• 제목/요약/키워드: Climate hypothesis

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Climate change impact assessment of agricultural reservoir using system dynamics model: focus on Seongju reservoir

  • Choi, Eunhyuk
    • 농업과학연구
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    • 제48권2호
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    • pp.311-331
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    • 2021
  • Climate change with extreme hydrological events has become a significant concern for agricultural water systems. Climate change affects not only irrigation availability but also agricultural water requirement. In response, adaptation strategies with soft and hard options have been considered to mitigate the impacts from climate change. However, their implementation has become progressively challenging and complex due to the interconnected impacts of climate change with socio-economic change in agricultural circumstances, and this can generate more uncertainty and complexity in the adaptive management of the agricultural water systems. This study was carried out for the agricultural water supply system in Seongju dam watershed in Seonju-gun, Gyeongbuk in South Korea. The first step is to identify system disturbances. Climate variation and socio-economic components with historical and forecast data were investigated Then, as the second step, problematic trends of the critical performance were identified for the historical and future climate scenarios. As the third step, a system structure was built with a dynamic hypothesis (causal loop diagram) to understand Seongju water system features and interactions with multiple feedbacks across system components in water, agriculture, and socio-economic sectors related to the case study water system. Then, as the fourth step, a mathematical SD (system dynamics) model was developed based on the dynamic hypothesis, including sub-models related to dam reservoir, irrigation channel, irrigation demand, farming income, and labor force, and the fidelity of the SD model to the Seongju water system was checked.

일-정 촉진과 지각된 팀성과 간의 관계: 웰니스 분위기의 조절효과 (The Relationship between Work-Family Facilitation and Perceived Team Performance: Moderating Effect of Wellness Climate)

  • 최서현;차윤석
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제11권9호
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    • pp.79-86
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    • 2013
  • 본 연구에서는 조직 내 신세대의 가치관 등장 및 일-가정에 대한 인식의 변화로 인해 일과 가정은 분리된 것이 아닌 긍정적 상호작용 한다는 일-가정 촉진(work-family facilitation)(Grzywacz & Marks, 2000)과 팀성과 간의 관계를 실증분석 하였다. 또한 일-가정 촉진을 지원하는 조직분위기라 할 수 있는 웰니스 분위기의 일-가정 촉진과 지각된 팀성과 간의 조절효과도 실증분석 하였다. 분석은 위계적회귀분석(Hierarchical Linear Regression)을 실시하였다. 분석 결과 일-가정 촉진은 팀성과와 정(+)의 관계를 가질 가지는 것으로 나타났으며, 웰니스 리더십은 일-가정 촉진과 팀성과 간의 관계를 정(+)의 방향으로 조절 하는 것으로 나타났다. 이는 일-가정 촉진이 팀성과에 긍정적 영향을 줌으로써 향후 조직 내 직무설계시 직무 그 자체뿐만 아니라 개인의 가정에도 직간접적 긍정적 영향을 줄 수 있도록 설계를 해야 됨을 시사 한다고 할 수 있다. 또한 웰니스 분위기의 조절효과를 입증함으로서 일-가정 촉진을 지원하는 분위기를 조성하고 유지 발전시키는 활동도 수반 되어야 함을 시사 한다고 할 수 있다.

Budyko 가설 기반 기후 탄력성을 고려한 기후변동이 우리나라 중권역 유출량 변화에 미치는 영향 평가 (Assessment of the impact of climate variability on runoff change of middle-sized watersheds in Korea using Budyko hypothesis-based equation)

  • 오미주;홍다희;임경진;권현한;김태웅
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제57권4호
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    • pp.237-248
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    • 2024
  • 수문 순환의 중요한 구성 요소인 유역 유출량은 기후변동과 인간 활동의 영향으로 전 세계 많은 유역에서 크게 변화되고 있다. 기후변동과 인간 활동으로 변화되고 있는 유역 유출량에 대한 분석은 수자원 관리에 있어서 중요하다. 본 연구에서는 우리나라 5개 권역의 109개 중권역의 유출량 자료를 대상으로 기후변동과 인간 활동이 유역 유출량에 미치는 영향을 정량적으로 평가하였다. 유역 유출량 자료에 대하여 Pettitt 검정을 수행하여 분석 기간을 나누었으며, Budyko 기반 기후 탄력성 방법을 이용하여 기후변동과 인간 활동이 유역 유출량의 변화에 미치는 영향을 구분하였다. 본 연구 결과, 중권역마다 유역 유출량 변화에 기후변동과 인간 활동이 미치는 상대적인 기여도가 다양하게 나타났으며, 중권역별로 유역 유출량의 변화에 지배적인 영향을 주는 요인이 무엇인지 파악하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 기후변동과 유역 개발 계획에 따른 유역 유출량 변화를 예측할 수 있도록 하며, 이는 가뭄이나 홍수 등 수문 재해의 위험을 줄이기 위한 수자원 관리 계획을 수립하는데 중요한 정보가 될 것이다.

조선시대 기후변화와 환경개선사업 관계 - 조선왕조실록의 가뭄관련 기록을 중심으로 - (Relationship between Climate Change and Environmental Improvement Projects during the Chosun Era - Focusing on Drought-related records of Chosunwangjoshillok -)

  • 유재심;성종상
    • 한국전통조경학회지
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    • 제29권3호
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    • pp.147-153
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    • 2011
  • "가뭄으로 인한 기후변화가 인지되고 기후 재난을 겪게 되었을 때 조선시대의 사람들은 환경적으로 어떻게 적응하는 행동을 했을까?"라는 의구심을 가지고 연구를 진행하였다. 연구 진행을 위해 '환경개선사업은 기우제 설행 빈도보다는 기후재난 빈도가 높을 때 더 많이 시행된다.'는 가설을 세웠다. 조선왕조실록에서 가뭄을 대표하는 변수로 기우제 빈도를 선택하였다. 기후재난과 환경개선사업을 표현하는 단어들의 샘플을 추출하고 빈도를 측정하여 가뭄, 기후재난, 환경개선사업의 관계를 회귀분석하였고, 연구 가설을 검정하여 기후재난과 환경개선사업 관계를 기후변화 속에서 설명하였다. 가뭄을 대표하는 기우제의 빈도 측면에서 세종대왕, 숙종, 영조의 순서로 나타냈다. 기후 재난은 중종, 성종, 그리고 태종의 순서로 빈도를 보였고, 환경개선 사업은 영조, 성종, 그리고 태종의 순서로 나타났다. 조선 전기보다는 조선 후기로 갈수록 가뭄 발생으로 인한 환경개선사업보다 기후재난에 대한 환경개선사업 비율이 더 높게 나타났다. 환경개선사업과 기후재난의 관계는 환경개선사업= 0.632기후재난의 선형 회귀모형으로 설명되었다. 기후재난을 경험한 비율이 높을 때 기후변화에 적응하기 위한 환경개선 사업이 더 많이 시행한다는 연구가설은 유의했다. 따라서 기후 재난을 인식하고, 환경개선사업을 시행한 비율이 높았던 조선 후기에 연구가설이 통계적으로 더 잘 설명되었다.

시스템다이내믹스 모델을 이용한 농업용수 시스템의 기후 복원력 평가 (Climate Resilience Assessment of Agricultural Water System Using System Dynamics Model)

  • 최은혁
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제63권4호
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    • pp.65-86
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    • 2021
  • This study aims at testing a hypothesis that the resilience of agricultural water systems is characterized by trade-offs and synergies of effects from climate and socioeconomic change. To achieve this, an Agricultural Water System Climate Resilience Assessment (ACRA) framework is established to evaluate comprehensive resilience of an agricultural water system to the combined impacts of the climate and socioeconomic changes with a case study in South Korea. Understanding dynamic behaviors of the agricultural water systems under climate and socioeconomic drivers is not straightforward because the system structure includes complex interactions with multiple feedbacks across components in water and agriculture sectors and climate and socioeconomic factors, which has not been well addressed in the existing decision support models. No consideration of the complex interactions with feedbacks in a decision making process may lead to counterintuitive and untoward evaluation of the coupled impacts of the climate and socioeconomic changes on the system performance. In this regard, the ACRA framework employs a System Dynamics (SD) approach that has been widely used to understand dynamics of the complex systems with the feedback interactions. In the ACRA framework applied to the case study in South Korea, the SD model works along with HOMWRS simulation. The ACRA framework will help to explore resilience-based strategies with infrastructure investment and management options for agricultural water systems.

조직의 안전분위기가 항공교통관제사의 안전행동에 미치는 영향 (The Effect of organizational safety climate at Air Traffic controller's safety behavior)

  • 이효상;박진우
    • 한국항공운항학회지
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    • 제27권1호
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    • pp.10-19
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    • 2019
  • As a domestic aviation industry has been growing continuously, the air traffic volume of en-route has increased rapidly to 2,300 a day. According to developing air navigation system including Performance Based Navigation(PBN), the manner of flights has diversified. Consequentially task of air traffic service has been increasing more and more and the organization of Air Traffic Service(ATC) established one Air traffic management Office(ATMO), extends to 3 Regional organization(Seoul, Busan, Jeju) and a number of air traffic controller exceeds 600. The purpose of this research is going to investigate the relationship between organization's safety climate and air traffic controller's safety behavior, In pursuing above, previous studies related to co-worker and supervisor's safety climate were examined for literature review. Based on this previous studies, research model was constructed. Hypothesis was verified by effect. Data from 209 samples was employed for final survey. The main results show that co-worker and supervisor's safety climate were meaningful factors to effect perceived Safety Behavior and safety knowledge, safety motivation were significantly and positive related to safety compliance.

조직의 정보보안 분위기가 조직 구성원의 정보보안 참여 행동에 미치는 영향 (The Impact of Organizational Information Security Climate on Employees' Information Security Participation Behavior)

  • 박재영;김범수
    • 한국정보시스템학회지:정보시스템연구
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    • 제29권4호
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    • pp.57-76
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    • 2020
  • Purpose Although examining the antecedents of employees' extra-role behavior (i.e. information security participation behavior) in the information security context is significant for researchers and practitioners, most behavioral security studies have focused on employees' in-role behavior (i.e. information security policy compliance). Thus, this research addresses this gap by investigating how organizational information security climate influences information security participation behavior based on social information processing theory and Griffin and Neal's safety model. Design/methodology/approach We developed a research model by applying Griffin and Neal's safety model to the information security context and then tested our research model by conducting an online survey for employees of organizations with information security policies. Structural equation modeling (SEM) with SmartPLS 3.3.2 is used to test the corresponding hypothesis. Findings Our results show that organizational information security climate, information security knowledge, information security motivation are effective in motivating information security participation behavior. Also, we find that organizational information security climate positively influences both information security knowledge and information security motivation. Our findings emphasize the importance of organizational information security climate because it is capable of affecting employees on information security participation behavior. Our study contributes to the literature on information security by exploring the role of organizational information security climate in enhancing employees' information security participation behavior.

The Influence of Safety Climate, Safety Leadership, Workload, and Accident Experiences on Risk Perception: A Study of Korean Manufacturing Workers

  • Oah, Shezeen;Na, Rudia;Moon, Kwangsu
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • 제9권4호
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    • pp.427-433
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    • 2018
  • Background: The purpose of this study was to identify the influence of workers' perceived workload, accident experiences, supervisors' safety leadership, and an organization's safety climate on the cognitive and emotional risk perception. Methods: Six hundred and twenty employees in a variety of manufacturing organizations were asked to complete to a questionnaire. Among them, a total of 376 employees provided valid data for analysis. To test the hypothesis, correlation analysis and hierarchical regression analysis were used. Statistical analyses were conducted using IBM SPSS program, version 23. Results: The results indicated that workload and accident experiences have a positive influence and safety leadership and safety climate have a negative influence on the cognitive and emotional risk perception. Workload, safety leadership, and the safety climate influence perceived risk more than accident experience, especially for the emotional risk perception. Conclusion: These results indicated that multilevel factors (organization, group, and individual) play a critical role in predicting individual risk perceptions. Based on these results, therefore, to reduce risk perception related with unsafe behaviors and accidents, organizations need to conduct a variety of safety programs that enhance their safety climate beyond simple safety-related education and training. Simultaneously, it needs to seek ways to promote supervisors' safety leadership behaviors (e.g., site visits, feedback, safety communication, etc.). In addition, it is necessary to adjust work speed and amount and allocate task considering employees' skill and ability to reduce the workload for reducing risk perception.

물류 안전 분위기가 물류 안전행동 및 물류 안전성과에 미치는 영향 : 물류 안전지식과 물류 안전동기의 매개효과 (Effects of Safety Climate on Safety Behavior and Safety Performances in Logistics : Mediating Effects of Safety Knowledge and Safety Motivation)

  • 김영민
    • 무역학회지
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    • 제45권1호
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    • pp.259-277
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the relationship between logistics safety climate, logistics safety behavior, and logistics safety performance and the mediating effects of safety knowledge and safety motivation, and to suggest its strategic implications for the improvement of the logistics safety performance. Based on previous researches related to logistics safety, safety climate, safety knowledge, safety motivation, safety behavior and safety performance, research models and hypotheses were set up and questionnaires were conducted. For the hypothesis test, reliability analysis and validity analysis, confirmatory factor analysis, structural equation model analysis, and bootstrapping were applied. As a result of the empirical analysis, the logistics safety climate had a significant positive effect on logistics safety knowledge, logistics safety motivation, and logistics safety behavior, whereas logistics safety knowledge and logistics safety motivation had a meaningful positive effect on logistics safety behavior. Further, logistics safety behavior was found to have a significant positive effect on logistics safety performance. Safety behavior had a significant mediating effect, but safety knowledge and safety motivation did not. However, logistics safety climate, logistics safety knowledge, and logistics safety motivation did not have a significant effect on logistics safety performance.

A Study on Pattern Recognition to Compute Guidelines Based on Evidence for Ecological Healing Environment at Agha Khan Hospital in Karachi - Focused on Human Thermal Comfort Model (HTCM), for Karachi, using Climate Consultant Program

  • Shaikh, Javaria Manzoor;Park, Jae Seung
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • 제15권2호
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    • pp.27-35
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: Healthcare is on the whole a personal and critical service that consumer's use, whereas hospitalization is as a rule painful, because nature nurtures and Sun Light Luminosity for healthcare settings is considered healing. The performance and design of climate responsive buildings such as AKU requires a detailed study of attributes of climate both at micro as well as macro level. The therapeutic value of contact with nature through window view, greenery and landscape is calculated there. Method: A two prong strategy is been devised for this article, at micro level three typical morphologies are analysed by creating same environment of neighboring building on sun shading chart, radiation and temperature range. Since the analysis of local climate helps to determine the design strategies for hospital Healing Environment which is suitable for Karachi climate; in order to track the macro climatic behaviour, a considerable analysis of psychometrics chart for AKU Karachi are designed on Climate Consultant (CC) and analysed by Machine Learning. Climate Consultant proposes different design strategies suitable for Karachi. And on the other hand time wise illumination sources for clinical area which are then measured on psychrometric chart- according to singular space: multi patient admission, secondly: acute ambulatory ward, and tertiary: multi windowed space according to the mushrabiyah and sky light pattern. Result: Our findings support the hypothesis that windowed wall is 75-80% more healing wall; an accelerated evidence was found for healing at macro level if the form of the hospital is designed according to the climatologically preferences, whereas at micro level: the light resource becomes the staff attentiveness determinant. In Conclusion evidence was provided that the actual form of luminosity results consequently in satisfaction while light entering from several set of windows and other sources might be valued if design according to the healing environment. The data added on the sun shading chart to calculate rays entraining into space in patient room equal to 124416.21 Watts/ meter $m^2$ is calculated as precise healing rate-and is confirmed by questionnaire from patients belonging from each clinical stage having different illnesses.