• Title/Summary/Keyword: 화물수요

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ARIMA, Machine Learning Approach to Forecasting Empty Container Volumes (항만 공컨테이너 재고량 예측을 위한 ARIMA, 머신러닝 적용 연구)

  • Paik, Gio;Kang, Min-Chul;Soul, Min-Wook;Lim, Seo-Jeong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2020.11a
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    • pp.953-955
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    • 2020
  • 공컨테이너(Empty Container)는 적컨테이너(Full Container)와 달리, 화물이 적재되지 않은 비어있는 컨테이너로 공컨테이너 재고는 수출에 비해 수입이 많은 항만에서, 수요는 수입에 비해 수출이 많은 항만에서 발생한다. 그러나 수입과 수출은 기간, 지역에 따라 유동적이기 때문에 수요와 재고량 예측에 어려움이 있는데, 본 연구에서는 자기회귀누적이동평균(ARIMA)과 머신러닝 기법을 활용하여 이를 예측하는 방법을 제시한다. 본 연구에 활용된 데이터와 프로그램 소스코드는 Kaggle 에 공개되어 있다.

Forecasting Spot Freight Rate in LNG Market (LNG 운송시장의 스팟운임 예측 연구)

  • Lim, Sangseop;Kim, Seok-Hun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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    • 2021.01a
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    • pp.325-326
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    • 2021
  • LNG는 환경규제에 따라 화석에너지에서 친환경 재생에너지로 전환되는데 중요한 역할을 하는 에너지원이다. UN산하 세계해사기구(IMO)의 MARPOL협약에 따라 선박 황산화물 배출가스규제로 LNG추진 선박에 대한 수요가 증가되고 있을 뿐만 아니라 미국의 쉐일혁명으로 LNG를 수출함에 따라 공급의 변화가 급격하게 이뤄지고 있다. 과거 국가 주도의 프로젝트 성격이 강한 LNG 운송시장은 장기정기용선계약이 대부분이었으나 수요와 공급시장의 급격한 변화로 스팟시장의 중요성이 커지고 있다. 따라서 본 논문은 LNG 운송시장에서 시장참여자들의 스팟거래에 합리적인 의사결정이 이뤄지도록 과학적인 예측방법을 제시하고자 한다. LNG 스팟운임 예측에 기계학습모델 중 인공신경망 모델을 적용할 것이며 기존의 시계열분석 방법인 ARIMA모델과 비교하여 본문에서 제시된 모델의 예측성능의 우수성을 확인하였다. 본 논문은 LNG 스팟운임을 다룬 최초의 연구로서 학문적인 차별성이 기대된다.

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Development of Road-Driving Transfer Crane Using Metaverse Platform (메타버스 플랫폼을 활용한 도로주행 트랜스퍼 크레인 개발)

  • Shin, Hee-Jae;Lee, Woo-Hyuk;Jang, Hyeon-Seo;Choi, Byoung-Geun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2022.11a
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    • pp.1050-1052
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    • 2022
  • 최근 비대면 수요의 증가와 함께 유통·물류산업은 배송서비스 품질 향상을 위해 전략을 세워왔고, 퀵커머스 배송과 같은 빠른 배송서비스가 일상화되자 소비자의 배송서비스의 품질에 대한 기대치도 높아졌다. 이제는 뉴노멀 시대에 접어들며, 수요 불확실성에 대응할 혁신적 기술이 요구된다. 본 논문에서는 배송서비스 품질 향상 전략으로 도로주행 트랜스퍼 크레인을 메타버스 플랫폼을 통해 제안한다. 트랜스퍼 크레인은 도로의 정체와 상관없이 화물운송이 가능하여 배송서비스 속도 향상과 함께 도로 혼잡비용 감소 등 여러 부가적인 효과를 기대해 볼 수 있다.

A Study On the Effect of Newly-Established Inland Logistics Centers In the Capital Area (수도권 내륙화물기지 신설에 따른 효과 분석)

  • Jang, Jun-Seok;Lee, Jun;Park, Jae-Hyun;Song, Min-Ho;Kwon, Yong-Jang
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2011.10a
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    • pp.453-460
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    • 2011
  • The inland logistics center is a large scale of logistics facility that enables roads, rails, ports, and airports to carry out chained-transports and combined-transports, and the logistics center are established at the main logistics posts in order to reduce the cost of transport by mass transportation. However, it is expected that the capacity of Euiwang ICD, the only inland logistics centers in the capital area, will reach its limit before 2015, so it is required to establish another stations or to improve the existing facility. Especially, in case of Euiwang ICD, the expansion of the center is not possible because of its position, so it is required to establish new logistics centers in other places in order to raise the capacity of transport. Therefore, this study suggests to establish new metropolitan logistics centers on the western coast line in order to solve the problem of shortage of tract capacity that is brought on by the newly established inland logistics centers on the axis of the western coastline (Song-san Station and An-jung Station), and analyzes how the new logistics center will distribute railroad cargoes. By these, this study contributes to reduce the cost of transport by providing smooth railroad transport service.

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Strategies to Attract Transshipment Container Cargoes among Main Competitive Ports in North (East Asian Region) (동북아 경쟁항만간의 환적화물 유치전략 (부산항을 중심으로))

  • 정태원;곽규석
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.20 no.7
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    • pp.43-50
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    • 2002
  • Competition to attract the increasing container cargoes of North China and the West Japan in North-East Asia region is fairly intensed in recent days between the main ports of Korea, China, and Japan. Inducing a new container cargo make those countries possible to invest enormous fund to mordernize its port facilities, as well as to improve efficiency in Port operation and management. In this situation, Strategy to attract transshipment cargoes is of the immediate necessity, This study, therefore, aims to establish the feasible strategies to attract transshipment container cargoes in the North-East Asian region by empirical analysis, he major output of the research is as follows : First, Busan Port to attract transshipment cargoes is required to adjust port tariff and free storage period with flexibility for liner shipping companies and freight forwarder. Second, Price-Demand function of Busan port between main competitive ports in North-East Asian region that is derived from strategies to attract transshipment cargoes, helps marketing manager to fix scientifically port price as understanding the change of demand quantity.

Estimation of the Monetary Loss Scale of Low-income Freight Truck Owner under the Environmental Zone (환경지역 운영에 따른 영세 화물 차주의 경제적 손실규모 추정)

  • Choi, Kee Choo;Lee, Kyu Jin;Yi, Yong Ju
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.3D
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    • pp.247-254
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    • 2010
  • The positive effects of the air quality improvement policy have revealed sufficiently such as 3.3 trillion won of social benefits under the Environmental Zone in five years(K. Choi, 2009). In case of low-income freight truck owner, however, could be burdened with the requirement likes emission decreasing equipment. Eventually, restraint of running in the Environmental Zone would be affected their livelihood seriously. After estimating the scale of low-income freight truck owner for three alternatives with Road Freight Transport Center data, this study calculates decreased VKT to estimate the scale of monetary loss. In the result, decreased income amount of low-income freight truck owner under the restricted running estimated 6.1 trillion won during 5 years, quite exceeding 3.3 trillion won of the positive benefits as improving air quality, which means the necessity of immediate countermeasure. In other words, even though the governmental policy aimed benefits for the majority, the result implies that the total monetary losses of the minority could be exceed against the positives, therefore analysis should be considered carefully before the policy becomes effective.

A Leg Analysis on the Discharge of Cargo Residue at Sea (화물잔류물의 해양 투입처분(배출) 사안에 대한 법률적 분석)

  • Hong, Gi-Hoon;Park, Chan-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.193-202
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    • 2006
  • The Consultative Meeting of the Convention on the Prevention of Marine Pollution by Dumping of Wastes and other matter, 1972 (London Convention 1972) has requested to International Maritime Organization (IMO) Marine Environmental Protection Committee to collaborate and help clarify a boundary issue between International Convention for the Prevention of Pollution from Shops, 1973 as modified by the Protocol of 1978 (MARPOL) and the London Convention concerning 'dumping' versus 'discharges' during normal operations of ships in 2004, and subsequently established a Joint London Convention/MEPC Correspondence Group. The Contracting Parties to London Convention expressed their environmental concerns on the broad interpretation of the "cargo-associated wastes" by the States, which could be discharged by ships under MARPOL. Regulatory regimes for the cargo residues appear to vary among states. Some countries require fur ships to discharge their cargo wastes into the port reception facility and IMO also recommends doing so. This paper examines the related current national and international legal texts for the regulation of disposal of wastes from ships in order to analyze the current global concern on the marine pollution associated with waste discharge during operations of ships. In particular, we attempt to evaluate the likely marine environmental consequences arising from the disposal of cargo residue using an hypothetical case for the coal cargo residue among bulk cargos in this paper, since location, magnitude and frequency of the discharge of coal cargo residues into the sea adjacent to Korean Peninsula are not readily available. The cargo residues may be discharged to the sea according to MARPOL 73/78; however, its marine environmental consequences can be significant depending upon the characteristics and amounts of wastes to be discharged. Also the public tolerance of the environmental consequences would be widely different among nations. Multilateral environmental agreements, in general, more strictly apply their rules if there are other options to disposal at sea, i.e. port reception facility in this case. Therefore, port reception facilities for the wastes generated by ships are recommended to be further constructed in major national ports in order to reduce the risk of environmental damages during the operations of ships.

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Status of National LNGC Deck Officer's Education/Training and Proposal of Improving Measures (국내 LNGC 항해사의 교육 및 훈련 실태 조사와 개선방안의 제시)

  • Kim Jong-Sung;Kim Chang-Je;Hong Jeong-Hyeok
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.30 no.1 s.107
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    • pp.17-22
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    • 2006
  • Recently, the demand for LNG(Liquefied Natural Gas) increases in our country and all over the world as well as building order for LNGC Because LNG is very dangerous cargo, the special know-how and attention for cargo handling to prevent an accident is required and big demand for deck officers in future is expected Thus, more specific and systematic education and training program by means of investigating the status of national LNGC officer's education and training. To accomplish this, IMO regulation and LNGC education program for Korea Institute of Maritime and Fisheries Technology, national shipping companies and Japanese T company were analyzed.

A Study on Busan Port Activation by Attracting Transshipment Containers to and from Japan (일본 환적화물 유치를 통한 부산항 활성화 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Jin-Hee
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.28 no.8
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    • pp.679-685
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    • 2004
  • Logistics needs in Asia are surprisingly increasing due to rapid growth of China Therefore, each country is trying to develop ports in order to attract logistics needs. Korea, also, begins to perform active port marketing policy, centering around Busan port and Kwangyang port, in order to become a logistics hub in Northeast Asia Recently, competitiveness of Japan has decreased due to increase in the inland transport costs, so Japanese is deliberating various counter plans. While Japan is stagnant, Korea has an opportunity for activating Busan port and Kwangyang port. This study estimates logistics costs by classifying types of delivery routes of Japanese imports and exports containers; that is, by dividing the case of using main ports in Japan, or Busan port and Kwangyang port. As a result, logistics costs are greatly reduced when the containers go by way of Busan port and Kwangyang port social and logistics costs.

Study on Vehicle Routing Problem with Minimum Delivery Completion Time (특송소화물 배송완료시간 최소화를 위한 차량경로문제 연구)

  • Lee, Sang-Heon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.22 no.7 s.78
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    • pp.107-117
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    • 2004
  • The growing demand for customer-response, made-to-order manufacturing and satisfactory delivery are stimulating the importance of commercial fleet management problem. Moreover, the rapid transformation to the customer-oriented multi-frequency, relatively small fleet, such as home delivery and Perishable goods, requiring prompt delivery and advanced real-time operation of vehicle fleets. In this paper we consider the vehicle routing problem(VRP) to minimize delivery completion time which is equal to the time that last customer wait for the vehicle in fleet operation. The mathematical formulation is different from those for the classical VRP which is minimizing cost/distance/time by running vehicles in manager's point of view. The key aspect of this model is not considering the return time from the last customer to depot in every vehicle path. Thereby, the vehicle dispatcher can afford to dynamically respond to customer demand and vehicle availability. The customer's position concerned with minimizing waiting time that may be applied for the delivery of product required freshness or delivery time. Extensive experiments are carried out to compare the performance of minimizing delivery completion time by using the ILOG Solver which has the advantage of solving quickly an interim solution very near an optimal solution. The experimental results show that the suggested model can easily find near optimal solution in a reasonable computational time under the various combination of customers and vehicles.