• Title/Summary/Keyword: Bayesian Calibration

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A Bayesian Analysis in Multivariate Bioassay and Multivariate Calibration

  • Park, Nae-Hyun;Lee, Suk-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.71-79
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    • 1990
  • In the linear model which consider both the multivariate parallel-line bioassay and the multivariate linear calibration, this paper presents a Bayesian procedure which is an extension of Hunter and Lamboy (1981) and has several advantages compared with the non Bayesian techniques. Based on the methods of this article we discuss the effect of multivariate calibration and give a numerical example.

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Pedestrian-Based Variational Bayesian Self-Calibration of Surveillance Cameras (보행자 기반의 변분 베이지안 감시 카메라 자가 보정)

  • Yim, Jong-Bin
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.23 no.9
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    • pp.1060-1069
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    • 2019
  • Pedestrian-based camera self-calibration methods are suitable for video surveillance systems since they do not require complex calibration devices or procedures. However, using arbitrary pedestrians as calibration targets may result in poor calibration accuracy due to the unknown height of each pedestrian. To solve this problem in the real surveillance environments, this paper proposes a novel Bayesian approach. By assuming known statistics on the height of pedestrians, we construct a probabilistic model that takes into account uncertainties in both the foot/head locations and the pedestrian heights, using foot-head homology. Since solving the model directly is infeasible, we use variational Bayesian inference, an approximate inference algorithm. Accordingly, this makes it possible to estimate the height of pedestrians and to obtain accurate camera parameters simultaneously. Experimental results show that the proposed algorithm is robust to noise and provides accurate confidence in the calibration.

Approximations of Optimal Calibration Experimental Designs Using Gaussian Influence Diagrams

  • Kim, Sung-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.219-234
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    • 1993
  • A measuring instrument must be calibrated for accurate inferences of an unknown quantity. Bayesian calibration designs with respect to squared error loss based on a linear model are discussed in Kim and Barlow (1992). In this paper, we consider approximations of the optimal calibration designs using the idea of Gaussian inflence diagrams. The approximation is evaluated by means of numerical calculations, where it is compared with the exact values from the numerical integration.

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A Bayesian Approach to Linear Calibration Design Problem

  • Kim, Sung-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.105-122
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    • 1995
  • Based on linear models, the inference about the true measurement x$_{f}$ and the optimal designs x (nx1) for the calibration experiments are considered via Baysian statistical decision analysis. The posterior distribution of x$_{f}$ given the observation y$_{f}$ (qxl) and the calibration experiment is obtained with normal priors for x$_{f}$ and for themodel parameters (.alpha., .betha.). This posterior distribution is not in the form of any known distributions, which leads to the use of a numerical integration or an approximation for the calculation of the overall expected loss. The general structure of the expected loss function is characterized in the form of a conjecture. A near-optimal design is obtained through the approximation nof the conditional covariance matrix of the joint distribution of (x$_{f}$ , y$_{f}$ $^{T}$ )$^{T}$ . Numerical results for the univariate case are given to demonstrate the conjecture and to evaluate the approximation.n.

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A novel nomogram of naïve Bayesian model for prevalence of cardiovascular disease

  • Kang, Eun Jin;Kim, Hyun Ji;Lee, Jea Young
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.297-306
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    • 2018
  • Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of death worldwide and has a high mortality rate after onset; therefore, the CVD management requires the development of treatment plans and the prediction of prevalence rates. In our study, age, income, education level, marriage status, diabetes, and obesity were identified as risk factors for CVD. Using these 6 factors, we proposed a nomogram based on a $na{\ddot{i}}ve$ Bayesian classifier model for CVD. The attributes for each factor were assigned point values between -100 and 100 by Bayes' theorem, and the negative or positive attributes for CVD were represented to the values. Additionally, the prevalence rate can be calculated even in cases with some missing attribute values. A receiver operation characteristic (ROC) curve and calibration plot verified the nomogram. Consequently, when the attribute values for these risk factors are known, the prevalence rate for CVD can be predicted using the proposed nomogram based on a $na{\ddot{i}}ve$ Bayesian classifier model.

Bayesian hypothesis testing for homogeneity of coecients of variation in k Normal populationsy

  • Kang, Sang-Gil
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.163-172
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we deal with the problem for testing homogeneity of coecients of variation in several normal distributions. We propose Bayesian hypothesis testing procedures based on the Bayes factor under noninformative prior. The noninformative prior is usually improper which yields a calibration problem that makes the Bayes factor to be dened up to a multiplicative constant. So we propose the objective Bayesian hypothesis testing procedures based on the fractional Bayes factor and the intrinsic Bayes factor under the reference prior. Simulation study and a real data example are provided.

Bayesian Model Selection in Weibull Populations

  • Kang, Sang-Gil
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.1123-1134
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    • 2007
  • This article addresses the problem of testing whether the shape parameters in k independent Weibull populations are equal. We propose a Bayesian model selection procedure for equality of the shape parameters. The noninformative prior is usually improper which yields a calibration problem that makes the Bayes factor to be defined up to a multiplicative constant. So we propose the objective Bayesian model selection procedure based on the fractional Bayes factor and the intrinsic Bayes factor under the reference prior. Simulation study and a real example are provided.

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Bayesian Hypothesis Testing for the Difference of Quantiles in Exponential Models

  • Kang, Sang-Gil
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.1379-1390
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    • 2008
  • This article deals with the problem of testing the difference of quantiles in exponential distributions. We propose Bayesian hypothesis testing procedures for the difference of two quantiles under the noninformative prior. The noninformative prior is usually improper which yields a calibration problem that makes the Bayes factor to be defined up to a multiplicative constant. So we propose the objective Bayesian hypothesis testing procedures based on the fractional Bayes factor and the intrinsic Bayes factor under the matching prior. Simulation study and a real data example are provided.

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Performance of a Bayesian Design Compared to Some Optimal Designs for Linear Calibration (선형 캘리브레이션에서 베이지안 실험계획과 기존의 최적실험계획과의 효과비교)

  • 김성철
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.69-84
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    • 1997
  • We consider a linear calibration problem, $y_i = $$\alpha + \beta (x_i - x_0) + \epsilon_i$, $i=1, 2, {\cdot}{\cdot},n$ $y_f = \alpha + \beta (x_f - x_0) + \epsilon, $ where we observe $(x_i, y_i)$'s for the controlled calibration experiments and later we make inference about $x_f$ from a new observation $y_f$. The objective of the calibration design problem is to find the optimal design $x = (x_i, \cdots, x_n$ that gives the best estimates for $x_f$. We compare Kim(1989)'s Bayesian design which minimizes the expected value of the posterior variance of $x_f$ and some optimal designs from literature. Kim suggested the Bayesian optimal design based on the analysis of the characteristics of the expected loss function and numerical must be equal to the prior mean and that the sum of squares be as large as possible. The designs to be compared are (1) Buonaccorsi(1986)'s AV optimal design that minimizes the average asymptotic variance of the classical estimators, (2) D-optimal and A-optimal design for the linear regression model that optimize some functions of $M(x) = \sum x_i x_i'$, and (3) Hunter & Lamboy (1981)'s reference design from their paper. In order to compare the designs which are optimal in some sense, we consider two criteria. First, we compare them by the expected posterior variance criterion and secondly, we perform the Monte Carlo simulation to obtain the HPD intervals and compare the lengths of them. If the prior mean of $x_f$ is at the center of the finite design interval, then the Bayesian, AV optimal, D-optimal and A-optimal designs are indentical and they are equally weighted end-point design. However if the prior mean is not at the center, then they are not expected to be identical.In this case, we demonstrate that the almost Bayesian-optimal design was slightly better than the approximate AV optimal design. We also investigate the effects of the prior variance of the parameters and solution for the case when the number of experiments is odd.

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A Comparison Study on Statistical Modeling Methods (통계모델링 방법의 비교 연구)

  • Noh, Yoojeong
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.645-652
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    • 2016
  • The statistical modeling of input random variables is necessary in reliability analysis, reliability-based design optimization, and statistical validation and calibration of analysis models of mechanical systems. In statistical modeling methods, there are the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), AIC correction (AICc), Bayesian Information Criterion, Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE), and Bayesian method. Those methods basically select the best fitted distribution among candidate models by calculating their likelihood function values from a given data set. The number of data or parameters in some methods are considered to identify the distribution types. On the other hand, the engineers in a real field have difficulties in selecting the statistical modeling method to obtain a statistical model of the experimental data because of a lack of knowledge of those methods. In this study, commonly used statistical modeling methods were compared using statistical simulation tests. Their advantages and disadvantages were then analyzed. In the simulation tests, various types of distribution were assumed as populations and the samples were generated randomly from them with different sample sizes. Real engineering data were used to verify each statistical modeling method.