• 제목/요약/키워드: Data uncertainty

검색결과 2,043건 처리시간 0.029초

Low Noise Time-Frequency Analysis Algorithm for Real-Time Spectral Estimation (실시간 뇌파 특성 분석을 위한 저잡음 스펙트럼 추정 알고리즘)

  • Kim, Yeon-Su;Park, Beom-Su;Kim, Seong-Eun
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.805-810
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    • 2019
  • We present a time-frequency analysis algorithm based on the multitaper method and the state-space frameworks. In general, time-frequency representations have a trade-off between the time duration and the spectral bandwidth by the uncertainty principle. To optimize the trade-off problems, the short-time Fourier transform and wavelet based algorithms have been developed. Alternatively, the authors proposed the state-space frameworks based on the multitaper method in the previous work. In this paper, we develop a real-time algorithm to estimate variances and spectrum using the state-space framework. We test our algorithm in spectral analysis of simulated data.

Analysis of the potential landslide hazard after wildfire considering compound disaster effect (복합재해 영향을 고려한 산불 후 산사태 잠재적 피해 위험도 분석)

  • Lee, Jong-Ook;Lee, Dong-Kun;Song, Young-Il
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.33-45
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    • 2019
  • Compound disaster is the type that increases the impact affected by two or more hazard events, and attention to compound disaster and multi-hazards risk is growing due to potential damages which are difficult to predict. The objective of this study is to analyze the possible impacts of post-fire landslide scenario quantitatively by using TRIGRS (Transient Rainfall Infiltration and Grid-Based Regional Slope-Stability Analysis), a physics-based landslide model. In the case of wildfire, soil organic material and density are altered, and saturated hydraulic conductivity decrease because of soil exposed to high temperature. We have included the change of soil saturated hydraulic conductivity into the TRIGRS model through literature review. For a case study, we selected the area of $8km^2$ in Pyeongchang County. The landslide modeling process was calibrated before simulate the post-wildfire impact based on landslide inventory data to reduce uncertainty. As a result, the mean of the total factor of safety values in the case of landslide was 2.641 when rainfall duration is 1 hour with rainfall intensity of 100mm per day, while the mean value for the case of post-wildfire landslide was lower to 2.579, showing potential landslide occurrence areas appear more quickly in the compound disaster scenario. This study can be used to prevent potential losses caused by the compound disaster such as post-wildfire debris flow or landslides.

Exploring Critical Risk Factors of Office Building Projects

  • NGUYEN, Phong Thanh;PHAM, Cuong Phu;PHAN, Phuong Thanh;VU, Ngoc Bich;DUONG, My Tien Ha;NGUYEN, Quyen Le Hoang Thuy To
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.309-315
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    • 2021
  • Risks and uncertainty are unavoidable problems in management of projects. Therefore, project managers should not only prevent risks, but also have to respond and manage them. Risk management has become a critical interest subject in the construction industry for both practitioners and researchers. This paper presents critical risk factors of office building projects in the construction phase in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam. Data was collected through a questionnaire survey based on the likelihood and consequence level of risk factors. These factors fell into five groups: (i) financial risk factors; (ii) management risk factors; (iii) schedule risk factors; (iv) construction risk factors; and (v) environment risk factors. The research results showed that critical factors affecting office building projects are natural (i.e., prolonged rain, storms, climate effects) and human-made issues (i.e., soil instability, safety behaviors, owner's design change) and the schedule-related risk factors contributed to the most significant risks for office buildings projects in the construction phase in Ho Chi Minh City. They give construction management and project management practitioners a new perspective on risks and risk management of office buildings projects in Ho Chi Minh City and are proactive in the awareness, response, and management of risk factors comprehensively.

A Study on the Cultural tendency and Built Environment of Foreigner Cluster: for Daelim 2dong Chinatown (외국인 밀집지역에서의 문화적 성향과 건조환경에 관한 연구 : 대림2동 차이나타운을 중심으로)

  • Park, Chan-Young;Choi, Junho
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • 제11권12호
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    • pp.137-145
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the relationship between the two factors and the influence of Chinese cultural orientation on the change of physical dry environment in the domestic Chinese residential area. To this end, Hofsted's cultural dimension theory, which can quantitatively define and compare the national culture, is used to investigate the cultural orientation of China. The association was analyzed. Through this study, it was confirmed that the collectivist and uncertainty-avoidance tendency of the Chinese influenced the formation and change of the dry environment of the Chinese residential area in Daelim 2-dong. This study is meaningful in confirming that the cultural orientation of the migrant community affects the formation and change of collective residences, and through this, it can be used as basic data in preparing policies suitable for various migrant communities including Chinatown.

Comparison of Domestic and International Government Policies in Pandemic Circumstances and Crises: Based on COVID-19, SARS, MERS (펜데믹 상황시 정부의 대응 정책 비교: 코로나-19, 사스, 메르스를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Suk-Man;Park, Sang-Yong;Lee, Min-Woo;Kang, Chul-Woong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Physical Medicine
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.123-141
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    • 2021
  • PURPOSE: Focusing on the factors that influence the infectious disease emergency response policy (approached by dividing the factors into health policy management and economic policies), both SARS and MERS cases were based on the legal system, manpower, and budget, but there has not been enough learning from the epidemic. This study focused on infectious disease emergency governance, which various studies have neglected despite its social and academic importance. METHODS: The research is based on an analysis of SARS, MERS, and COVID-19 and compares global policies. In this study, infectious disease emergency governance was divided into health policy management and economic factors. This study focused on planning and leadership before and after the outbreak of infectious diseases and how cooperation was achieved to monitor and respond to infectious diseases successfully. RESULTS and CONCLUSION: The limit of this study was that COVID-19 is a currently ongoing infectious disease with high uncertainty. Because it is an ongoing problem, only some data and statistics are reflected, and many limitations prevent a proper comparison under the same criteria as other infectious diseases. In addition, because continuous changes are expected, there is also room for infectious diseases to develop in a completely different pattern from the current situation, and continuous research must be accompanied in the future.

Analysis of land use change for advancing national greenhouse gas inventory using land cover map: focus on Sejong City

  • Park, Seong-Jin;Lee, Chul-Woo;Kim, Seong-Heon;Oh, Taek-Keun
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • 제47권4호
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    • pp.933-940
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    • 2020
  • Land-use change matrix data is important for calculating the LULUCF (land use, land use change and forestry) sector of the national greenhouse gas inventory. In this study, land cover changes in 2004 and 2019 were compared using the Wall-to-Wall technique with a land cover map of Sejong City from the Ministry of Environment. Sejong City was classified into six land use classes according to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) guidelines: Forest land, crop land, grassland, wetland, settlement and other land. The coordinate system of the land cover maps of 2004 and 2019 were harmonized and the land use was reclassified. The results indicate that during the 15 years from 2004 to 2019 forestlands and croplands decreased from 50.4% (234.2 ㎢) and 34.6% (161.0 ㎢) to 43.4% (201.7 ㎢) and 20.7% (96.2 ㎢), respectively, while Settlement and Other land area increased significantly from 8.9% (41.1 ㎢) and 1.4% (6.9 ㎢) to 35.6% (119.0 ㎢) and 6.5% (30.3 ㎢). 79.㎢ of cropland area (96.2 ㎢) in 2019 was maintained as cropland, and 8.8 ㎢, 1.7 ㎢, 0.5 ㎢, 5.4 ㎢, and 0.4 ㎢ were converted from forestland, grassland, wetland, and settlement, respectively. This research, however, is subject to several limitations. The uncertainty of the land use change matrix when using the wall-to-wall technique depends on the accuracy of the utilized land cover map. Also, the land cover maps have different resolutions and different classification criteria for each production period. Despite these limitations, creating a land use change matrix using the Wall-to-Wall technique with a Land cover map has great advantages of saving time and money.

Calculation and Projection of Greenhouse Gas Emissions from La Chureca Landfill in Managua, Nicaragua (니카라과 마나과시 La Chureca 매립장 온실가스 발생량 산정 및 예측)

  • Kim, Choong Gon;Lee, Hyun Jun;Kang, Ho Jeung;Kim, Jae Young
    • Journal of the Korea Organic Resources Recycling Association
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    • 제30권4호
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    • pp.131-139
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    • 2022
  • The aim of this study was to assess the feasibility of a landfill project to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) from La Chureca Landfill in Managua, Nicaragua ("Project"). The feasibility study involved surveying the status and composition of waste on its way in to the landfill and projecting GHG emissions from the landfill. A projection of the GHG emissions with the IPCC model based on the survey results indicated the period 2006 to 2043 would see mean yearly GHG emissions of 290,147 ton-CO2/year with model certainty not considered, and 217,610 ton-CO2/year with model certainty considered. Thus, the result exceeded the corresponding median and mean values of other CDM projects implemented in Central America, even after model uncertainty was considered together with the conservative estimation of carbon capture efficiency. The similar result was produced even with an analysis of sensitivity to error factors. All the findings of the study are expected to be applicable as basic data for deciding about whether & how to proceed with the Project.

High-Dose-Rate Electron-Beam Dosimetry Using an Advanced Markus Chamber with Improved Ion-Recombination Corrections

  • Jeong, Dong Hyeok;Lee, Manwoo;Lim, Heuijin;Kang, Sang Koo;Jang, Kyoung Won
    • Progress in Medical Physics
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.145-152
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: In ionization-chamber dosimetry for high-dose-rate electron beams-above 20 mGy/pulse-the ion-recombination correction methods recommended by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and the American Association of Physicists in Medicine (AAPM) are not appropriate, because they overestimate the correction factor. In this study, we suggest a practical ion-recombination correction method, based on Boag's improved model, and apply it to reference dosimetry for electron beams of about 100 mGy/pulse generated from an electron linear accelerator (LINAC). Methods: This study employed a theoretical model of the ion-collection efficiency developed by Boag and physical parameters used by Laitano et al. We recalculated the ion-recombination correction factors using two-voltage analysis and obtained an empirical fitting formula to represent the results. Next, we compared the calculated correction factors with published results for the same calculation conditions. Additionally, we performed dosimetry for electron beams from a 6 MeV electron LINAC using an Advanced Markus® ionization chamber to determine the reference dose in water at the source-to-surface distance (SSD)=100 cm, using the correction factors obtained in this study. Results: The values of the correction factors obtained in this work are in good agreement with the published data. The measured dose-per-pulse for electron beams at the depth of maximum dose for SSD=100 cm was 115 mGy/pulse, with a standard uncertainty of 2.4%. In contrast, the ks values determined using the IAEA and AAPM methods are, respectively, 8.9% and 8.2% higher than our results. Conclusions: The new method based on Boag's improved model provides a practical method of determining the ion-recombination correction factors for high dose-per-pulse radiation beams up to about 120 mGy/pulse. This method can be applied to electron beams with even higher dose-per-pulse, subject to independent verification.

Use of a Bootstrap Method for Estimating Basic Wood Density for Pinus densiflora in Korea (부트스트랩을 이용한 소나무의 목재기본밀도 추정 및 평가)

  • Pyo, Jung Kee;Son, Yeong Mo;Kim, Yeong Hwan;Kim, Rae Hyun;Lee, Kyeong Hak;Lee, Young Jin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • 제100권3호
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    • pp.392-396
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study was to develop the basic wood density (Abbreviated BWD) for Pinus densiflora and to evaluate the applicability of bootstrap simulation method. The data sets were divided into two groups based on eco-types in Korea, one from Gangwon type and the other from Jungbu type. The estimated BWDs derived from bootstrap simulation, which is one of the non-parametric statistics, were 0.418 ($g/cm^3$) in the Pinus densiflora in Gangwon while 0.464 ($g/cm^3$) in the Pinus densiflora in Jungbu. To evaluate the bootstrap simulation, the mean BWD, standard error and 95% confidence interval of probability density were estimated. The number of replication were 100, 500, 1,000, and 5,000 times that showed constant 95% confidence interval, while tended to decrease in terms of standard errors. The results of this study could be very useful to apply basic wood density values to calculate reliable carbon stocks for Pinus densiflora in Korea.

Lifetime seismic performance assessment of high-rise steel-concrete composite frame with buckling-restrained braces under wind-induced fatigue

  • Liu, Yang;Li, Hong-Nan;Li, Chao;Dong, Tian-Ze
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제77권2호
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    • pp.197-215
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    • 2021
  • Under a severe environment of multiple hazards such as earthquakes and winds, the life-cycle performance of engineering structures may inevitably be deteriorated due to the fatigue effect caused by long-term exposure to wind loads, which would further increase the structural vulnerability to earthquakes. This paper presents a framework for evaluating the lifetime structural seismic performance under the effect of wind-induced fatigue considering different sources of uncertainties. The seismic behavior of a high-rise steel-concrete composite frame with buckling-restrained braces (FBRB) during its service life is systematically investigated using the proposed approach. Recorded field data for the wind hazard of Fuzhou, Fujian Province of China from Jan. 1, 1980 to Mar. 31, 2019 is collected, based on which the distribution of wind velocity is constructed by the Gumbel model after comparisons. The OpenSees platform is employed to establish the numerical model of the FBRB and conduct subsequent numerical computations. Allowed for the uncertainties caused by the wind generation and structural modeling, the final annual fatigue damage takes the average of 50 groups of simulations. The lifetime structural performance assessments, including static pushover analyses, nonlinear dynamic time history analyses and fragility analyses, are conducted on the time-dependent finite element (FE) models which are modified in lines with the material deterioration models. The results indicate that the structural performance tends to degrade over time under the effect of fatigue, while the influencing degree of fatigue varies with the duration time of fatigue process and seismic intensity. The impact of wind-induced fatigue on structural responses and fragilities are explicitly quantified and discussed in details.