• Title/Summary/Keyword: Capacity Expansion Model

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Forecasting Renewable Energy Using Delphi Survey and the Economic Evaluation of Long-Term Generation Mix (델파이 활용 신재생 에너지 수요예측과 장기전원 구성의 경제성 평가)

  • Koo, Hoonyoung;Min, Daiki
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.39 no.3
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    • pp.183-191
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    • 2013
  • We address the power generation mix problem that considers not only nuclear and fossil fuels such as oil, coal and LNG but also renewable energy technologies. Unlike nuclear or other generation technologies, the expansion plan of renewable energy is highly uncertain because of its dependency on the government policy and uncertainty associated with technology improvements. To address this issue, we conduct a delphi survey and forecast the capacity of renewable energy. We further propose a stochastic mixed integer programming model that determines an optimal capacity expansion and the amount of power generation using each generation technology. Using the proposed model, we test eight generation mix scenarios and particularly evaluate how much the expansion of renewable energy contributes to the total costs for power generation in Korea. The evaluation results show that the use of renewable energy incurs additional costs.

Capacity Analysis of Internet Servers Based on Log-Data Analysis (로그자료 분석을 통한 인터넷 서버의 용량 분석)

  • 김수진;윤복식;이용주;강금석
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.29-38
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    • 2002
  • Due to the rapid increase In the Internet traffic volume, ISPs are faced with the definite need of the expansion of server capacity. In order to Provide prompt services for customers and still prevent excessive facility cost, it is critical to determine the optimum level of internet server capacity. The purpose of this Paper is to provide a simple but effective strategy on the expansion of servers capacity according to the increase in internet traffic. We model an internet server as an M/G/m/m queueing system and derive an efficient method to compute the loss probability which, In turn, Is used as a basis to determine proper server capacity. The Process of estimating the traffic parameter values at each server based on log data analysis is also given. All the procedures are numerically demonstrated through the process of analyzing actual log data collected from a game company.

A Dynamic Programming Model for the Project-Sequencing Problem

  • Yoo, Byeong-Woo
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.67-82
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    • 1979
  • For many capacity expansion problems, distinct capacity types must be specified to identify capacity at different locations or capacities with different costs and operating characteristics. In this study, a project-sequencing model is developed that allows operating costs to influence the timing decisions for project establishment. Under certain conditions, the power expansion formulation is derived that may be solved through the dynamic programming approach, and its first application to planning in electric power systems is selected to investigate an optimal policy and to show the impact of requiring system to service more than one type of demand. Several sample testing results indicate that in some systems the efficiency of the large nuclear plants is higher than that of smell ones that it may overcome the effects of the drop in reliability.

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Comparative Analysis of the Storm Sewer Expansion Methodology and Underground Rainwater Storage Tanks for Urban Flood Control (기존 도시의 홍수저감을 위한 우수관거 배수용량 증대 및 지하 빗물저류조 설치효과 비교 분석)

  • Lee, Ho Yeol;Seo, Gyu Tae;Lee, Taek Soon
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.754-761
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    • 2013
  • Urban floods are usually caused by the lack of drainage capacity. Hence, sewer capacity expansion methodology by replacing small pipes with bigger ones is primarily applied as a flood control measure. However, this approach is often unreasonable because of the costs and time involved. Thus, the installation of underground rainwater storage tanks with the two advantages of flood control and water conservation is proposed. This study compared the effectiveness of flood control by both the sewer expansion methodology and rainwater storage tanks using the Storm Water Management Model. Three cases were simulated in this study. The first case analyzed flood reduction by the storm sewer expansion methodology. The simulation results indicate that the overflow volume from manholes was reduced by 49% with this methodology. The second case analyzed flood reduction by installation of rainwater storage tanks. The simulation results indicate that the overflow volume was reduced by 62%. However, these two cases could not prevent urban floods completely. Hence, the third case analyzed the joint application of the storm sewer expansion methodology and rainwater storage tanks. In this simulation, flooding did not occur. Consequently, the results of this study clearly show that underground rainwater storage tanks are more effective for flood control than capacity expansion of storm sewer. Furthermore, the joint application of these two flood control measures is more effective than their separate application.

Multi-alternative Retrofit Modelling and its Application to Korean Generation Capacity Expansion Planning (발전설비확장계획에서 다중대안 리트로핏 모형화 방안 및 사례연구)

  • Chung, Yong Joo
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.75-91
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    • 2020
  • Purpose Retrofit, defined to be addition of new technologies or features to the old system to increase efficiency or to abate GHG emissions, is considered as an important alternative for the old coal-fired power plant. The purpose of this study is to propose mathematical method to model multiple alternative retrofit in Generation Capacity Expansion Planning(GCEP) problem, and to get insight to the retrofit patterns from realistic case studies. Design/methodology/approach This study made a multi-alternative retrofit GECP model by adopting some new variables and equations to the existing GECP model. Added variables and equations are to ensure the retrofit feature that the life time of retrofitted plant is the remaining life time of the old power plant. We formulated such that multiple retrofit alternatives are simultaneously compared and the best retrofit alternative can be selected. And we found that old approach to model retrofit has a problem that old plant with long remaining life time is retrofitted earlier than the one with short remaining life time, fixed the problem by some constraints with some binary variables. Therefore, the proposed model is formulated into a mixed binary programming problem, and coded and run using the GAMS/cplex. Findings According to the empirical analysis result, we found that approach to model the multiple alternative retrofit proposed in this study is comparing simultaneously multiple retrofit alternatives and select the best retrofit satisfying the retrofit features related to the life time. And we found that retrofit order problem is cleared. In addition, the model is expected to be very useful in evaluating and developing the national policies concerning coal-fired power plant retrofit.

A study on the generation expansion planning system under the power markets (경쟁시장 체제하에서의 전력수급계획 수립 체계에 관한 연구)

  • Han, Seok-Man;Kim, Kang-Won;Kim, Tae-Young;Lee, Jeong-In;H. Kim, Bal-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.74-76
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    • 2008
  • The power expansion planning is large and capital intensive capacity planning. In the past the expansion planning was established with the proper supply reliability in order to minimize social cost. However, the planning not used cost minimizing objective function in the power markets with many market participants. This paper proposed the power expansion planning process in the power markets. This system is composed of Regulator and GENCO's model. Regulator model used multi-criteria decision making rule. GENCO model is very complex problem. Thus, this system transacted the part by several scenario assuming GENCO model.

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Probabilistic Reliability Based Grid Expansion Planning of Power System Including Wind Turbine Generators

  • Cho, Kyeong-Hee;Park, Jeong-Je;Choi, Jae-Seok
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.7 no.5
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    • pp.698-704
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    • 2012
  • This paper proposes a new methodology for evaluating the probabilistic reliability based grid expansion planning of composite power system including the Wind Turbine Generators. The proposed model includes capacity limitations and uncertainties of the generators and transmission lines. It proposes to handle the uncertainties of system elements (generators, lines, transformers and wind resources of WTG, etc.) by a Composite power system Equivalent Load Duration Curve (CMELDC)-based model considering wind turbine generators (WTG). The model is derived from a nodal equivalent load duration curve based on an effective nodal load model including WTGs. Several scenarios are used to choose the optimal solution among various scenarios featuring new candidate lines. The characteristics and effectiveness of this simulation model are illustrated by case study using Jeju power system in South Korea.

A Discrete Optimal Control Model for Capacity Expansion Planning of FMS (유연생산(柔軟生産) 시스템(FMS : Flexible Manufacturing Systems)의 용량확충을 위한 이산적 최적 제어 모델)

  • Park, Tae-Hyeong;Kim, Seung-Gwon;Kim, Seong-In;Gang, Seok-Hyeon
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.131-141
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    • 1988
  • As flexible manufacturing technology has become available across a broad range of applications, an increasingly large number of firms have confronted decisions about when to adopt the FMS technology and the size of FMS at that time. For small to medium size firms that should invest under budget limitation and high investment risk, proper size of FMS adoption at proper time is very important. In this paper the discrete optimal control theory has been used to make decisions about the size and timing of FMS capacity expansion over a planning period. Sensitivity analysis is presented for analysing the behavior of the model to variations of model parameters.

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The Control of Superheat and Capacity for a Variable Speed Refrigeration System Based on PI Control Logic

  • Hua, Li;Jeong, Seok-Kwon
    • International Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.54-60
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we suggest the high efficient control method based on general PI control law for a variable speed refrigeration system. In the variable speed refrigeration system, the capacity and the superheat are mainly controlled by an inverter and an electronic expansion valve, respectively, for saving energy and improving coefficient of performance. Thus, we proposed a decoupling model to eliminate the interfering loop between the capacity and superheat at first. Next, we designed PI controller to control the capacity and superheat independently and simultaneously. Finally, the control performance was investigated through some experiments. The experimental results showed that the proposed PI controller based on the decoupling model can obtain good control performance under the various control references and thermal load.

A Study on Balanced Airport Slot Allocation Model Applying AIP Model -Focused on Incheon International Airport- (AIP 모델을 응용한 균형적 공항 슬롯 배정 모델에 관한 연구 -인천국제공항 사례 연구-)

  • Park, Hak-Soon;Kim, Kee-Woong
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.25-36
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    • 2018
  • This paper presents a new airport slot allocation model that uses AIP model to balance the use of airport slots within existing capacity based on the limitation of capacity expansion of airport slots. This new model is called a 'balanced airport slot allocation model', which integrates the airport facility usage system, which is applied independently without linkage, with the airport slot allocation system, introducing the market logical characteristic of 'administered incentive pricing. In this paper, we propose a new proposal to dramatically change the airport slot allocation system in the current situation where the expansion of facilities is limited in the urgent problem of the airport slot shortage, and it is necessary to balance the airport slot allocation. Airline paying for the use of an airport slot can determine the slot of the desired time slot based on the costs incurred by differentiating in the new airport slot allocation model. This is a system that allows the airlines that are willing to pay a lot of money in the market to use preferred airport slots.