• Title/Summary/Keyword: 회귀목

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Forecasting Korean CPI Inflation (우리나라 소비자물가상승률 예측)

  • Kang, Kyu Ho;Kim, Jungsung;Shin, Serim
    • Economic Analysis
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.1-42
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    • 2021
  • The outlook for Korea's consumer price inflation rate has a profound impact not only on the Bank of Korea's operation of the inflation target system but also on the overall economy, including the bond market and private consumption and investment. This study presents the prediction results of consumer price inflation in Korea for the next three years. To this end, first, model selection is performed based on the out-of-sample predictive power of autoregressive distributed lag (ADL) models, AR models, small-scale vector autoregressive (VAR) models, and large-scale VAR models. Since there are many potential predictors of inflation, a Bayesian variable selection technique was introduced for 12 macro variables, and a precise tuning process was performed to improve predictive power. In the case of the VAR model, the Minnesota prior distribution was applied to solve the dimensional curse problem. Looking at the results of long-term and short-term out-of-sample predictions for the last five years, the ADL model was generally superior to other competing models in both point and distribution prediction. As a result of forecasting through the combination of predictions from the above models, the inflation rate is expected to maintain the current level of around 2% until the second half of 2022, and is expected to drop to around 1% from the first half of 2023.

Coronary artery diameter of normal children aged 3 months to 6 years (생후 3개월에서 7세 미만 정상 소아에서의 관상동맥 직경)

  • Yu, Jeong Jin;Cho, Suk Kyung;Park, Yong-Mean;Lee, Ran;Chung, Sochung;Bae, Sun Hwan
    • Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
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    • v.51 no.6
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    • pp.629-633
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    • 2008
  • Purpose : This study was designed to investigate normal domestic values for the diameter of the left main coronary artery (LCA), the left anterior descending coronary artery (LAD) and the right coronary artery (RCA). These data are necessary to define dilatation of coronary arteries in Kawasaki disease cases. Methods : Study subjects were 43 normal healthy children whose ages ranged from 3 months to 6 years. They children visited Konkuk University hospital for echocardiograph examination between March 2005 and November 2007. Measurements of coronary arterial diameters at each branch were done by off-line analyses of recorded images. Simple regression analysis of each the measurements were performed using the body size (body surface area, etc.) as the independent variable. Results : Body surface area was significantly related to the diameters of LCA ($r^2=0.20$, P=0.0038), of LAD ($r^2=0.41$, P<0.0001), and of RCA ($r^2=0.30$, P=0.0002). In the regression model, the estimates of the y-intercept were 1.703, 1.058, and 1.007; the estimates of the regression coefficient were 0.971, 1.175, and 1.177; and the estimates of the standard deviation were 0.315, 0.221, and 0.282 with respect to the three coronary arteries. Conclusion : A the linear regression model of the diameters of three coronary arteries adjusted for body surface area was produced. With these results, the Z-score calculation of the diameter of three coronary arteries, based on normal domestic data, will be possible.

A Study on the Risk Factors of Work-Related Musculoskeletal Disorders in Librarians of University Libraries (대학도서관 사서들의 작업관련 근골격계 질환 위험요인에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jeong-Hyen
    • Journal of Korean Library and Information Science Society
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.243-262
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    • 2011
  • The aim of this study was to investigate musculo-skeletal symtoms and working conditions of university library's librarians to search for the risk factors related to musculo-skeletal symptoms. The study subjects were 266 librarians who were working at 20 university libraries. A self-recording questionnaire was used to investigate the general characteristics, working conditions, job intensity, job satisfaction and stress, education of musculoskeletal disorders and nature of musculoskeletal symptom. Statistical analysis was done by using t-test and multiple regression analysis. The complaint proportion of self-reported positive musculoskeletal symptoms was 62.5% and that of severe musculoskeletal symptoms was 26.1%. Multiple regression analysis showed that low satisfaction of working conditions, high job intensity, irregular mealtime, job stress were closely related to the positive rate of musculoskeletal symptoms. Therefore, it will be necessary to make efforts to reduce the prevalence of musculoskeletal disorders improving working conditions and mitigating the job intensity.

A study on Learning Attitude, Class Participation, and Learning Satisfaction of Nursing Students in Fundamental Nursing Curriculum (기본간호학 교과목 수강 간호대학생의 학습태도, 수업참여도 및 학습만족도에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Sook
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.289-297
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study was to examine the correlations of learning attitude, class participation, and learning satisfaction, and to identify the influencing factors on learning satisfaction of nursing students in fundamental nursing curriculum. Data were collected from 173 nursing students from September 1 to 8, 2017. Data were analyzed using Pearson's correlation coefficients and stepwise multiple regression. Learning attitude, class participation, and learning satisfaction according to the general characteristics commonly showed significant differences in satisfaction with major, satisfaction with school, friendship, last semester grade, and interest in fundamental nursing. Learning satisfaction showed significant positive correlations with learning attitude and class participation. Satisfaction with major, interest in fundamental nursing, and class participation, which accounted for 36% of the variance, were significant predictors influencing learning satisfaction in nursing students. It is necessary to increase majors' satisfaction, fundamental nursing interest, and class participation in order to improve learning satisfaction of nursing students.

Evaluation of the Ergonomic Method and Musculoskeletal Symptoms in Dental Hygienist (치과위생사의 근골격계질환 자각증상과 인간공학적 평가)

  • Oh, Na-Rae;Kim, Hae-Kyeong;Jeong, Mi-Ae
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.12 no.9
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    • pp.234-243
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study was to estimate the prevalence of musculoskeletal symptoms and work-related factors of these symptoms in dental hygienists. The self-administered questionnaire was surveyed and collected from August 1-12 of 2011 targeting 210 dental hygienists Seoul, Gyeonggi, Daegu, Pohang. Except 5 people whose responses are not clear and who suffered accident, the analysis was made on 205 people. Data analysis was performed using the chi square test and multiple logistic regression analysis using the SPSS WIN(ver 18.0) program, RULA and, REBA. The overall Experience rate of musculoskeletal symptoms was 95.6% (196/205). The specific Experience rate of musculoskeletal symptoms for different regions of the body were as follows:The highest was shown 82.4% in Neck-shoulders(R), 78% in Neck, 69.8% in shoulders(R), 66.3%in Wrist(R). Therefore, Improvements of working environments in dental clinics are needed to prevent musculoskeletal disease development in dental hygienists.

A study on the improvement of academic achievement of probability and statistics in the hardware curriculum (하드웨어 전공자들의 확률 및 통계 관련 학업성취도 제고에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Seung-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.887-898
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study is to improve the learning ability of probability/statistics for H/W majors. Firstly, we developed a teaching method coupling probability/statistics with programming and multimedia signal processing courses that are opened in the H/W major curriculum. By use of its teaching-learning, we tried to verify the effectiveness on the improvement of learner's academic achievement and then analyze its educational efficiency through the regression analysis. Secondly, by analyzing the surveys and the statistical results of the education cases, we proposed a management plan on efficient teaching-learning in order to cultivate the learning ability of probability/statistics at a future time. Lastly, we concluded that probability/statistics is a required course of learners so as to contribute for the advanced technical development and the enhanced competitiveness in the field of the H/W.

The Effect of Online Substitution Class Caused by Coronavirus (COVID-19) on the self-directed learning, academic achievement, and online learning satisfaction of nursing students (코로나19(COVID-19)로 인한 온라인 강의대체가 간호대학생의 자기주도학습능력, 학업성취도 및 온라인 학습만족도에 미치는 영향)

  • Park, Mi-Ma;Shin, Ji-Hoon
    • Journal of the Health Care and Life Science
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.77-86
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    • 2021
  • This study is a research study to determine the effect of online lecture substitution for subjects due to COVID-19 on self-directed learning ability, academic achievement, and online learning satisfaction of nursing students. From September to October 2020, the final 113 nursing students of data recovered as enrolled in the Department of Nursing at a university located in G City were analyzed. The data collected were analyzed by performing descriptive statistics and hierarchical regression analysis using the SPSS 21.0 program. The study results are summarized as follows. The average score of self-directed learning was 3.32±0.39, academic achievement 3.32±0.75, and learning satisfaction was 3.31±0.78. Factors affecting online learning satisfaction were found to be preferred learning methods and academic achievement. Based on the results of this study, it is necessary to design instruction and operate classes to improve online learning satisfaction by evaluating the learner's learning method in advance when running nursing school subjects as online lectures for nursing students.

Discussion for Ride Evaluation of High Speed Train by Using Inferential Statistics (추리통계학을 이용한 고속철도 승차감 평가에 대한 고찰)

  • Hwang, Hee-Soo;Kim, Seog-Won;Park, Chan-Kyeong;Mok, Jin-Yong;Kim, Ki-Hwan;Kim, Young-Guk
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.543-549
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    • 2008
  • The ride comfort is more important according to train speedup. Generally it is defined as the vehicle vibration. There are many studies on evaluation method of ride comfort for railway. But the ride comfort for Korean high speed train (HSR 350x) has been assessed by statistical method according to UIC 5l3R. In this paper, the ride indices, which were measured in the Korean high speed train. have been analyzed and reviewed by using the inferential statistics such as t-test, variance analysis (ANOVA) and regression analysis.

Study of Biomass Estimation in Forest by Aerial Photograph and LiDAR Data (항공사진과 Lidar 데이터를 이용한 산림지역의 바이오매스 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Chang, An-Jin;Kim, Hyung-Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.166-173
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    • 2008
  • Recently, problem of earth environment being attended with international issue, people are concerned about the environmentally-friendly and renewable biomass energy. Especially, the forest biomass is more important because Korea have to control carbon footprint for Kyoto Protocol and Convention on Climate Change. In case of Korea, forest area covers the land about 2/3 of all country. It is needed that more economical and efficient method to estimate the biomass by remote sensing data which include wide coverage and is progressed by one-step. In this study, we estimate forest biomass with LiDAR data and aerial photograph. Three biomass equation is used and estimate mean biomass of single tree and entire biomass in plots. The results are compared with field data. $R^2$ of the mean biomass of single tree is greater than 0.8 and that of entire biomass in plots is greater than 0.65. In conclusion, the method using remote sensing data is verified more economical and efficient than previous field data method.

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Plant Community Structure and Ecological Density of Pinus densiflora for. eracta Community in Chungyang, Kyeongsangbuk-do (경상북도 춘양지방 금강소나무림의 식생구조 및 생육밀도)

  • 이경재;김정호;한봉호
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.379-393
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    • 2002
  • Thirty-six plots (each size 100m2) have been set up and surveyed to investigate the plant community structure and the ecological density of Pinus densiflora for. eracta(Chunyang-type) community in Seobyeok-ri, Chungyang-myeon, bonghwa-gun, Kyeongsangbuk-do. Four communities, Community I (large DBH class), Community II (large DBH class), Community III (middle DBH class), Community IV(small DBH class), were classified into by mean DBH and mean height. Pinus densiflora for. eracta dominate in canopy layer, Fraxinus sieboldiana and Quercus mongolica dominate in understory layer, Rhododendron Schlippenbachii and R. mucronulatum dominate in shrub layer. It turned out that thefour communiteis had low species diversity(0.4320~0.9487; unit: 400$m^2$) and high similarity. By the result of ecological density analysis. the mean basal area was proportionated to mean DBH (cm) size. By the result of simple regression analysis between mean DBH(cm), mean distance(m), and the number of individual were as follow: Ecological distance(m) = 0.0934$\times$ DBH(cm) +0.6117, Number of individual=242.47$\times$ DBH(cm)$^{-1.009}$, Ecological distance=9.643$\times$No. of individua $l^{-0.7016}$. In addition to four communities were suitable to the growth of Tricholoma matsutake because average species were about 30~50 years old, litter layer was 0.5~2.5cm and the ratio of coverage shrub was 20% .