• 제목/요약/키워드: Bayes Estimator

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A Comparative Study for Several Bayesian Estimators Under Balanced Loss Function

  • Kim, Yeong-Hwa
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.291-300
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    • 2006
  • In this research, the performance of widely used Bayesian estimators such as Bayes estimator, empirical Bayes estimator, constrained Bayes estimator and constrained empirical Bayes estimator are compared by means of a measurement under balanced loss function for the typical normal-normal situation. The proposed measurement is a weighted sum of the precisions of first and second moments. As a result, one can gets the criterion according to the size of prior variance against the population variance.

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A Comparative Study for Several Bayesian Estimators Under Squared Error Loss Function

  • Kim, Yeong-Hwa
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.371-382
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    • 2005
  • The paper compares the performance of some widely used Bayesian estimators such as Bayes estimator, empirical Bayes estimator, constrained Bayes estimator and constrained Bayes estimator by means of a new measurement under squared error loss function for the typical normal-normal situation. The proposed measurement is a weighted sum of the precisions of first and second moments. As a result, one can gets the criterion according to the size of prior variance against the population variance.

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Bayes Estimation of Two Ordered Exponential Means

  • Hong, Yeon-Woong;Kwon, Yong-Mann
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.273-284
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    • 2004
  • Bayes estimation of parameters is considered for two independent exponential distributions with ordered means. Order restricted Bayes estimators for means are obtained with respect to inverted gamma, noninformative prior and uniform prior distributions, and their asymptotic properties are established. It is shown that the maximum likelihood estimator, restricted maximum likelihood estimator, unrestricted Bayes estimator, and restricted Bayes estimator of the mean are all consistent and have the same limiting distribution. These estimators are compared with the corresponding unrestricted Bayes estimators by Monte Carlo simulation.

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ON THE BAYES ESTIMATOR OF PARAMETER AND RELIABILITY FUNCTION OF THE ZERO-TRUNCATED POISSON DISTRIBUTION

  • Hassan, Anwar;Ahmad, Peer Bilal;Bhatti, M. Ishaq
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.97-108
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    • 2008
  • In this paper Bayes estimator of the parameter and reliability function of the zero-truncated Poisson distribution are obtained. Furthermore, recurrence relations for the estimator of the parameter are also derived. Monte Carlo simulation technique has been made for comparing the Bayes estimator and reliability function with the corresponding maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of zero-truncated Poisson distribution.

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Generalized Bayes estimation for a SAR model with linear restrictions binding the coefficients

  • Chaturvedi, Anoop;Mishra, Sandeep
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제28권4호
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    • pp.315-327
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    • 2021
  • The Spatial Autoregressive (SAR) models have drawn considerable attention in recent econometrics literature because of their capability to model the spatial spill overs in a feasible way. While considering the Bayesian analysis of these models, one may face the problem of lack of robustness with respect to underlying prior assumptions. The generalized Bayes estimators provide a viable alternative to incorporate prior belief and are more robust with respect to underlying prior assumptions. The present paper considers the SAR model with a set of linear restrictions binding the regression coefficients and derives restricted generalized Bayes estimator for the coefficients vector. The minimaxity of the restricted generalized Bayes estimator has been established. Using a simulation study, it has been demonstrated that the estimator dominates the restricted least squares as well as restricted Stein rule estimators.

손해보험 위험도 추정에 대한 베이즈 위험 비교 연구 (Bayes Risk Comparison for Non-Life Insurance Risk Estimation)

  • 김명준;우호영;김영화
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제27권6호
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    • pp.1017-1028
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    • 2014
  • 잘 알려져 있는 것처럼 일반적인 베이즈 추정량(Bayes estimator)과 경험적 베이즈 추정량(empirical Bayes estimator)은 모수를 추정하는데 있어서 오차를 과다축소하는 단점을 가지고 있다. 따라서 이러한 단점을 극복하기 위하여 constrained 베이즈 추정량이 일차 적률과 이차 적률을 일치시키는 성질을 만족시키며 제안되었다. 또한 평균 제곱오차 함수와 같은 전통적인 손실함수에서는 추정의 정확성만을 고려하는 특징을 가지고 있기 때문에, 추정의 정확성과 정합성을 동시에 고려하는 균형 손실함수가 제안되었다. 이러한 이유로 인하여 균형손실 함수하에서의 제한적 베이즈 추정량의 활용이 손해 보험의 가격 산출에 제안되는 것은 타당하다. 그러나 대부분의 연구는 추정의 문제에만 집중하는 경향이 있으며. 이는 새롭게 제안되는 특정 손실함수하에서의 constrained 베이즈 추정량과 constrained empirical 베이즈 추정량의 베이즈 위험의 계산이 어렵다는 점에서 기인한다. 본 연구에서는 다양한 베이즈 추정량들에 대한 베이즈 위험을 서로 다른 두 손실함수하에서 비교하였으며, 그 대상은 자동차 보험 산업에서의 위험도 추정 분야이다. 또한 자동차 보험 산업의 실제 사고 데이터를 이용하여 새롭게 제안된 베이즈 추정량의 베이즈 위험을 비교함으로써 그 효용성을 입증하였다.

Robust Bayes and Empirical Bayes Analysis in Finite Population Sampling with Auxiliary Information

  • Kim, Dal-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.331-348
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, we have proposed some robust Bayes estimators using ML-II priors as well as certain empirical Bayes estimators in estimating the finite population mean in the presence of auxiliary information. These estimators are compared with the classical ratio estimator and a subjective Bayes estimator utilizing the auxiliary information in terms of "posterior robustness" and "procedure robustness" Also, we have addressed the issue of choice of sampling design from a robust Bayesian viewpoint.

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Jensen's Alpha Estimation Models in Capital Asset Pricing Model

  • Phuoc, Le Tan
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제5권3호
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    • pp.19-29
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    • 2018
  • This research examined the alternatives of Jensen's alpha (α) estimation models in the Capital Asset Pricing Model, discussed by Treynor (1961), Sharpe (1964), and Lintner (1965), using the robust maximum likelihood type m-estimator (MM estimator) and Bayes estimator with conjugate prior. According to finance literature and practices, alpha has often been estimated using ordinary least square (OLS) regression method and monthly return data set. A sample of 50 securities is randomly selected from the list of the S&P 500 index. Their daily and monthly returns were collected over a period of the last five years. This research showed that the robust MM estimator performed well better than the OLS and Bayes estimators in terms of efficiency. The Bayes estimator did not perform better than the OLS estimator as expected. Interestingly, we also found that daily return data set would give more accurate alpha estimation than monthly return data set in all three MM, OLS, and Bayes estimators. We also proposed an alternative market efficiency test with the hypothesis testing Ho: α = 0 and was able to prove the S&P 500 index is efficient, but not perfect. More important, those findings above are checked with and validated by Jackknife resampling results.

Estimation of the parameter in an Exponential Distribution using a LINEX Loss

  • 우정수;이화정;은갑숙
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2002
  • A Bayes estimator of the scale parameter in an exponential distribution will be considered by a LINEX error, then the risk of the Bayes estimator using a LINEX loss will be compared with that of a Bayes estimator using a square error.

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A Study on Bayes Reliability Estimators of k out of m Stress-Strength Model

  • Kim, Jae Joo;Jeong, Hae Sung
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.2-11
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    • 1985
  • We study some Bayes esimators of the reliability of k out of m stress-strength model under quadratic loss and various prior distributions. We obtain Bayes estimators, Bayes risk, predictive bounds and asymtotic distribution of Bayes estimator. We investigate behaviours of Bayes estimator in moderate samples.

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