• Title/Summary/Keyword: Delphi method

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Technology Forecasting in Food Processing Using Delphi (델파이 법에 의한 식품가공분야의 기술예측)

  • Cho, Keun-Tae;Kim, Cheol-Jin;Kim, Jae-Han;Lee, Jong-In
    • Applied Biological Chemistry
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.157-163
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    • 2004
  • The study was designed to forecast and derive future core technologies using Delphi method in Korea. The technologies will make agriculture for core and strategic industry that. has high value-added in 21 century. The target of the survey for Delphi is confined specialists in the area of processing.

A Study on The Success Factors of Youth Enterprises (청년창업 성공요인에 관한 연구: 창업전문가를 대상으로)

  • Shim, Hyeon Min;Seol, Byung Moon
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2022
  • This study derived the success factors of youth enterprises by applying the Delphi Method to start-up experts. Through this, it aims to improve understanding of youth enterprises in entrepreneurship education and start-up support projects and contribute to the development of education and support programs suitable for youth enterprises. Also The purpose of this study is to help youth entrepreneurs solve their curiosity about the success factors of youth enterprises, identify the factors that youth entrepreneurs should first secure or perform among the factors they need to consider during start-ups, and use limited resources efficiently and effectively to succeed. In this study, the Delphi Survey was conducted twice in total. The first Delphi Survey utilized the Modified Delphi Method using structured closed-ended questions, and a pilot test was conducted on youth entrepreneurs and start-up experts to compensate for the problem of the Modified Delphi Method. In the first Delphi Survey, IBM SPSS Statistics 22 and Microsoft Office Excel 2016 were used to calculate the mean, standard deviation, median, interquartile range, and content validity ratio. In the Delphi 2nd survey, the same statistical values in the 1st survey and additionally cronbach's alpha were calculated. As a result of the Delphi Survey, four factors, such as the entrepreneurial characteristics, entrepreneurial preparation, entrepreneurial strategy, and entrepreneurial environment, and 22 sub-factors were derived as success factors for youth enterprises.

Selection of Manageable Diseases for Quality Assessment in Korean Medicine by Delphi Method (한방분야 적정성 평가 대상 질환 선정을 위한 전문가 Delphi 조사)

  • Park, Chang-Hyun;Lim, Hyung-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Medicine Rehabilitation
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.129-141
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    • 2016
  • Objectives As awareness of the public about Korean medicine health care and the social demand about improvement for quality of health care service is constantly rising, the quality evaluation of Korean medicine health care service is needed to improve the quality. Through trial of Delphi method, we tried to set the priority in short, medium, long term among the disease which is the subject of quality assessment. Methods Carrying out the delphi survey to 50 experts of korean medicine who were recommended by the 41 member societies of Korean medicine and related organizations, we selected final candidates for quality assessment. It is composed with total 2 rounds, and we investigated the priority in three aspects; the importance of the matter, possibility quality assessment, potential about if there's any chance of improvement. Results By delphi method, we set the priority of quality assessment. Base on the result of the second round, we classified importance of the questions into above average, average, below average, and categorized items as short, medium, long term according on the final priority. We classified of musculoskeletal diseases and diseases of connective tissues and musculoskeletal injury as short term and cerebrovascular disease and disease of nerve system and malignant neoplasm as medium term, disease of digestive organs and diseases, symptoms and abnormal findings in clinical field or inspections which are not categorized as long term. Conclusions We set the subjects of quality assessment by delphi survey by experts, and classified into short, medium, long term. Further research is necessary for execution the Quality Assessment to each of the candidate. Also, we can send feedback to medical institution base on the result of Quality Assessment. then it would be able to induce the improvement in quality of medical institution by itself.

A Study on the State-of-the-Art Technology Level Evaluation and Internation R&D Cooperation in the Field of Mechanical Engineering by Delphi Method (Delphi기법에 의한 기계공학기술의 수준평가 및 국제 기술협력기반에 관한 연구)

  • Y.J. Kwon;S.H. Joo;Kim, H.B.
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.13 no.7
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    • pp.45-58
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    • 1996
  • We provide a set of information on technologies in the area of mechanical engineering to draw meaningful action plans for the internationalization of National R&D activities. In this study, we employed a modified Delphi method to evaluate levels of our technoligical capabilities and developed countries' as well. We investigate technology acquistion methodologies, technology charcteristics and various aspects of interna- tional cooperation in terms of technology. Then, we analyzed final responses of participants(i.e., the third round results of Delphi method) to see the correlation among various factors in developing mechanical engineeing technologies through international cooperation. The technology classification used in this research was devel- oped by STEPI(Science and Technology Policy Institute). In conclusion, our mechanical engineering technology is investigated to be below the middle level stage of technology(i.e., the stage of digesting acquired technologies) except the shipbuilding equipments technology which is evaluated to be on the top level stage of technology.

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A Study on the Construction of Non-face-to-face Lecture of KAOMPT: Delphi Survey Research to Post COVID-19 Untact Era (대한정형도수물리치료학회 비대면 강의 체계 구축 연구: 포스트 코로나19 대비 델파이 기법 분석 적용 사례)

  • Kim, Jin-young;Shin, Young-il;Yang, Sung-hwa
    • The Journal of Korean Academy of Orthopedic Manual Physical Therapy
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2021
  • Background: The purpose of this study is to identify the elements for the construction of the Korean academy of orthopedic manipulative physical therapy's (KAOMPT's) non-face-to-face lecture system using the Delphi method. Methods: The Delphi method was applied to 50 expert panel members of the Central Committee and the Provincial Branch of the KAOMPT. The Delphi survey was conducted in two rounds, and the first Delphi survey collected opinions on 40 questions on 12 topics. The second Delphi survey was collected into 25 questions on 4 topics. As a result of the survey, the content validity ratio (CVR), consensus and convergence were measured. Referring to the number of expert panels and previous studies were determine a CVR of at least 2.29, a consensus of at least .75 and a convergence of 0 to .5. Result: In the first Delphi result, out of the total 40 items, 20 items with high content validity ratio were found, and 10 items found double agreement. In the second Delphi result, 13 out of the total 25 items had a content validity ratio higher than 2.29, and 5 items found a double agreement. Conclusion: This study derived items on the role of central and municipal councils, lecture support and lecture room construction, non-face regular course and special lecture operation and personnel for the establishment of non-face-to-face lecture system. Based on this content, it is expected that it will help establish a non-face-to-face lecture system in 2021 through a pilot non-face-to-face lecture that will be implemented in the future.

Correctional Officer's Mental Health Management and Promotion (교정공무원의 정신건강 관리와 예방)

  • Im, Hyuk;Lee, Hyo-Young;Kim, Hye-Sook
    • The Korean Journal of Health Service Management
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2013
  • This study is proposed to suggest the preventing methods for correctional officer's mental health problems. For this purpose, Delphi method was used and the study panel was composed of finally 10 people. Total Delphi process was performed for 4 times and six qualified researchers & skilled correctional officers participated in developing Delphi questionnaires. As the main results, major correctional officer's mental health problems are PTSD(post traumatic stress disorder), job stress, suicide witnessing, stress from violent accidents, and anger by related with their own work. All of these problems must need to be managed. Besides, the most effective preventing method for correctional officer's mental health problem is providing regular counsels & treatments with a psychiatrist or the fully qualified experts. The mental health promotion strategies for correctional officers must be settled for providing appropriate mental health services to them.

A Preliminary Study on Natural Dyeing by the Delphi Method (Part III) -Developing Valuation of Natural Dyes- (델파이법을 이용한 천연염색에 관한 기초 연구 (제3보) -천연염료의 개발가치 평가-)

  • You Myung-Nim;Roh Eui-Kyung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Clothing and Textiles
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    • v.30 no.5 s.153
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    • pp.733-741
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    • 2006
  • This study was to investigate categories of valuation and make the standard on developing valuation of natural dyes by Delphi method. The three-round Delphi tests were performed with 36 professional in the academic, the industrial, and the art field.'Dyeability property' meant levelling, adsorption, color diversity with mordant, color stability, 'marketability', possibility of mass production, economical efficiency, functionality, demand and supply of natural dyes, 'color', yield, beautiful color, value of color and 'color fastness', washing, perspiration and light fastness. Indigo, persimmon, cochineal, safflower and onion in dyeability property were evaluated highly, functional natural dyes in marketability, red and purple color ones except indigo in color and ones containing tannin in color fastness.

Delphi Study for Developing Consensus of Physical Attribute in Pressure Pulse Waveform (맥상파 물리량 속성 총의형성을 위한 델파이 연구)

  • Lee, Haebeom;Kim, Hyunho;Park, Young-Jae;Park, Young-Bae
    • The Journal of the Society of Korean Medicine Diagnostics
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.137-148
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    • 2014
  • Objectives This study was conducted to derive consensus about physical attributes in pressure pulse waveform and pulse conditions by Delphi study. Methods Delphi research was conducted for 2 rounds via e-mail. 8 Professors who lecture on a diagnostics of K. M. from the society of Korean medicine diagnostics were participated in this survey. They were asked for answering about series of definition for a physical attribute in pressure pulse waveform and combination for physical attributes of pulse conditions. Results 4 survey items were decided to have high validity and 9 survey items were decided to come to consensus about a physical attribute in pressure pulse waveform. 6 pulse condition were decided to come to consensus. Conclusion Using Delphi method, physical attributes in pressure pulse waveform and combinations of physical attribute in pulse condition come to consensus.

A Delphi Study on Software Project Risks (소프트웨어 개발 프로젝트의 위험요인 도출에 대한 델파이 연구)

  • Chung Kyung-Soo;Kang Myeong-Hui;Kim Yong
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.1-20
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    • 2004
  • Most of the software development projects bear risks that need analysis and management. Risk management plays a critical role for the success of software project management. In this study, we have used delphi method to delineate critical risk factors. The study pulls out 20 project risk factors from 21 project managers. It is certainly clear that certain features are more risky than others. Our study shows that unrealistic cost estimation and changes in scope and objective are more risky than other features.

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Development of Low Carbon Hydrogen Production Technology Evaluation Model Using Delphi-AHP Method (Delphi-AHP 방법을 이용한 저탄소수소 생산 기술 가치평가 모델 개발)

  • HO SEOK WHANG;UISIK KIM;YOUNGSHIN JANG;JUNGHWAN KIM;KWANG JUN KIM
    • Transactions of the Korean hydrogen and new energy society
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.113-121
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    • 2023
  • Recently, low hydrogen carbon production technology is drawing interest due to lower production costs. Although the pace of research in this field has been accelerating, there is no well-established criteria for evaluation. The most of current evaluation methods needs information related to technology. However the technology is not enough to provide effective evaluation criteria because the technology is not fully developed. In this study, we propose an integrated Delphi-analytic hierarchy process (AHP) method and low carbon hydrogen production technology evaluation model. Experts opinion is used to provide evaluation criteria for the technology. In this study, integrated Delphi-AHP method are utilized for determining factors and calculating their numerical importance based on experts opinion. Then, sensitivity analysis is performed to verify the robustness of the analysis and scenarios of potential changes. As many as 11 factors are identified by Delphi method. Then, numerical importance of the factors are calculated by AHP. Sensitivity analysis is performed. It shows that intellectual property right (IPR) is always more important than other factors. This study proposes the numerical standard for the low carbon hydrogen production technology evaluation. The proposed model can be used for technology evaluation or commercialization.