• 제목/요약/키워드: Bayes

검색결과 931건 처리시간 0.025초

The influence of a first-order antedependence model and hyperparameters in BayesCπ for genomic prediction

  • Li, Xiujin;Liu, Xiaohong;Chen, Yaosheng
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • 제31권12호
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    • pp.1863-1870
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    • 2018
  • Objective: The Bayesian first-order antedependence models, which specified single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNP) effects as being spatially correlated in the conventional BayesA/B, had more accurate genomic prediction than their corresponding classical counterparts. Given advantages of $BayesC{\pi}$ over BayesA/B, we have developed hyper-$BayesC{\pi}$, ante-$BayesC{\pi}$, and ante-hyper-$BayesC{\pi}$ to evaluate influences of the antedependence model and hyperparameters for $v_g$ and $s_g^2$ on $BayesC{\pi}$.Methods: Three public data (two simulated data and one mouse data) were used to validate our proposed methods. Genomic prediction performance of proposed methods was compared to traditional $BayesC{\pi}$, ante-BayesA and ante-BayesB. Results: Through both simulation and real data analyses, we found that hyper-$BayesC{\pi}$, ante-$BayesC{\pi}$ and ante-hyper-$BayesC{\pi}$ were comparable with $BayesC{\pi}$, ante-BayesB, and ante-BayesA regarding the prediction accuracy and bias, except the situation in which ante-BayesB performed significantly worse when using a few SNPs and ${\pi}=0.95$. Conclusion: Hyper-$BayesC{\pi}$ is recommended because it avoids pre-estimated total genetic variance of a trait compared with $BayesC{\pi}$ and shortens computing time compared with ante-BayesB. Although the antedependence model in $BayesC{\pi}$ did not show the advantages in our study, larger real data with high density chip may be used to validate it again in the future.

Bayesian Hypothesis Testing for Two Lognormal Variances with the Bayes Factors

  • Moon, Gyoung-Ae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.1119-1128
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    • 2005
  • The Bayes factors with improper noninformative priors are defined only up to arbitrary constants. So it is known that Bayes factors are not well defined due to this arbitrariness in Bayesian hypothesis testing and model selections. The intrinsic Bayes factor and the fractional Bayes factor have been used to overcome this problem. In this paper, we suggest a Bayesian hypothesis testing based on the intrinsic Bayes factor and the fractional Bayes factor for the comparison of two lognormal variances. Using the proposed two Bayes factors, we demonstrate our results with some examples.

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Fuzzy-Bayes Fault Isolator Design for BLDC Motor Fault Diagnosis

  • Suh, Suhk-Hoon
    • International Journal of Control, Automation, and Systems
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    • 제2권3호
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    • pp.354-361
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    • 2004
  • To improve fault isolation performance of the Bayes isolator, this paper proposes the Fuzzy-Bayes isolator, which uses the Fuzzy-Bayes classifier as a fault isolator. The Fuzzy-Bayes classifier is composed of the Bayes classifier and weighting factor, which is determined by fuzzy inference logic. The Mahalanobis distance derivative is mapped to the weighting factor by fuzzy inference logic. The Fuzzy-Bayes fault isolator is designed for the BLDC motor fault diagnosis system. Fault isolation performance is evaluated by the experiments. The research results indicate that the Fuzzy-Bayes fault isolator improves fault isolation performance and that it can reduce the transition region chattering that is occurred when the fault is injected. In the experiment, chattering is reduced by about half that of the Bayes classifier's.

A Comparative Study for Several Bayesian Estimators Under Balanced Loss Function

  • Kim, Yeong-Hwa
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.291-300
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    • 2006
  • In this research, the performance of widely used Bayesian estimators such as Bayes estimator, empirical Bayes estimator, constrained Bayes estimator and constrained empirical Bayes estimator are compared by means of a measurement under balanced loss function for the typical normal-normal situation. The proposed measurement is a weighted sum of the precisions of first and second moments. As a result, one can gets the criterion according to the size of prior variance against the population variance.

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On the Performance of Empiricla Bayes Simultaneous Interval Estimates for All Pairwise Comparisons

  • Kim, Woo-Chul;Han, Kyung-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.161-181
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    • 1995
  • The goal of this article is to study the performances of various empirical Bayes simultaneous interval estimates for all pairwise comparisons. The considered empirical Bayes interval estimaters are those based on unbiased estimate, a hierarchical Bayes estimate and a constrained hierarchical Bayes estimate. Simulation results for small sample cases are given and an illustrative example is also provided.

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Default Bayes Factors for Testing the Equality of Poisson Population Means

  • Son, Young Sook;Kim, Seong W.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.549-562
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    • 2000
  • Default Bayes factors are computed to test the equality of one Poisson population mean and the equality of two independent Possion population means. As default priors are assumed Jeffreys priors, noninformative improper priors, and default Bayes factors such as three intrinsic Bayes factors of Berger and Pericchi(1996, 1998), the arithmetic, the median, and the geometric intrinsic Bayes factor, and the factional Bayes factor of O'Hagan(1995) are computed. The testing results by each default Bayes factor are compared with those by the classical method in the simulation study.

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Robust Bayes and Empirical Bayes Analysis in Finite Population Sampling with Auxiliary Information

  • Kim, Dal-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.331-348
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, we have proposed some robust Bayes estimators using ML-II priors as well as certain empirical Bayes estimators in estimating the finite population mean in the presence of auxiliary information. These estimators are compared with the classical ratio estimator and a subjective Bayes estimator utilizing the auxiliary information in terms of "posterior robustness" and "procedure robustness" Also, we have addressed the issue of choice of sampling design from a robust Bayesian viewpoint.

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A Comparative Study for Several Bayesian Estimators Under Squared Error Loss Function

  • Kim, Yeong-Hwa
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.371-382
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    • 2005
  • The paper compares the performance of some widely used Bayesian estimators such as Bayes estimator, empirical Bayes estimator, constrained Bayes estimator and constrained Bayes estimator by means of a new measurement under squared error loss function for the typical normal-normal situation. The proposed measurement is a weighted sum of the precisions of first and second moments. As a result, one can gets the criterion according to the size of prior variance against the population variance.

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Bayes Estimation of Two Ordered Exponential Means

  • Hong, Yeon-Woong;Kwon, Yong-Mann
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.273-284
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    • 2004
  • Bayes estimation of parameters is considered for two independent exponential distributions with ordered means. Order restricted Bayes estimators for means are obtained with respect to inverted gamma, noninformative prior and uniform prior distributions, and their asymptotic properties are established. It is shown that the maximum likelihood estimator, restricted maximum likelihood estimator, unrestricted Bayes estimator, and restricted Bayes estimator of the mean are all consistent and have the same limiting distribution. These estimators are compared with the corresponding unrestricted Bayes estimators by Monte Carlo simulation.

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손해보험 위험도 추정에 대한 베이즈 위험 비교 연구 (Bayes Risk Comparison for Non-Life Insurance Risk Estimation)

  • 김명준;우호영;김영화
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제27권6호
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    • pp.1017-1028
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    • 2014
  • 잘 알려져 있는 것처럼 일반적인 베이즈 추정량(Bayes estimator)과 경험적 베이즈 추정량(empirical Bayes estimator)은 모수를 추정하는데 있어서 오차를 과다축소하는 단점을 가지고 있다. 따라서 이러한 단점을 극복하기 위하여 constrained 베이즈 추정량이 일차 적률과 이차 적률을 일치시키는 성질을 만족시키며 제안되었다. 또한 평균 제곱오차 함수와 같은 전통적인 손실함수에서는 추정의 정확성만을 고려하는 특징을 가지고 있기 때문에, 추정의 정확성과 정합성을 동시에 고려하는 균형 손실함수가 제안되었다. 이러한 이유로 인하여 균형손실 함수하에서의 제한적 베이즈 추정량의 활용이 손해 보험의 가격 산출에 제안되는 것은 타당하다. 그러나 대부분의 연구는 추정의 문제에만 집중하는 경향이 있으며. 이는 새롭게 제안되는 특정 손실함수하에서의 constrained 베이즈 추정량과 constrained empirical 베이즈 추정량의 베이즈 위험의 계산이 어렵다는 점에서 기인한다. 본 연구에서는 다양한 베이즈 추정량들에 대한 베이즈 위험을 서로 다른 두 손실함수하에서 비교하였으며, 그 대상은 자동차 보험 산업에서의 위험도 추정 분야이다. 또한 자동차 보험 산업의 실제 사고 데이터를 이용하여 새롭게 제안된 베이즈 추정량의 베이즈 위험을 비교함으로써 그 효용성을 입증하였다.