• Title/Summary/Keyword: Causal loop diagrams

Search Result 32, Processing Time 0.026 seconds

A Research on the Prospect for the Future Energy Society in Korea: Focused on the Complementary Analysis of AHP and Causal Loop Diagram (한국의 미래 에너지사회 전망에 관한 연구 : 계층분석법과 인과지도의 보완적 분석을 중심으로)

  • Hwang, Byung-Yong;Choi, Han-Lim;Ahn, Nam-Sung
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
    • /
    • v.11 no.3
    • /
    • pp.61-86
    • /
    • 2010
  • This research analyzed on the future energy society of Korea in 2030 using system thinking approach. Key uncertainty factors determining the future energy society were analyzed in a multi disciplinary view point such as politics, economy, society, ecology and technology. Three causal loop diagrams for the future energy system in Korea and related policy leverages were shown as well. 'Global economic trends', 'change of industrial structure' and 'energy price' were identified as key uncertainty factors determining the Korean energy future. Three causal loop diagrams named as 'rate of energy self-sufficiency and alternative energy production', 'economic activity and energy demand' and 'Excavation of new growth engines' were developed. We integrated those causal loop diagrams into one to understand the entire energy system of the future, proposed three strategic scenarios(optimistic, pessimistic and most likely) and discussed implications and limits of this research.

  • PDF

Analysis of School Autonomy Policy based on the System Thinking (시스템 사고에 의한 학교 자율화 정책 분석)

  • Park, Soo-Jung;Kwon, Soon-Hyoung
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
    • /
    • v.15 no.1
    • /
    • pp.5-27
    • /
    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the school autonomy policy based on the system thinking perspective using causal loop diagrams. School autonomy was the main educational policy concerning school domain during the last government and was the instrument for school-based management, but it was not implemented effectively in site. The school autonomy policy practically disappeared as an explicit policy agenda in the current government. This study displays causal loop diagrams about the policy's logic and contents of school autonomy, in terms of curriculum, human resource management, and a supportive system. The causal loop diagrams depicting the implementation of the school autonomy policy are suggested concerning excessive enforcement and the confirmative mechanism for policy implementation. The conclusion provides some research implications and future directions.

  • PDF

Exploratory Study on Causality of Foreign Exchange Exposure and Hedge Strategy: Systems Thinking Approach (환노출과 환노출 완화 전략의 인과관계에 관한 탐색적 연구 : 시스템 사고에 의한 접근)

  • Eom, Jae-Gun;Chung, Chang-Kwon;Sul, Wonsik
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
    • /
    • v.15 no.2
    • /
    • pp.97-131
    • /
    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze Foreign Exchange(FX) exposure and FX hedge strategy based on the systems thinking perspective using causal loop diagrams. FX exposure has been a critical issue on a business management. Many studies in Korea have researches on variables which make effects to the company value. This study displays causal loop diagrams(CLDs) on these issues. In order to make CLD more objective, most causalities are articulated from recent 72 studies (1998~2013) of domestic top journals. This approach is valuable in that it is the first try to draw all the causalities from various literature review regarding FX exposure and FX hedge strategy. This study is expected to make a useful and basic material to research the financial issues of corporate, as the first research to dynamically understand FX exposure and FX hedge strategy.

  • PDF

A Cause Analysis of the Construction Incident Using Causal Loop Diagram : Safety Culture Perspective (인과지도를 활용한 건설 안전사고 원인 분석 : 안전문화 관점)

  • Choi, Yun Gil;Cho, Keun Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
    • /
    • v.35 no.2
    • /
    • pp.34-46
    • /
    • 2020
  • Unlike research focused on existing technologies and individual errors to analyze the causes of incidents, this study approached them from an organization and culture. And this study is not a one way study but cyclical study what can track cause down using causal loop diagram methodology. Four diagnostic criteria for the negative state of the safety culture : secretive, blame, failure to learning, and incremental learning, combine literature study and expert opinion to derive 41 variables. Connecting these variable make 4 causal loop diagrams and total causal loop diagram. Case accumulation in secretive, accident report in blame, knowledge accumulation in failure to learning, near miss discovery in incremental learning are the main variables. Safety incident is the objective variable by classifying them into 4 stages in total loop, leading track as the most affect is case accumulation, and Step 4 as you can see accident report and near miss discovery are the result of tracking down the cause. This study can be used as a basis for improving the management priority and the system in incident prevention.

Analysis of Problems and Causal Relations of Functional Changes of Local Educational Authority Policy(FCLEAP) based on the Systems Thinking (시스템 사고에 기반한 "지역교육청 기능 및 조직개편" 정책의 문제 및 원인 분석)

  • Ha, Jung-Youn;Rah, Minjoo
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
    • /
    • v.15 no.2
    • /
    • pp.75-96
    • /
    • 2014
  • The purpose of this paper is to analyze the functional changes of local educational authority policy based on the systems thinking perspective using causal loop diagrams. In the past, the main function of the local educational authority was to manage and supervise schools. Through this policy, local educational authority would be transformed into a support agency. However, this policy did not achieve the goal, was to cause confusion and require improvement. This study shows structured causes of the problem based on systems thinking. These diagrams make it possible for educational policy makers to provide ideas, although they have some complicated environment. The findings indicate that based on systems thinking in this policy can help those who related to policy decision than existing diagnosis method.

  • PDF

Analyzing the Supply and Demand Structure of the Korean Flatfish Aquaculture Market : A System Dynamics Approach (시스템다이내믹스기법을 이용한 우리나라 양식넙치시장의 수급구조 분석)

  • Park, Byung-In
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
    • /
    • v.39 no.1
    • /
    • pp.17-42
    • /
    • 2008
  • This study tried to build a structure model for the Korean flatfish aquaculture market by a system dynamics approach. A pool of several factors to influence the market structure was built. In addition, several reasonable factors related to the flatfish aquaculture market were selected to construct the causal loop diagram (CLD). Then the related stock/flow diagrams of the causal loop diagrams were constructed. This study had been forecasting a production price and supply, demand, and consumption volume for the flatfish market by a monthly basis, and then made some validation to the forecasting. Finally, four governmental policies such as import, storage, reduction of input, and demand control were tentatively evaluated by the created model. As a result, the facts that the demand control policy is most effective, and import and storage policies are moderately effective were found.

  • PDF

Management Plan of Whooper Swan(Cygnus cygnus) Habitat Using Causal Loop Analysis : Focused on Eulsukdo (인과순환구조 분석을 통한 큰고니 서식환경 유지방안 -을숙도를 중심으로-)

  • Choi, Yun Eui;You, Soojin;Kang, Sung-Ryong;Choi, Byoungkoo;Chon, Jinhyung
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
    • /
    • v.29 no.3
    • /
    • pp.353-367
    • /
    • 2015
  • The goal of this study is to analyze the feedback structure of habitat changes of the Whooper Swan in Eulsukdo using system thinking to suggest a management plan for ecosystem health. Using the causal loop diagrams of population changes between Whooper Swan and other bird species in Eulsukdo, we found that the environmental changes in the roosting and foraging area affect the Whooper Swan's population. The causal loop diagrams of the Whooper Swan's roosting area indicated that the environmental changes (e.g., water level, noise, bird watching, and other experience activities) may influence their population density variation. In addition, the casual loop diagrams of the Whooper Swan's foraging area showed that the Whooper Swan's population was affected by various variables that included area factors such as surface area of freshwater, frozen water, salinity, and density of Scirpus planiculmis. Furthermore, through the integrated causal loop diagram, cumulative discharge of Nakdong estuary weir and building activities were identified as the variables that affect the population of the Whooper Swan. Thus, we selected this area as the strategic point to establish a management plan for the Whooper Swan's habitat. The results of this study will help in decision making of a long-term management plan for sustaining the environmental health of the ecosystem in Eulsukdo.

Causal Loop Diagrams Model of IT Professionals' Happiness : Through System Dynamics Analysis Approach (IT 전문가 행복 인과관계 다이어그램 모형 : 시스템 다이내믹스 분석 접근법으로)

  • Chang, Yun Hi
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
    • /
    • v.17 no.4
    • /
    • pp.161-172
    • /
    • 2016
  • The following research investigates core factors required for IT professionals to achieve and remain happy on their jobs through dynamic and structural CLD and suggests personal, organizational, and government level (happiness) promoting factors. Researcher adopted the system dynamics methodology which is qualitative research techniques pursue behavior probability by using CLD. It spotlights 6 CLD: job satisfaction, organizational commitment, positive sensitivity, negative sensitivity, amicable relationship, job sustainment intention, in addition to numerous factors that affect them from an integrative perspective. It differentiates itself from one-way relationship focused qualitative research to an advanced mutual and realistic perspective exploratory research.

Reinterpretation of the Learning Organization from the Oriental Perspectives (동양의 시각에서 본 학습조직의 재해석)

  • Kim, Sang-Wook
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
    • /
    • v.9 no.1
    • /
    • pp.33-56
    • /
    • 2008
  • With emphasis on the importance of systems thinking for the establishment of learning organization, Senge in his famous book "The Fifth Discipline", explains in depth four disciplines such as personal mastery, mental models, shared vision, team learning, which are all geared up to the implementation of learning organization. However, two critical pitfalls are found: First, a holistic picture is absent in his presentation of learning organization, which just seems like a puzzle with linking pieces missing between disciplines. Secondly, as is often the case too much details are discussed in expense of insights on each discipline. This paper thus attempts to draw core metaphysical insights underlying Senge's learning organization disciplines by reinterpreting them from oriental perspectives; and to identify mechanisms depicting how they are working together as a whole, which is enabled by exploiting causal loop diagrams as a tool of systems thinking. In addition some thoughts on the implications of systems thinking on each of the learning organization disciplines.

  • PDF

A Study on Policies for the Activation of WiBro Market (와이브로 시장 활성화를 위한 정책 방안 연구)

  • Lee, Young-Suk;Jung, Jae-Lim;Park, Sang-Hyun;Kim, Sang-Wook
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
    • /
    • v.12 no.2
    • /
    • pp.37-67
    • /
    • 2011
  • This study first attempted to point out fundamental reasons behind the failure to have WiBro services off the saddle, investigating the previous studies, and second to screen the WiBro promotion policies after reviewing the major steps conducted thus far by the government. In order to put the screened policies in order by the importance, an AHP analysis was conducted targeting WiBro professionals in various fields such as government offices, universities, research institutes, and industry. One step further, causal loop diagramming on the system dynamics methodology was conducted to examine the dynamic structure of the WiBro market in holistic standpoint of view. Finally, a simulation model was developed based on the causal loop diagrams and the results of the AHP analysis in order to examine how various policy scenarios influence the growth of the WiBro market over time, and to compare the mix of policy options. Finally, the study attempted to draw some implications for WiBro vitalization.

  • PDF