrieval uncertainty. However, above 10 km altitude, the $O_3$ vertical profile retrieval uncertainty was increased (>10%). The spectral fitting errors are 16.8% and 19.1% in the morning and afternoon, respectively. The method suggested in this present study can be useful to measure the total ozone column using the ground-based hyper-spectral UV sensors.

A stochastic finite element method for dynamic analysis of bridge structures under moving loads

  • Liu, Xiang;Jiang, Lizhong;Xiang, Ping;Lai, Zhipeng;Zhang, Yuntai;Liu, Lili
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.82 no.1
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    • pp.31-40
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    • 2022
  • In structural engineering, the material properties of the structures such as elastic modulus, shear modulus, density, and size may not be deterministic and may vary at different locations. The dynamic response analysis of such structures may need to consider these properties as stochastic. This paper introduces a stochastic finite element method (SFEM) approach to analyze moving loads problems. Firstly, Karhunen-Loéve expansion (KLE) is applied for expressing the stochastic field of material properties. Then the mathematical expression of the random field is substituted into the finite element model to formulate the corresponding random matrix. Finally, the statistical moment of the dynamic response is calculated by the point estimation method (PEM). The accuracy and efficiency of the dynamic response obtained from the KLE-PEM are demonstrated by the example of a moving load passing through a simply supported Euler-Bernoulli beam, in which the material properties (including elastic modulus and density) are considered as random fields. The results from the KLE-PEM are compared with those from the Monte Carlo simulation. The results demonstrate that the proposed method of KLE-PEM has high accuracy and efficiency. By using the proposed SFEM, the random vertical deflection of a high-speed railway (HSR) bridge is analyzed by considering the random fields of material properties under the moving load of a train.

Maritime radar display unit based on PC for safe ship navigation

  • Bae, Jin-Ho;Lee, Chong-Hyun;Hwang, Chang-Ku
    • International Journal of Ocean System Engineering
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.52-59
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    • 2011
  • A prototype radar display unit was implemented using inexpensive off-the-shelf components, including a nonlinear estimation algorithm for the target tracking in a clutter environment. Two custom designed boards; an analog signal processing board and a DSP board, can be plugged into an expansion slot of a personal computer (PC) to form a maritime radar display unit. Our system provided all the functionality specified in the International Maritime Organization (IMO) resolution A422(XI). The analog signal processing board was used for A/D conversion as well as rain and sea clutter suppression. The main functions of the DSP board were scan conversion and video overlay operations. A host PC was used to run the tracking algorithm of targets in clutter, using the discrete-time Bayes optimal (nonlinear, and non-Gaussian) estimation method, and the graphic user interface (GUI) software for Automatic Radar Plotting Aid (ARPA). The proposed tracking method recursively found the entire probability density function of the target position and velocity by converting into linear convolution operations.

Track servo patterns spacing optimization using least mean square estimation algorithm for holographic data storage (최소제곱평균 추정기법 알고리즘을 이용한 트랙서보패턴 간격 최적화)

  • Lim, Sung-Yong;Lee, JongJin;Lee, Jae-Seong;Jeong, Wooyoung;Yang, Hyunseok;Park, No-Cheol;Park, Young-Pil
    • Transactions of the Society of Information Storage Systems
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.5-9
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    • 2013
  • Page-oriented holographic data storage (HDS) is very sensitive to the disturbances. However, vibration effect by disc imbalance can be ignored because data pages are recorded and retrieved with stop-go rotation. Therefore, just estimating de-track due to eccentricity of disc is enough to construct stable track servo system. In this paper, propose the spacing of track servo patterns optimization method using Least Mean Square (LMS) estimation algorithm. Through the patterns spacing optimization, storage density maximize can be achieved.

Fission source convergence diagnosis in Monte Carlo eigenvalue calculations by skewness and kurtosis estimation methods

  • Ho Jin Park;Seung-Ah Yang
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.56 no.9
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    • pp.3775-3784
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    • 2024
  • In this study, a skewness estimation method (SEM) and kurtosis estimation method (KEM) are introduced to determine the number of inactive cycles in Monte Carlo eigenvalue calculations. The SEM and KEM can determine the number of inactive cycles on the basis that fully converged fission source distributions may follow normal distributions without asymmetry or outliers. Two convergence criteria values and a minimum cycle length for the SEM and KEM were determined from skewness and kurtosis analyses of the AGN-201K benchmark and 1D slab problems. The SEM and KEM were then applied to two OECD/NEA slow convergence benchmark problems to evaluate the performance and reliability of the developed methods. Results confirmed that the SEM and KEM provide appropriate and effective convergence cycles when compared to other methods and fission source density fraction trends. Also, the determined criterion value of 0.5 for both ε1 and ε2 was concluded to be reasonable. The SEM and KEM can be utilized as a new approach for determining the number of inactive cycles and judging whether Monte Carlo tally values are fully converged. In the near future, the methods will be applied to various practical problems to further examine their performance and reliability, and optimization will be performed for the convergence criteria and other parameters as well as for improvement of the methodology for practical usage.

Reliability Evaluation of Parameter Estimation Methods of Probability Density Function for Estimating Probability Rainfalls (확률강우량 추정을 위한 확률분포함수의 매개변수 추정법에 대한 신뢰성 평가)

  • Han, Jeong-Woo;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.143-151
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    • 2009
  • Extreme hydrologic events cause serious disaster, such as flood and drought. Many researchers have an effort to estimate design rainfalls or discharges. This study evaluated parameter estimation methods to estimate probability rainfalls with low uncertainty which will be used in design rainfalls. This study collected rainfall data from Incheon, Gangnueng, Gwangju, Busan, and Chupungryong gage station, and generated synthetic rainfall data using ARMA model. This study employed the maximum likelihood method and the Bayesian inference method for estimating parameters of the Gumbel and GEV distribution. Using a bootstrap resampling method, this study estimated the confidence intervals of estimated probability rainfalls. Based on the comparison of the confidence intervals, this study recommended a proper parameter estimation method for estimating probability rainfalls which have a low uncertainty.