• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제21권1호
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• pp.179-183
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• 2010

In this paper, we consider the change point problem in diusion processes based on discretely observed sample. Particularly, we consider the change point test for the dispersion parameter when the drift has unknown parameters. In performing a test, we employ the cusum of squares test based on the residuals. It is shown that the test has a limiting distribution of the sup of a Brownian bridge. A simulation result as to the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process is provided for illustration. It demonstrates the validity of our test.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제22권5호
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• pp.495-506
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• 2015

Volatility is a variation measure in finance for returns of a financial instrument over time. GARCH models have been a popular tool to analyze volatility of financial time series data since Bollerslev (1986) and it is said that volatility is highly persistent when the sum of the estimated coefficients of the squared lagged returns and the lagged conditional variance terms in GARCH models is close to 1. Regarding persistence, numerous methods have been proposed to test if such persistency is due to volatility shifts in the market or natural fluctuation explained by stationary long-range dependence (LRD). Recently, Lee et al. (2015) proposed a residual-based cumulative sum (CUSUM) test statistic to test volatility shifts in GARCH models against LRD. We propose a bootstrap-based approach for the residual-based test and compare the sizes and powers of our bootstrap-based CUSUM test with the one in Lee et al. (2015) through simulation studies.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• 제29권3호
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• pp.351-360
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• 2000

This paper considers the problem of testing a variance change in infinite order autoregressive models. A cusum of squares test based on the residuals from an AR(q) model is constructed analogous to Inclan and Tiao (1994)'s test statistic, where q is a sequence of positive integers diverging to $\infty$. It is shown that under regularity conditions the limiting distribution of the test statistic is the sup of a standard Brownian bridge. Simulation results are given to illustrate the performance of the test.

• 대한수학회보
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• 제48권4호
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• pp.839-845
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• 2011

In this paper, we consider the cusum of squares test for the dispersion parameter in stochastic differential equation models. It is shown that the test has a limiting distribution of the sup of a Brownian bridge, unaffected by the drift parameter estimation. A simulation result is provided for illustration.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제22권3호
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• pp.549-553
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• 2011

In this paper, we deal with the problem of deciding the length of data for estimating the parameters in geometric Brownian motion. As an approach to this problem, we consider the change point test and introduce simple test statistic based on the cumulative sum of squares test (cusum test). A real data analysis is performed for illustration.

• 통합자연과학논문집
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• 제5권4호
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• pp.246-252
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• 2012

Multivariate cumulative sum (CUSUM) control charts for simultaneously monitoring both means and variances under multivariate normal process are investigated. Performances of multivariate CUSUM schemes are evaluated for matched fixed sampling interval (FSI) and variable sampling interval (VSI) features in terms of average time to signal (ATS), average number of samples to signal (ANSS). Multivariate Shewhart charts are also considered to compare the properties of multivariate CUSUM charts. Numerical results show that presented CUSUM charts are more efficient than the corresponding Shewhart chart for small or moderate shifts and VSI feature with two sampling intervals is more efficient than FSI feature. When small changes in the production process have occurred, CUSUM chart with small reference values will be recommended in terms of the time to signal.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제25권4호
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• pp.1-7
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• 2002

Statistical process control is used widely as an effective tool to solve the quality problems in practice fields. All the control charts used in statistical process control are parametric methods, suppose that the process distributes normal and observations are independent. But these assumptions, practically, are often violated if the test of normality of the observations is rejected and/or the serial correlation is existed within observed data. Thus, in this study, to screening process, the Combined Shewhart - CUSUM quality control chart is described and evaluated that used bootstrap method. In this scheme the CUSUM chart will quickly detect small shifts form the goal while the addition of Shewhart limits increases the speed of detecting large shifts. Therefor, the CSC control chart is detected both small and large shifts in process, and the simulation results for its performance are exhibited. The bootstrap CSC control chart proposed in this paper is superior to the standard method for both normal and skewed distribution, and brings in terms of ARL to the same result.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제17권4호
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• pp.1397-1403
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• 2006

This paper considers the testing problem for scale changes in autoregressive processes with heavy-tailed innovations. For a test, we propose the CUSUM test statistic based on the trimmed residuals. We perform a simulation study for the mixture normal and Cauchy innovations.

• 한국통계학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국통계학회 2002년도 추계 학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.279-285
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• 2002

In this paper we consider the problem of testing for structural changes in ARIMA models based on a cusum test. In particular, the proposed test procedure is applicable to testing for a change of the status of time series from stationarity to nonstationarity or vice versa. The idea is to transform the time series via differencing to make stationary time series. We propose a graphical method to identify the correct order of differencing.

• 한국통계학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국통계학회 2005년도 추계 학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.43-48
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• 2005

We consider the problem of testing for parameter changes in time series models based on a cusum test. Although the test procedure is well-established for the mean and variance in time series models, a general parameter case has not been discussed in the literature. Therefore, here we develop a cusum test for parameter change in a more general framework. As an example, we consider the change of the parameters in an RCA(1) model and that of the autocovariances of a linear process. We also consider the variance change test for unstable models with unit roots and GARCH models.