An Application of Markov Chain and Bayesian Network for Dynamic System Reliability Assessment

동적 시스템의 신뢰도 평가를 위한 마코프체인과 베이지안망의 적용에 관한 연구

  • Ahn, Suneung (Department of Industrial Engineering, Hanyang University) ;
  • Koo, Jungmo (Department of Industrial Engineering, Hanyang University)
  • Published : 2003.11.01

Abstract

This paper is intended to assess a system reliability that is changed as time passes. The proposed methodology consists of two steps: (1) predicting probabilities that each component fails at specific time by using a Markov Chain model and (2) calculating reliability of the whole system via Bayesian network. The proposed methodology includes extended Bayesian network model reflecting the case that components are mutually dependent.

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