• 제목/요약/키워드: Actual cost

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Prediction Model of Final Project Cost using Multivariate Probabilistic Analysis (MPA) and Bayes' Theorem

  • Yoo, Wi Sung;Hadipriono, FAbian C.
    • 한국건설관리학회논문집
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    • 제8권5호
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    • pp.191-200
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    • 2007
  • This paper introduces a tool for predicting potential cost overrun during project execution and for quantifying the uncertainty on the expected project cost, which is occasionally changed by the unknown effects resulted from project's complications and unforeseen environments. The model proposed in this stuff is useful in diagnosing cost performance as a project progresses and in monitoring the changes of the uncertainty as indicators for a warning signal. This model is intended for the use by project managers who forecast the change of the uncertainty and its magnitude. The paper presents a mathematical approach for modifying the costs of incomplete work packages and project cost, and quantifying reduced uncertainties at a consistent confidence level as actual cost information of an ongoing project is obtained. Furthermore, this approach addresses the effects of actual informed data of completed work packages on the re-estimates of incomplete work packages and describes the impacts on the variation of the uncertainty for the expected project cost incorporating Multivariate Probabilistic Analysis (MPA) and Bayes' Theorem. For the illustration purpose, the Introduced model has employed an example construction project. The results are analyzed to demonstrate the use of the model and illustrate its capabilities.

웹기반 온라인 전기에너지 공급지장비 추정 및 정보 시스템의 개발 (Web based Online Outage Cost Assessment and Information System of Electrical Energy)

  • 임진택;최재석;전동훈;서철수;이재걸
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제61권9호
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    • pp.1249-1259
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    • 2012
  • This paper proposes a Web Based Online Outage Cost Assessment and Information System(WOOCAIS) for power system outage cost assessment. The proposed WOOCAIS is a kind of web based survey method for outage cost assessment. While conventional survey methods have done outage cost assessment based on survey paper lists collected by post mail or visiting customers, the proposed WOOCAIS is a web based online survey operation and assessment system. Therefore, it can curtail expenditure for survey and also is more convenient than conventional method. It will be set up for actual outage cost assessment system of KEPCO in South Korea in the near future. The WOOCAIS will be applied in various research and actual planning and operation areas. First of all, the assessed results may be not only applied as one of objective function for generation system and grid expansion but also operational planning problems in power system.

공동주택 건설공사의 표준품셈과 실투입 노무량 비교 분석 - 미장, 방수, 조적, 타일공사를 중심으로 - (Comparison between Labor Inputs by Quantity per Unit Method and by Actual Data Method in the Apartment Housing Construction Work - Focusing on Masonry Plaster Waterproofing Tile Labors -)

  • 전상훈;구교진
    • 한국건설관리학회논문집
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.110-118
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    • 2015
  • 표준품셈은 우리나라 건설공사에 있어 가장 기본적인 요소이지만, 표준품셈이 공동주택 건설공사에서 실제 투입 되는 노무량과 큰 차이를 나타내고 있다. 따라서 실적공사비방식에 의해 공사비를 산정하는 것이 합리적인 대안이 될 수 있으나 원가계산서상에 각종 경비 등에는 정확한 노무량을 파악하여야 비용이 산출될 것이며 공사 진도 관리를 위해 투입 노무량을 정확히 파악할 필요가 있다. 본 연구는 2000년 이후 준공 된 수도권에서 공동주택 건설공사에서 표준품셈과 실투입 노무량을 조사하여 비교한 결과 다음과 같은 결과를 얻을 수 있었다. 실제 투입 노무량은 조적공 1.184인/천매, 미장공 0.048인/$m^2$, 방수공 0.039인/$m^2$, 타일공 0.059인/$m^2$이다. 표준품셈 대비 투입율은 보면 조적공 59.8%, 미장공41.3%, 방수공 31.5%, 타일공 34.3%이다. 방수공의 투입 비율이 가장 낮고 조적공이 비교적 높았다. 따라서 우리나라 공동주택 건설공사의 노무량은 실적공사비를 토대로한 원가계산이 바람직하지만, 공사관리에서 노무량이 주요 변수인 만큼 실제에 근접한 표준품셈을 지속적인 보완이 필요할 것으로 보인다.

신축 공공도서관의 지위적 역할에 따른 규모와 지역 특성에 따른 건립공사비 기준에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Guideline of construction cost according to Size of position and Regional characteristics of New Public Libraries)

  • 이철재;윤지원;이민
    • 한국실내디자인학회논문집
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.113-120
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    • 2017
  • As the functions and roles of public libraries expand, it is time for qualitative growth. In order to improve the quality of public libraries, it is important to plan actual construction costs through systematic feasibility study. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to present the guideline of construction costs considering the size and regional characteristics according to the status role of the new public libraries. The construction costs are based on actual data. The results of the study are as follows. First, we derived the analysis framework according to the size and regional characteristics. The status role of the public libraries was considered theoretically. The size was classified according to status role of the public libraries. Regional characteristics were classified through literature review. Through this, an analysis framework was derived according to size and region. Second, the actual data on construction costs of the new public libraries were examined and analyzed. Basic factors, size, area, and construction costs were analyzed for 285 libraries nationwide that opened from 2010 to 2016. The data of 129 newly opened public libraries were classified. To present construction costs depending on price fluctuation, construction cost index was analyzed as of September 2016. Third, a guideline of construction costs for new public libraries was suggested. The construction cost per $1m^2$ of building area was analyzed. By multiplying 116.70(p), the construction cost index, the construction cost per $1m^2$ of total building area was calculated to be 2,472,350 won. When applying the research result, construction costs can be gained by adding construction cost index of the month.

ERP시스템의 원가 운영 개선 방안 (An Improved Cost Management Method for ERP System)

  • 안민섭;박동규
    • 한국정보통신학회논문지
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.795-802
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    • 2010
  • 오늘날 기업 경영 환경은 글로벌 환경과 정보기술의 발전 등으로 갈수록 빠른 속도로 복잡하게 변하고 있으며, 수많은 기업들은 급변하는 경영환경에 대응한 경쟁력 확보를 위하여 끊임없는 노력과 변화, 혁신을 추구하고 있다. 이러한 부문별 자동화와 함께 기업 경영의 전체적 최적화를 이루려는 취지에서 등장한 것이 전사적 자원관리(ERP: Enterprise Resource Planning)이다. 특히, ERP 시스템에서 관리회계는 보다 효율적인 내부관리를 위한 부가적인 기능들로 구성되어 있어 많은 시스템을 적극적으로 활용하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 Oracle ERP관리회계 분야의 표준원가를 살펴보고 표준원가에서 발생하는 실제원가와의 변량차이 분석을 시도하였다. 이를 통하여 실제 발생된 재료비와 간접재료비에 가까운 원가요소를 얻는 방법을 구현하여 Oracle ERP 시스템의 원가운영에 적용하였다.

원가지수를 이용한 고속철도 설비의 개략적 투자비 추정기법 (A Conceptual Investment Cost Estimation Using by Cost Indices for the Train Control Facility of High-speed Rail Project)

  • 이영주;이용억;장성용
    • 한국철도학회논문집
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.194-202
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    • 2011
  • 사업의 상세설계 정보 획득이 어려워 개략적으로 투자비산정 시에 적용하는 개략산정 기법은 주로 과거의 경험자료를 활용하며, 이 과거 자료를 현재가격으로 전환시킬 때 원가지수법을 적용한다. 그러나 현실적으로 데이터 부족, 복잡한 물가조정방법 등으로 1회성으로 활용하거나 거의 적용하지 않는다. 본 논문에서는 물가조정을 복잡하게 계산하고 있는 고속철도 열차제어설비를 적정 물가지수를 활용하여 단순화된 원가지수로 개략적인 투자비를 산정 할 수 있는 표준적 과정을 제시한다. 또한 그 결과물은 향후 해당설비의 개략산정에 쉽게 활용할 수 있으며, 유사 설비의 실적자료 DB구축 및 전산모델화 하기 위한 기본적인 기준을 제공할 수 있을 것으로 기대한다.

의료시설 사업계획서의 건축사업비 산정에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Calculation of Construction Project Cost of Healthcare Facility Business Plan)

  • 최광석
    • 의료ㆍ복지 건축 : 한국의료복지건축학회 논문집
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    • 제27권2호
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    • pp.7-14
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to provide an effective construction project cost estimation tool for preparing a business plan of healthcare facilities which can be practically used for development projects. Methods: In order to provide a tool for calculating construction project costs, this study analyzed the Building and Related Laws, the Building Technology Promotion Laws, the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport notifications and directives, the Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy notifications, the detailed guidelines of the Ministry of Strategy and Finance, the Building Service Industry Promotion Acts, various certification standards, actual project budget calculation cases, etc. with advices from related experts. Results: 1) Construction cost is classified into construction costs, architectural design costs, supervision costs, incidental costs, and each sub-element. In particular, since there are many incidental cost items, essential items to be reviewed during planning are derived and costs are calculated according to appropriate consideration criteria. 2) Criteria for Payment calculation mainly applies the construction cost rate method or the actual cost fixed amount method in consideration of the characteristics and scope of work. Implications: There are many calculation factors that need to be applied to the construction project cost. Therefore, it is necessary to organize the calculation process more clearly.

수요관리 투자사업에 대한 대안적 비용효과 분석 기법 도입 및 실제 적용 (A Study on Adoption of Alternative Cost-effectiveness Analysis Method for the DSM Investment Program and Actual Application)

  • 최봉하;박수억;이정태;이찬섭
    • 대한설비공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한설비공학회 2008년도 하계학술발표대회 논문집
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    • pp.243-248
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study is to introduce alternative cost-effectiveness analysis method of DSM investment programs. This alternative method is Value Test method which consider the effects of DSM investment program on customer value. And this method was applied for actual DSM investment program in natural gas domain. By utilize this method to evaluate cost-effectiveness of DSM investment programs, it is expected to make right decision to enforce and complement those programs.

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성과관리시스템(EVMS) 도입을 위한 원전 건설사업비 관리체계 세분화 방안에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Cost Hierarchical System of Nuclaer Power Plant Construction Project for Introcusting Earned Vaule Management System)

  • 이상현;김우중
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2019년도 춘계 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.230-231
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    • 2019
  • The nuclear power plant construction project is large-scale, has various stakeholders and computer system, and is produced and managed a large amount of information. The domestic nuclear power plant construction project has accumulated data based on many years of experience in the system. It has the competitiveness to suggeest alternatives that meet the requirement of the client in the overseas nuclear power plant project. Earned value management, which integrates schedule and cost, is possible to risk management. It was developed the earned value management system considering the the actual data properties and types of the preceding nuclear power plant construction projects. It will be able to increase the nuclaer power plant export competieiveness. Therefore, it was palned to carry out future stuies so that it be able to complement the measure to integrate cost and schedule in consideration of actual data(quantity of activity, etc.).

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건설공사의 사고예방비용에 대한 투자효과 분석 (The Benefit Cost Analysis of the Accident Prevention Cost in Construction Work)

  • 박종근
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.113-118
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    • 2005
  • This study delivers the actual condition of investment for industrial accident prevention based on survey of 500 construction sites from 'reports far industry safety and health' published by Korea Occupational Safety & Health Agency (KOSHA). The various research techniques were used such as technical statistic analysis for construction industry, cost comparison of industrial accident prevention and accident loss. A formula was deduced to calculate accident loss and accident frequency by accident prevention cost through regression analysis.