• Title/Summary/Keyword: Cohort model

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The Design Feature of Self-work Model Senior Cohousing Projects in Denmark (덴마크 자치관리모델(Self-work Model) 노인용 코하우징의 디자인 특성)

  • 최정신
    • Journal of the Korean Home Economics Association
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.1-19
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    • 2003
  • In Scandinavian countries, where the society experienced change of typical nuclear family structure and higher vocational activity rates of married women earlier than East Asian countries, cohousing scheme has been evolved as an alternative housing to reduce housework for working women, and to reduce loneliness of elderly people who stay in their own homes. They can promote active mutual relationship among residents in the community. Korean family structure has been stemmed to more like extended family, but the tendency to live independently from their married children is getting more and more common in new cohort of senior citizens who are active, healthy, economically stable and higher educated. Korea has been industrialized rather rapidly since 1970's and faces to many societal phenomena about quality of life for senior citizens. Introduction of alternative housing solution for these senior citizens is necessary in Korea. In this paper, Danish senior cohousing scheme, particularly, self-work model project is described about its design feature in accordance to site planning, common facility, and dwelling unit. Aiming to mutual support and more frequent social contacts among residents, self-work model cohousing scheme has different design concept from the service mode scheme. Information about design feature of senior cohousing was collected from the published data with drawings and from field survey to 10 exiting projects in Denmark. Of those, 5 projects were described as a case study. It, hopefully, could provide practical information for architectural design when establishment of senior cohousing schemes start in Korea in the near future.

A study on optimal planning of risk reduction for water suspension in water pipe system using fault tree analysis (결함트리분석을 이용한 상수관망 단수 리스크 저감 최적 방안 연구)

  • Choi, Tae Ho;Kim, A Ri;Kim, Min Cheol;Koo, Ja Yong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.699-711
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    • 2014
  • This study was carried out to analyze water suspension in the water supply system through fault tree analysis. And quantitative factors was evaluated to minimize water suspension. Consequently the aim of this study is to build optimal planning by analyzing scenarios for water suspension. Accordingly the fault tree model makes it possible to estimate risks for water suspension, current risks is $92.23m^3/day$. The result of scenario analysis by pipe replacement, risks for water suspension was reduced $7.02m^3/day$ when replacing WD4 pipe. As a result of scenario analysis by water district connections, the amount of risk reduction is maximized when it is connecting to network pipe of D Zone. Therefore, connecting to network pipe for D Zone would be optimal to reduce risk for water suspension.

Association between small for gestational age and risk of autism spectrum disorders: a meta-analysis

  • Jenabi, Ensiyeh;Bashirian, Saeid;Asali, Zahra;Seyedi, Mahdieh
    • Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
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    • v.64 no.10
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    • pp.538-542
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    • 2021
  • Background: The relationship between small for gestational age (SGA) and autism spectrum disorders (ASDs) remains unknown. Purpose: This meta-analysis aimed to investigate the relationship between SGA and the risk of ASD. Methods: We searched PubMed, Web of Science, and Scopus databases from inception to November 2020. The heterogeneity across studies was explored using the I2 statistic. The possibility of publication bias was assessed using Begg test. The results were reported using the odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) using a random-effects model. Results: The literature search yielded 824 articles with 8,752,138 participants. We assessed the association between SGA and the risk of ASD in cohort and case-control studies. Based on the random-effects model, compared with SGA, the estimated OR of the risk of ASD was 1.17 (95% CI, 1.09-1.24). Therefore, there was a significant association between SGA and the risk of ASD. Conclusion: Based on OR reports in epidemiological studies, we showed that SGA is a risk factor for and can increase the risk of ASD. The association between SGA and ASD risk has further relevance to the current public health emphasis on appropriate prepregnancy weight and pregnancy weight gain.

Longitudinal study on the effects of smartphone dependence on health, sleep, and depression according to gender in adolescents: Focusing on the Korean Children and Youth Panel Survey data 2018(KCYPS 2018) (청소년의 성별에 따른 스마트폰 의존이 건강, 수면, 우울에 미치는 영향에 대한 종단연구: 한국아동·청소년패널조사2018(KCYPS 2018)을 중심으로)

  • Kim Moohyun;Kim Junho
    • The Korean Journal of Emergency Medical Services
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.21-34
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: This study aimed to observe change in factors over time in the first cohort of the 2018 Children and Adolescent Panel Middle School. In addition, this study attempted to examine the causal relationship and influence between variables by setting a time gap between independent and dependent variables. Methods: Frequency and descriptive statistical analyses were conducted to determine the general characteristics of the study participants. Hierarchical regression analysis was conducted to analyze the effects of smartphone dependence on health, sleep quality, and depression. After inputting the control variables (Model 2), the influence of the variables was identified based on the input model. Results: Smartphone dependence positively impacted depression in both male and female students and negatively impacted sleep and health. Conclusion: Smartphones are closely associated with teenagers' lives. Additionally, as adolescents experience various psychological anxieties owing to rapid physical changes, there are concerns that psychological dependence may increase, considering that adolescence is the most emotionally unstable period. Therefore, the results of this study consistently prove that smartphone dependence has a causal relationship with emotion-related variables, such as emotional stress, depression, and anxiety.

Length based estimation population numbers of Nile tilapia (Oreochromis niloticus) stock in Lake Hayq, Ethiopia

  • Alemken Berihun;Minwyelet Mingist;Abebe Getahun;Degsera Aemro
    • Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.207-212
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    • 2024
  • The study was conducted at Lake Hayq, one of the lakes of Wollo, Ethiopia. Data were collected at the landing sites for 365 days (June 8, 2022 to June 7, 2023). The basic information gathered in the fishing part of the Lake was Nile tilapia caught by fishermen, the total number of tilapia and the increase in fishing effort. The aim of the research was to estimate the size of the Nile tilapia population and the fishing mortality rate in length groups for Nile tilapia stocks occurring in the lake. A Jones length-based cohort analysis model was used to estimate Nile tilapia population. The estimated Nile tilapia population was over 46.8 Million tilapia per year. The model estimates that more than 13.3 million 8-10 cm Nile tilapia are caught in fisheries each year.

Cost-Effectiveness of Denosumab for Post-Menopausal Osteoporosis in South Korea (폐경기 골다공증 환자에서 데노수맙 사용에 대한 비용-효과 분석)

  • Bae, Green;Kwon, Hye-Young
    • Korean Journal of Clinical Pharmacy
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.131-137
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    • 2018
  • Background: In South Korea, 22.3% of women ${\geq}50years$ of age and 37% of women ${\geq}70years$ of age visit the doctor to obtain treatment for osteoporosis. According to the analysis of the National Health Insurance Services claim data between 2008 and 2012, the number and incidence of hip and vertebral fractures increased during the same period. Denosumab, a newly marketed medicine in Korea, is the first RANK inhibitor. Methods: A cost-utility analysis was conducted from a societal perspective to prove the superiority of denosumab to alendronate. A Markov cohort model was used to investigate the cost-effectiveness of denosumab. A 6-month cycle length was used in the model, and all patients were individually followed up through the model, from their age at treatment initiation to their time of death or until 100 years of age. The model consisted of eight health states: well; hip fracture; vertebral fracture; wrist fracture; other osteoporotic fracture; post-hip fracture; post-vertebral fracture; and dead. All patients began in the well-health state. In this model, 5% discounted rate, two-year maximum offset time, and persistence were adopted. Results: The total lifetime costs for alendronate and denosumab were USD 5,587 and USD 6,534, respectively. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) for denosumab versus alendronate was USD 20,600/QALY. Given the ICER threshold in Korea, the results indicated that denosumab was remarkably superior to alendronate. Conclusion: Denosumab is a cost-effective alternative to the oral anti-osteoporotic treatment, alendronate, in South Korea.

A Study on Development of the Korea Agricultural Population Forecasting Model and long-term Prediction (농가인구예측 모형 개발 및 중장기 전망)

  • Han, Suk-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.3797-3806
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    • 2015
  • A population decline in rural area is correlated with the number of household, with agricultural workers, as a result, affects the farming income. Agricultural population is a foundation of agriculture structure. Agricultural population decline influences agricultural policies to be implemented for the future and there is concern about slowdown in productivity. The purpose of this study is to build the ability to use the model and conduct applied analyses of various kinds and to make rational agricultural policies by forecasting and analyzing agricultural population change. Unlike previous studies, which have some assumptions about the giving-up farming rate (GFR) of the key points on the agricultural population model or, After estimating only one equation with respect to the total population, and then distribute by sex and age. This study was conducted to investigate the reactions are different from the farmhouse, gender, age by estimating giving-up farming rate (GFR) equations each gender & age. Through this research, we can find that Farm Population changes of the simulation can be performed for a variety of agricultural policy in conjunction with existing agricultural simulation models as well.

Equity-Efficiency Trade-off: the Case of Inheritance Tax (상속세(相續稅)에 있어서의 형평(衡平)과 효율성(效率性)의 괴리(乖離))

  • Moon, Hyung-pyo
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.97-111
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    • 1990
  • This paper examines the effect of redistributive inheritance tax on income distribution and social welfare. The model used here is the Overlapping-Generations Model consisting of individuals with different bequest motives where the lifetime income distribution in each cohort is determined endogeneously by the dynamic bequest process. It is shown that the introduction of redistributive inheritance tax can improve the vertical equity in the sense that the increase in tax rate reduces the coefficient of variations of intra-cohort income distribution in steady-state. However, it is also shown that, the effect on social welfare, when measured by Benthamite SWF, is uncertain in general. The numerical simulations show that, in spite of its equity-enhancing effect, the tax increase can actually lower the steady-state social welfare within the plausible range of parametric values, through the long-run output effect as well as the deadweight welfare loss incurred by tax distortion. Hence, the problem of equity-efficiency trade-off can arise in this case. However, if both the market interest rate and the elasticity of marginal utility in individual's preference function are sufficiently high, it is shown to be possible that the steady-state social welfare is enhanced by the introduction of inheritance tax.

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Postmenopausal Hormone Therapy is Associated with in Situ Breast Cancer Risk

  • Ni, Xiao-Jian;Xia, Tian-Song;Zhao, Ying-Chun;Ma, Jing-Jing;Zhao, Jie;Liu, Xiao-An;Ding, Qiang;Zha, Xiao-Ming;Wang, Shui
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.13 no.8
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    • pp.3917-3925
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    • 2012
  • Background: The relationship between postmenopausal hormone therapy (HT) and invasive breast cancer has been extensively investigated, but that with breast carcinoma in situ (BCIS) has received relatively little attention. The aim of our present study was to review and summarize the evidence provided by longitudinal studies on the association between postmenopausal HT use and BCIS risk. Methods: A comprehensive literature search for articles published up to May 2012 was performed. Prior to performing a meta-analysis, the studies were evaluated for publication bias and heterogeneity. Relative risk (RR) or odds ratio (OR) values were calculated using 14 reports (8 case-control studies and 6 cohort studies), published between 1986 and 2012. Results: There was evidence of an association between ever postmenopausal estrogen use and BCIS based on a random-effects model (RR = 1.25, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.01, 1.55). However, we found no strong evidence of an association between ever postmenopausal estrogen combined with progesterone use and BCIS using a randomeffects model (RR = 1.55, 95% CI = 0.95, 2.51). Furthermore, our analysis showed a strong association between "> 5 years duration" of estrogen or estrogen combined with progesterone use and BCIS. Furthermore, current use of any HT is associated with increased risk of BCIS in cohort studies. Additional well-designed large studies are now required to validate this association in different populations.

Sarcopenia and Smoking: Systematic Review and Meta-analysis (근감소증과 흡연: 체계적 문헌고찰 및 메타분석)

  • Kim, Su Kyung;Shin, Yeong Hee;Kim, Gaeun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.18 no.8
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    • pp.273-284
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    • 2017
  • This study performed meta-analysis of published articles to examine the relationship between sarcopenia and smoking. We searched the PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane library, and RISS database sup to January 2017 using search terms such as sarcopenia AND (smoking OR tobacco OR cigarette). A total of 25 articles were included in the analysis (seven cohort studies and 18 cross-sectional studies). Incidence of sarcopenia in smokers and non-smokers was analyzed by the random effects model. Incidence of sarcopenia was OR 1.49 (95% CI 1.21, 1.84, p<.001, I2 = 88.20%), Asian (OR 1.28, 95% CI 0.91, 1.78, p=0.150, I2=85.32%), and Western (OR 1.65, 95% CI 1.25, 2.17, p<.001, I2=91.08%), Western smokers showed a significantly higher incidence of sarcopenia:males and females with OR 1.25(95% CI 1.11, 1.40, p<.001, 12=87.4%) and 1.80(95% CI 0.98, 3.30, p=.057, 12=89.1 %) respectively. Male smokers showed significantly higher incidence of sarcopenia. Based on the results of the study, smoking in Western males is related to sarcopenia. However, since the criteria for the diagnosis of sarcopenia and the criteria for smoking were different, cumulative individual clinical studies applying uniform assessment for the evaluation of sarcopenia and smoking status are needed in the future.