• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.27 no.2
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• pp.381-394
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• 2016

Graphical model represents conditional dependencies between variables as a graph with nodes and edges. It is widely used in various fields including physics, economics, and biology to describe complex association. Conditional dependencies can be estimated from a inverse covariance matrix, where zero off-diagonal elements denote conditional independence of corresponding variables. This paper proposes a efficient BCDR (block coordinate descent with random permutation) algorithm using graphics processing units and random permutation for the CONCORD (convex correlation selection method) based on the BCD (block coordinate descent) algorithm, which estimates a inverse covariance matrix based on pseudo-likelihood. We conduct numerical studies for two network structures to demonstrate the efficiency of the proposed algorithm for the CONCORD in terms of computation times.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.29 no.1
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• pp.171-180
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• 2016

Basel committee suggests using Value-at-Risk (VaR) and expected shortfall (ES) as a measurement for market risk. Various estimation methods of VaR and ES have been studied in the literature. This paper compares semi-parametric methods, such as conditional autoregressive value at risk (CAViaR) and conditional autoregressive expectile (CARE) methods, and a Gaussian quasi-maximum likelihood estimator (QMLE)-based method through back-testing methods. We use unconditional coverage (UC) and conditional coverage (CC) tests for VaR, and a bootstrap test for ES to check the adequacy. A real data analysis is conducted for S&P 500 index and Hyundai Motor Co. stock price index data sets.

• Journal of Applied Reliability
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• v.1 no.2
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• pp.183-192
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• 2001

Jelinski-Moranda model and modified Jelinski-Moranda model in software reliability are studied and we consider maximum likelihood estimator and Bayes estimates of the number of faults and the fault-detection rate per fault. A gibbs sampling approach is employed to compute the Bayes estimates, future survival function is examined. Model selection based on prequential likelihood of the conditional predictive ordinates. A numerical example with simulated data set is given.

• Journal of Communications and Networks
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• v.8 no.2
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• pp.205-211
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• 2006

This paper considers the maximum likelihood (ML) detection of 16-ary differential amplitude and phase shift keying (DAPSK) in Rayleigh fading channels. Based on the conditional likelihood function, two new receiver structures, namely ML symbol-by-symbol receiver and ML sequence receiver, are proposed. For the symbol-by-symbol detection, the conventional DAPSK detector is shown to be sub-optimum due to the complete separation in the phase and amplitude detection, but it results in very close performance to the ML detector provided that its circular amplitude decision thresholds are optimized. For the sequence detection, a simple Viterbi algorithm with only two states are adopted to provide an SNR gain around 1 dB on the amplitude bit detection compared with the conventional detector.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.16 no.3
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• pp.479-485
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• 2009

When a part of data is unobserved the marginal likelihood of parameters given the observed data often involves analytically intractable high dimensional integral and hence it is hard to find the maximum likelihood estimate of the parameters. Simulated maximum likelihood(SML) method which estimates the marginal likelihood via Monte Carlo importance sampling and optimize the estimated marginal likelihood has been used in many applications. A key issue in SML is to find a good proposal density from which Monte Carlo samples are generated. The optimal proposal density is the conditional density of the unobserved data given the parameters and the observed data, and attempts have been given to find a good approximation to the optimal proposal density. Algorithms which adaptively improve the proposal density have been widely used due to its simplicity and efficiency. In this paper, we describe a fully adaptive algorithm which has been used by some practitioners but has not been well recognized in statistical literature, and evaluate its estimation performance and robustness via a simulation study. The simulation study shows a great improvement in the order of magnitudes in the mean squared error, compared to non-adaptive or partially adaptive SML methods. Also, it is shown that the fully adaptive SML is robust in a sense that it is insensitive to the starting points in the optimization routine.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.7 no.1
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• pp.21-35
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• 1996

In this paper, estimation and prediction procedures are discussed for grneral situation in which the failure time follows the independent density $f_{i}({\varepsilon}_{i})$ for the accelerated life testing under Type II censoring. In the context of accelerated life test experiment, procedures are given for estimating the parameters in the Eyring model, and for estimating mean life at a given future stress level. The procedures given are conditional confidence interval procedures, obtained by conditioning on ancillary statistics. A comparison is made of these procedures and procedures based on asymptotic properties of the maximum, likelihood estimates.

• ETRI Journal
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• v.34 no.2
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• pp.184-189
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• 2012

In this paper, we propose a novel approach to statistical model-based voice activity detection (VAD) that incorporates a second-order conditional maximum a posteriori (CMAP) criterion. As a technical improvement for the first-order CMAP criterion in [1], we consider both the current observation and the voice activity decision in the previous two frames to take full consideration of the interframe correlation of voice activity. This is clearly different from the previous approach [1] in that we employ the voice activity decisions in the second-order (previous two frames) CMAP, which has quadruple thresholds with an additional degree of freedom, rather than the first-order (previous single frame). Also, a soft-decision scheme is incorporated, resulting in time-varying thresholds for further performance improvement. Experimental results show that the proposed algorithm outperforms the conventional CMAP-based VAD technique under various experimental conditions.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• v.15 no.2
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• pp.111-123
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• 2014

A new class of bivariate distributions is derived by specifying its conditionals as the exponential and gamma distributions. Some properties and relations with other distributions of the new class are studied. In particular, the estimation of parameters is considered by the methods of maximum likelihood and pseudolikelihood of a special case of the new class. An application using a real bivariate data is given for illustrating the flexibility of the new class in this context, and, also, for comparing the estimation results obtained by the maximum likelihood and pseudolikelihood methods.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• v.26 no.2
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• pp.199-210
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• 1997

Using regression methods based on quasi-likelihood equation, one only needs to specify the conditional mean and variance functions for the response variable in the analysis. In this paper, an omnibus lack-of-fit test is proposed to test the validity of these two functions. Our test is consistent against the alternative under which either the mean or the variance is not the one specified in the null hypothesis. The large-sample null distribution of our test statistics can be approximated through simulations. Extensive numerical studies are performed to demonstrate that the new test preserves the prescribed type I error probability. Power comparisons are conducted to show the advantage of the new proposal.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.28 no.6
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• pp.627-641
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• 2021

An asymmetric least squares estimation method has been employed to estimate linear models for percentile regression. An asymmetric maximum likelihood estimation (AMLE) has been developed for the estimation of Poisson percentile linear models. In this study, we propose generalized nonlinear percentile regression using the AMLE, and the use of the parametric bootstrap method to obtain confidence intervals for the estimates of parameters of interest and smoothing functions of estimates. We consider three conditional distributions of response variables given covariates such as normal, exponential, and Poisson for three mean functions with one linear and two nonlinear models in the simulation studies. The proposed method provides reasonable estimates and confidence interval estimates of parameters, and comparable Monte Carlo asymptotic performance along with the sample size and quantiles. We illustrate applications of the proposed method using real-life data from chemical and radiation epidemiological studies.