• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제30권3호
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• pp.291-309
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• 2023

Longitudinal count data has been widely collected in biomedical research, public health, and clinical trials. These repeated measurements over time on the same subjects need to account for an appropriate dependency. The Poisson regression model is the first choice to model the expected count of interest, however, this may not be an appropriate when data exhibit over-dispersion or under-dispersion. Recently, Conway-Maxwell-Poisson (CMP) distribution is popularly used as the distribution offers a flexibility to capture a wide range of dispersion in the data. In this article, we propose a Bayesian CMP regression model to accommodate over and under-dispersion in modeling longitudinal count data. Specifically, we develop a regression model with random intercept and slope to capture subject heterogeneity and estimate covariate effects to be different across subjects. We implement a Bayesian computation via Hamiltonian MCMC (HMCMC) algorithm for posterior sampling. We then compute Bayesian model assessment measures for model comparison. Simulation studies are conducted to assess the accuracy and effectiveness of our methodology. The usefulness of the proposed methodology is demonstrated by a well-known example of epilepsy data.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제22권6호
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• pp.557-573
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• 2015

In this paper we develop a Bayesian inference for a multiplicative double seasonal autoregressive (DSAR) model by implementing a fast, easy and accurate Gibbs sampling algorithm. We apply the Gibbs sampling to approximate empirically the marginal posterior distributions after showing that the conditional posterior distribution of the model parameters and the variance are multivariate normal and inverse gamma, respectively. The proposed Bayesian methodology is illustrated using simulated examples and real-world time series data.

• Genomics & Informatics
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• 제17권4호
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• pp.37.1-37.8
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• 2019

Isolation-with-migration (IM) models have become popular for explaining population divergence in the presence of migrations. Bayesian methods are commonly used to estimate IM models, but they are limited to small data analysis or simple model inference. Recently three methods, IMa3, MIST, and AIM, resolved these limitations. Here, we describe the major problems addressed by these three software and compare differences among their inference methods, despite their use of the same standard likelihood function.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제13권1호
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• pp.139-145
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• 2002

This paper deals with the problem of obtaining the Bayesian predictive density function and the prediction intervals for a future observation and the p-th order statistics of n future observations for the exponential model under the censored sampling with incomplete information.

• 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국경영과학회 2003년도 추계학술대회 및 정기총회
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• pp.346-349
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• 2003

This paper is intended to assess a system reliability that is changed as time passes. The proposed methodology consists of two steps: (1) predicting probabilities that each component fails at specific time by using a Markov Chain model and (2) calculating reliability of the whole system via Bayesian network. The proposed methodology includes extended Bayesian network model reflecting the case that components are mutually dependent.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제13권3호
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• pp.621-633
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• 2006

In this paper, we estimate multiple change-points when the data follow the normal distributions in the Bayesian way. Evolutionary Monte Carlo (EMC) algorithm is applied into general Bayesian model with variable-dimension parameters and shows its usefulness and efficiency as a promising tool especially for computational issues. The method is applied to the humidity data of Seoul and the final model is determined based on BIC.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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• 제2권4호
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• pp.543-548
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• 2007

We present a dynamic Bayesian network (DBN) model of a generalized class of nonstationary birth-death processes. The model includes birth and death rate parameters that are randomly selected from a known discrete set of values. We present an on-line algorithm to obtain optimal estimates of the parameters. We provide a simulation of real-time characterization of load traffic estimation using our DBN approach.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제5권3호
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• pp.733-742
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• 1998

For industrial and medical lifetime data, the generalized log-gamma regression model is considered. Then the Bayesian analysis for the generalized log-gamma regression with censored data are explained and following the data augmentation (Tanner and Wang; 1987), the censored data is replaced by simulated data. To overcome the complicated Bayesian computation, Makov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method is employed. Then some modified algorithms are proposed to implement MCMC. Finally, one example is presented.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제16권4호
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• pp.861-870
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• 2005

The Bayesian model selection procedures for the shape parameter of gamma distribution are proposed in order to test that the failure rate of gamma distribution is constant, increasing or decreasing. The encompassing intrinsic Bayes factor by Beger and Pericchi (1996) based on Jeffreys prior for shape parameter is used to investigate the usefulness of the proposed Bayesian model selection procedures via both real data and pseudo data.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제24권6호
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• pp.1543-1550
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• 2013

In this paper, we study Bayesian estimation for the finite population proportion in binary data under selection bias. We use a Bayesian nonignorable selection model to accommodate the selection mechanism. We compare four possible estimators of the finite population proportions based on data analysis as well as Monte Carlo simulation. It turns out that nonignorable selection model might be useful for weekly biased samples.