• 제목/요약/키워드: Bayes and empirical Bayes estimation

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Bayes and Empirical Bayes Estimation of the Scale Parameter of the Gamma Distribution under Balanced Loss Functions

  • Rezaeian, R.;Asgharzadeh, A.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.71-80
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    • 2007
  • The present paper investigates estimation of a scale parameter of a gamma distribution using a loss function that reflects both goodness of fit and precision of estimation. The Bayes and empirical Bayes estimators rotative to balanced loss functions (BLFs) are derived and optimality of some estimators are studied.

On the Performance of Empiricla Bayes Simultaneous Interval Estimates for All Pairwise Comparisons

  • Kim, Woo-Chul;Han, Kyung-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.161-181
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    • 1995
  • The goal of this article is to study the performances of various empirical Bayes simultaneous interval estimates for all pairwise comparisons. The considered empirical Bayes interval estimaters are those based on unbiased estimate, a hierarchical Bayes estimate and a constrained hierarchical Bayes estimate. Simulation results for small sample cases are given and an illustrative example is also provided.

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손해보험 위험도 추정에 대한 베이즈 위험 비교 연구 (Bayes Risk Comparison for Non-Life Insurance Risk Estimation)

  • 김명준;우호영;김영화
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제27권6호
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    • pp.1017-1028
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    • 2014
  • 잘 알려져 있는 것처럼 일반적인 베이즈 추정량(Bayes estimator)과 경험적 베이즈 추정량(empirical Bayes estimator)은 모수를 추정하는데 있어서 오차를 과다축소하는 단점을 가지고 있다. 따라서 이러한 단점을 극복하기 위하여 constrained 베이즈 추정량이 일차 적률과 이차 적률을 일치시키는 성질을 만족시키며 제안되었다. 또한 평균 제곱오차 함수와 같은 전통적인 손실함수에서는 추정의 정확성만을 고려하는 특징을 가지고 있기 때문에, 추정의 정확성과 정합성을 동시에 고려하는 균형 손실함수가 제안되었다. 이러한 이유로 인하여 균형손실 함수하에서의 제한적 베이즈 추정량의 활용이 손해 보험의 가격 산출에 제안되는 것은 타당하다. 그러나 대부분의 연구는 추정의 문제에만 집중하는 경향이 있으며. 이는 새롭게 제안되는 특정 손실함수하에서의 constrained 베이즈 추정량과 constrained empirical 베이즈 추정량의 베이즈 위험의 계산이 어렵다는 점에서 기인한다. 본 연구에서는 다양한 베이즈 추정량들에 대한 베이즈 위험을 서로 다른 두 손실함수하에서 비교하였으며, 그 대상은 자동차 보험 산업에서의 위험도 추정 분야이다. 또한 자동차 보험 산업의 실제 사고 데이터를 이용하여 새롭게 제안된 베이즈 추정량의 베이즈 위험을 비교함으로써 그 효용성을 입증하였다.

Empirical Bayes Nonparametric Estimation with Beta Processes Based on Censored Observations

  • Hong, Jee-Chang;Kim, Yongdai;Inha Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제30권3호
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    • pp.481-498
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    • 2001
  • Empirical Bayes procedure of nonparametric estiamtion of cumulative hazard rates based on censored data is considered using the beta process priors of Hjort(1990). Beta process priors with unknown parameters are used for cumulative hazard rates. Empirical Bayes estimators are suggested and asymptotic optimality is proved. Our result generalizes that of Susarla and Van Ryzin(1978) in the sensor that (i) the cumulative hazard rate induced by a Dirichlet process is a beta process, (ii) our empirical Bayes estimator does not depend on the censoring distribution while that of Susarla and Van Ryzin(1978) does, (iii) a class of estimators of the hyperprameters is suggested in the prior distribution which is assumed known in advance in Susarla and Van Ryzin(1978). This extension makes the proposed empirical Bayes procedure more applicable to real dta sets.

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Parametric Empirical Bayes Estimation of A Constant Hazard with Right Censored Data

  • Mashayekhi, Mostafa
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제2권1호
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    • pp.49-56
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    • 2001
  • In this paper we consider empirical Bayes estimation of the hazard rate and survival probabilities with right censored data under the assumption that the hazard function is constant over the period of observation and the prior distribution is gamma. We provide an estimator of the first derivative of the prior moment generating function that converges at each point to the true value in $L_2$ and use it to obtain, easy to compute, asymptotically optimal estimators under the squared error loss function.

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Empirical Bayes Confidence Intervals of the Burr Type XII Failure Model

  • Choi, Dal-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.155-162
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    • 1999
  • This paper is concerned with the empirical Bayes estimation of one of the two shape parameters(${\theta}$) in the Burr(${\beta},\;{\theta}$) type XII failure model based on type-II censored data. We obtain the bootstrap empirical Bayes confidence intervals of ${\theta}$ by the parametric bootstrap introduced by Laird and Louis(1987). The comparisons among the bootstrap and the naive empirical Bayes confidence intervals through Monte Carlo study are also presented.

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EMPIRICAL BAYES ESTIMATION OF RESIDUAL SURVIVAL FUNCTION AT AGE

  • Liang, Ta-Chen
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제33권2호
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    • pp.191-202
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    • 2004
  • The paper considers nonparametric empirical Bayes estimation of residual survival function at age t using a Dirichlet process prior V(a). Empirical Bayes estimators are proposed for the case where both the function ${\alpha}$(0, $\chi$] and the size a(R$\^$+/) are unknown. It is shown that the proposed empirical Bayes estimators are asymptotically optimal at a rate n$\^$-1/, where n is the number of past data available for the present estimation problem. Therefore, the result of Lahiri and Park (1988) in which a(R$\^$+/) is assumed to be known and a rate n$\^$-1/ is achieved, is extended to a(R$\^$+/) unknown case.

Bayesian Estimation of the Normal Means under Model Perturbation

  • Kim, Dal-Ho;Han, Seung-Cheol
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.1009-1019
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, we consider the simultaneous estimation problem for the normal means. We set up the model structure using the several different distributions of the errors for observing their effects of model perturbation for the error terms in obtaining the empirical Bayes and hierarchical Bayes estimators. We compare the performance of those estimators under model perturbation based on a simulation study.

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EMPIRICAL BAYES ESTIMATION OF THE TRUNCATION PARAMETER WITH ASYMMETRIC LOSS FUNCTION USING NA SAMPLES

  • Shi, Yimin;Shi, Xiaolin;Gao, Shesheng
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • 제14권1_2호
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    • pp.305-317
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    • 2004
  • We construct the empirical Bayes (EB)estimation of the parameter in two-side truncated distribution families with asymmetric Linex loss using negatively associated (NA) samples. The asymptotical optimality and convergence rate of the EB estimation is obtained. We will show that the convergence rate can be arbitrarily close to $O(n^{-q}),\;q\;=\;{\lambda}s(\delta\;-\;2)/\delta(s\;+\;2)$.