• Journal of Navigation and Port Research
• /
• v.32 no.6
• /
• pp.425-431
• /
• 2008

The future cargo transportation and traffic volume on container in Gwangyang port was forecasted by using univariate time series models in this research. And the container ship traffic was produced. The constructed models all were most adapted to Winters' additive models with a trend and seasonal change. The cargo transportation on container in Gwangyang port was estimated each about 2,756 thousand TEU and 4,470 thousand TEU in 2011 and 2015 by increasing each 7.4%, 16.2% compared with 2007. The volume per ship on container was estimated each about 675TEU and 801TEU in 2011 and 2015 by increasing each 30.3%, 54.6% compared with 2007. Also, traffic volume on container incoming in Gwangyang Port was prospected each about 4,078ships and 5,921ships in 2011 and 2015.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
• /
• v.24 no.4
• /
• pp.153-171
• /
• 2008

The purpose of this paper is to estimate economic benefits for the investment of port hinterland. This research has conducted the empirical analysis, by calculating the investment of port hinterland. The key factor for the economic benefits for the hinterland is the utilizing throughputs. This demand is influenced by the throughput in the port. However the data is different between the different organizations. The positive opinions are prevailed about constructing of port hinterland by a optimistic view about throughput. However this paper analyzes the economic benefits by a pessimistic point of view. The main results of this paper are as follows: First, the port hinterland of Busan New Port does not have economic benefit for investment and the hinterland will face the overcapacity problem. We recommend that the plan for investment has to be considered the modification. Second, data of forecasted throughputs is an important factor for evaluation of hinterland's investment. The research for reliable forecasting of throughput has to be preceded for the pertinent evaluation of hinterland's investment.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
• /
• v.22 no.4
• /
• pp.81-98
• /
• 2006

Many studies on port tariff have been done over twenty years using publicly assessed data on tariff. Public data for tariff rates do not reflect, however, the port tariff in a real market, since the cargo handling charge, which is the important fraction of port tariff, is confidentially decided by the negotiations between a shipping company and a container terminal operator. In this paper, we collected the real price data of the port tariff on the world major sixteen container ports from a global shipping company and transformed it into the tariff per TEU(US$/TEU). The comparative analysis of port tariff was performed using the port tariff per TEU, and a panel regression analysis was done to identify the relations between the port tariff and demand variables: throughput, GDP and trade amount.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
• /
• v.32 no.2
• /
• pp.25-37
• /
• 2016

The economy of South Korea has experienced two financial crises: the 1997 Asian financial crisis and the 2008 global financial crisis. These crises had a significant impact on the nation's macro-economic indicators. Furthermore, they had a profound influence on container traffic in container ports in Busan, which is the largest port in South Korea in terms of TEUs handled. However, the impact of the Asian financial crisis on container throughput is not clear. In this study, we assume that the two financial crises are independent and different, and then analyze how each of them impacted container throughput in Busan ports. To perform this analysis, we use an intervention model that is a special type of ARIMA model with input series. Intervention models can be used to model and forecast a response series and to analyze the impact of an intervention or event on the series. This study focuses on the latter case, and our results show that the impacts of the financial crises vary considerably.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
• /
• v.31 no.4
• /
• pp.169-187
• /
• 2015

Ports as central factors of the logistics industry and principal bases in industrial activities play a significant role in the development of the social economy. This paper takes the throughput data from 2000 to 2014 of 10 container ports located in China as the research object with the Gini coefficient and employs the shift-share analysis. It aims to analyze the changes in port concentration and movement of container throughputs and propose a stage of development port system in China. The results are as follows. First, the system of container ports clearly moves northward. According to the above shift-share analysis, the throughput moves from the Pearl River Delta to the other two regions. This indicates that the center of Chinese container port system moves northward. Second, container port diversification development takes a representative position in the change of container throughput space structure. According to the calculation results of Gini coefficient, diversified development gradually predominates the change of container throughput space structure.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
• /
• v.23 no.1
• /
• pp.149-162
• /
• 2007

The purpose of this study is to forecast the marine trading volumes using multiplicative seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average(ARIMA) model. The paper proceeds by comparing the forecasting performances of the unload volumes with those of the load volumes with Box-Jenkins ARIMA model. Also, I present the predicted values based on the ARIMA model. The result shows that the trading volumes increase very slowly.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
• /
• 2019.11a
• /
• pp.199-200
• /
• 2019

항만에서 물동량이 증가함에 따라 항만위험물 물동량도 함께 증가하고 있다. 이에 따라 항만위험물로 인한 사고도 점차 늘어나는 추세이다. 안전사고발생을 사전에 예방하고, 사고발생 시 피해를 최소화하기 위해서 안전관리자와 위험물 취급자는 정해진 기간마다 항만위험물 교육기관에서 필수적으로 교육을 이수해야 한다. 국내에서 가장 많은 산적액체위험물을 처리하고 있는 울산항의 경우.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
• /
• 2018.11a
• /
• pp.234-236
• /
• 2018

현대 사회에서 항만이 전반 공급체인에서 차지하는 역할이 날로 중요해지고 있다. 항만의 역할은 이미 단순한 하역작업이 아닌 화물에 부가가치를 부여하는 중요한 경제활동중심으로 진화하였다. 이러한 항만의 중요성으로 인해 각국은 모두 허브항 육성을 주요 성장전략으로 삼고 있다. 특히 동북아시아는 대형 항만이 가장 밀집된 지역으로 되어 항만 간 경쟁이 매우 치열하다. 부산항은 배후단지 활성화를 통한 안정적인 물동량 유치를 통해 역내에서 경쟁력을 확보하고 있다. 본 연구는 부산항 신항 배후단지에서 처리하는 주요 화물들의 원단위를 산정하여 실제 부산항 신항 배후단지에서 창조하는 부가가치에 대해 정량적으로 분석하였다. 분석결과, 케미칼 제품, LME 벌크, 자동차 부품, LME 컨테이너, 일반화물, LME 내륙운송의 순으로 원단위 비용이 점차 감소하였다. 향후 연구에는 부산항 신항 배후단지에서 취급되는 전체 화물에 대한 세부적인 연구가 이루어질 필요가 있다. 이를 통해 항만이 창출하는 가치를 보다 정밀하게 파악하고 효과적인 물동량 유치 전략을 실행할 수 있다.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
• /
• v.23 no.2
• /
• pp.1-24
• /
• 2007

With its foreign trade rapidly expanding and with economic growth continuing at a substantial rate, China has become the largest container traffic generating country in the world. And with trend of container ships becoming larger and faster, the environment surrounding ports in North-East Asia are rapidly changing. The Yangsan, offshore port for Shanghai, being developed on the islands of Da Yangsan and Xiao Yangsan, some 30km offshore, and connected to the mainland by the six-lane highway Donghai bridge, opened phase one in late 2005 and phase two in 2006 respectively and will have 29 berths by 2012 and be able to handle 15 million TEU. The Port of Shanghai which passed Busan in terms of container volume further consolidated its position as the world's No. 3 port with an annual volume of 21.7 million TEU in 2006 and is likely to have emerged as the biggest container port in the world. The Port of Busan, the world's fifth largest container port, wants to survive as regional hub port. In this circumstance, the strategies of the Port of Busan should be established.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
• /
• v.39 no.3
• /
• pp.179-189
• /
• 2023

Korea's port development adjusts the completion time and size of port facilities according to the future port throughput. The current port development system, which is referred to as "throughput-linked port development (Trigger Rule)", has received positive evaluation for efficiently executing the limited port development budget. Recently concerns have been growing over deteriorating service levels in port facilities in Korea due to accelerated aging of terminal facilities. However, the current port development system does not possess any standard for assessing the level of service and utilizing development indicators. The purpose of this paper is to calculate the Port Service Index (PSI) by selecting indicators to measure the Level of Service (LOS) of ports and deriving weights between the indicators, so that the current "throughput-linked port development (Trigger Rule)" can be linked with the level of service. Based on the result of analysis on a variety of preceding studies, the ship waiting rate, berth productivity, ship turnaround time and ship productivity were selected as four indicators to constitute the Port Service Index. The AHP and entropy methodologies were used to derive weights for each of four indicators which were later combined to calculate the comprehensive weight. The calculation formula of the Port Service Index (PSI) was derived by using the aggregated weights of each indicator, based on which the LOS of domestic container and bulk terminals were evaluated and this measurement result was divided into 6 classes to define each LOS. This paper contributes to draw the improvement measures for port development system that are able to connect the quantitative indicator of throughput, as well as a qualitative indicator of the level of "service".