• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제13권1호
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• pp.89-99
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• 2006

This article deals with the problem of estimating parameters of Burr Type XII distribution, on the basis of a general progressive Type II censored sample using Bayesian viewpoints. The maximum likelihood estimator does not admit closed form but explicit sharp lower and upper bounds are provided. Assuming squared error loss and linex loss functions, Bayes estimators of the parameter k, the reliability function, and the failure rate function are obtained in closed form. Finally, a simulation study is also included.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제23권4호
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• pp.815-823
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• 2012

In this paper reliability growth model in which the operating time between successive failure is a continuous random variable is proposed. This model is for Burr type XII distribution with two parameters which is discussed in two versions: the order statistics and non-homogeneous Poisson process. The two software reliability measures are obtained. The performance for two versions of the suggested model is tested on real data set by U-plot and Y-plot using Kolmogorov distance.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제10권1호
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• pp.155-162
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• 1999

This paper is concerned with the empirical Bayes estimation of one of the two shape parameters(${\theta}$) in the Burr(${\beta},\;{\theta}$) type XII failure model based on type-II censored data. We obtain the bootstrap empirical Bayes confidence intervals of ${\theta}$ by the parametric bootstrap introduced by Laird and Louis(1987). The comparisons among the bootstrap and the naive empirical Bayes confidence intervals through Monte Carlo study are also presented.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제50권3호
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• pp.211-221
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• 2017

수문통계분야에서는 극치 사상을 해석하기 위해 generalized extreme value (GEV), generalized logistic (GLO), Gumbel (GUM) 모형과 같은 다양한 극치분포들을 사용하여 왔다. 특히 우리나라 강우 사상의 경우 다양한 극치분포 모형 중 GEV 분포와 Gumbel 분포가 비교적 적합한 것으로 알려져 있지만 하나의 형상매개변수를 가지고 있어 각 분포 모형이 나타낼 수 있는 통계적 특성에 한계를 가지고 있다. 이러한 점에서 두 개의 형상매개변수를 가지고 있어 분포 모형이 나타낼 수 있는 통계적 특성의 범위가 넓은 분포의 적용이 필요하다. 이에 본 연구에서는 두 개의 형상매개변수를 가지고 있어 다양한 통계적 특성을 표현할 수 있는 Burr XII 분포와 우리나라 620개 지점의 강우자료의 무차원 L-moment 비를 이용하여 우리나라 강우자료의 수문학적 적용성을 검토하였다. 이를 위해 Burr XII 분포의 L-moment ratio인 L-skewness와 L-kurtosis를 유도하고 그 관계식을 이용하여 L-moment diagram을 작성하고 620개 지점이 해당 영역에 포함되는 정도를 검토하여 그 적용성을 살펴보았다. 그 결과 L-skewness가 L-kurtosis보다 상대적으로 큰 한강 유역에 해당하는 지점들에 대한 Burr XII 분포의 적용성이 우수한 것으로 나타났으며, 이는 일반적으로 많이 사용되는 GEV 또는 Gumbel 분포를 대체할 수 있는 분포가 될 가능성을 보였다고 할 수 있다.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• 제15권1호
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• pp.23-50
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• 2014

This paper deals with formulation of optimum multi-objective modified step-stress accelerated life test (ALT) plan for Burr type-XII distribution under type-I censoring. Since it is impractical to estimate only one objective parameter after conducting costly ALT tests; also, it is not desirable to assume instantaneous changes in stress levels because of limited capacity of test equipments and the presence of undesirable failure modes, therefore, an optimum multi-objective modified step-stress ALT plan has been designed. The optimal test plan consists in determining the optimum low stress level and optimal time at which stress starts linearly increasing from low stress by minimizing the weighted sum of the asymptotic variances of the maximum likelihood estimator of quantile lifetimes at design constant stress. The method developed has been illustrated using an example. Sensitivity analysis has been carried out. Comparative study has also been done to highlight the merits of the proposed model.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제14권2호
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• pp.389-399
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• 2007

In this paper, Bayes estimates for the parameters k, c and reliability function of the Burr type XII model based on a type II censored samples under asymmetric loss functions viz., LINEX and SQUAREX loss functions are obtained. An approximation based on the Laplace approximation method (Tierney and Kadane, 1986) is used for obtaining the Bayes estimators of the parameters and reliability function. In order to compare the Bayes estimators under squared error loss, LINEX and SQUAREX loss functions respectively and the maximum likelihood estimator of the parameters and reliability function, Monte Carlo simulations are used.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제19권4호
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• pp.1361-1369
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• 2008

The analysis of software reliability model provides the means to analysts, software engineers, and systems analysts and developers who want to predict, estimate, and measure failure rate of occurrences in software. In this paper, reliability growth model, in which the operating time between successive failure is a continuous random variable, is proposed. This model is based on order statistics of two parameters Burr type XII distribution. We propose the measure based on U-plot. Also the performance of the suggested model is tested on real data set.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• 제15권2호
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• pp.125-150
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• 2014

Accelerated life tests (ALTs) are extensively used to determine the reliability of a product in a short period of time. Test units are subject to elevated stresses which yield quick failures. ALT can be carried out using constant-stress, step-stress, progressive-stress, cyclic-stress or random-stress loading and their various combinations. An ALT with linearly increasing stress is ramp-stress test. Much of the previous work on planning ALTs has focused on constant-stress, step-stress, ramp-stress schemes and their various combinations where the stress is generally increased. This paper presents an optimal design of ramp soak-stress ALT model which is based on the principle of Thermal cycling. Thermal cycling involves applying high and low temperatures repeatedly over time. The optimal plan consists in finding out relevant experimental variables, namely, stress rates and stress rate change points, by minimizing variance of reliability function with pre-specified mission time under normal operating conditions. The Burr type XII life distribution and time-censored data have been used for the purpose. Burr type XII life distribution has been found appropriate for accelerated life testing experiments. The method developed has been explained using a numerical example and sensitivity analysis carried out.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• 제18권2호
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• pp.21-44
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• 2017

Accelerated life tests (ALTs) are frequently used in manufacturing industries to evaluate the reliability of products within a reasonable amount of time and cost. Test units are subjected to elevated stresses which yield quick failures. Most of the previous works on designing ALT plans are focused on tests that involve a single stress. Many times more than one stress factor influence the product's functioning. This paper deals with the design of optimum modified ramp-stress ALT plan for Burr type XII distribution with Type-I censoring under two stress factors, viz., voltage and switching rate each at two levels- low and high. It is assumed that usage time to failure is power law function of switching rate, and voltage increases linearly with time according to modified ramp-stress scheme. The cumulative exposure model is used to incorporate the effect of changing stresses. The optimum plan is devised using D-optimality criterion wherein the ${\log}_{10}$ of the determinant of Fisher information matrix is maximized. The method developed has been explained using a numerical example and sensitivity carried out.

• 한국군사과학기술학회지
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• 제21권5호
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• pp.697-703
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• 2018

In this paper, we analyzed the operation of the ignition circuit for electronic arm and fire device(EAFD), and investigated the sensitive elements of the circuit system. For reliability analysis, the EAFD ignition circuit was modeled using the PSpice simulation tool, and the output results of the circuit were examined by changing the tolerance of each circuit element. Monte Carlo simulation was used by maintaining the values of the observed sensitive elements at ${\pm}10%$ of the original values and adjusting the values of the other components according to a random distribution. The histogram results of the output peak currents and pulse widths were represented by Weibull and Burr type XII function fittings in three cases(element values are +10 %, 0 %, -10 % of original). For the output peak currents, mean values were 1.0028, 1.0034, and 1.0050, where the variance values were calculated as 0.0398, 0.0396, and 0.0290 using the Weibull function fitting, respectively. For pulse widths, the mean values of 0.9475, 0.9907, and 1.0293 with the variance values of 0.0260, 0.0251, and 0.0238 were obtained using the Burr Type XII function fittings.