Browse > Article
http://dx.doi.org/10.29220/CSAM.2018.25.3.297

A novel nomogram of naïve Bayesian model for prevalence of cardiovascular disease  

Kang, Eun Jin (Department of Statistics, Yeungnam University)
Kim, Hyun Ji (Department of Statistics, Yeungnam University)
Lee, Jea Young (Department of Statistics, Yeungnam University)
Publication Information
Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods / v.25, no.3, 2018 , pp. 297-306 More about this Journal
Abstract
Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of death worldwide and has a high mortality rate after onset; therefore, the CVD management requires the development of treatment plans and the prediction of prevalence rates. In our study, age, income, education level, marriage status, diabetes, and obesity were identified as risk factors for CVD. Using these 6 factors, we proposed a nomogram based on a $na{\ddot{i}}ve$ Bayesian classifier model for CVD. The attributes for each factor were assigned point values between -100 and 100 by Bayes' theorem, and the negative or positive attributes for CVD were represented to the values. Additionally, the prevalence rate can be calculated even in cases with some missing attribute values. A receiver operation characteristic (ROC) curve and calibration plot verified the nomogram. Consequently, when the attribute values for these risk factors are known, the prevalence rate for CVD can be predicted using the proposed nomogram based on a $na{\ddot{i}}ve$ Bayesian classifier model.
Keywords
Bayes' theorem; calibration plot; cardiovascular diseases; $na{\ddot{i}}ve$ Bayesian classifier model; nomogram; ROC curve;
Citations & Related Records
Times Cited By KSCI : 3  (Citation Analysis)
연도 인용수 순위
1 Ahn JH, Lee JZ, Chung MK, and Ha HK (2014). Nomogram for prediction of prostate cancer with serum prostate specific antigen less than 10 ng/mL, Journal of Korean Medical Science, 29, 338-342.   DOI
2 Ambrose JA and Barua RS (2004). The pathophysiology of cigarette smoking and cardiovascular disease: an update, Journal of the American College of Cardiology, 43, 1731-1737.   DOI
3 American College of Sports Medicine (2013). ACSM's Guidelines for Exercise Testing and Prescription, Lippincott Williams & Wilkins.
4 Bae Y and Lee K (2016). Risk factors for cardiovascular disease in adults aged 30 years and older, Journal of The Korean Society of Integrative Medicine, 4, 97-107.   DOI
5 Britton A and McKee M (2000). The relation between alcohol and cardiovascular disease in Eastern Europe: explaining the paradox, Journal of Epidemiology & Community Health, 54, 328-332.   DOI
6 Dimsdale JE (2008). Psychological stress and cardiovascular disease, Journal of the American College of Cardiology, 51, 1237-1246.   DOI
7 Grundy SM, Benjamin IJ, Burke GL, et al. (1999). Diabetes and cardiovascular disease, Circulation, 100, 1134-1146.   DOI
8 Heart UK (2015). Risk Factors for Cardiovascular Disease (CVD), from: https://heartuk.org.uk/files/uploads /documents/huk fs mfsI riskfactorsforchd v2.pdf
9 Hosmer DW and Lemeshow S (2000). Interpretation of the fitted logistic regression mode, Shewhart WA, Wilks SS Eds., Applied Logistic Regression (2nd ed), 47-90.
10 Iasonos A, Schrag D, Raj GV, and Panageas KS (2008). How to build and interpret a nomogram for cancer prognosis, Journal of Clinical Oncology, 26, 1364-1370.   DOI
11 Kang EJ (2018). Development of nomograms based on naive Bayesian classifier and logistic regression model for predicting the prevalence rate of cardiovascular disease (Master's thesis), Yeungnam University, Gyeongsan.
12 Kattan MW, Eastham JA, Stapleton AMF, Wheeler TM, and Scardino PT (1998). A preoperative nomogram for disease recurrence following radical prostatectomy for prostate cancer, Journal of the National Cancer Institute, 90, 766-771.   DOI
13 Lee KM, Kim WJ, and Yun SJ (2009). A clinical nomogram construction method using genetic algorithm and naive Bayesian technique, Journal of Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems, 19, 796-801.   DOI
14 Kawakami S, Numao N, Okubo Y, et al. (2008). Development, validation, and head-to-head comparison of logistic regression-based nomograms and artificial neural network models predicting prostate cancer on initial extended biopsy, European Urology, 54, 601-611.   DOI
15 Kim W, Kim KS, and Park RW (2016). Nomogram of naive Bayesian model for recurrence prediction of breast cancer, Healthcare Informatics Research, 22, 89-94.   DOI
16 Lavie CJ, Milani RV, and Ventura HO (2009). Obesity and cardiovascular disease: risk factor, para- dox, and impact of weight loss, Journal of the American College of Cardiology, 53, 1925-1932.   DOI
17 Lyssenko V, Jonsson A, Almgren P, et al. (2008). Clinical risk factors, DNA variants, and the development of type 2 diabetes, New England Journal of Medicine, 359, 2220-2232.   DOI
18 Morrison DG (1969). On the interpretation of discriminant analysis, Journal of Marketing Research, 6, 156-163.   DOI
19 Mozina M, Demsar J, Kattan M, and Zupan B (2004). Nomograms for visualization of naive Bayesian classifier. In Proceeding PKDD '04 Proceedings of the 8th European Conference on Principles and Practice of Knowledge Discovery in Databases, Pisa, Italy, 337-348.
20 Poirier P, Giles TD, Bray GA, Hong Y, Stern JS, Pi-Sunyer FX, and Eckel RH (2006). Obesity and cardiovascular disease: pathophysiology, evaluation, and effect of weight loss, Arteriosclerosis, Thrombosis, and Vascular Biology, 26, 968-976.   DOI
21 World Health Organization (2017). Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), from: http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/fs317/en/Updated May 2017
22 Wilson L, Bhatnagar P, and Townsend N (2017). Comparing trends in mortality from cardiovascular disease and cancer in the United Kingdom, 1983-2013: joinpoint regression analysis, Population Health Metrics, 15, 23.   DOI