• Title/Summary/Keyword: Accelerated Model

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A Study on Accelerated Life Testing Model and Design (헬기용 와이퍼 조립체의 가속모델 및 가속수명시험 설계 연구)

  • Kim, Daeyu;Hur, Jangwook;Jeon, Buil
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.894-903
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    • 2018
  • In the case of helicopters, the development of parts technology is rapidly changing, and the complexity is rapidly increasing. Particularly, the surge of various electric and electronic systems is recognized as a problem that is directly related to the safety of the helicopter. Due to these problems, there is a growing interest in reliability evaluation in the face of the problem of confirming and certifying the reliability of parts in the development stage. In this paper, the analysis of the failure mechanism of the wiper system was carried out, and the priority and importance of each failure mode were checked by using the results, and major stress factors were derived and the corresponding acceleration model was selected. Also, the accelerated lifetime test time was calculated according to the life test time, acceleration status and acceleration level of the steady state by using the selected acceleration model and characteristic values.

A GEE approach for the semiparametric accelerated lifetime model with multivariate interval-censored data

  • Maru Kim;Sangbum Choi
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.389-402
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    • 2023
  • Multivariate or clustered failure time data often occur in many medical, epidemiological, and socio-economic studies when survival data are collected from several research centers. If the data are periodically observed as in a longitudinal study, survival times are often subject to various types of interval-censoring, creating multivariate interval-censored data. Then, the event times of interest may be correlated among individuals who come from the same cluster. In this article, we propose a unified linear regression method for analyzing multivariate interval-censored data. We consider a semiparametric multivariate accelerated failure time model as a statistical analysis tool and develop a generalized Buckley-James method to make inferences by imputing interval-censored observations with their conditional mean values. Since the study population consists of several heterogeneous clusters, where the subjects in the same cluster may be related, we propose a generalized estimating equations approach to accommodate potential dependence in clusters. Our simulation results confirm that the proposed estimator is robust to misspecification of working covariance matrix and statistical efficiency can increase when the working covariance structure is close to the truth. The proposed method is applied to the dataset from a diabetic retinopathy study.

Development of Statistical Modeling Methodology for Flow Accelerated Corrosion: Effect of Flow Rate, Water Temperature, pH, and Cr Content (유동가속부식에 대한 통계적 모델링 해석방법 개발: 유속, 온도, pH 및 Cr 함량의 효과)

  • Lee, Gyeong-Geun;Lee, Eun Hee;Kim, Sung-Woo;Kim, Dong-Jin
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Pressure Vessels and Piping
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.40-49
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    • 2016
  • Flow accelerated corrosion (FAC) of the carbon steel piping has been a significant problem in nuclear power plants. FAC occurs under certain hydrodynamic, environmental, and material conditions, and extensive research into the factors of FAC has been conducted. The basic process of FAC is now relatively well understood; however, a full mechanistic model has not yet been established. Recently, the Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute (KAERI) has built a large experiment loop system for FAC. To produce significant experimental results using this system, the factors affecting on FAC should be analyzed quantitatively, and a model needs to be developed. In this work, a statistical modeling methodology to develop an empirical model is described in detail, and a preliminary model is suggested. Firstly, FAC data were collected from the research literature in Japan and the results of domestic experiments. The flow rate, water temperature, pH at room temperature, and the Cr content are selected as major factors, and nonlinear regression is used to find the best fit of the available data. An iterative procedure between suggesting and evaluating a model is used until an optimum model is obtained. The developed model gives the FAC rate comparable to the measured FAC rate. The developed model is going to be refined using additional laboratory data in the future.

Prediction Model on Delivery Time in Display FAB Using Survival Analysis (생존분석을 이용한 디스플레이 FAB의 반송시간 예측모형)

  • Han, Paul;Baek, Jun Geol
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.283-290
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    • 2014
  • In the flat panel display industry, to meet production target quantities and the deadline of production, the scheduler and dispatching systems are major production management systems which control the order of facility production and the distribution of WIP (Work In Process). Especially the delivery time is a key factor of the dispatching system for the time when a lot can be supplied to the facility. In this paper, we use survival analysis methods to identify main factors of the delivery time and to build the delivery time forecasting model. To select important explanatory variables, the cox proportional hazard model is used to. To make a prediction model, the accelerated failure time (AFT) model was used. Performance comparisons were conducted with two other models, which are the technical statistics model based on transfer history and the linear regression model using same explanatory variables with AFT model. As a result, the mean square error (MSE) criteria, the AFT model decreased by 33.8% compared to the statistics prediction model, decreased by 5.3% compared to the linear regression model. This survival analysis approach is applicable to implementing the delivery time estimator in display manufacturing. And it can contribute to improve the productivity and reliability of production management system.

Optimal Design of Accelerated Life Tests under Model Uncertainty (불확정 모형하에서 가속수명시험의 최적 설계)

  • 서순근;하천수;김갑석
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.49-65
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    • 2001
  • This paper presents new compromise ALT plan which is applied to situations that true relationship between stress and parameters is not known exactly. The assumed failure distribution of this study is one of location-scale family, i. e., exponential, Weibull, and lognormal distributions which have been ones of the popular choices of failure distributions. The method of applying the stress is constant, and the censoring mechanism is Type I censoring. Compared with existing compromise plans under true simple linear model in terms of statistical efficiency, the efficiency of new compromise plan is better than the corresponding other compromise ones in most cases. For case when true model is quadratic, this plan can be used without any severe loss in statistical efficiency. The proposed new compromise ALT plan is illustrated with a numerical example and sensitivity analyses are conducted to study effects of pre-estimates of design parameters.

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Lifetime prediction of the engine mount about the environment temperature variation (환경 온도변화에 대한 자동차용 엔진마운트의 수명 예측)

  • Kim, Hyung Min;Wei, Shin Hwan;Yoon, Sin Il;Shin, Ik Jae;Kim, Gyu Ro
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.65-76
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    • 2013
  • In order to assess the reliability of engine mount for a vehicles, life test model and procedure are developed. By using this method, failure mechanism and life distribution are analyzed. The main results are as follows; i) the main failure mechanism is degradation failure of engine mount rubber by fatigue failure at dynamic load. ii) temperature is a second factor to affect a failure. iii) the life distribution of engine mount module is fitted well to Weibull life distribution and the shape parameter is 18.4 and the accelerated life model of that is fitted well to Arrhenius model.

Development of Rutting Model for Asphalt Mixtures using Laboratory and Accelerated Pavement Testing (실내 및 포장가속시험를 이용한 아스팔트 혼합물의 소성변형 모형 개발)

  • Lee, Sang-Yum;Lee, Hyun-Jong;Huh, Jae-Won;Park, Hee-Mun
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.79-89
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    • 2008
  • The pavement performance model is the most important factor to determine the pavement life in the mechanistic-empirical pavement design guide (MEPDG). As part of Korean Pavement Research Program (KPRP), the Korean Pavement Design Guide (KPDG) is currently being developed based on mechanistic-empirical principle. In this paper, the rutting prediction model of asphalt mixtures, one of the pavement performance model, has been developed using triaxial repeated loading testing data. This test was conducted on various types of asphalt mixtures for investigating the rutting characteristics by varying with the temperature and air void. The calibration process was made for the coefficients of rutting prediction model using the accelerated pavement testing data. The accuracy of prediction model can be increased when by considering the effect of individual rutting properties of materials rather than shear stresses with depths.

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Study of the high pressure hose assemblies by accelerated life test (고압호스 조립체의 가속수명시험에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Gi Chun;Lee, Yong Bum
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.37 no.8
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    • pp.886-892
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    • 2013
  • Hydraulic hose assemblies are used as piping components for construction machinery, automobile, aircraft, industrial machinery, machine tools, and machinery for ships. Then the reliability of hose assemblies is important because total hydraulic system, which used to deliver the fluid power ($P^*Q$) needed to flexibility in the piping system, is not operated if the hose assembly failed in the system. The data of the accelerated life test estimated through the shape parameter(${\beta}$) resulting of the Weibull distribution analysis. This study has tried to reduce the test time resulting from varying impulse pressure range and the flexing diameter. Accelerated life test model for the test results was adopted the GLL(generalized log linear) and the accelerated indexes are identified as 6.64 for the pressure and 4.46 for flexing radius. Also, it found that shape parameter is 6.19, scale parameter(${\eta}$) is $1.035{\times}108$, which were adopted the pressure 35 MPa and the flexing diameter R100 mm in the used condition.

Accelerated Life Test for Door Switch of Refrigerator (냉장고 도어스위치의 가속수명시험)

  • Ryu Dong Su;Kim Sang Uk;Jang Young Kee;Moon Chul Hui
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.273-287
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    • 2005
  • Accelerated life test models and procedure are developed to assess the reliability of Refrigerator door switch. The main function of door switch is to operate bulb lamp and fan motor in the refrigerating room. The accelerated life test method and test equipments are developed using the relationship between stresses and life characteristics of the products. Using the developed accelerated life test method, the parameters of the ALT model and life time distribution are estimated and the reliability of the Door S/W at use condition if assessed. The proposed accelerated life test method and procedure may be extended and applied to testing similar kinds of products to reduce test time and costs of the tests remarkably.

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No-Failure Accelerated Life Test of Flap Actuating System using Weibull Distribution (와이블 분포를 이용한 플랩구동장치의 무고장 가속수명시험)

  • Cho, Hyunjun;Lee, Inho;Kim, Sangbeom;Park, Sangjoon;Yang, Myungseok
    • Journal of Aerospace System Engineering
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.51-58
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, we present some results on No-failure accelerated life test of aerial vehicle for reliability demonstration. The design of general accelerated life test consists of the three phases: 1) Estimating normal life test time of a single product from Weibull distribution model; 2) Determining the acceleration factor (AF) by utilizing the relation between the life of mechanical components and the applied torque; 3) Calculating the accelerated life test time, which comes from dividing the estimated normal life test time into AF. Then, we applied the calculated life test time to the real reliability test of the flap actuating system, while considering the requirement specification for mechanical components and operating environment of the actuation system. Real experimental processes and results are presented to validate the theory.